Matches › 2025/26

Rangers 1–0 Hibernian

Monday 15 December 2025, 19:45 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 17 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 50,226

Rangers Fernandez 35'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Rangers	Hibernian
Goals	1	0
xG	1.84	0.55
Expected Points	2.31	0.47

Rangers 70%Draw 22%Hibernian 9%

Most likely score 2–0, 17%. Final score 1–0, 17%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersHibernian

1.84 +0.33xG0.55 −1.28

2.30 +0.38xG on target0.05 −1.57

19 +4Shots8 −5

8 +2.7Shots on target3 −2.2

3 +0.9Big chances1 −1.8

28 0Touches in the opposition box17 −7

52% −11Possession48% 0

413 −116Passes386 −17

87% +2Pass accuracy82% +1

71% +3Field tilt29% −18

53 0Final-third entries26 −9

13 −3Box entries4 −7

11.4 +1Passes per defensive action11.3 −7

5 −1.5Corners5 −0.4

15 −1Tackles19 +8

10 +2.5Interceptions7 −0.6

32 +7Clearances20 −7

2 −0.8Saves7 +3.9

17 +5Fouls14 +3

2 +0.6Offsides4 +2.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Rangers

Hibernian

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersHibernian

0.80 13 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.04 2 shots, 0 goals

0.44 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.60 5 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.51 6 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–0

Level: 35 min (37%) · Rangers 0.78, Hibernian 0.32 xG
Rangers ahead: 60 min (63%) · Rangers 1.06, Hibernian 0.22 xG

Line-ups

Rangers substitutes

60' Nsiala for Aarons
61' Tavernier for Sterling
69' Aasgaard for Moore
69' Gassama for Curtis
77' Raskin for Barron

Hibernian substitutes

57' Newell for McGrath
57' Chaiwa for Barlaser
69' Boyle for Cadden
69' Klidje for Youan
76' Hoilett for Iredale

Players

Rangers

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Butland	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.05	3	2
Sterling	RB	61		1	0.00	0.24	2	0.43	11	9
Djiga	CB	90			0.28	0.00	0	0.01	0	10
Fernandez	CB	90	1		0.23	0.00	0	0.02	4	11
Meghoma	LB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.06	3	3
Barron	DM	77			0.00	0.14	3	0.03	2	2
Aarons	RM	60			0.00	0.02	1	0.03	3	7
Moore	CM	69			0.17	0.07	1	0.13	5	1
Diomande	CM	90			0.52	0.03	0	0.06	4	2
Curtis	LM	69			0.09	0.17	1	0.07	1	3
Chermiti	ST	90			0.41	0.01	1	0.06	1	4
Nsiala	DF	30			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	4
Tavernier	DF	29			0.02	0.04	1	0.03	1	1
Aasgaard	MF	21			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Gassama	FW	21			0.02	0.15	2	0.14	5	1
Raskin	MF	13			0.08	0.00	0	0.08	2	0

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Sallinger	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	0	0
O'Hora	CB	90	0.12	0.01	0	0.03	3	8
Hanley	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	8
Iredale	CB	76	0.00	0.01	0	0.05	2	8
Cadden	RWB	69	0.00	0.00	0	0.04	5	6
Mulligan	CM	90	0.02	0.02	0	0.04	3	4
Barlaser	CM	57	0.00	0.01	1	0.01	0	3
Obita	LWB	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.06	6	8
McGrath	AM	57	0.00	0.19	2	0.07	1	5
Youan	ST	69	0.21	0.01	0	−0.01	5	0
Bowie	ST	90	0.02	0.05	0	0.04	2	2
Newell	MF	33	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	1	1
Chaiwa	MF	33	0.00	0.01	1	0.02	1	0
Boyle	FW	21	0.03	0.00	0	0.01	2	0
Klidje	FW	21	0.15	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
Hoilett	MF	14	0.00	0.09	1	0.15	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Hibernian

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

From	To	Passes
Meghoma	Curtis	15
Sterling	Djiga	11
Sterling	Aarons	10
Sterling	Moore	9
Djiga	Sterling	9

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Hanley	O'Hora	12
Iredale	Obita	10
O'Hora	Hanley	10
Hanley	Iredale	9
O'Hora	Cadden	8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

Against its average of 15 matches

Hibernian

Against its average of 16 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

Hibernian

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Rangers
Title	3%	4%	+1
Hibernian
Title	<1%	<1%	0
Top six	96%	95%	−1

From the forecast before the match (15 December 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Rangers	Hibernian
Expected goals	1.73	1.05
Win	53%	23%
Expected Points	1.83	0.92
Clean sheet	35%	18%

Rangers 53%Draw 25%Hibernian 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 54%.

From the forecast as it stood on 15 December 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Rangers win	Draw	Hibernian win
Rangers
Title	3%	4%	3%	2%
Hibernian
Title	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%
Top six	96%	95%	97%	98%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

Hibernian

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Rangers	Hibernian
Position	4th	5th
Played	15	16
Won, drawn, lost	6–⁠8–⁠1	6–⁠6–⁠4
Points	26 (1.73 per game)	24 (1.50 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.59	1.88
Goals	22–⁠13	27–⁠18
xG per game	1.51–⁠1.07	1.83–⁠1.12
Home: points, xG per game	1.43, 1.41–⁠0.90	1.50, 2.25–⁠0.87
Away: points, xG per game	2.00, 1.60–⁠1.23	1.50, 1.41–⁠1.37
Manager	Danny Röhl (7)	David Gray (56)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Rangers		Hibernian
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+30%	−39%	+8%	average
Counter-attacks	−32%	−18%	+117%	−4%
Set pieces	−11%	+19%	+26%	−55%
Penalties	+11%	−26%	+108%	−31%
Headers	+5%	−1%	+17%	−28%
Left side	+42%	−18%	+44%	+13%
Centre	+5%	−22%	+28%	−23%
Right side	−7%	−18%	+4%	−29%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdHibernian concededLeft side+42%−29%Centre+5%−23%Right side−7%+13%Open play+30%averageCounter-attacks−32%−4%Set pieces−11%−55%Headers+5%−28%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdRangers concededLeft side+44%−18%Centre+28%−22%Right side+4%−18%Open play+8%−39%Counter-attacks+117%−18%Set pieces+26%+19%Headers+17%−1%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersHibernian

1.51xG1.83

1.07xG against1.12

63%Possession48%

14.9Shots12.7

10.4Shots against10.5

5.3Shots on target5.2

2.1Big chances2.8

28.1Touches in the opposition box24.2

530Passes403

85%Pass accuracy80%

6.5Corners5.4

68%Field tilt47%

52.9Final-third entries35.2

15.8Box entries10.9

10.7Passes per defensive action18.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	43	1.63	0.88
Ahead	33	0.88	1.26
Behind	14	2.66	1.21

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	40	1.48	1.19
Ahead	32	1.99	1.14
Behind	18	2.34	0.94

xG by period

Rangers

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.19	0.10	6–1
16–30	0.24	0.20	3–2
31–45	0.26	0.10	2–2
46–60	0.19	0.18	2–1
61–75	0.24	0.22	1–5
76–90	0.39	0.28	8–2

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.24	0.08	2–2
16–30	0.28	0.24	7–4
31–45	0.29	0.26	5–5
46–60	0.47	0.13	6–2
61–75	0.23	0.10	1–2
76–90	0.32	0.31	6–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (10), 3-4-3 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-5-2 (1)

Hibernian

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (6), 3-1-4-2 (4), 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-4-3 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
29 October 2025	Hibernian	0–1	Rangers	xG 2.01–0.52
17 May 2025	Hibernian	2–2	Rangers	xG 1.29–2.62
5 April 2025	Rangers	0–2	Hibernian	xG 1.36–0.52
5 January 2025	Hibernian	3–3	Rangers	xG 1.89–1.83
29 September 2024	Rangers	1–0	Hibernian	xG 1.78–2.16
30 March 2024	Rangers	3–1	Hibernian	xG 2.82–0.50

19 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 14, Hibernian won 1, and 4 were drawn. Goals 40–18 and xG 2.04–0.92 per game.

Key players

Rangers

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Tavernier	11	1,082	4	3	0.22	0.25
Miovski	10	808	3	1	0.37	0.09
Gassama	13	1,171	1	1	0.26	0.15
Danilo	6	505	2	0	0.27	0.12

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Klidje	5	521	2	1	0.69	0.05
Boyle	12	990	4	0	0.55	0.10
Bowie	14	1,164	6	3	0.36	0.16
McGrath	13	1,094	5	2	0.30	0.19

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.