Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Hibernian v Rangers

Saturday 5 December 2026, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 17

Forecast

HibernianRangers
Expected goals1.101.65
Win25%49%
Expected Points1.001.74
Clean sheet19%33%

Hibernian 25%Draw 26%Rangers 49%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 54%.

Rangers goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+7%9%5%2%6%5%2%4%6%5%3%1%1%2%2%1%10%12%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hibernian

  1. L0–110 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.77–1.68
  2. D1–119 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.40–0.70
  3. L0–115 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.45–2.21
  4. L1–26 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.61–2.32
  5. L1–33 SepHearts (H)xG 1.47–0.86
  6. W2–130 AugDundee FC (A)xG 2.33–1.03

Rangers

  1. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  2. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  3. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  4. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  5. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00
  6. W1–030 AugAberdeen (A)xG 2.10–0.35

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianRangers
Position10th2nd
Played88
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠56–⁠1–⁠1
Points7 (0.88 per game)19 (2.38 per game)
Expected Points per game1.332.06
Goals8–⁠1211–⁠5
xG per game1.58–⁠1.652.17–⁠1.02
Home: points, xG per game0.25, 1.56–⁠1.492.25, 2.60–⁠1.20
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.60–⁠1.812.50, 1.73–⁠0.84
ManagerMarink Reedijk (1)Derek McInnes (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackHibernian1.32, 4thRangers1.92, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.27, 4thRangers0.97, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian attack: 1.32Rangers attack: 1.921.921.32RangersHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctHibernian defence: 1.27Rangers defence: 0.971.270.97

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−15%+6%+42%−46%
Counter-attacks−13%−1%+20%+14%
Set pieces+8%−6%+42%−33%
Penalties+80%+20%+20%−40%
Headers−35%+7%+40%−50%
Left side−11%−2%+17%−14%
Centre−25%+24%+66%−31%
Right side+20%−26%+20%−59%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdRangers concededLeft side−11%−59%Centre−25%−31%Right side+20%−14%Open play−15%−46%Counter-attacks−13%+14%Set pieces+8%−33%Headers−35%−50%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdHibernian concededLeft side+17%−26%Centre+66%+24%Right side+20%−2%Open play+42%+6%Counter-attacks+20%−1%Set pieces+42%−6%Headers+40%+7%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianRangers

1.58xG2.17
1.65xG against1.02
51%Possession55%
16.4Shots20.1
13.4Shots against9.5
4.4Shots on target6.2
2.0Big chances2.9
31.6Touches in the opposition box38.1
443Passes449
81%Pass accuracy80%
6.9Corners7.4
55%Field tilt60%
44.7Final-third entries47.5
15.0Box entries18.6
14.7Passes per defensive action11.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level341.101.77
Ahead171.552.02
Behind392.031.38

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level442.191.33
Ahead351.960.69
Behind112.750.87

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.091–1
16–300.180.232–2
31–450.270.430–5
46–600.300.312–0
61–750.310.182–1
76–900.360.411–3

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.203–1
16–300.480.061–0
31–450.410.272–2
46–600.350.151–0
61–750.260.191–0
76–900.330.153–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWSallinger 8Kerr 8Passlack 2O'Hora 2Hanley 4Iredale 2Obita 4Ivezić 1Megwa 1Passlack 5Wright 1Megwa 1Mulligan 8Chaiwa 5Devaney 2Wright 1Mayor 5Wright 1Iredale 1Boyle 3Elding 2Šuto 1Lowe 4Šuto 2Boyle 1Klidje 3McGrath 2Wright 13-4-3 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (3), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 8Sterling 6Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 8Godfrey 1Makhanya 6Rommens 1Penrice 6Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 6Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 5Diomande 1Curtis 3Kim 2Naderi 1Kim 3Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 7Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 34-2-3-1 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
9 August 2026Rangers1–2HibernianxG 2.20–1.68
13 May 2026Rangers1–2HibernianxG 1.75–1.60
1 February 2026Hibernian0–0RangersxG 1.88–0.58
15 December 2025Rangers1–0HibernianxG 1.84–0.55
29 October 2025Hibernian0–1RangersxG 2.01–0.52
17 May 2025Hibernian2–2RangersxG 1.29–2.62

23 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 3, Rangers won 15, and 5 were drawn. Goals 22–43 and xG 1.01–1.96 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Passlack7644010.060.24
Mulligan8705010.140.09
Mayor5463100.060.17
Kerr8720000.130.03

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi4456410.770.18
Gassama7556020.340.17
Raskin6505000.220.12
Sterling6496000.010.28

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.