Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Aberdeen 0–1 Rangers

Sunday 30 August 2026, 12:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 4 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Matthew MacDermid · Attendance 18,343

Rangers Shankland 69' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenRangers
Goals01
xG0.352.10
Non-penalty xG0.351.31
Expected Points0.212.65

Aberdeen 3%Draw 13%Rangers 84%

Most likely score 0–2, 24%. Final score 0–1, 19%.

Rangers goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+4%15%6%2%1%8%9%6%2%1%1%19%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTArmstrong on for Yogane, 46'Smith on for Ntelo, 63'Mouloua on for Ronan, 75'Nedeljkovic on for Kim and Yokota on for Penrice, 72'Naderi on for Shankland and Godfrey on for Curtis, 86'Shankland 69' (pen)Rangers 2.10Aberdeen 0.3501230153045607590HTArmstrong on for Yogane, 46'Smith on for Ntelo, 63'Mouloua on for Ronan, 75'Nedeljkovic on for Kim and Yokota on for Penrice, 72'Naderi on for Shankland and Godfrey on for Curtis, 86'Shankland 69' (pen)2.100.35AberdeenRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenRangers

0.35 −1.34xG2.10 +0.27
0.35Non-penalty xG1.31
0.10 −1.30xG on target1.92 +0.78
9 −1Shots20 −4
1 −2.0Shots on target5 −2.5
1 −1.0Big chances1 −1.5
20 −4Touches in the opposition box27 −22
44% −8Possession56% −8
289 −92Passes378 −131
74% +1Pass accuracy81% 0
49% −2Field tilt51% −30
28 −14Final-third entries32 −32
8 −4Box entries11 −11
11.8 +0.6Passes per defensive action13.4 +5.0
6 +2.0Corners6 −2.5
17 0Tackles13 −2
2 −5.5Interceptions4 −2.0
30 −9Clearances27 −2
3 −1.0Saves1 0.0
21 +10Fouls15 +2
4 +1.5Offsides2 +1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Nisbet 10', 0.10 xGHappe 2', 0.06 xGNtelo 3', 0.04 xGNisbet 38', 0.04 xGArmstrong 47', 0.03 xGRonan 29', 0.02 xGNisbet 51', 0.02 xGHappe 59', 0.02 xGCadden 36', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals46%0.16 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals17%0.06 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals31%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals6%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Shankland 52', 0.23 xGFernandez 33', 0.19 xGKim 38', 0.17 xGGassama 26', 0.12 xGNedeljkovic 90+1', 0.08 xGShankland 39', 0.07 xGKim 8', 0.06 xGGassama 5', 0.05 xGShankland 27', 0.05 xGGassama 49', 0.05 xGPenrice 24', 0.04 xGCurtis 32', 0.04 xGCurtis 12', 0.03 xGKim 19', 0.03 xGKim 56', 0.03 xGNeil 40', 0.02 xGCurtis 42', 0.02 xGGassama 82', 0.02 xGGassama 56', 0.01 xG20%0.26 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals46%0.60 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.60 xG, 0 goals9%0.12 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals18%0.24 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals7%0.09 xGFurther out: 4 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenRangers

0.12 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.34 8 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.44 3 shots, 0 goals
0.22 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.53 8 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
69 min (76%) · Aberdeen 0.35, Rangers 2.01 xG
Rangers ahead
22 min (24%) · Aberdeen 0.00, Rangers 0.10 xG

Line-ups

272823262425323120715MüllerCaddenMayoHappeGuinness-WalkerRonanAremuNteloOlusanyaYoganeNisbetYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card75'63'46'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Stephen Robinson1213724291465210237PandurSterlingFernandezMakhanyaPenriceDevlinNeilCurtisKimGassamaShanklandYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal72'86'72'86'Rangers 4-2-3-1Derek McInnes

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 46' Armstrong for Yogane
  • 63' Smith for Ntelo
  • 75' Mouloua for Ronan

Rangers substitutes

  • 72' Nedeljkovic for Kim
  • 72' Yokota for Penrice
  • 86' Godfrey for Curtis
  • 86' Naderi for Shankland

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MüllerGK900.000.0000.0530
Cadden RB900.010.0300.0548
Mayo CB900.000.0000.03211
Happe CB900.070.0200.0937
Guinness-WalkerLB900.000.2210.2847
Ronan DM750.020.1020.0203
Aremu DM900.000.0400.06710
NteloRW630.040.0100.0203
Olusanya AM900.000.0110.0151
YoganeLW460.000.000−0.0120
NisbetST900.170.011−0.1123
ArmstrongMF440.030.0520.0012
SmithFW270.000.0000.0310
MoulouaFW150.000.0100.0101

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
PandurGK900.000.0000.0101
Sterling RB900.000.0500.0645
FernandezCB900.190.0000.0339
MakhanyaCB900.000.0000.0325
PenriceLB720.040.1810.0248
Devlin DM900.000.1020.1058
NeilDM900.020.0200.0354
Curtis RW860.090.0610.1094
KimAM720.290.0930.1041
GassamaLW900.250.1530.2340
ShanklandST8611.140.0200.0001
NedeljkovicDF180.080.0000.0011
YokotaFW180.000.031−0.0500
GodfreyDF40.000.0000.0001
NaderiFW40.000.0900.0500

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Müller and Happe: 3 passesMüller and Olusanya: 3 passesCadden and Yogane: 3 passesMayo and Ronan: 3 passesGuinness-Walker and Ronan: 3 passesRonan and Ntelo: 3 passesRonan and Yogane: 3 passesAremu and Olusanya: 3 passesAremu and Nisbet: 3 passesNtelo and Nisbet: 3 passesYogane and Nisbet: 3 passesRonan and Nisbet: 4 passesCadden and Mayo: 5 passesHappe and Mayo: 5 passesAremu and Ntelo: 5 passesHappe and Guinness-Walker: 6 passesGuinness-Walker and Nisbet: 6 passesHappe and Ronan: 7 passesGuinness-Walker and Aremu: 7 passesCadden and Ronan: 8 passesRonan and Aremu: 9 passesMüller: 8 completed passesCadden: 11 completed passesHappe: 12 completed passesMayo: 9 completed passesGuinness-Walker: 16 completed passesRonan: 21 completed passesAremu: 21 completed passesNtelo: 7 completed passesOlusanya: 4 completed passesYogane: 6 completed passesNisbet: 8 completed passes272826232425323120715MüllerCaddenHappeMayoGuinness-WalkerRonanAremuNteloOlusanyaYoganeNisbetStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Rangers

Sterling and Kim: 4 passesNeil and Gassama: 4 passesFernandez and Curtis: 5 passesDevlin and Shankland: 5 passesKim and Gassama: 5 passesKim and Shankland: 5 passesPenrice and Devlin: 6 passesPenrice and Gassama: 7 passesDevlin and Curtis: 7 passesDevlin and Kim: 7 passesFernandez and Neil: 8 passesPenrice and Kim: 8 passesSterling and Fernandez: 10 passesMakhanya and Devlin: 10 passesCurtis and Kim: 10 passesSterling and Devlin: 12 passesMakhanya and Neil: 13 passesFernandez and Devlin: 14 passesSterling and Curtis: 15 passesPandur and Makhanya: 16 passesDevlin and Neil: 18 passesMakhanya and Penrice: 19 passesPandur and Fernandez: 20 passesMakhanya and Fernandez: 24 passesPandur: 26 completed passesSterling: 23 completed passesMakhanya: 45 completed passesFernandez: 43 completed passesPenrice: 23 completed passesDevlin: 49 completed passesNeil: 29 completed passesCurtis: 16 completed passesKim: 21 completed passesGassama: 9 completed passesShankland: 7 completed passes1212437291465210237PandurSterlingMakhanyaFernandezPenriceDevlinNeilCurtisKimGassamaShanklandStarters until 72' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
AremuGuinness-Walker7
Guinness-WalkerNisbet6
CaddenRonan6
RonanCadden6
RonanAremu6

Rangers

FromToPasses
PandurFernandez18
FernandezMakhanya14
DevlinNeil13
MakhanyaFernandez12
MakhanyaPenrice11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

8+2.010+0.515−4.58−3.54−1.58+2.59+6.040.060.05−3.07+2.57+5.51−3.54−2.05−1.55+3.04+0.51−1.02−4.05+2.51−0.50−2.53+3.00−2.51+0.52+1.51+1.01+0.50−2.01−5.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 2 matches

Rangers

30.02−4.012+0.59−1.58+5.51−1.55−1.05−1.511+6.511+5.54−0.56+1.55+2.03−4.03−3.54−2.01−2.05+2.52+0.54+1.50−4.52+1.510.010.00−2.00−4.00−0.52+1.01−1.01+0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 2 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.030.010.010.020.010.010.010.020.010.030.020.020.020.040.020.010.010.03−0.020.040.010.01−0.110.070.22LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.010.010.020.050.010.020.020.060.030.030.010.010.040.010.060.020.07−0.050.080.080.10LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackAberdeen1.16 → 1.14Rangers1.87 → 1.89Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.48 → 1.50Rangers1.07 → 1.04

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six29%24%−5
11th11%13%+2
Bottom8%10%+2
Rangers
Title9%10%+1
Top six98%99%+1
Celtic
Title90%88%−2
Dundee United
Top six20%21%+1
11th13%12%−1
Bottom9%9%0

From the forecast before the match (30 August 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenRangers
Expected goals1.071.84
Win21%55%
Expected Points0.881.88
Clean sheet16%34%

Aberdeen 21%Draw 24%Rangers 55%

Most likely score 1–1, 11%. Both sides score 56%.

Rangers goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+6%6%3%1%5%6%3%1%3%6%5%3%1%1%2%2%1%9%9%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 August 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawRangers win
Aberdeen
Top six29%40%29%24%
11th11%7%11%13%
Bottom8%5%8%10%
Rangers
Title9%5%8%10%
Top six98%97%98%99%
Celtic
Title90%93%90%88%
Dundee United
Top six20%18%20%21%
11th13%15%13%12%
Bottom9%9%9%9%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. L0–28 AugDundee FC (A)xG 0.72–1.83
  2. W2–11 AugHearts (H)xG 2.66–1.83
  3. L2–317 MayDundee FC (A)xG 1.12–1.99
  4. L0–212 MaySt. Mirren (H)xG 0.53–1.50
  5. W2–09 MayDundee United (H)xG 2.17–0.79
  6. D2–21 MayLivingston (A)xG 0.86–1.56

Rangers

  1. L1–29 AugHibernian (H)xG 2.20–1.68
  2. D1–131 JulDundee United (A)xG 1.46–1.64
  3. W5–216 MayFalkirk (A)xG 2.54–2.46
  4. L1–213 MayHibernian (H)xG 1.75–1.60
  5. L1–310 MayCeltic (A)xG 0.94–1.08
  6. L1–24 MayHearts (A)xG 0.82–0.76

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenRangers
Position9th10th
Played22
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠0–⁠10–⁠1–⁠1
Points3 (1.50 per game)1 (0.50 per game)
Expected Points per game1.291.45
Goals2–⁠32–⁠3
xG per game1.69–⁠1.831.83–⁠1.66
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 2.66–⁠1.830.00, 2.20–⁠1.68
Away: points, xG per game0.00, 0.72–⁠1.831.00, 1.46–⁠1.64
ManagerStephen Robinson (11)Derek McInnes (2)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackAberdeen1.16, 9thRangers1.87, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.48, 8thRangers1.07, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugAberdeen attack: 1.16Rangers attack: 1.871.871.16RangersAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugAberdeen defence: 1.48Rangers defence: 1.071.481.07

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−36%−3%+32%−39%
Counter-attacks−30%+49%+10%+27%
Set pieces+46%+42%+46%+13%
Penalties+14%−52%−16%+38%
Headers+48%−4%+32%−33%
Left side−17%+2%+61%−16%
Centre−15%+9%+27%−8%
Right side−11%+45%+16%−37%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdRangers concededLeft side−17%−37%Centre−15%−8%Right side−11%−16%Open play−36%−39%Counter-attacks−30%+27%Set pieces+46%+13%Headers+48%−33%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdAberdeen concededLeft side+61%+45%Centre+27%+9%Right side+16%+2%Open play+32%−3%Counter-attacks+10%+49%Set pieces+46%+42%Headers+32%−4%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenRangers

1.69xG1.83
1.83xG against1.66
52%Possession64%
10.0Shots24.0
19.5Shots against9.5
3.0Shots on target7.5
2.0Big chances2.5
24.5Touches in the opposition box48.5
380Passes509
73%Pass accuracy81%
4.0Corners8.5
51%Field tilt81%
42.5Final-third entries63.5
12.5Box entries22.0
11.2Passes per defensive action8.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level222.581.78
Ahead0––
Behind681.401.85

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level440.892.47
Ahead0––
Behind462.750.87

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.000.110–1
16–300.100.340–0
31–450.110.480–1
46–600.010.190–1
61–750.300.270–0
76–901.160.442–0

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.250.440–1
16–300.170.020–0
31–450.350.850–1
46–600.450.031–0
61–750.110.000–0
76–900.500.311–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMüller 2Cadden 1Lyons 1Guinness-Wal… 1Guinness-WalkerMayo 1Happe 2Cadden 1Guinness-Wal… 1Guinness-WalkerAremu 2Armstrong 1Ronan 1Mayo 1Olusanya 1Olusanya 1Briedl 1Nisbet 1Yogane 1Yogane 1Nisbet 14-2-3-1 in 1 of 2 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Rangers

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTPandur 2Makhanya 1Sterling 1Fernandez 2Godfrey 1Rommens 1Yokota 1Naderi 1Devlin 2Dragojevic 1Aasgaard 1Raskin 1Diomande 1Curtis 1Gassama 1Shankland 2Rommens 1Chermiti 13-5-2 in 1 of 2 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
21 March 2026Rangers4–1AberdeenxG 1.61–0.68
11 January 2026Aberdeen0–2RangersxG 0.32–1.94
6 January 2026Rangers2–0AberdeenxG 1.81–1.05
11 May 2025Rangers4–0AberdeenxG 2.60–0.57
13 April 2025Aberdeen2–2RangersxG 2.44–1.18
15 January 2025Rangers3–0AberdeenxG 3.34–0.29

21 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 3, Rangers won 14, and 4 were drawn. Goals 19–45 and xG 0.95–2.06 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet282,4231110.370.08
Armstrong252,188250.140.19
Olusanya131,218220.230.06
Aremu11756110.020.07

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Chermiti212,0521550.610.10
Naderi6560110.520.07
Aasgaard221,916840.330.14
Gassama272,494350.210.18

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.