Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Dundee FC v Rangers

Saturday 17 October 2026, 20:00 · Dens Park · Round 9

Forecast

Dundee FCRangers
Expected goals0.941.98
Win17%61%
Expected Points0.722.06
Clean sheet14%39%

Dundee FC 17%Draw 22%Rangers 61%

Most likely score 0–2, 11%. Both sides score 53%.

Rangers goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+6%7%3%1%5%7%3%1%2%5%5%3%2%1%1%1%10%11%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 15 October 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawRangers win
Dundee FC
Top six41%54%44%36%
11th9%6%9%10%
Bottom7%4%6%9%
Rangers
Title26%18%21%30%
Celtic
Title73%81%78%69%
Hibernian
Top six52%48%51%54%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. W2–110 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.41–1.97
  2. W2–119 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.38–1.10
  3. L1–26 SepHearts (A)xG 0.42–1.93
  4. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  5. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33
  6. W2–022 AugDundee United (A)xG 1.43–1.19

Rangers

  1. W3–110 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.42–1.15
  2. W1–020 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.81–0.39
  3. W1–09 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.49–1.26
  4. W1–05 SepMotherwell (H)xG 4.29–0.70
  5. W2–12 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–1.00
  6. W1–030 AugAberdeen (A)xG 2.10–0.35

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCRangers
Position4th2nd
Played88
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠1–⁠36–⁠1–⁠1
Points13 (1.62 per game)19 (2.38 per game)
Expected Points per game1.192.06
Goals11–⁠811–⁠5
xG per game1.26–⁠1.572.17–⁠1.02
Home: points, xG per game1.75, 1.58–⁠1.312.25, 2.60–⁠1.20
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 0.94–⁠1.842.50, 1.73–⁠0.84
ManagerSteven Pressley (46)Derek McInnes (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackDundee FC1.12, 9thRangers1.92, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.54, 10thRangers0.97, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC attack: 1.12Rangers attack: 1.921.921.12RangersDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC defence: 1.54Rangers defence: 0.971.540.97

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−32%+13%+42%−46%
Counter-attacks−17%−59%+20%+14%
Set pieces+19%−13%+42%−33%
Penalties−40%+20%+20%−40%
Headers+25%+14%+40%−50%
Left side+3%+20%+17%−14%
Centre−24%−32%+66%−31%
Right side−31%+18%+20%−59%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdRangers concededLeft side+3%−59%Centre−24%−31%Right side−31%−14%Open play−32%−46%Counter-attacks−17%+14%Set pieces+19%−33%Headers+25%−50%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdDundee FC concededLeft side+17%+18%Centre+66%−32%Right side+20%+20%Open play+42%+13%Counter-attacks+20%−59%Set pieces+42%−13%Headers+40%+14%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCRangers

1.26xG2.17
1.57xG against1.02
38%Possession55%
12.6Shots20.1
18.9Shots against9.5
4.5Shots on target6.2
2.5Big chances2.9
19.1Touches in the opposition box38.1
336Passes449
73%Pass accuracy80%
5.1Corners7.4
25%Field tilt60%
26.9Final-third entries47.5
9.5Box entries18.6
19.6Passes per defensive action11.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.361.48
Ahead331.241.63
Behind161.001.68

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level442.191.33
Ahead351.960.69
Behind112.750.87

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.161–0
16–300.290.182–1
31–450.130.342–2
46–600.210.143–1
61–750.190.340–1
76–900.370.413–3

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.203–1
16–300.480.061–0
31–450.410.272–2
46–600.350.151–0
61–750.260.191–0
76–900.330.153–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Unavailable

Dundee FC

PlayerReasonExpected backStartsMin
RobertsonInjuryOut for season1229
FinniganInjuryMid October 20266472
WalesInjuryLate October 20261187
WestleyInjuryLate October 20267537
MurrayInjuryOut for season2125

Rangers

PlayerReasonExpected backStartsMin
DevlinInjuryEarly November 20264335
YokotaInjuryLate October 20261116
ShanklandInjuryEarly December 20265364
ChermitiInjuryLate April 2027180
CifuentesInjuryMid October 202600

Injured, suspended, and otherwise unavailable players as listed before the match, with their league starts and minutes this season.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTGoodman 8D. Wright 7Halliday 1Astley 8O. Bevan 8Odutayo 5Samuels 3J. Bevan 6Forrest 1Robertson 1Finnigan 6Jones 2Hamilton 8Reilly 4Forrest 3Moorhouse 1Fink 4Murray 2Forrest 1Westley 7Hay 14-4-2 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPandur 8Sterling 6Makhanya 1Nedeljković 1Fernandez 8Godfrey 1Makhanya 6Rommens 1Penrice 6Rommens 1Chermiti 1Raskin 6Devlin 3Dragojevic 1Neil 5Diomande 1Curtis 3Kim 2Naderi 1Kim 3Naderi 3Devlin 1Gassama 7Curtis 1Shankland 5Kelsy 34-2-3-1 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
25 January 2026Rangers3–0Dundee FCxG 2.51–0.24
9 November 2025Dundee FC0–3RangersxG 0.43–0.85
9 August 2025Rangers1–1Dundee FCxG 1.97–0.34
29 March 2025Dundee FC3–4RangersxG 2.97–2.70
9 January 2025Dundee FC1–1RangersxG 1.02–0.65
21 December 2024Rangers1–0Dundee FCxG 3.47–0.11

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 0, Rangers won 10, and 3 were drawn. Goals 9–32 and xG 0.88–2.46 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7537300.570.04
J. Bevan6521110.140.06
D. Wright7637110.020.10
O. Bevan8720200.070.03

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Naderi4456410.770.18
Gassama7556020.340.17
Raskin6505000.220.12
Sterling6496000.010.28

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.