Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Rangers 1–0 St. Mirren

Wednesday 9 September 2026, 19:45 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 3 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 50,336

Rangers Miovski 90+1'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersSt. Mirren
Goals10
xG2.491.26
Expected Points2.180.61

Rangers 65%Draw 21%St. Mirren 13%

Most likely score 2–1, 15%. Final score 1–0, 3%.

St. Mirren goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+3%1%3%5%1%4%8%2%4%6%2%2%7%4%3%1%1%11%15%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTCurtis on for Kelsy and Kim on for Bouanani, 60'Devlin on for Raskin, 77'Miovski on for Gassama, 78'Chukwuani on for Neil, 84'Thomas on for Mochrie and Richardson on for Ramsay, 62'Young on for Agrafiotis and Sule on for Kabia, 77'De Barros on for John, 90+2'Miovski 90+1'Rangers 2.49St. Mirren 1.2601230153045607590HTCurtis on for Kelsy and Kim on for Bouanani, 60'Devlin on for Raskin, 77'Miovski on for Gassama, 78'Chukwuani on for Neil, 84'Thomas on for Mochrie and Richardson on for Ramsay, 62'Young on for Agrafiotis and Sule on for Kabia, 77'De Barros on for John, 90+2'Miovski 90+1'2.491.26RangersSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersSt. Mirren

2.49 +0.17xG1.26 −0.51
1.55 −0.17xG on target0.50 −1.33
18 −4Shots10 −6
6 −0.4Shots on target2 −3.0
3 0.0Big chances1 −1.8
38 −2Touches in the opposition box17 −12
54% −2Possession46% 0
517 +75Passes454 +38
83% +3Pass accuracy82% +2
60% −1Field tilt40% −9
53 +8Final-third entries28 −12
21 +2Box entries13 −2
10.4 −1Passes per defensive action14.5 −1
12 +4.8Corners0 −5.6
22 +5Tackles18 −4
13 +5.2Interceptions14 +4.0
17 −8Clearances36 +5
2 −0.2Saves6 +3.2
13 0Fouls13 +1
0 −1.0Offsides1 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Naderi 3', 0.42 xGBouanani 22', 0.25 xGRaskin 17', 0.20 xGKelsy 21', 0.19 xGNaderi 6', 0.13 xGFernandez 20', 0.12 xGGassama 22', 0.12 xGKelsy 52', 0.10 xGRaskin 21', 0.09 xGRaskin 45+1', 0.09 xGGassama 48', 0.09 xGKim 69', 0.08 xGNeil 45+1', 0.07 xGGassama 15', 0.05 xGGassama 28', 0.03 xGPenrice 56', 0.03 xGKelsy 41', 0.01 xGMiovski 90+1', 0.42 xG, goal29%0.73 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.73 xG, 0 goals55%1.36 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.36 xG, 1 goal2%0.06 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals14%0.34 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.34 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Taylor 66', 0.75 xGRamsay 10', 0.11 xGJohn 80', 0.08 xGAgrafiotis 46', 0.07 xGRamsay 59', 0.07 xGRamsay 33', 0.05 xGCarr 53', 0.04 xGAgrafiotis 73', 0.04 xGKabia 30', 0.02 xGSule 80', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals78%0.99 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.99 xG, 0 goals13%0.17 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals9%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersSt. Mirren

1.60 9 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.34 7 shots, 0 goals
0.09 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.75 1 shot, 0 goals
0.80 8 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.18 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
92 min (99%) · Rangers 2.49, St. Mirren 1.26 xG
Rangers ahead
1 min (1%) · Rangers 0.00, St. Mirren 0.00 xG

Line-ups

12137242943626202319PandurSterlingFernandezMakhanyaPenriceRaskinNeilBouananiNaderiGassamaKelsyYellow card77'84'60'78'60'Rangers 4-2-3-1Derek McInnes147613533238301925ChapmanRamsayJacksonGogićFieldsonJohnMochrieCarrTaylorKabiaAgrafiotisYellow card62'90+2'62'77'77'St. Mirren 5-4-1Craig McLeish

Rangers substitutes

  • 60' Curtis for Kelsy
  • 60' Kim for Bouanani
  • 77' Devlin for Raskin
  • 78' Miovski for Gassama · goal 90+1'
  • 84' Chukwuani for Neil

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 62' Richardson for Ramsay
  • 62' Thomas for Mochrie
  • 77' Sule for Kabia
  • 77' Young for Agrafiotis
  • 90+2' De Barros for John

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
PandurGK900.000.0000.0561
Sterling RB900.000.0100.0578
FernandezCB900.120.0100.0988
MakhanyaCB900.000.0700.0788
PenriceLB900.030.1020.28103
RaskinDM770.370.3720.10511
NeilDM840.070.0510.0553
BouananiRW600.250.8630.2983
NaderiAM9010.560.0810.1643
GassamaLW780.290.3510.36140
KelsyST600.310.022−0.0432
CurtisFW300.000.0000.0132
KimFW300.080.0100.0220
DevlinMF130.000.0200.0002
MiovskiFW1210.420.000−0.0110
ChukwuaniMF60.000.0000.0000

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ChapmanGK900.000.0000.0381
Ramsay RWB620.230.0000.0006
JacksonCB900.000.0000.03112
GogićCB900.000.0000.07512
FieldsonCB900.000.0100.08510
JohnLWB900.080.1410.2155
MochrieRM620.000.0910.1134
CarrCM900.040.0210.0449
TaylorCM900.750.2220.1561
KabiaLM770.020.0300.1171
AgrafiotisST770.110.051−0.0605
RichardsonMF280.000.0000.0113
ThomasFW280.000.2110.0214
SuleFW130.020.0000.0310
YoungFW130.000.0000.0000
De BarrosDF00.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Fernandez and Penrice: 5 passesPenrice and Kelsy: 5 passesNeil and Kelsy: 5 passesGassama and Kelsy: 5 passesNeil and Bouanani: 6 passesBouanani and Gassama: 6 passesSterling and Fernandez: 7 passesSterling and Bouanani: 7 passesMakhanya and Neil: 7 passesRaskin and Gassama: 7 passesNeil and Gassama: 7 passesBouanani and Naderi: 7 passesBouanani and Kelsy: 7 passesPenrice and Neil: 8 passesMakhanya and Raskin: 9 passesFernandez and Neil: 9 passesPandur and Makhanya: 11 passesFernandez and Raskin: 11 passesPandur and Fernandez: 12 passesRaskin and Bouanani: 12 passesRaskin and Neil: 13 passesSterling and Raskin: 18 passesPenrice and Gassama: 20 passesMakhanya and Fernandez: 21 passesMakhanya and Penrice: 21 passesPandur: 19 completed passesSterling: 30 completed passesMakhanya: 43 completed passesFernandez: 33 completed passesPenrice: 32 completed passesRaskin: 45 completed passesNeil: 33 completed passesBouanani: 25 completed passesNaderi: 8 completed passesGassama: 21 completed passesKelsy: 15 completed passes12124372943626202319PandurSterlingMakhanyaFernandezPenriceRaskinNeilBouananiNaderiGassamaKelsyStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

St. Mirren

Chapman and Gogić: 5 passesChapman and Taylor: 5 passesGogić and Jackson: 5 passesGogić and Agrafiotis: 5 passesMochrie and Kabia: 5 passesChapman and Agrafiotis: 6 passesFieldson and Carr: 6 passesJohn and Mochrie: 6 passesMochrie and Carr: 6 passesCarr and Agrafiotis: 6 passesTaylor and Agrafiotis: 6 passesJackson and Taylor: 7 passesRamsay and Taylor: 8 passesJohn and Kabia: 8 passesChapman and Fieldson: 9 passesFieldson and Kabia: 9 passesJohn and Taylor: 9 passesFieldson and Taylor: 10 passesGogić and Carr: 12 passesMochrie and Taylor: 12 passesGogić and Fieldson: 15 passesFieldson and John: 15 passesCarr and Taylor: 16 passesGogić and Taylor: 19 passesChapman: 22 completed passesRamsay: 15 completed passesGogić: 37 completed passesJackson: 15 completed passesFieldson: 36 completed passesJohn: 25 completed passesMochrie: 24 completed passesCarr: 25 completed passesTaylor: 50 completed passesKabia: 9 completed passesAgrafiotis: 14 completed passes147136533238301925ChapmanRamsayGogićJacksonFieldsonJohnMochrieCarrTaylorKabiaAgrafiotisStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
MakhanyaFernandez17
MakhanyaPenrice16
PenriceGassama16
NeilRaskin14
PenriceMakhanya14

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
TaylorGogić15
CarrTaylor13
JohnTaylor12
TaylorJohn11
JohnFieldson10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

4+1.210+6.27−3.21−8.20−5.210+6.411+4.64−1.03−3.83−5.08+3.411+6.49+5.09+3.05−0.49+4.613+10.84+1.02−0.83−1.07+3.63+1.61−0.60−1.81−2.01−1.21+0.62+1.01−0.60−1.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

St. Mirren

9+3.09−1.023+8.28+0.23−2.26−3.87−3.43−4.08+0.88−1.44−1.87+3.63−0.28+3.66+0.22−2.22−1.65+2.65+1.85+0.40−2.02+0.41−0.41−1.05+2.80−0.20−0.40−1.00−0.81+0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.010.010.010.010.020.020.040.010.010.010.050.050.040.020.050.050.040.020.100.050.040.080.02−0.02−0.080.290.260.27LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.030.010.020.020.010.010.020.030.050.010.010.040.040.060.04−0.060.050.190.24LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackRangers1.93 → 1.93St. Mirren1.15 → 1.13Defence (lower is better)Rangers1.01 → 1.00St. Mirren1.36 → 1.37

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title13%15%+2
St. Mirren
Top six60%57%−3
11th3%3%0
Bottom1%2%+1
Celtic
Title86%84%−2
St. Johnstone
Top six19%20%+1
11th15%15%0
Bottom16%16%0

From the forecast before the match (9 September 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersSt. Mirren
Expected goals2.260.77
Win71%11%
Expected Points2.310.51
Clean sheet46%10%

Rangers 71%Draw 19%St. Mirren 11%

Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 49%.

St. Mirren goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+5%3%1%9%3%4%7%3%5%4%2%2%2%1%1%10%12%10%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 9 September 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawSt. Mirren win
Rangers
Title13%15%10%9%
St. Mirren
Top six60%57%63%73%
11th3%3%3%1%
Bottom1%2%1%1%
Celtic
Title86%84%89%90%
St. Johnstone
Top six19%20%16%17%
11th15%15%15%13%
Bottom16%16%15%19%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  2. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00
  3. W1–030 AugAberdeen (A)xG 2.10–0.35
  4. L1–29 AugHibernian (H)xG 2.20–1.68
  5. D1–131 JulDundee United (A)xG 1.46–1.64
  6. W5–216 MayFalkirk (A)xG 2.54–2.46

St. Mirren

  1. L1–25 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.95–3.19
  2. W1–02 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.85–0.41
  3. D3–330 AugMotherwell (H)xG 2.92–2.45
  4. W1–08 AugSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.58–1.17
  5. W2–01 AugFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–0.55
  6. D1–117 MayDundee United (H)xG 1.02–0.50

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersSt. Mirren
Position4th3rd
Played55
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠1–⁠13–⁠1–⁠1
Points10 (2.00 per game)10 (2.00 per game)
Expected Points per game2.051.58
Goals6–⁠48–⁠5
xG per game2.32–⁠1.071.77–⁠1.55
Home: points, xG per game1.50, 3.25–⁠1.191.33, 2.15–⁠2.27
Away: points, xG per game2.33, 1.71–⁠1.003.00, 1.21–⁠0.48
ManagerDerek McInnes (5)Craig McLeish (14)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackRangers1.93, 2ndSt. Mirren1.15, 8thDefence (lower is better)Rangers1.01, 2ndSt. Mirren1.36, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepRangers attack: 1.93St. Mirren attack: 1.151.931.15St. MirrenRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepRangers defence: 1.01St. Mirren defence: 1.361.361.01

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+47%−45%−18%−25%
Counter-attacks+6%−24%+62%+37%
Set pieces+23%−15%−15%−20%
Penalties+69%−8%+54%+57%
Headers+17%−46%−36%−41%
Left side+48%−36%+3%−4%
Centre+35%−19%+4%−48%
Right side+23%−58%−28%+23%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+48%+23%Centre+35%−48%Right side+23%−4%Open play+47%−25%Counter-attacks+6%+37%Set pieces+23%−20%Headers+17%−41%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdRangers concededLeft side+3%−58%Centre+4%−19%Right side−28%−36%Open play−18%−45%Counter-attacks+62%−24%Set pieces−15%−15%Headers−36%−46%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersSt. Mirren

2.32xG1.77
1.07xG against1.55
56%Possession46%
22.0Shots16.0
9.6Shots against14.6
6.4Shots on target5.0
3.0Big chances2.8
39.6Touches in the opposition box29.0
442Passes416
81%Pass accuracy80%
7.2Corners5.6
61%Field tilt48%
44.8Final-third entries39.8
19.2Box entries15.2
11.6Passes per defensive action15.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level432.031.57
Ahead292.490.48
Behind182.750.87

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level262.331.87
Ahead511.401.23
Behind132.142.21

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.360.282–1
16–300.440.070–0
31–450.340.390–2
46–600.460.121–0
61–750.390.071–0
76–900.350.162–1

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.342–1
16–300.320.151–1
31–450.360.203–0
46–600.150.340–1
61–750.420.261–1
76–900.410.261–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 5Sterling 3Makhanya 1Nedeljkovic 1Fernandez 5Godfrey 1Makhanya 3Rommens 1Penrice 3Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 3Dragojevic 1Devlin 3Neil 2Diomande 1Curtis 3Yokota 1Naderi 1Kim 3Devlin 1Aasgaard 1Gassama 4Curtis 1Shankland 54-2-3-1 in 4 of 5 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (4), 3-5-2 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTChapman 5Ramsay 3Fraser 1Richardson 1Gogić 5Fraser 1Fieldson 4John 4Sule 1Carr 5Nsio 4Phillips 1Mochrie 2Ramos 2Richardson 1Nsio 1Mochrie 1Taylor 1Kabia 2Mochrie 1Taylor 1Agrafiotis 3Mochrie 1Sule 14-2-3-1 in 4 of 5 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (4), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
15 March 2026St. Mirren0–1RangersxG 0.19–2.08
30 December 2025Rangers2–1St. MirrenxG 1.89–1.71
24 August 2025St. Mirren1–1RangersxG 1.01–1.56
26 April 2025St. Mirren2–2RangersxG 1.90–1.27
22 February 2025Rangers0–2St. MirrenxG 0.81–1.49
26 December 2024St. Mirren2–1RangersxG 1.07–1.52

21 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 16, St. Mirren won 2, and 3 were drawn. Goals 46–14 and xG 1.92–0.65 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi6646210.670.10
Chermiti212,0521550.610.10
Miovski141,313710.450.12
Aasgaard221,916840.330.14

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Young5620200.230.09
John322,737250.040.22
Phillips393,358700.160.08
Taylor6483100.100.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.