Friday 31 July 2026, 20:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 1 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 13,465
Dundee United Rose 38'
Rangers Aasgaard 56'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Dundee United
Rangers
Goals
1
1
xG
1.64
1.46
Expected Points
1.53
1.19
Dundee United 42%Draw 28%Rangers 31%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Final score 1–1, 13%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
Dundee UnitedRangers
1.64xG1.46
1.23xG on target1.38
11Shots21
3Shots on target6
2Big chances1
28Touches in the opposition box43
46%Possession54%
306Passes360
69%Pass accuracy74%
26%Field tilt74%
24Final-third entries35
8Box entries17
7.6Passes per defensive action10.4
5Corners10
12Tackles12
18Interceptions7
39Clearances48
5Saves2
16Fouls14
1Offsides2
Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Dundee United
Rangers
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
38'56'
0–01–01–1
0'HTFT
Level
75 min (81%) · Dundee United 1.60, Rangers 0.78 xG
Dundee United ahead
18 min (19%) · Dundee United 0.04, Rangers 0.68 xG
Line-ups
Dundee United substitutes
62'Iovu for Esselink
70'Bennie for Rose
77'Camará for Sevelj
77'Metsoko for Sapsford
Rangers substitutes
46'Neil for Gassama · yellow card 47'
46'Chermiti for Naderi
63'McCrorie for Godfrey · yellow card 81'
82'Curtis for Devlin
Players
Dundee United
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Walton
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
4
0
Rawlins
RB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
3
8
Esselink
CB
62
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
13
Forbes
CB
90
0.20
0.00
0
0.03
3
14
Ferry
LB
90
0.04
0.10
2
0.17
9
12
Sevelj
CM
77
0.00
0.02
0
−0.01
3
10
Tait
CM
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.02
4
5
Agyei
CM
90
0.15
0.01
0
0.01
1
7
Randall
RW
90
1
0.62
0.41
2
0.26
4
3
Rose
ST
70
1
0.56
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Sapsford
LW
77
0.04
0.03
0
0.05
3
0
Iovu
DF
28
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
2
Bennie
FW
20
0.00
0.02
2
0.05
3
1
Camará
MF
13
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Metsoko
FW
13
0.03
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Rangers
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Pandur
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
2
4
Sterling
RB
90
0.03
0.33
2
0.42
7
8
Godfrey
CB
63
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
8
Fernandez
CB
90
0.07
0.08
1
0.21
3
17
Rommens
LB
90
0.00
0.03
4
0.04
5
8
Devlin
DM
82
0.04
0.02
0
0.03
0
7
Diomande
DM
90
0.03
0.04
1
0.09
6
4
Naderi
RW
46
0.13
0.21
2
0.06
0
3
Aasgaard
AM
90
1
0.27
0.41
1
0.15
5
3
Gassama
LW
46
0.21
0.02
2
0.04
2
1
Shankland
ST
90
0.33
0.03
0
−0.10
1
2
Neil
MF
44
0.00
0.23
1
0.27
4
2
Chermiti
FW
44
0.28
0.08
1
0.10
2
1
McCrorie
MF
27
0.07
0.07
1
0.10
4
2
Curtis
MF
8
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Dundee United
Rangers
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Dundee United
From
To
Passes
Forbes
Walton
9
Ferry
Sapsford
8
Walton
Forbes
8
Sevelj
Ferry
7
Forbes
Tait
6
Rangers
From
To
Passes
Rommens
Aasgaard
9
Devlin
Diomande
7
Godfrey
Sterling
6
Aasgaard
Rommens
6
Sterling
Diomande
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Dundee United
Rangers
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page.
Threat
Dundee United
Rangers
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Dundee United
Top six
22%
23%
+1
11th
15%
15%
0
Bottom
11%
10%
−1
Rangers
Title
26%
23%
−3
Top six
99%
99%
0
Celtic
Title
71%
73%
+2
Falkirk
Top six
41%
41%
0
11th
7%
8%
+1
Bottom
5%
5%
0
From the forecast before the match (31 July 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Dundee United
Rangers
Expected goals
1.09
1.93
Win
21%
56%
Expected Points
0.85
1.92
Clean sheet
15%
34%
Dundee United 21%Draw 23%Rangers 56%
Most likely score 1–1, 11%. Both sides score 57%.
From the forecast as it stood on 31 July 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Dundee United win
Draw
Rangers win
Dundee United
Top six
22%
32%
23%
17%
11th
15%
11%
15%
16%
Bottom
11%
7%
10%
13%
Rangers
Title
26%
21%
23%
29%
Top six
99%
99%
99%
>99%
Celtic
Title
71%
76%
73%
68%
Falkirk
Top six
41%
39%
41%
43%
11th
7%
7%
8%
7%
Bottom
5%
5%
5%
4%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Dundee United
Rangers
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−25%
+27%
+33%
−31%
Counter-attacks
+26%
average
+36%
+16%
Set pieces
+13%
+33%
+52%
−2%
Penalties
+25%
+7%
+25%
+7%
Headers
−9%
+16%
+49%
−18%
Left side
+2%
+24%
+58%
−19%
Centre
−22%
+29%
+41%
−17%
Right side
+9%
+19%
+12%
−18%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Matchups
Dundee United attacking
Dundee United createdRangers concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+2%−18%Centre−22%−17%Right side+9%−19%Open play−25%−31%Counter-attacks+26%+16%Set pieces+13%−2%Headers−9%−18%
Rangers attacking
Rangers createdDundee United concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+58%+19%Centre+41%+29%Right side+12%+24%Open play+33%+27%Counter-attacks+36%averageSet pieces+52%+33%Headers+49%+16%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Digressive Celts