Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

St. Johnstone 2–1 Hibernian

Sunday 6 September 2026, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 6 · Half-time 2–1 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 5,793

St. Johnstone Fowler 17', 41' (pen)

Hibernian Lowe 29'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Goals21
xG2.321.61
Non-penalty xG1.531.61
Expected Points1.910.84

St. Johnstone 56%Draw 24%Hibernian 20%

Most likely score 2–1, 13%. Final score 2–1, 13%.

Hibernian goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+3%6%5%2%6%5%2%5%5%1%1%3%3%1%13%12%10%9%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTFotheringham on for Gullan, 22'Cotterill on for Steven, 57'Todd on for Fowler, Tait on for Stanton, and Schmidt on for Fotheringham, 72'Šuto on for Boyle, 46'Megwa on for Lowe, Wright on for Devaney, and Klidje on for Hanley, 61'Cadden on for Mulligan, 75'Fowler 17'Fowler 41' (pen)Lowe 29'St. Johnstone 2.32Hibernian 1.6101230153045607590HTFotheringham on for Gullan, 22'Cotterill on for Steven, 57'Todd on for Fowler, Tait on for Stanton, and Schmidt on for Fotheringham, 72'Šuto on for Boyle, 46'Megwa on for Lowe, Wright on for Devaney, and Klidje on for Hanley, 61'Cadden on for Mulligan, 75'Fowler 17'Fowler 41' (pen)Lowe 29'2.321.61St. JohnstoneHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneHibernian

2.32 +0.93xG1.61 −0.24
1.53Non-penalty xG1.61
1.97 +0.45xG on target1.21 −0.06
9 −3Shots14 −3
4 +0.5Shots on target3 −1.8
4 +1.8Big chances2 −0.8
21 −1Touches in the opposition box26 −5
46% −8Possession54% +8
445 −58Passes505 +94
82% −1Pass accuracy82% +2
55% −6Field tilt45% −7
46 −2Final-third entries36 −9
11 −2Box entries13 −1
18.9 +3Passes per defensive action18.4 +4
2 −2.2Corners7 +1.0
15 +1Tackles13 −8
12 +4.5Interceptions6 0.0
33 +2Clearances14 −12
2 −1.5Saves2 −1.8
10 0Fouls13 −1
1 −0.5Offsides4 +2.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Fowler 51', 0.53 xGHolt 74', 0.12 xGStanton 59', 0.08 xGCotterill 86', 0.08 xGFowler 55', 0.05 xGAlić 89', 0.03 xGSmith 62', 0.02 xGFowler 17', 0.62 xG, goal76%1.16 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 1.16 xG, 1 goal10%0.15 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals3%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals10%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Šuto 50', 0.31 xGKlidje 77', 0.19 xGMegwa 70', 0.16 xGPasslack 20', 0.10 xGHanley 49', 0.09 xGKlidje 77', 0.09 xGKlidje 80', 0.07 xGMcGrath 48', 0.05 xGMulligan 6', 0.04 xGŠuto 70', 0.04 xGChaiwa 81', 0.04 xGWright 71', 0.03 xGChaiwa 66', 0.01 xGLowe 29', 0.40 xG, goal39%0.63 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 0.63 xG, 0 goals42%0.68 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.68 xG, 1 goal7%0.11 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals12%0.20 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneHibernian

1.31 5 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.93 9 shots, 0 goals
0.20 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.40 1 shot, 1 goal
0.02 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.29 4 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
29 min (32%) · St. Johnstone 1.41, Hibernian 0.04 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
61 min (68%) · St. Johnstone 0.91, Hibernian 1.57 xG

Line-ups

133532114287910StewardSmithMitchellDiabateAlićStantonMcAlearHoltStevenFowlerGullanYellow cardGoalGoal72'57'72'22'St. Johnstone 4-3-3Simo Valakari1256432410814179SallingerPasslackKerrHanleyMayorDevaneyBoyleMulliganChaiwaMcGrathLoweGoal61'61'46'75'61'Hibernian 4-1-4-1David Gray

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 22' Fotheringham for Gullan · off 72'
  • 57' Cotterill for Steven
  • 72' Tait for Stanton
  • 72' Todd for Fowler
  • 72' Schmidt for Fotheringham

Hibernian substitutes

  • 46' Šuto for Boyle
  • 61' Wright for Devaney
  • 61' Megwa for Lowe
  • 61' Klidje for Hanley
  • 75' Cadden for Mulligan

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StewardGK900.000.0000.0111
SmithRB900.020.0200.0037
MitchellCB900.000.0000.01118
DiabateCB900.000.0100.12107
AlićLB900.030.0610.1574
StantonCM720.080.0200.0014
McAlearCM900.000.0500.1256
HoltCM900.120.0310.0857
Steven RW570.000.4120.1962
FowlerST7221.990.0000.0211
GullanLW220.000.000−0.0101
FotheringhamFW500.000.010−0.0100
CotterillMF330.080.0100.0015
TaitMF180.000.0410.0112
ToddMF180.000.0000.0310
SchmidtFW180.000.0300.0300

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SallingerGK900.000.0000.0440
PasslackRB900.100.0200.0163
KerrCB900.000.0520.12127
HanleyCB610.090.0000.0523
MayorLB900.000.3920.3095
DevaneyDM610.000.0110.0013
BoyleRM460.000.0100.0010
MulliganCM750.040.0010.0222
ChaiwaCM9010.040.2420.0044
McGrathLM900.050.0310.0414
LoweST6110.400.0100.0910
ŠutoFW440.350.0000.0311
WrightMF290.030.0200.0210
MegwaMF290.160.0000.0232
KlidjeFW290.350.010−0.0100
CaddenMF150.000.0300.0920

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Steward and Mitchell: 3 passesMitchell and Stanton: 3 passesDiabate and McAlear: 3 passesSmith and McAlear: 4 passesSmith and Holt: 4 passesHolt and Gullan: 4 passesSmith and Mitchell: 5 passesMitchell and Holt: 5 passesSmith and Stanton: 6 passesAlić and McAlear: 6 passesStanton and Holt: 6 passesDiabate and Alić: 7 passesMcAlear and Holt: 7 passesSteward and Diabate: 11 passesSteward: 9 completed passesSmith: 12 completed passesMitchell: 11 completed passesDiabate: 17 completed passesAlić: 10 completed passesMcAlear: 13 completed passesStanton: 11 completed passesHolt: 16 completed passesSteven: 0 completed passesFowler: 3 completed passesGullan: 2 completed passes133532421187910StewardSmithMitchellDiabateAlićMcAlearStantonHoltStevenFowlerGullanStarters until 22' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

Sallinger and Devaney: 3 passesSallinger and Boyle: 3 passesPasslack and Chaiwa: 3 passesKerr and Mayor: 3 passesHanley and McGrath: 3 passesMayor and Devaney: 4 passesMayor and Mulligan: 4 passesDevaney and McGrath: 4 passesPasslack and Mulligan: 5 passesHanley and Chaiwa: 5 passesDevaney and Mulligan: 5 passesPasslack and Boyle: 6 passesDevaney and Boyle: 7 passesKerr and Devaney: 8 passesMayor and Chaiwa: 8 passesMayor and McGrath: 9 passesSallinger and Kerr: 10 passesPasslack and Devaney: 10 passesSallinger and Hanley: 13 passesHanley and Devaney: 17 passesKerr and Hanley: 20 passesHanley and Mayor: 20 passesPasslack and Kerr: 22 passesSallinger: 16 completed passesPasslack: 27 completed passesKerr: 34 completed passesHanley: 45 completed passesMayor: 27 completed passesDevaney: 31 completed passesBoyle: 11 completed passesChaiwa: 12 completed passesMulligan: 10 completed passesMcGrath: 10 completed passesLowe: 2 completed passes1256432410148179SallingerPasslackKerrHanleyMayorDevaneyBoyleChaiwaMulliganMcGrathLoweStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
StewardDiabate15
DiabateAlić15
DiabateSteward15
FotheringhamAlić15
AlićDiabate12

Hibernian

FromToPasses
KerrPasslack16
HanleyMayor15
PasslackKerr15
HanleyDevaney15
KerrHanley15

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

2−1.56−0.519+7.89+3.52−2.85−1.815+9.54−2.29+2.03−6.58+2.52−1.00−3.55−2.04−0.82−1.53+0.23+0.230.04−0.80−2.21−1.50−2.23+1.03+0.20−0.500.02+1.22+1.20−1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Hibernian

3−1.86−1.26+0.25−0.86−0.58+0.22−3.54−3.22−3.06+1.23−1.51−1.53−1.55+2.02−2.51−1.22−0.53+0.55+1.52−2.02−1.51−1.26+4.02−2.200.000.00−0.51+0.20−1.59−6.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.020.030.020.010.010.030.040.030.040.010.100.010.010.040.02−0.05−0.030.160.24LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.010.020.020.030.020.030.060.020.020.010.010.120.070.07−0.030.03−0.020.030.020.010.30LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Johnstone1.04 → 1.08Hibernian1.39 → 1.37Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.62 → 1.59Hibernian1.22 → 1.25

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six12%18%+6
11th18%17%−1
Bottom27%18%−9
Hibernian
Top six84%78%−6
11th<1%1%+1
Kilmarnock
Top six5%5%0
11th22%20%−2
Bottom28%31%+3
Falkirk
Top six16%16%0
11th14%15%+1
Bottom13%15%+2

From the forecast before the match (6 September 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Expected goals1.091.49
Win27%46%
Expected Points1.091.64
Clean sheet22%33%

St. Johnstone 27%Draw 27%Hibernian 46%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Hibernian goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%8%4%2%8%9%5%2%4%7%5%2%2%2%2%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 September 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawHibernian win
St. Johnstone
Top six12%18%11%8%
11th18%17%19%19%
Bottom27%18%27%31%
Hibernian
Top six84%78%83%89%
11th<1%1%1%<1%
Kilmarnock
Top six5%5%6%4%
11th22%20%22%23%
Bottom28%31%28%26%
Falkirk
Top six16%16%17%15%
11th14%15%13%14%
Bottom13%15%13%12%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–12 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.08–2.07
  2. L1–229 AugHearts (A)xG 1.28–2.20
  3. L0–18 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.17–1.58
  4. W4–32 AugKilmarnock (H)xG 2.03–0.92
  5. L0–218 MayDundee FC (H)xG 0.53–1.48
  6. L1–214 MayHearts (A)xG 0.94–0.79

Hibernian

  1. L1–33 SepHearts (H)xG 1.47–0.86
  2. W2–130 AugDundee FC (A)xG 2.33–1.03
  3. W2–19 AugRangers (A)xG 1.68–2.20
  4. L1–22 AugMotherwell (H)xG 1.94–2.19
  5. L0–116 MayMotherwell (H)xG 0.76–1.16
  6. W2–113 MayRangers (A)xG 1.60–1.75

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Position9th7th
Played44
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠1–⁠22–⁠0–⁠2
Points4 (1.00 per game)6 (1.50 per game)
Expected Points per game1.131.56
Goals6–⁠76–⁠7
xG per game1.39–⁠1.691.85–⁠1.57
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 2.03–⁠0.920.00, 1.71–⁠1.52
Away: points, xG per game0.33, 1.18–⁠1.953.00, 2.00–⁠1.62
ManagerSimo Valakari (35)David Gray (82)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Johnstone1.04, 12thHibernian1.39, 4thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.62, 11thHibernian1.22, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepSt. Johnstone attack: 1.04Hibernian attack: 1.391.391.04HibernianSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepSt. Johnstone defence: 1.62Hibernian defence: 1.221.621.22

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−19%+2%−3%−3%
Counter-attacks−31%−9%+17%−17%
Set pieces+9%−3%−2%−25%
Penalties+14%+14%+103%−2%
Headers−6%+33%−55%−11%
Left sideaverage−20%+8%+21%
Centre−9%−1%−4%−21%
Right side−38%+18%−6%−22%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHibernian concededLeft sideaverage−22%Centre−9%−21%Right side−38%+21%Open play−19%−3%Counter-attacks−31%−17%Set pieces+9%−25%Headers−6%−11%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+8%+18%Centre−4%−1%Right side−6%−20%Open play−3%+2%Counter-attacks+17%−9%Set pieces−2%−3%Headers−55%+33%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneHibernian

1.39xG1.85
1.69xG against1.57
54%Possession46%
12.0Shots17.2
12.0Shots against14.8
3.5Shots on target4.8
2.2Big chances2.8
22.2Touches in the opposition box31.0
502Passes411
83%Pass accuracy80%
4.2Corners6.0
61%Field tilt51%
47.9Final-third entries45.0
13.5Box entries14.0
15.4Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level521.291.83
Ahead81.422.13
Behind291.551.32

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level311.791.44
Ahead341.552.02
Behind242.381.09

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.210–1
16–300.160.251–0
31–450.200.390–2
46–600.490.202–2
61–750.100.271–1
76–900.340.372–1

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.260.151–1
16–300.170.111–0
31–450.470.430–2
46–600.390.262–0
61–750.280.111–1
76–900.290.511–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSteward 4Smith 3Todd 1Mitchell 4Diabate 4Alic 2Foulds 2Stanton 4McAlear 4Holt 4Paton 2Gullan 1Steven 1Fowler 3Gullan 3Paton 24-4-2 in 2 of 4 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2)

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWSallinger 4Kerr 4O'Hora 2Hanley 2Obita 4Passlack 3Megwa 1Mulligan 4Devaney 2Chaiwa 2Mayor 2Wright 1McGrath 1Boyle 2Suto 1Elding 1Lowe 3Campbell 1Boyle 1McGrath 1Wright 13-4-3 in 3 of 4 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (3), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
29 March 2025Hibernian3–0St. JohnstonexG 2.12–0.02
2 January 2025St. Johnstone1–1HibernianxG 0.96–2.27
14 September 2024Hibernian2–0St. JohnstonexG 1.61–0.25
27 April 2024St. Johnstone1–3HibernianxG 0.82–1.76
6 April 2024Hibernian1–2St. JohnstonexG 0.95–0.62
16 December 2023St. Johnstone1–0HibernianxG 0.94–0.10

18 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 5, Hibernian won 9, and 4 were drawn. Goals 13–25 and xG 0.55–1.45 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Klidje8811310.620.03
Campbell5768430.450.15
Boyle292,288930.420.13
Suto3530410.350.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.