Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee FC 1–2 Hibernian

Sunday 30 August 2026, 15:00 · Dens Park · Round 4 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 6,534

Dundee FC Westley 84'

Hibernian Boyle 25', Wright 61'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCHibernian
Goals12
xG1.032.33
Expected Points0.562.24

Dundee FC 12%Draw 20%Hibernian 68%

Most likely score 1–2, 13%. Final score 1–2, 13%.

Hibernian goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+2%7%7%4%1%2%5%2%1%4%7%5%2%1%2%1%9%10%13%10%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTForrest on for Reilly, 61'Robertson on for Fink, 62'Besir on for Finnigan and Wales on for J. Bevan, 75'Suto on for Lowe and Klidje on for Boyle, 78'Chaiwa on for Wright and Newell on for Devaney, 81'Westley 84'Boyle 25'Wright 61'Hibernian 2.33Dundee FC 1.0301230153045607590HTForrest on for Reilly, 61'Robertson on for Fink, 62'Besir on for Finnigan and Wales on for J. Bevan, 75'Suto on for Lowe and Klidje on for Boyle, 78'Chaiwa on for Wright and Newell on for Devaney, 81'Westley 84'Boyle 25'Wright 61'2.331.03Dundee FCHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCHibernian

1.03 −0.22xG2.33 +0.52
1.09 −0.03xG on target1.40 +0.07
11 −3Shots25 +12
3 −1.7Shots on target7 +3.0
1 −1.3Big chances4 +1.0
13 −7Touches in the opposition box38 +11
39% +1Possession61% +24
387 +75Passes611 +281
81% +13Pass accuracy87% +10
27% 0Field tilt73% +35
40 +15Final-third entries68 +30
9 +0.3Box entries24 +14.0
25.3 +11Passes per defensive action12.9 −2
3 −2.0Corners5 −1.0
11 −3Tackles20 −2
6 −8Interceptions2 −8
36 −6Clearances16 −12
5 +1.7Saves2 −3.5
8 −1.0Fouls14 +1.0
2 +1.3Offsides4 +3.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Fink 40', 0.15 xGWestley 80', 0.15 xGFink 47', 0.06 xGReilly 47', 0.05 xGJ. Bevan 74', 0.05 xGForrest 62', 0.04 xGHamilton 80', 0.04 xGHamilton 83', 0.04 xGReilly 7', 0.03 xGHamilton 87', 0.02 xGWestley 83', 0.38 xG, goal38%0.38 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.38 xG, 1 goal36%0.36 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.36 xG, 0 goals14%0.14 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals7%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals6%0.06 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Boyle 38', 0.40 xGMulligan 69', 0.16 xGWright 59', 0.11 xGMcGrath 72', 0.10 xGBoyle 66', 0.08 xGLowe 64', 0.06 xGMulligan 90+1', 0.06 xGKerr 10', 0.05 xGBoyle 18', 0.05 xGBoyle 36', 0.05 xGWright 57', 0.05 xGBoyle 64', 0.05 xGMcGrath 7', 0.04 xGBoyle 7', 0.04 xGMulligan 42', 0.04 xGMcGrath 49', 0.04 xGLowe 56', 0.04 xGMulligan 10', 0.03 xGMcGrath 64', 0.03 xGPasslack 78', 0.03 xGPasslack 31', 0.02 xGMcGrath 58', 0.02 xGWright 73', 0.02 xGBoyle 25', 0.59 xG, goalWright 61', 0.16 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals73%1.69 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.69 xG, 2 goals16%0.38 xGWide in the box: 9 shots, 0.38 xG, 0 goals11%0.26 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCHibernian

0.45 8 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.99 19 shots, 2 goals
0.15 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.24 3 shots, 0 goals
0.43 2 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.09 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
25 min (27%) · Dundee FC 0.03, Hibernian 0.80 xG
Hibernian ahead
66 min (73%) · Dundee FC 0.99, Hibernian 1.53 xG

Line-ups

1745384827211819GoodmanWrightAstleyO. BevanOdutayoFinniganHamiltonJ. BevanFinkReillyWestleyYellow cardGoal75'75'62'61'Dundee FC 4-2-3-1Steven Pressley16421258242310917SallingerKerrHanleyObitaPasslackMulliganDevaneyWrightBoyleLoweMcGrathYellow cardGoalGoal81'81'78'78'Hibernian 3-4-3David Gray

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 61' Forrest for Reilly
  • 62' Robertson for Fink
  • 75' Besir for Finnigan
  • 75' Wales for J. Bevan

Hibernian substitutes

  • 78' Suto for Lowe
  • 78' Klidje for Boyle
  • 81' Newell for Devaney
  • 81' Chaiwa for Wright

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GoodmanGK900.000.0000.0212
Wright RB900.000.1410.21511
AstleyCB900.000.0110.08813
O. BevanCB900.000.0000.02114
OdutayoLB900.000.0100.0749
FinniganDM750.000.0100.0216
HamiltonDM900.110.0100.0363
J. BevanRW750.050.0530.20100
FinkAM620.210.010−0.0102
ReillyLW610.090.0100.0232
WestleyST9010.530.0100.0201
ForrestMF290.040.0100.0740
RobertsonMF280.000.0200.0011
BesirMF150.000.0110.0010
WalesFW150.000.0000.0010

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SallingerGK900.000.0100.0732
KerrCB900.050.0500.25233
HanleyCB9010.000.2410.1187
ObitaCB900.000.0810.1546
Passlack RWB9010.050.2050.22114
MulliganCM900.290.0840.0476
DevaneyCM810.000.0420.01144
WrightLWB8110.350.0610.2292
BoyleRW7811.270.6610.3081
LoweST780.100.062−0.0930
McGrathLW900.230.0500.0176
SutoFW120.000.0010.0001
KlidjeFW120.000.000−0.0100
NewellMF90.000.0000.0210
ChaiwaMF90.000.000−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

Odutayo and Finnigan: 3 passesOdutayo and Westley: 3 passesFinnigan and Fink: 3 passesJ. Bevan and Westley: 3 passesReilly and Westley: 3 passesOdutayo and Fink: 4 passesGoodman and Odutayo: 5 passesWright and Astley: 5 passesWright and Hamilton: 5 passesAstley and J. Bevan: 5 passesWright and J. Bevan: 6 passesOdutayo and Reilly: 6 passesJ. Bevan and Fink: 6 passesGoodman and Astley: 7 passesAstley and Finnigan: 9 passesWright and Finnigan: 10 passesO. Bevan and Astley: 10 passesFinnigan and Hamilton: 11 passesO. Bevan and Hamilton: 14 passesOdutayo and Hamilton: 15 passesO. Bevan and Odutayo: 16 passesGoodman and O. Bevan: 18 passesGoodman: 21 completed passesWright: 18 completed passesO. Bevan: 32 completed passesAstley: 20 completed passesOdutayo: 26 completed passesFinnigan: 21 completed passesHamilton: 26 completed passesJ. Bevan: 8 completed passesFink: 6 completed passesReilly: 7 completed passesWestley: 7 completed passes1754384827211819GoodmanWrightO. BevanAstleyOdutayoFinniganHamiltonJ. BevanFinkReillyWestleyStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

Passlack and Wright: 7 passesObita and Mulligan: 7 passesDevaney and McGrath: 7 passesSallinger and Devaney: 8 passesPasslack and Devaney: 8 passesHanley and Mulligan: 9 passesDevaney and Boyle: 9 passesBoyle and Mulligan: 9 passesKerr and Boyle: 10 passesDevaney and Wright: 10 passesPasslack and Boyle: 12 passesPasslack and Mulligan: 12 passesKerr and Mulligan: 13 passesObita and Wright: 13 passesDevaney and Mulligan: 14 passesWright and McGrath: 14 passesSallinger and Hanley: 19 passesObita and Devaney: 19 passesSallinger and Kerr: 23 passesHanley and Devaney: 23 passesKerr and Devaney: 25 passesPasslack and Kerr: 26 passesObita and McGrath: 30 passesKerr and Hanley: 43 passesHanley and Obita: 62 passesSallinger: 24 completed passesPasslack: 39 completed passesKerr: 80 completed passesHanley: 88 completed passesObita: 74 completed passesDevaney: 66 completed passesBoyle: 25 completed passesWright: 29 completed passesMulligan: 36 completed passesMcGrath: 39 completed passesLowe: 9 completed passes12564212410238179SallingerPasslackKerrHanleyObitaDevaneyBoyleWrightMulliganMcGrathLoweStarters until 78' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
O. BevanOdutayo18
AstleyO. Bevan10
GoodmanO. Bevan10
OdutayoHamilton10
O. BevanGoodman9

Hibernian

FromToPasses
ObitaHanley40
HanleyKerr27
HanleyObita24
KerrHanley18
McGrathObita18

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

5+1.090.018−3.74+0.710+6.35−1.713+5.09−0.75−1.05−1.04−1.750.02−3.70−2.73−0.31−2.71−4.05+1.74+1.01−0.30−1.30−1.30−3.02+1.000.00−0.30−1.02+1.06−5.73−6.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 3 matches

Hibernian

1−5.015−2.53−5.04−1.56−2.560.09+5.54+1.05+1.54+2.59+6.53+1.55+2.52−0.54+1.520.01−3.55+0.56+2.51−0.53+1.54−1.000.000.000.01+0.51−1.03−6.53−7.03−7.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 2 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.010.010.040.010.010.030.030.020.020.010.010.050.050.030.030.040.070.04−0.010.020.02−0.01−0.010.21LessMore

Hibernian

0.020.010.010.020.080.020.020.030.060.050.040.050.080.03−0.070.080.040.070.08−0.16−0.060.220.170.200.21LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackDundee FC1.11 → 1.10Hibernian1.37 → 1.40Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.56 → 1.59Hibernian1.24 → 1.23

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
Top six27%20%−7
11th12%14%+2
Bottom9%11%+2
Hibernian
Top six77%85%+8
11th1%1%0
Bottom1%<1%−1

From the forecast before the match (30 August 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCHibernian
Expected goals1.191.41
Win31%41%
Expected Points1.211.52
Clean sheet24%30%

Dundee FC 31%Draw 27%Hibernian 41%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Hibernian goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+8%7%3%1%8%9%4%1%5%7%5%2%2%3%2%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 August 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawHibernian win
Dundee FC
Top six27%37%27%20%
11th12%9%13%14%
Bottom9%6%9%11%
Hibernian
Top six77%69%75%85%
11th1%2%2%1%
Bottom1%1%1%<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. W2–022 AugDundee United (A)xG 1.43–1.19
  2. W2–08 AugAberdeen (H)xG 1.83–0.72
  3. L0–13 AugCeltic (A)xG 0.49–2.26
  4. W3–217 MayAberdeen (H)xG 1.99–1.12
  5. L1–312 MayKilmarnock (A)xG 0.43–3.48
  6. W3–09 MayLivingston (H)xG 2.10–1.58

Hibernian

  1. W2–19 AugRangers (A)xG 1.68–2.20
  2. L1–22 AugMotherwell (H)xG 1.94–2.19
  3. L0–116 MayMotherwell (H)xG 0.76–1.16
  4. W2–113 MayRangers (A)xG 1.60–1.75
  5. W3–19 MayFalkirk (A)xG 1.10–0.63
  6. L1–23 MayCeltic (H)xG 0.36–2.81

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCHibernian
Position3rd8th
Played32
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠0–⁠11–⁠0–⁠1
Points6 (2.00 per game)3 (1.50 per game)
Expected Points per game1.341.09
Goals4–⁠13–⁠3
xG per game1.25–⁠1.391.81–⁠2.20
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 1.83–⁠0.720.00, 1.94–⁠2.19
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 0.96–⁠1.723.00, 1.68–⁠2.20
ManagerSteven Pressley (41)David Gray (80)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackDundee FC1.11, 11thHibernian1.37, 4thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.56, 10thHibernian1.24, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugDundee FC attack: 1.11Hibernian attack: 1.371.371.11HibernianDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugDundee FC defence: 1.56Hibernian defence: 1.241.561.24

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−21%+17%−23%+12%
Counter-attacks−63%−30%+21%−2%
Set pieces−7%−2%+20%−30%
Penalties−46%−37%+110%−1%
Headers−26%+25%−18%−36%
Left side−28%+10%−23%+48%
Centre−17%−6%+4%−24%
Right side−30%+23%−15%−5%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHibernian concededLeft side−28%−5%Centre−17%−24%Right side−30%+48%Open play−21%+12%Counter-attacks−63%−2%Set pieces−7%−30%Headers−26%−36%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdDundee FC concededLeft side−23%+23%Centre+4%−6%Right side−15%+10%Open play−23%+17%Counter-attacks+21%−30%Set pieces+20%−2%Headers−18%+25%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCHibernian

1.25xG1.81
1.39xG against2.20
38%Possession36%
14.3Shots13.5
17.3Shots against18.0
4.7Shots on target4.0
2.3Big chances3.0
19.7Touches in the opposition box27.0
312Passes330
68%Pass accuracy77%
5.0Corners6.0
28%Field tilt38%
25.0Final-third entries38.0
8.7Box entries10.0
14.7Passes per defensive action15.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level350.541.72
Ahead432.071.10
Behind130.401.47

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level431.731.65
Ahead361.042.59
Behind104.843.00

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.321–0
16–300.170.080–0
31–450.220.141–0
46–600.210.202–1
61–750.370.350–0
76–900.160.290–0

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.430.101–0
16–300.010.170–0
31–450.430.670–1
46–600.520.461–0
61–750.000.110–0
76–900.420.671–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTGoodman 3Wright 3Astley 3O. Bevan 3Odutayo 3Finnigan 3Hamilton 3J. Bevan 3Westley 2Murray 1Reilly 3Westley 1Forrest 1Murray 14-2-3-1 in 2 of 3 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-4-2 (1)

Hibernian

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTSallinger 2Megwa 1Passlack 1O'Hora 2Kerr 2Obita 2Mayor 2Suto 1Elding 1Mulligan 2Chaiwa 2Campbell 1Lowe 1Klidje 1Boyle 15-3-2 in 1 of 2 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
28 February 2026Dundee FC3–3HibernianxG 0.92–1.74
22 November 2025Hibernian2–0Dundee FCxG 2.26–0.56
3 August 2025Dundee FC1–2HibernianxG 0.13–1.42
13 April 2025Hibernian4–0Dundee FCxG 2.00–0.14
23 November 2024Dundee FC4–1HibernianxG 2.22–0.76
24 August 2024Hibernian2–2Dundee FCxG 0.88–0.84

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 2, Hibernian won 6, and 5 were drawn. Goals 17–22 and xG 0.78–1.51 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Hay121,374410.300.09
Reilly5532120.260.12
Murray262,083700.300.05
Westley211,601520.220.10

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Klidje8792310.630.04
Campbell5768430.450.15
Boyle272,137830.400.11
Suto3501410.350.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.