Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

St. Mirren 0–1 Rangers

Sunday 15 March 2026, 12:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 30 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 6,898

Rangers Rommens 31'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenRangers
Goals01
xG0.192.08
Expected Points0.182.69

St. Mirren 2%Draw 13%Rangers 85%

Most likely score 0–2, 25%. Final score 0–1, 21%.

Rangers goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%18%8%2%1%5%5%3%2%21%25%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTCampbell on for Richardson, 18'Young on for King, 63'Ayunga on for Tanser, 77'Olsen on for Gassama, 58'Aasgaard on for Chermiti, 71'Barron on for Chukwuani, 72'Meghoma on for Rommens and Miovski on for Naderi, 81'Rommens 31'Rangers 2.08St. Mirren 0.1901230153045607590HTCampbell on for Richardson, 18'Young on for King, 63'Ayunga on for Tanser, 77'Olsen on for Gassama, 58'Aasgaard on for Chermiti, 71'Barron on for Chukwuani, 72'Meghoma on for Rommens and Miovski on for Naderi, 81'Rommens 31'2.080.19St. MirrenRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenRangers

0.19 −0.98xG2.08 +0.23
0.03 −0.93xG on target2.02 −0.06
6 −6Shots18 +2
1 −2.6Shots on target8 +2.0
0 −1.8Big chances5 +1.9
18 −7Touches in the opposition box30 0
47% +2Possession53% −6
424 +79Passes461 −19
76% +3Pass accuracy81% −2
25% −21Field tilt75% +10
30 −7Final-third entries35 −16
6 −5Box entries15 −1
13.1 −2Passes per defensive action13.0 +2
1 −4.7Corners11 +4.2
25 +11Tackles22 +5
14 +7.4Interceptions6 −1.5
37 +6Clearances24 −3
6 +3.0Saves1 −2.1
7 −6Fouls12 0
4 +1.8Offsides3 +1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

O'Hara 60', 0.09 xGNlundulu 43', 0.04 xGGogic 37', 0.02 xGYoung 86', 0.02 xGYoung 90+3', 0.02 xGPhillips 82', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals32%0.06 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals16%0.03 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals53%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Chermiti 41', 0.41 xGNaderi 55', 0.33 xGNaderi 12', 0.23 xGRaskin 55', 0.19 xGRaskin 12', 0.12 xGTavernier 59', 0.09 xGNaderi 27', 0.08 xGGassama 7', 0.07 xGNaderi 60', 0.06 xGChermiti 6', 0.03 xGGassama 11', 0.03 xGNaderi 19', 0.03 xGFernandez 62', 0.03 xGMoore 85', 0.03 xGGassama 54', 0.02 xGRaskin 56', 0.02 xGTavernier 62', 0.02 xGRommens 31', 0.32 xG, goal74%1.54 xGSix-yard box: 6 shots, 1.54 xG, 1 goal11%0.22 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals8%0.17 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals7%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenRangers

0.05 2 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.69 9 shots, 1 goal
0.09 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.05 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces1.39 9 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
31 min (33%) · St. Mirren 0.00, Rangers 0.90 xG
Rangers ahead
62 min (67%) · St. Mirren 0.19, Rangers 1.18 xG

Line-ups

151321248638814GeorgeKingGogicFreckletonRichardsonDonnellyDevaneyO'HaraTanserPhillipsNlundulu63'18'77'St. Mirren 3-5-2Craig McLeish1224372543422347920ButlandTavernierDjigaFernandezRommensRaskinChukwuaniGassamaMooreChermitiNaderiYellow cardGoal81'72'58'71'81'Rangers 4-2-2-2Danny Röhl

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 18' Campbell for Richardson
  • 63' Young for King
  • 77' Ayunga for Tanser

Rangers substitutes

  • 58' Olsen for Gassama
  • 71' Aasgaard for Chermiti
  • 72' Barron for Chukwuani
  • 81' Meghoma for Rommens
  • 81' Miovski for Naderi

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0010.0221
KingCB630.000.0000.0567
GogicCB900.020.0100.08914
FreckletonCB900.000.0100.05413
RichardsonRWB180.000.0000.0002
DonnellyCM900.000.0000.02416
DevaneyCM900.000.0200.0437
O'HaraCM900.090.0510.0336
TanserLWB770.000.0400.1136
PhillipsST900.010.0710.0944
NlunduluST900.040.000−0.0303
CampbellMF720.000.060−0.0122
YoungFW270.030.0000.0100
AyungaFW130.000.0000.0111

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0420
TavernierRB900.100.3030.361211
Djiga CB900.000.0100.0459
FernandezCB900.030.0100.0348
RommensLB8110.320.6050.5295
RaskinDM9010.320.3240.3196
ChukwuaniDM720.000.0200.0221
GassamaRW580.120.0100.0451
MooreLW900.030.0610.0740
ChermitiST710.440.0100.0411
NaderiST810.720.0100.0124
OlsenFW320.000.0000.0004
AasgaardMF190.000.0000.0111
BarronMF180.000.0010.0222
MeghomaDF90.000.0000.0101
MiovskiFW90.000.1400.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Rommens and Raskin: 5 passesMoore and Chermiti: 5 passesFernandez and Moore: 6 passesRaskin and Naderi: 6 passesChukwuani and Gassama: 6 passesTavernier and Fernandez: 7 passesTavernier and Gassama: 7 passesChukwuani and Moore: 7 passesButland and Djiga: 8 passesTavernier and Moore: 8 passesRaskin and Chukwuani: 8 passesRommens and Moore: 9 passesButland and Tavernier: 11 passesRommens and Chukwuani: 11 passesDjiga and Fernandez: 12 passesRaskin and Gassama: 12 passesButland and Fernandez: 13 passesTavernier and Raskin: 14 passesTavernier and Chukwuani: 15 passesDjiga and Chukwuani: 16 passesTavernier and Djiga: 22 passesButland: 23 completed passesTavernier: 47 completed passesDjiga: 38 completed passesFernandez: 31 completed passesRommens: 26 completed passesRaskin: 26 completed passesChukwuani: 38 completed passesGassama: 14 completed passesMoore: 22 completed passesChermiti: 7 completed passesNaderi: 8 completed passes1224372543422347920ButlandTavernierDjigaFernandezRommensRaskinChukwuaniGassamaMooreChermitiNaderiStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FreckletonDevaney15
GogicFreckleton14
FreckletonGogic13
TanserFreckleton12
DevaneyFreckleton11

Rangers

FromToPasses
DjigaTavernier13
TavernierDjiga13
TavernierRaskin12
ButlandTavernier11
RommensMoore10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

4−0.89+1.521+4.28+0.94−1.09+2.95−1.96−0.38+0.310+3.610+5.510+5.95+2.213+9.28+3.84+0.24+0.81−1.61−1.73−0.20−2.720.00−1.82+0.14+1.20−0.90−0.50−0.91+0.70−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Rangers

8+4.29+3.75−1.12−3.07+1.28+1.75+0.12−4.711+3.29+4.16+1.16+1.310+4.77+2.13−1.44+0.37+3.53−0.350.01−2.21−0.41−0.52+0.38+5.90−0.41+0.31+0.10−0.51+0.25−7.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.010.010.020.030.020.010.030.040.010.020.030.030.03−0.020.090.09LessMore

Rangers

0.010.030.030.010.010.020.050.020.030.020.030.030.030.020.020.040.120.220.010.080.080.060.220.34LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.33AttackSt. Mirren1.11 → 1.08Rangers1.81 → 1.83Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.43 → 1.46Rangers1.01 → 0.98

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
11th32%38%+6
Bottom1%1%0
Rangers
Title20%27%+7
Kilmarnock
11th55%50%−5
Celtic
Title59%54%−5

From the forecast before the match (15 March 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenRangers
Expected goals1.001.72
Win21%54%
Expected Points0.891.86
Clean sheet18%37%

St. Mirren 21%Draw 25%Rangers 54%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 52%.

Rangers goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+7%6%2%6%6%2%3%6%5%3%1%1%2%2%11%10%12%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 15 March 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawRangers win
St. Mirren
11th32%18%30%38%
Bottom1%<1%1%1%
Rangers
Title20%10%14%27%
Kilmarnock
11th55%66%57%50%
Celtic
Title59%66%62%54%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. L1–23 MarDundee United (A)xG 1.11–1.69
  2. D1–128 FebLivingston (A)xG 1.02–0.70
  3. L0–521 FebMotherwell (H)xG 1.00–2.20
  4. L0–214 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.30–1.19
  5. L3–411 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 1.96–2.76
  6. W1–03 FebHearts (H)xG 2.31–0.23

Rangers

  1. D2–21 MarCeltic (H)xG 1.44–3.82
  2. D2–222 FebLivingston (A)xG 3.74–0.30
  3. W4–215 FebHearts (H)xG 2.51–0.40
  4. D1–111 FebMotherwell (A)xG 1.65–1.57
  5. W5–14 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 3.14–1.39
  6. D0–01 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.58–1.88

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenRangers
Position10th3rd
Played2929
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠9–⁠1515–⁠12–⁠2
Points24 (0.83 per game)57 (1.97 per game)
Expected Points per game1.221.74
Goals23–⁠4551–⁠25
xG per game1.17–⁠1.381.85–⁠1.19
Home: points, xG per game1.21, 1.18–⁠1.042.13, 1.94–⁠1.10
Away: points, xG per game0.47, 1.16–⁠1.691.79, 1.75–⁠1.28
ManagerCraig McLeish (0)Danny Röhl (21)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.33AttackSt. Mirren1.11, 8thRangers1.81, 2ndDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.43, 7thRangers1.01, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarSt. Mirren attack: 1.11Rangers attack: 1.811.811.11RangersSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarSt. Mirren defence: 1.43Rangers defence: 1.011.431.01

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−24%average+33%−32%
Counter-attacks−35%+51%+23%−18%
Set pieces+14%−21%+24%+15%
Penalties−54%−31%+39%−7%
Headers+8%+5%+33%−4%
Left side−19%+1%+66%−11%
Centre−13%+4%+23%−20%
Right side−12%−12%+6%−16%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdRangers concededLeft side−19%−16%Centre−13%−20%Right side−12%−11%Open play−24%−32%Counter-attacks−35%−18%Set pieces+14%+15%Headers+8%−4%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+66%−12%Centre+23%+4%Right side+6%+1%Open play+33%averageCounter-attacks+23%+51%Set pieces+24%−21%Headers+33%+5%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenRangers

1.17xG1.85
1.38xG against1.19
45%Possession58%
12.1Shots16.5
13.0Shots against10.8
3.6Shots on target6.0
1.8Big chances3.1
24.7Touches in the opposition box30.3
345Passes480
73%Pass accuracy83%
5.7Corners6.8
46%Field tilt65%
37.0Final-third entries50.5
11.2Box entries16.4
15.3Passes per defensive action11.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level571.181.38
Ahead120.901.56
Behind201.301.27

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.960.98
Ahead391.361.39
Behind132.991.17

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.161–2
16–300.170.204–4
31–450.170.283–9
46–600.190.174–8
61–750.210.274–7
76–900.270.307–15

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.1010–2
16–300.280.186–5
31–450.370.126–4
46–600.270.188–3
61–750.310.205–5
76–900.390.4016–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTGeorge 29Fraser 26King 18Gogic 15Freckleton 28Richards… 19RichardsonMcMena… 8McMenaminIdowu 1Phillips 29Baccus 13Devaney 4McMena… 4McMenaminO'Hara 11Gogic 11Idowu 5John 24Tanser 4McMenamin 1Mandron 22Idowu 7Young 3Nlundulu 13Ayunga 11John 13-5-2 in 22 of 29 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (22), 5-3-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 29Tavernier 20Sterling 5Aarons 3Souttar 21Djiga 13Sterling 2Fernandez 17Cornelius 5Meghoma 20Rommens 3Miovski 2Raskin 22Barron 11Rothwell 4Diomande 12Chukwuani 6Aasgaard 3Gassama 11Antman 6Olsen 4Aasgaard 9Diomande 4Raskin 3Moore 13Gassama 10Meghoma 2Miovski 11Chermiti 10Danilo 34-2-3-1 in 18 of 29 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (18), 4-3-3 (4), 4-2-2-2 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-3 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 December 2025Rangers2–1St. MirrenxG 1.89–1.71
24 August 2025St. Mirren1–1RangersxG 1.01–1.56
26 April 2025St. Mirren2–2RangersxG 1.90–1.27
22 February 2025Rangers0–2St. MirrenxG 0.81–1.49
26 December 2024St. Mirren2–1RangersxG 1.07–1.52
27 October 2024Rangers2–1St. MirrenxG 2.29–0.63

20 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 2, Rangers won 15, and 3 were drawn. Goals 14–45 and xG 0.68–1.91 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McMenamin131,152110.210.26
Mandron221,972440.250.13
Ayunga11953200.340.03
Nlundulu141,349300.270.07

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Chermiti121,231920.500.08
Tavernier201,896740.300.28
Miovski131,136410.330.12
Antman6552120.100.31

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.