Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

Hearts 2–1 Dundee FC

Sunday 6 September 2026, 15:00 · Tynecastle Park · Round 6 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 18,721

Hearts Braga 84' (pen), Kerjota 90+6'

Dundee FC Fink 17' · Bešir sent off 90+1'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HeartsDundee FC
Goals21
xG1.930.42
Non-penalty xG1.140.42
Expected Points2.530.30

Hearts 79%Draw 17%Dundee FC 4%

Most likely score 2–0, 21%. Final score 2–1, 10%.

Dundee FC goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+4%2%11%2%10%2%12%6%4%2%1%20%21%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTBešir (Dundee FC), red card 90+1'Milne on for McEntee, 46'Kerjota on for Miller and Borchgrevink on for Altena, 60'Williams on for Wilson, 66'Wales on for Westley, 10'Moorhouse on for Finnigan, 46'J. Bevan on for Fink and J. Wright on for Forrest, 65'Bešir on for Robertson, 76'Reilly on for Samuels, 87'Braga 84' (pen)Kerjota 90+6'Fink 17'Hearts 1.93Dundee FC 0.4201230153045607590HTBešir (Dundee FC), red card 90+1'Milne on for McEntee, 46'Kerjota on for Miller and Borchgrevink on for Altena, 60'Williams on for Wilson, 66'Wales on for Westley, 10'Moorhouse on for Finnigan, 46'J. Bevan on for Fink and J. Wright on for Forrest, 65'Bešir on for Robertson, 76'Reilly on for Samuels, 87'Braga 84' (pen)Kerjota 90+6'Fink 17'1.930.42HeartsDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsDundee FC

1.93 +0.15xG0.42 −0.95
1.14Non-penalty xG0.42
2.69 +0.66xG on target0.72 −0.37
27 +11Shots4 −9
7 +1.2Shots on target1 −2.8
2 −0.5Big chances2 −0.2
47 +20Touches in the opposition box5 −14
72% +25Possession28% −10
616 +240Passes251 −92
84% +7Pass accuracy65% −7
87% +37Field tilt13% −14
62 +33Final-third entries15 −14
20 +6.5Box entries2 −7.2
9.3 −6Passes per defensive action20.5 +3
14 +6.8Corners2 −2.0
14 −3Tackles25 +13
8 +0.2Interceptions6 −5.0
5 −33Clearances44 +3
0 −1.8Saves5 +1.2
11 −1Fouls19 +9
1 −0.5Offsides1 +0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hearts

Kerjota 70', 0.11 xGWilliams 70', 0.10 xGWilson 61', 0.08 xGBraga 68', 0.08 xGBraga 70', 0.08 xGBraga 90+4', 0.07 xGBraga 65', 0.06 xGBraga 80', 0.06 xGFindlay 17', 0.05 xGBraga 78', 0.05 xGMcPake 59', 0.04 xGMiller 3', 0.03 xGMiller 27', 0.03 xGMcPake 30', 0.03 xGBraga 41', 0.03 xGMcPake 50', 0.03 xGBraga 63', 0.03 xGMcPake 73', 0.03 xGMcEntee 30', 0.02 xGBraga 39', 0.02 xGMiller 54', 0.02 xGMagnússon 55', 0.02 xGMcPake 64', 0.02 xGBraga 30', 0.01 xGBraga 90+6', 0.01 xGKerjota 90+6', 0.04 xG, goal13%0.15 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals37%0.42 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.42 xG, 0 goals27%0.30 xGWide in the box: 7 shots, 0.30 xG, 1 goal17%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals6%0.07 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Fink 45+10', 0.12 xGMoorhouse 52', 0.08 xGHamilton 22', 0.03 xGFink 17', 0.19 xG, goal28%0.12 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.12 xG, 0 goals44%0.19 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.19 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals28%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsDundee FC

0.72 17 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.27 2 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.03 1 shot, 0 goals
0.42 9 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.12 1 shot, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
29 min (27%) · Hearts 0.20, Dundee FC 0.19 xG
Hearts ahead
1 min (1%) · Hearts 0.00, Dundee FC 0.00 xG
Dundee FC ahead
77 min (72%) · Hearts 1.73, Dundee FC 0.23 xG

Line-ups

123617522787101521ReusAltenaMcEnteeFindlayMcCartMagnússonMendyMillerBragaMcPakeWilsonGoalYellow card60'46'60'66'Hearts 4-2-3-1Wouter Vrancken17451210848142119GoodmanD. WrightAstleyO. BevanSamuelsRobertsonFinniganHamiltonForrestFinkWestleyYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal87'76'46'65'65'10'Dundee FC 4-4-2Steven Pressley

Hearts substitutes

  • 46' Milne for McEntee
  • 60' Borchgrevink for Altena
  • 60' Kerjota for Miller · goal 90+6', yellow card 90+7'
  • 66' Williams for Wilson

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 10' Wales for Westley
  • 46' Moorhouse for Finnigan
  • 65' J. Wright for Forrest
  • 65' J. Bevan for Fink
  • 76' Bešir for Robertson · red card 90+1'
  • 87' Reilly for Samuels

Players

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ReusGK900.000.0000.0210
AltenaRB600.000.1030.12131
McEnteeCB460.020.0210.0842
FindlayCB900.050.0200.0124
McCartLB900.000.0100.1377
MagnússonDM900.020.0620.0463
MendyDM900.000.1520.0433
MillerRW600.080.0310.0242
BragaAM9011.270.0610.0741
McPake LW9010.150.0420.15141
WilsonST660.080.020−0.0100
MilneDF440.000.3360.4281
BorchgrevinkDF300.000.1220.23101
Kerjota FW3010.150.2630.2861
WilliamsFW240.100.0000.0000

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GoodmanGK900.000.0100.0443
D. WrightRB900.000.0000.0223
AstleyCB900.000.0000.02211
O. BevanCB900.000.0000.01219
Samuels LB8710.000.0810.1129
RobertsonRM760.000.0710.0017
Finnigan CM460.000.0000.0007
Hamilton CM900.030.0100.0344
ForrestLM650.000.0000.0117
FinkST6510.300.010−0.0112
WestleyST100.000.000––0
WalesFW800.000.000−0.0104
MoorhouseMF440.080.0000.0532
J. WrightDF250.000.0000.0005
J. BevanFW250.000.0000.0000
Bešir MF140.000.000−0.0100
ReillyFW30.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

Reus and McCart: 4 passesReus and Mendy: 4 passesAltena and Mendy: 4 passesFindlay and Magnússon: 4 passesFindlay and Braga: 4 passesMagnússon and Miller: 4 passesMiller and Braga: 4 passesMcEntee and Magnússon: 5 passesMagnússon and Mendy: 5 passesMcPake and Wilson: 5 passesMcEntee and McCart: 6 passesMagnússon and McPake: 6 passesMcEntee and Miller: 7 passesMcCart and Braga: 7 passesMcEntee and Mendy: 8 passesBraga and McPake: 8 passesReus and McEntee: 10 passesMcCart and Mendy: 11 passesMcCart and McPake: 13 passesFindlay and McCart: 15 passesAltena and Magnússon: 16 passesAltena and Miller: 17 passesAltena and McEntee: 18 passesReus and Findlay: 20 passesMcEntee and Findlay: 22 passesReus: 22 completed passesAltena: 38 completed passesMcEntee: 41 completed passesFindlay: 37 completed passesMcCart: 37 completed passesMagnússon: 19 completed passesMendy: 23 completed passesMiller: 18 completed passesBraga: 10 completed passesMcPake: 18 completed passesWilson: 7 completed passes123617522787101521ReusAltenaMcEnteeFindlayMcCartMagnússonMendyMillerBragaMcPakeWilsonStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

FromToPasses
FindlayMilne19
AltenaMagnússon18
FindlayMcCart18
McCartFindlay17
AltenaMiller16

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
AstleyGoodman9
SamuelsForrest7
RobertsonAstley7
RobertsonFink5
D. WrightRobertson5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

2−2.22−6.83−2.20−3.22−5.06−1.56−0.24−5.27+1.53−4.85+0.85+2.24−1.03−2.56+1.54+1.84+2.02−1.84−2.04+2.52+0.83+2.20−1.03+1.20−0.81+0.82+1.010.01+0.23−16.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Dundee FC

3−2.47−2.424+3.412+2.68+5.09+3.84−3.213+3.28+0.29+1.613+7.67+1.62−2.85+0.26+1.43+0.22−1.41−1.85+1.67+4.03−0.60−1.62+1.00−1.02−0.42+0.81+1.00−0.20−0.610.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

0.020.020.030.020.020.020.030.040.020.050.110.060.020.040.050.120.010.070.070.18−0.050.200.250.20LessMore

Dundee FC

0.030.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.030.010.02−0.020.010.09LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackHearts1.48 → 1.50Dundee FC1.11 → 1.09Defence (lower is better)Hearts1.13 → 1.11Dundee FC1.55 → 1.57

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hearts
Top six90%93%+3
Dundee FC
Top six22%18%−4
11th12%13%+1
Bottom9%10%+1

From the forecast before the match (6 September 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HeartsDundee FC
Expected goals1.920.86
Win62%16%
Expected Points2.080.69
Clean sheet42%15%

Hearts 62%Draw 23%Dundee FC 16%

Most likely score 2–0, 11%. Both sides score 50%.

Dundee FC goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+7%5%2%4%1%4%1%7%6%3%4%3%1%1%1%11%11%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 September 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHearts winDrawDundee FC win
Hearts
Top six90%93%88%83%
Dundee FC
Top six22%18%24%33%
11th12%13%11%9%
Bottom9%10%7%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hearts

  1. W3–13 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.86–1.47
  2. W2–129 AugSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.20–1.28
  3. W4–09 AugDundee United (H)xG 2.21–0.58
  4. L1–21 AugAberdeen (A)xG 1.83–2.66
  5. L1–316 MayCeltic (A)xG 0.93–2.83
  6. W3–013 MayFalkirk (H)xG 0.56–0.28

Dundee FC

  1. D1–12 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.07–1.08
  2. L1–230 AugHibernian (H)xG 1.03–2.33
  3. W2–022 AugDundee United (A)xG 1.43–1.19
  4. W2–08 AugAberdeen (H)xG 1.83–0.72
  5. L0–13 AugCeltic (A)xG 0.49–2.26
  6. W3–217 MayAberdeen (H)xG 1.99–1.12

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HeartsDundee FC
Position4th6th
Played45
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠0–⁠12–⁠1–⁠2
Points9 (2.25 per game)7 (1.40 per game)
Expected Points per game1.571.34
Goals10–⁠46–⁠4
xG per game1.78–⁠1.501.37–⁠1.52
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 2.21–⁠0.931.33, 1.64–⁠1.38
Away: points, xG per game1.50, 1.34–⁠2.061.50, 0.96–⁠1.72
ManagerWouter Vrancken (4)Steven Pressley (43)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackHearts1.48, 3rdDundee FC1.11, 10thDefence (lower is better)Hearts1.13, 3rdDundee FC1.55, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepHearts attack: 1.48Dundee FC attack: 1.111.481.11Dundee FCHeartsDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepHearts defence: 1.13Dundee FC defence: 1.551.551.13

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HeartsDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open playaverage−23%−17%+18%
Counter-attacks−18%−20%−12%−43%
Set pieces+40%+7%−4%−8%
Penalties+10%−13%−82%−79%
Headers−14%+34%+33%+10%
Left side+17%−38%−5%+13%
Centre+23%+7%−14%−21%
Right side−31%−27%−20%+29%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdDundee FC concededLeft side+17%+29%Centre+23%−21%Right side−31%+13%Open playaverage+18%Counter-attacks−18%−43%Set pieces+40%−8%Headers−14%+10%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHearts concededLeft side−5%−27%Centre−14%+7%Right side−20%−38%Open play−17%−23%Counter-attacks−12%−20%Set pieces−4%+7%Headers+33%+34%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsDundee FC

1.78xG1.37
1.50xG against1.52
47%Possession38%
15.8Shots12.8
11.8Shots against18.4
5.8Shots on target3.8
2.5Big chances2.2
26.5Touches in the opposition box19.0
376Passes343
78%Pass accuracy72%
7.2Corners4.0
49%Field tilt28%
29.0Final-third entries29.2
13.5Box entries9.2
14.9Passes per defensive action17.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level152.831.92
Ahead751.571.41
Behind0––

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level431.131.52
Ahead262.031.22
Behind211.011.88

xG by period

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.530.024–0
16–300.120.120–0
31–450.570.223–0
46–600.150.301–2
61–750.200.132–0
76–900.200.710–2

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.241–0
16–300.180.180–1
31–450.170.291–0
46–600.260.182–1
61–750.240.360–1
76–900.440.262–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTReus 4Altena 4McEntee 3Findlay 3McCart 1Milne 1Mendy 1Miller 1McCart 1Mendy 2McEntee 1Magnússon 1Spittal 3Renaud 1Kerjota 3Miller 1Braga 3Ba-Sy 1McPake 3Miller 1Wilson 2Braga 1Ba-Sy 14-2-3-1 in 3 of 4 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-4-2 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTGoodman 5D. Wright 4Halliday 1Astley 5O. Bevan 5Odutayo 5Finnigan 5Hamilton 5J. Bevan 5Westley 3Fink 1Murray 1Reilly 4Forrest 1Westley 2Forrest 1Wales 14-2-3-1 in 3 of 5 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-4-2 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
21 March 2026Hearts1–0Dundee FCxG 1.64–0.56
11 January 2026Dundee FC0–1HeartsxG 1.34–0.36
1 November 2025Hearts4–0Dundee FCxG 3.43–0.10
26 April 2025Hearts0–1Dundee FCxG 1.46–0.71
1 February 2025Dundee FC0–6HeartsxG 0.37–3.06
7 December 2024Hearts2–0Dundee FCxG 1.75–0.54

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Hearts won 9, Dundee FC won 4, and 1 was a draw. Goals 27–12 and xG 1.77–0.83 per game.

Key players

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kaboré141,263520.490.15
Braga383,2431550.440.11
Kerjota3483030.160.34
Magnússon151,407300.260.06

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Reilly6606220.360.12
Hay121,374410.300.09
Westley231,781620.280.10
Murray262,083700.300.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.