Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
FalkirkSt. Mirren
0.55xG1.57
0.28xG on target2.30
10Shots15
1Shots on target5
1Big chances3
40Touches in the opposition box29
58%Possession42%
432Passes320
80%Pass accuracy76%
57%Field tilt43%
50Final-third entries36
11Box entries15
6.5Passes per defensive action13.2
7Corners7
25Tackles24
5Interceptions5
19Clearances49
4Saves1
18Fouls18
3Offsides2
Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Falkirk
St. Mirren
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
11'87'
0–00–10–2
0'HTFT
Level
11 min (12%) · Falkirk 0.06, St. Mirren 0.26 xG
St. Mirren ahead
83 min (88%) · Falkirk 0.48, St. Mirren 1.31 xG
Line-ups
Falkirk substitutes
59'Doherty for Gardner
70'Parkinson for MacIver
70'Ross for McMillan
79'McCann for Tanser
79'McGovern for Laidlaw
St. Mirren substitutes
63'Young for Sule
76'Donnelly for Carr
76'Thomas for Ramos · yellow card 90+1'
83'Idowu for Mochrie · 1 assist
Players
Falkirk
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Bain
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
2
2
Strain
RB
90
0.02
0.21
1
0.08
3
10
Melniks
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
3
4
Henderson
CB
90
0.08
0.03
0
0.14
8
10
Tanser
LB
79
0.00
0.01
0
0.06
8
3
McMillan
DM
70
0.06
0.07
1
0.00
4
5
Sibbald
DM
90
0.07
0.14
1
0.08
1
5
Gardner
RW
59
0.03
0.05
0
0.01
2
1
Yeats
AM
90
0.25
0.04
2
0.05
4
6
Laidlaw
LW
79
0.00
0.04
2
0.06
4
1
MacIver
ST
70
0.03
0.14
0
0.06
1
2
Doherty
FW
31
0.00
0.15
0
0.02
3
1
Parkinson
FW
20
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
0
Ross
FW
20
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
3
1
McCann
DF
11
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
McGovern
FW
11
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
St. Mirren
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Chapman
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
1
Fraser
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.06
3
12
Gogic
CB
90
0.07
0.00
1
0.02
1
15
Fieldson
CB
90
1
0.07
0.10
4
0.28
8
12
Richardson
RWB
90
0.00
0.11
1
0.09
4
12
Carr
CM
76
0.06
0.02
0
0.02
5
1
Nsio
CM
90
0.06
0.03
1
0.07
7
10
Phillips
CM
90
2
0.69
0.08
3
0.12
5
4
Ramos
LWB
76
0.03
0.20
1
0.07
2
2
Mochrie
ST
83
0.00
0.05
1
0.04
5
4
Sule
ST
63
0.54
0.05
0
0.09
3
0
Young
FW
27
0.03
0.04
0
0.06
2
1
Donnelly
DF
14
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
0
5
Thomas
FW
14
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
1
4
Idowu
FW
7
1
0.04
0.05
1
0.10
2
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Falkirk
St. Mirren
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Falkirk
From
To
Passes
Henderson
Tanser
16
Melniks
Bain
13
Bain
Melniks
12
Sibbald
Henderson
12
Henderson
Bain
11
St. Mirren
From
To
Passes
Gogic
Fieldson
11
Chapman
Gogic
9
Gogic
Chapman
8
Fieldson
Phillips
8
Fraser
Chapman
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Falkirk
St. Mirren
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page.
Threat
Falkirk
St. Mirren
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Falkirk
Top six
41%
31%
−10
11th
8%
11%
+3
Bottom
5%
8%
+3
St. Mirren
Top six
25%
35%
+10
11th
14%
10%
−4
Bottom
9%
5%
−4
From the forecast before the match (1 August 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Falkirk
St. Mirren
Expected goals
1.51
1.00
Win
49%
24%
Expected Points
1.73
1.00
Clean sheet
37%
22%
Falkirk 49%Draw 27%St. Mirren 24%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 50%.
From the forecast as it stood on 1 August 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Falkirk win
Draw
St. Mirren win
Falkirk
Top six
41%
49%
37%
31%
11th
8%
6%
9%
11%
Bottom
5%
3%
7%
8%
St. Mirren
Top six
25%
20%
27%
35%
11th
14%
16%
13%
10%
Bottom
9%
11%
8%
5%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Falkirk
St. Mirren
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−2%
−9%
−30%
−11%
Counter-attacks
+26%
−6%
−41%
+51%
Set pieces
−18%
−8%
+14%
−20%
Penalties
−28%
+7%
−64%
−46%
Headers
−27%
+9%
+4%
−2%
Left side
−46%
−10%
−20%
−6%
Centre
−1%
−8%
−22%
−6%
Right side
+35%
−7%
−12%
−9%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
St. Mirren createdFalkirk concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−20%−7%Centre−22%−8%Right side−12%−10%Open play−30%−9%Counter-attacks−41%−6%Set pieces+14%−8%Headers+4%+9%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Digressive Celts