Matches › 2026/27

Celtic 0–1 Rangers

Sunday 20 September 2026, 12:00 · Celtic Park · Round 7 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 59,650

Rangers Naderi 33'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Celtic	Rangers
Goals	0	1
xG	0.39	1.81
Expected Points	0.32	2.49

Celtic 5%Draw 18%Rangers 77%

Most likely score 0–2, 23%. Final score 0–1, 21%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticRangers

0.39 −2.76xG1.81 −0.54

0.46 −2.83xG on target1.56 −0.13

5 −18Shots15 −6

1 −8.5Shots on target8 +1.7

1 −5.2Big chances3 0.0

18 −21Touches in the opposition box28 −11

55% −7Possession45% −10

433 −194Passes362 −93

74% −15Pass accuracy69% −12

44% −28Field tilt56% −5

40 −23Final-third entries47 +1

9 −16Box entries14 −6

9.6 −4Passes per defensive action11.6 0

8 −1.7Corners4 −4.0

27 +13Tackles19 +2

8 −0.3Interceptions9 +0.3

35 +11Clearances35 +11

6 +3.0Saves1 −1.2

16 +6Fouls19 +6

3 +2.0Offsides2 +1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Celtic

Rangers

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticRangers

0.21 2 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.51 9 shots, 0 goals

0.06 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.54 2 shots, 0 goals

0.12 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.77 4 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–1

Level: 33 min (37%) · Celtic 0.06, Rangers 0.91 xG
Rangers ahead: 57 min (63%) · Celtic 0.33, Rangers 0.91 xG

Line-ups

Celtic substitutes

46' Høgh for McCowan
63' Forrest for Nygren
71' Hassan for Tierney
71' Tounekti for Durán · yellow card 74'
89' Mheuka for Scales

Rangers substitutes

71' Curtis for Kim
72' Bouanani for Gassama · yellow card 88'
76' Godfrey for Penrice
88' Chukwuani for Neil
89' Devlin for Kelsy

Players

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Sinisalo	GK	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.02	1	1
Carter-Vickers	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.08	6	14
Trusty	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.08	6	10
Scales	CB	89	0.14	0.03	0	0.04	4	10
Donovan	RWB	90	0.17	0.04	0	0.10	5	8
Baur	CM	90	0.00	0.16	1	0.25	7	10
McGregor	CM	90	0.00	0.01	0	−0.01	1	12
Tierney	LWB	71	0.06	0.10	0	0.04	5	3
McCowan	RW	46	0.00	0.01	1	0.01	1	1
Durán	ST	71	0.00	0.05	0	0.18	2	1
Nygren	LW	63	0.00	0.01	0	−0.06	2	0
Høgh	FW	44	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Forrest	FW	27	0.02	0.00	0	0.03	1	1
Hassan	FW	19	0.00	0.18	2	0.13	6	1
Tounekti	FW	19	0.00	0.01	0	0.01	2	2
Mheuka	FW	1	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Rangers

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Pandur	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.04	5	2
Sterling	RB	90		0.00	0.14	1	0.25	8	9
Fernandez	CB	90		0.00	0.01	1	−0.09	4	13
Makhanya	CB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.04	6	8
Penrice	LB	76		0.04	0.19	0	0.12	4	4
Kim	RM	71		0.11	0.10	1	0.10	3	1
Neil	CM	88		0.08	0.27	2	0.09	6	3
Raskin	CM	90		0.00	0.06	0	0.14	14	8
Gassama	LM	72		0.14	0.04	2	0.18	6	3
Naderi	AM	90	1	0.91	0.06	1	0.11	6	5
Kelsy	ST	89		0.46	0.01	2	−0.01	2	2
Curtis	MF	19		0.09	0.03	1	−0.02	1	1
Bouanani	FW	18		0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	3
Godfrey	DF	14		0.00	0.02	0	0.03	2	1
Chukwuani	MF	2		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Devlin	MF	1		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Rangers

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Carter-Vickers	Donovan	17
Trusty	Carter-Vickers	16
McGregor	Trusty	10
Carter-Vickers	Trusty	10
Trusty	Sinisalo	9

Rangers

From	To	Passes
Sterling	Naderi	8
Penrice	Gassama	8
Neil	Raskin	7
Makhanya	Pandur	7
Sterling	Kim	7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

Against its average of 6 matches

Rangers

Against its average of 6 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

Rangers

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Celtic
Title	85%	74%	−11
Rangers
Title	14%	26%	+12

From the forecast before the match (20 September 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Celtic	Rangers
Expected goals	1.88	1.12
Win	55%	22%
Expected Points	1.87	0.89
Clean sheet	33%	15%

Celtic 55%Draw 24%Rangers 22%

Most likely score 1–1, 11%. Both sides score 58%.

From the forecast as it stood on 20 September 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Celtic win	Draw	Rangers win
Celtic
Title	85%	90%	84%	74%
Rangers
Title	14%	9%	15%	26%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

Rangers

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Celtic	Rangers
Position	1st	3rd
Played	6	6
Won, drawn, lost	6–⁠0–⁠0	4–⁠1–⁠1
Points	18 (3.00 per game)	13 (2.17 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.54	2.07
Goals	14–⁠3	7–⁠4
xG per game	3.15–⁠0.89	2.35–⁠1.10
Home: points, xG per game	3.00, 2.79–⁠0.58	2.00, 2.99–⁠1.21
Away: points, xG per game	3.00, 3.50–⁠1.21	2.33, 1.71–⁠1.00
Manager	Martin O'Neill (24)	Derek McInnes (6)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Celtic		Rangers
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+155%	−53%	+55%	−50%
Counter-attacks	+190%	−49%	+6%	+33%
Set pieces	−20%	−30%	+39%	−21%
Penalties	−100%	−15%	+71%	−15%
Headers	+147%	−39%	+54%	−53%
Left side	+188%	−69%	+43%	−10%
Centre	+130%	−35%	+54%	−28%
Right side	+24%	−46%	+33%	−60%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdRangers concededLeft side+188%−60%Centre+130%−28%Right side+24%−10%Open play+155%−50%Counter-attacks+190%+33%Set pieces−20%−21%Headers+147%−53%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdCeltic concededLeft side+43%−46%Centre+54%−35%Right side+33%−69%Open play+55%−53%Counter-attacks+6%−49%Set pieces+39%−30%Headers+54%−39%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticRangers

3.15xG2.35

0.89xG against1.10

62%Possession55%

22.5Shots21.3

10.7Shots against9.7

9.5Shots on target6.3

6.2Big chances3.0

39.2Touches in the opposition box39.3

627Passes455

89%Pass accuracy81%

9.7Corners8.0

71%Field tilt61%

62.8Final-third entries46.2

25.2Box entries19.5

13.1Passes per defensive action11.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	27	2.53	1.05
Ahead	58	3.24	0.86
Behind	5	5.37	0.28

Rangers

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	50	2.17	1.48
Ahead	24	2.49	0.48
Behind	15	2.75	0.87

xG by period

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.39	0.16	3–0
16–30	0.51	0.27	1–1
31–45	0.70	0.11	4–0
46–60	0.52	0.07	4–1
61–75	0.41	0.12	2–1
76–90	0.60	0.17	0–0

Rangers

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.40	0.25	2–1
16–30	0.53	0.06	0–0
31–45	0.31	0.33	0–2
46–60	0.42	0.13	1–0
61–75	0.33	0.18	1–0
76–90	0.36	0.15	3–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Rangers

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
10 May 2026	Celtic	3–1	Rangers	xG 1.08–0.94
1 March 2026	Rangers	2–2	Celtic	xG 1.44–3.82
3 January 2026	Celtic	1–3	Rangers	xG 2.34–1.44
31 August 2025	Rangers	0–0	Celtic	xG 0.15–0.19
4 May 2025	Rangers	1–1	Celtic	xG 1.46–1.10
16 March 2025	Celtic	2–3	Rangers	xG 1.88–1.17

24 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 9, Rangers won 8, and 7 were drawn. Goals 37–36 and xG 1.42–1.19 per game.

Key players

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	xG per 90	xA per 90
McGregor	5	450	0.08	0.05
Trusty	5	470	0.02	0.02
Carter-Vickers	5	450	0.01	0.02
Sinisalo	5	450	0.00	0.00

Rangers

Player	Starts	Min	xG per 90	xA per 90
Fernandez	6	540	0.11	0.10
Makhanya	5	450	0.00	0.03
Pandur	6	540	0.00	0.00

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.