Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

St. Mirren 1–1 Dundee United

Sunday 17 May 2026, 14:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 38 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 6,177

St. Mirren Young 69'

Dundee United Sapsford 27'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenDundee United
Goals11
xG1.020.50
Expected Points1.760.87

St. Mirren 46%Draw 37%Dundee United 17%

Most likely score 1–0, 22%. Final score 1–1, 14%.

Dundee United goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+11%2%14%3%11%6%1%3%2%22%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTDevaney on for O'Hara and Falconer on for Freckleton, 46'King on for Fraser and Calvin on for Tanser, 66'McMillan on for Douglas, 85'Russell on for Watters and Eskesen on for Cleall-Harding, 59'Constable on for Strain, 66'Esselink on for Sibbald and Stirton on for Sapsford, 74'Young 69'Sapsford 27'St. Mirren 1.02Dundee United 0.5000.511.50153045607590HTDevaney on for O'Hara and Falconer on for Freckleton, 46'King on for Fraser and Calvin on for Tanser, 66'McMillan on for Douglas, 85'Russell on for Watters and Eskesen on for Cleall-Harding, 59'Constable on for Strain, 66'Esselink on for Sibbald and Stirton on for Sapsford, 74'Young 69'Sapsford 27'1.020.50St. MirrenDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenDundee United

1.02 −0.07xG0.50 −0.86
1.62 +0.63xG on target1.28 −0.07
17 +5Shots6 −7
8 +4.5Shots on target3 −1.5
0 −1.8Big chances1 −1.1
25 +1Touches in the opposition box12 −12
49% +3Possession51% +9
443 +73Passes485 +175
79% +4Pass accuracy80% +13
10 +4.6Corners2 −2.6
11 −4Tackles17 +1
7 0.0Interceptions8 −2.4
24 −6Clearances40 +3
2 −0.9Saves6 +2.8
10 −3Fouls10 −3
4 +1.9Offsides2 +0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Douglas 51', 0.17 xGGogic 89', 0.15 xGDouglas 77', 0.11 xGKing 89', 0.10 xGFalconer 88', 0.05 xGKing 89', 0.05 xGYoung 90+1', 0.05 xGRichardson 7', 0.04 xGYoung 54', 0.04 xGDouglas 68', 0.04 xGDouglas 7', 0.03 xGIdowu 88', 0.03 xGIdowu 89', 0.03 xGGogic 40', 0.02 xGKing 89', 0.02 xGCalvin 90+1', 0.01 xGYoung 69', 0.08 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals58%0.59 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.59 xG, 0 goals9%0.09 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals33%0.34 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.34 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Sevelj 47', 0.13 xGSapsford 57', 0.07 xGEskesen 83', 0.06 xGSibbald 32', 0.02 xGRussell 75', 0.02 xGSapsford 27', 0.20 xG, goal66%0.33 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.33 xG, 1 goal14%0.07 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals20%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenDundee United

0.51 10 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.17 4 shots, 0 goals
0.11 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.40 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.33 2 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
49 min (54%) · St. Mirren 0.67, Dundee United 0.28 xG
Dundee United ahead
42 min (46%) · St. Mirren 0.35, Dundee United 0.22 xG

Line-ups

272213212616733220SinclairFraserGogicFreckletonRichardsonO'HaraCampbellIdowuTanserDouglasYoungGoal66'46'46'66'85'St. Mirren 3-5-2Craig McLeish25376232514843936RichardsCleall-HardingGrahamKeresztesStrainSeveljSibbaldCamaráGilliganSapsfordWattersYellow cardYellow cardGoal59'66'74'74'59'Dundee United 3-5-2Jim Goodwin

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 46' Devaney for O'Hara
  • 46' Falconer for Freckleton
  • 66' Calvin for Tanser
  • 66' King for Fraser · 1 assist
  • 85' McMillan for Douglas

Dundee United substitutes

  • 59' Eskesen for Cleall-Harding
  • 59' Russell for Watters
  • 66' Constable for Strain
  • 74' Esselink for Sibbald
  • 74' Stirton for Sapsford

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPDef
SinclairGK900.000.0001
FraserCB660.000.0823
GogicCB900.180.0109
FreckletonCB460.000.0104
RichardsonRWB900.040.0301
O'HaraCM460.000.0310
CampbellCM900.000.0215
IdowuCM900.050.1711
TanserLWB660.000.0206
DouglasST850.350.0012
YoungST9010.170.0102
DevaneyMF440.000.0322
FalconerFW440.050.0912
CalvinDF240.010.0121
KingDF2410.170.0223
McMillanFW50.000.0110

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPDef
RichardsGK900.000.0001
Cleall-Harding CB590.000.00011
GrahamCB900.000.00014
KeresztesCB900.000.0108
Strain RWB660.000.0406
SeveljCM900.130.0208
SibbaldCM740.020.0515
CamaráCM900.000.0214
GilliganLWB900.000.0404
SapsfordST7410.270.1601
WattersST5910.000.0712
EskesenMF310.060.0100
RussellFW310.020.0310
ConstableDF240.000.0003
EsselinkDF160.000.0004
StirtonFW160.000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions).

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.35AttackSt. Mirren1.10 → 1.11Dundee United1.22 → 1.20Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.39 → 1.38Dundee United1.50 → 1.52

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenDundee United
Expected goals1.451.11
Win44%28%
Expected Points1.611.12
Clean sheet33%23%

St. Mirren 44%Draw 27%Dundee United 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Dundee United goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%2%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 17 May 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. W2–012 MayAberdeen (A)xG 1.50–0.53
  2. L0–39 MayKilmarnock (H)xG 1.21–1.49
  3. L0–12 MayDundee FC (A)xG 0.51–0.46
  4. L0–225 AprLivingston (H)xG 1.10–0.72
  5. L0–111 AprCeltic (A)xG 0.25–0.94
  6. W2–04 AprAberdeen (H)xG 0.90–0.53

Dundee United

  1. D0–012 MayLivingston (H)xG 1.54–0.92
  2. L0–29 MayAberdeen (A)xG 0.79–2.17
  3. L0–32 MayKilmarnock (A)xG 2.11–2.40
  4. W3–026 AprDundee FC (H)xG 2.14–0.76
  5. W3–211 AprLivingston (H)xG 1.82–1.81
  6. L2–44 AprRangers (A)xG 1.81–3.96

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenDundee United
Position11th7th
Played3737
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠9–⁠2010–⁠14–⁠13
Points33 (0.89 per game)44 (1.19 per game)
Expected Points per game1.211.16
Goals29–⁠5448–⁠59
xG per game1.09–⁠1.301.36–⁠1.78
Home: points, xG per game1.11, 1.11–⁠1.081.47, 1.40–⁠1.78
Away: points, xG per game0.68, 1.08–⁠1.510.89, 1.31–⁠1.77
ManagerCraig McLeish (8)Jim Goodwin (87)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.35AttackSt. Mirren1.10, 10thDundee United1.22, 8thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.39, 7thDundee United1.50, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMaySt. Mirren attack: 1.10Dundee United attack: 1.221.221.10Dundee UnitedSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMaySt. Mirren defence: 1.39Dundee United defence: 1.501.501.39

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−30%−9%−23%+29%
Counter-attacks−42%+54%+29%average
Set pieces+14%−20%+13%+33%
Penalties−64%−46%+27%+9%
Headers+6%−2%−8%+18%
Left side−21%−4%+2%+26%
Centre−22%−3%−20%+30%
Right side−10%−9%+11%+19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee United concededLeft side−21%+19%Centre−22%+30%Right side−10%+26%Open play−30%+29%Counter-attacks−42%averageSet pieces+14%+33%Headers+6%+18%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+2%−9%Centre−20%−3%Right side+11%−4%Open play−23%−9%Counter-attacks+29%+54%Set pieces+13%−20%Headers−8%−2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenDundee United

1.09xG1.36
1.30xG against1.78
46%Possession42%
11.7Shots13.4
12.2Shots against15.3
3.5Shots on target4.5
1.8Big chances2.1
23.7Touches in the opposition box24.5
370Passes310
74%Pass accuracy68%
5.4Corners4.6
46%Field tilt38%
35.8Final-third entries30.7
10.7Box entries11.3
15.4Passes per defensive action14.5

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 33 and 33 of those matches.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level521.151.30
Ahead130.881.43
Behind251.101.22

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.471.57
Ahead181.132.16
Behind261.291.89

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.161–6
16–300.140.165–4
31–450.180.275–10
46–600.180.174–9
61–750.180.245–9
76–900.240.299–16

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.195–3
16–300.110.295–15
31–450.260.338–9
46–600.270.317–12
61–750.260.2814–6
76–900.270.399–14

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTGeorge 33Sinclair 4Fraser 28Donnelly 5Richardson 1King 21Gogic 21Freckleton 35Richard… 20RichardsonMcMena… 8McMenaminO'Hara 5Phillips 33Baccus 13Devaney 12Donnelly 5O'Hara 14Gogic 11Campbell 7John 27Tanser 7McMena… 2McMenaminNlundulu 15Idowu 8Young 4Mandron 28Ayunga 14John 13-5-2 in 25 of 37 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (25), 3-4-1-2 (3), 5-3-2 (3), 3-1-4-2 (2), 3-4-3 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWRichards 15Kucherenko 12Maynard-Brewer 10Iovu 27Sevelj 6Cleall-Harding 6Esselink 19Graham 19Keresztes 31Stephenson 17Strain 12Naamo 5Sevelj 21Stephenson 8Sibbald 19Camará 15Agyei 9Ferry 32Keresztes 2Naamo 2Farrugia 10Sapsford 8Dolcek 7Sapsford 15Watters 14Möller 6Fatah 17Sapsford 7Trapanovski 53-4-3 in 19 of 37 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (19), 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-5-2 (5), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
3 March 2026Dundee United2–1St. MirrenxG 1.69–1.11
6 December 2025St. Mirren2–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.24–1.01
25 October 2025Dundee United3–1St. MirrenxG 2.21–2.28
10 May 2025Dundee United0–2St. MirrenxG 1.47–2.18
11 January 2025St. Mirren0–1Dundee UnitedxG 2.39–1.51
30 November 2024Dundee United2–0St. MirrenxG 3.22–0.35

17 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 6, Dundee United won 7, and 4 were drawn. Goals 21–17 and xG 1.44–1.40 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McMenamin141,203110.200.26
Mandron282,517450.210.13
Ayunga141,197300.310.03
Nlundulu161,545300.240.06

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fatah221,859830.330.15
Sapsford302,579820.370.07
Watters161,284220.330.08
Dolcek101,008520.280.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.