Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
RangersHibernian
2.20 +0.74xG1.68 −0.26
2.20Non-penalty xG0.89
0.89 −0.49xG on target1.02 −0.62
27 +6Shots8 −11
9 +3.0Shots on target2 −4.0
4 +3.0Big chances3 0.0
54 +11Touches in the opposition box19 −16
75% +21Possession25% −23
658 +298Passes216 −228
89% +15Pass accuracy68% −19
88% +14Field tilt12% −52
92 +57Final-third entries25 −26
27 +10Box entries6 −8
6.5 −4Passes per defensive action22.9 +11
7 −3.0Corners3 −6.0
17 +5Tackles23 +2
5 −2.0Interceptions11 +2.0
10 −38Clearances43 +30
0 −2.0Saves8 +5.0
12 −2Fouls12 −2
0 −2.0Offsides0 −1.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Rangers
Hibernian
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
12'85'90+3'
0–00–11–1
0'HTFT
Level
20 min (21%) · Rangers 0.10, Hibernian 0.84 xG
Hibernian ahead
77 min (79%) · Rangers 2.10, Hibernian 0.84 xG
Line-ups
Rangers substitutes
36'Naderi for Chermiti
46'Diomande for Dragojevic
68'Aasgaard for Raskin
68'Gassama for Yokota
79'McCrorie for Curtis
Hibernian substitutes
57'Wright for Campbell · goal 90+3'
57'McGrath for Suto
57'Lowe for Klidje · 1 assist
76'Passlack for Megwa
89'Elding for Mayor
Players
Rangers
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Pandur
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
2
2
Makhanya
CB
90
0.00
0.06
0
0.19
16
5
Fernandez
CB
90
0.07
0.50
3
0.32
14
4
Rommens
CB
90
0.01
0.19
3
0.27
12
6
Yokota
RWB
68
0.06
0.52
1
0.31
6
1
Dragojevic
CM
46
0.03
0.12
0
0.13
3
2
Devlin
CM
90
0.03
0.07
0
0.01
3
7
Raskin
CM
68
0.56
0.06
0
0.01
3
1
Curtis
LWB
79
0.14
0.13
4
0.03
6
0
Shankland
ST
90
0.20
0.32
4
−0.03
2
0
Chermiti
ST
36
0.42
0.02
0
0.00
0
2
Naderi
FW
54
0.39
0.02
2
0.01
0
2
Diomande
MF
44
0.18
0.09
2
0.03
3
0
Aasgaard
MF
22
0.02
0.07
1
−0.09
2
0
Gassama
FW
22
0.08
0.19
1
0.36
4
0
McCrorie
MF
11
0.02
0.14
0
0.16
3
3
Hibernian
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Sallinger
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
8
0
Megwa
RWB
76
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
4
7
O'Hora
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
10
Kerr
CB
90
0.44
0.00
1
0.01
1
8
Obita
CB
90
0.00
0.42
1
0.23
6
13
Mayor
LWB
89
0.00
0.02
1
0.07
6
8
Suto
CM
57
0.16
0.02
0
0.02
1
6
Mulligan
CM
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
3
3
Chaiwa
CM
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
7
Campbell
ST
57
1
0.87
0.06
1
0.07
1
0
Klidje
ST
57
0.14
0.00
0
−0.02
0
1
Wright
MF
33
1
0.05
0.00
0
0.01
0
7
McGrath
MF
33
0.02
0.01
0
0.02
1
6
Lowe
FW
33
1
0.00
0.03
2
−0.01
1
0
Passlack
MF
14
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
7
Elding
FW
1
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
2
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Rangers
Hibernian
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Rangers
From
To
Passes
Fernandez
Rommens
20
Makhanya
Fernandez
19
Rommens
Fernandez
18
Rommens
Curtis
17
Devlin
Makhanya
15
Hibernian
From
To
Passes
Obita
Mayor
8
Kerr
Obita
8
Megwa
Mulligan
7
Mulligan
O'Hora
7
O'Hora
Kerr
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Rangers
Against its average of 1 match
Hibernian
Against its average of 1 match
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Rangers
Hibernian
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Rangers
Title
20%
13%
−7
Top six
99%
98%
−1
Hibernian
Title
<1%
1%
+1
Top six
67%
78%
+11
11th
2%
2%
0
Bottom
1%
1%
0
Celtic
Title
78%
85%
+7
From the forecast before the match (9 August 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Rangers
Hibernian
Expected goals
2.05
0.95
Win
62%
16%
Expected Points
2.09
0.70
Clean sheet
39%
13%
Rangers 62%Draw 21%Hibernian 16%
Most likely score 2–0, 11%. Both sides score 54%.
From the forecast as it stood on 9 August 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Rangers win
Draw
Hibernian win
Rangers
Title
20%
22%
16%
13%
Top six
99%
99%
99%
98%
Hibernian
Title
<1%
<1%
<1%
1%
Top six
67%
64%
68%
78%
11th
2%
3%
2%
2%
Bottom
1%
2%
1%
1%
Celtic
Title
78%
75%
81%
85%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Rangers
Hibernian
Position
8th
11th
Played
1
1
Won, drawn, lost
0–1–0
0–0–1
Points
1 (1.00 per game)
0 (0.00 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.19
1.14
Goals
1–1
1–2
xG per game
1.46–1.64
1.94–2.19
Home: points, xG per game
–
0.00, 1.94–2.19
Away: points, xG per game
1.00, 1.46–1.64
–
Manager
Derek McInnes (1)
David Gray (79)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Rangers
Hibernian
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+24%
−29%
−10%
−4%
Counter-attacks
+31%
+32%
+39%
+4%
Set pieces
+52%
+3%
+12%
−40%
Penalties
+4%
−10%
+66%
+6%
Headers
+41%
−20%
+2%
−40%
Left side
+52%
−8%
−6%
+44%
Centre
+32%
−10%
+5%
−31%
Right side
+14%
−23%
−4%
−30%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
RangersHibernian
1.46xG1.94
1.64xG against2.19
54%Possession48%
21.0Shots19.0
11.0Shots against9.0
6.0Shots on target6.0
1.0Big chances3.0
43.0Touches in the opposition box35.0
360Passes444
74%Pass accuracy86%
10.0Corners9.0
74%Field tilt64%
35.0Final-third entries51.0
17.0Box entries14.0
10.4Passes per defensive action11.9
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Rangers
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
72
0.98
2.00
Ahead
0
–
–
Behind
18
3.40
0.20
Hibernian
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
69
1.06
1.93
Ahead
0
–
–
Behind
21
4.84
3.00
xG by period
Rangers
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.29
0.10
0–0
16–30
0.08
0.04
0–0
31–45
0.24
0.88
0–1
46–60
0.52
0.06
1–0
61–75
0.00
0.00
0–0
76–90
0.33
0.56
0–0
Hibernian
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.08
0.00
0–0
16–30
0.02
0.08
0–0
31–45
0.03
0.88
0–1
46–60
1.05
0.56
1–0
61–75
0.00
0.00
0–0
76–90
0.76
0.67
0–1
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
Most used players by position
Rangers
Hibernian
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
22 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 15, Hibernian won 2, and 5 were drawn. Goals 42–20 and xG 1.95–0.98 per game.
Key players
Rangers
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
Chermiti
20
2,016
15
5
0.60
0.10
Naderi
6
506
1
1
0.51
0.07
Aasgaard
22
1,894
8
4
0.33
0.14
Rommens
9
804
1
2
0.10
0.31
Hibernian
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
Boyle
27
2,137
8
3
0.40
0.11
Elding
12
963
3
0
0.24
0.06
Passlack
14
1,201
2
3
0.17
0.11
Obita
20
1,910
1
5
0.03
0.19
Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.