Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

St. Mirren 1–2 Celtic

Saturday 5 September 2026, 20:00 · The Marbill Coaches Stadium · Round 6 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Ryan Lee · Attendance 6,911

St. Mirren Agrafiotis 22' (pen)

Celtic Scales 51', Yang 68'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenCeltic
Goals12
xG1.953.19
Non-penalty xG1.163.19
Expected Points0.672.14

St. Mirren 16%Draw 19%Celtic 65%

Most likely score 2–3, 10%. Final score 1–2, 6%.

Celtic goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+1%2%1%3%6%6%3%2%4%4%2%2%4%6%4%2%1%1%2%1%8%9%10%8%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTRamos on for Taylor, 62'Thomas on for Mochrie, 68'Sule on for Agrafiotis, 69'Young on for Carr, 83'Forrest on for Hassan, 72'Sørensen on for Baur and Tounekti on for Yang, 73'Mheuka on for Durán, 83'Murray on for Donovan, 87'Agrafiotis 22' (pen)Scales 51'Yang 68'Celtic 3.19St. Mirren 1.95012340153045607590HTRamos on for Taylor, 62'Thomas on for Mochrie, 68'Sule on for Agrafiotis, 69'Young on for Carr, 83'Forrest on for Hassan, 72'Sørensen on for Baur and Tounekti on for Yang, 73'Mheuka on for Durán, 83'Murray on for Donovan, 87'Agrafiotis 22' (pen)Scales 51'Yang 68'3.191.95St. MirrenCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenCeltic

1.95 +0.22xG3.19 −0.28
1.16Non-penalty xG3.19
1.47 −0.46xG on target1.63 −2.22
19 +4Shots24 0
6 +1.2Shots on target8 −2.0
3 +0.2Big chances7 +0.8
19 −12Touches in the opposition box47 +10
40% −8Possession60% −3
354 −78Passes527 −134
76% −5Pass accuracy85% −5
29% −24Field tilt71% −2
32 −10Final-third entries71 +9
11 −5Box entries29 +4
20.2 +6Passes per defensive action10.1 −3
6 +0.5Corners10 +0.8
29 +8Tackles19 +5
12 +2.5Interceptions11 +2.5
30 −1Clearances17 −6
5 +2.8Saves5 +2.5
6 −8.0Fouls15 +6.0
0 −1.5Offsides2 +1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Thomas 85', 0.45 xGThomas 74', 0.09 xGMochrie 62', 0.08 xGRamsay 79', 0.07 xGJohn 18', 0.06 xGSule 80', 0.06 xGTaylor 9', 0.05 xGNsio 45+2', 0.05 xGRamsay 28', 0.04 xGKabia 7', 0.03 xGTaylor 18', 0.03 xGTaylor 60', 0.03 xGKabia 56', 0.02 xGNsio 61', 0.02 xGKabia 70', 0.02 xGRamos 80', 0.02 xGYoung 90+1', 0.02 xGMochrie 19', 0.01 xG39%0.45 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.45 xG, 0 goals20%0.23 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals13%0.15 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals28%0.33 xGEdge of the box: 11 shots, 0.33 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Yang 48', 0.52 xGDurán 42', 0.29 xGTounekti 90+2', 0.28 xGYang 29', 0.21 xGScales 41', 0.20 xGHassan 48', 0.13 xGDurán 35', 0.11 xGYang 63', 0.10 xGTrusty 13', 0.08 xGDurán 24', 0.07 xGScales 55', 0.06 xGMheuka 90+7', 0.06 xGDurán 34', 0.05 xGMcGregor 40', 0.04 xGMcGregor 63', 0.04 xGTounekti 89', 0.04 xGYang 14', 0.03 xGDurán 15', 0.03 xGHassan 32', 0.03 xGHassan 38', 0.03 xGHassan 66', 0.03 xGMcGregor 41', 0.02 xGYang 68', 0.71 xG, goalScales 51', 0.03 xG, goal17%0.55 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.55 xG, 0 goals54%1.72 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 1.72 xG, 2 goals25%0.80 xGWide in the box: 10 shots, 0.80 xG, 0 goals4%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenCeltic

0.46 12 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.44 13 shots, 0 goals
0.54 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks1.26 4 shots, 1 goal
0.16 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.48 7 shots, 1 goal
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
39 min (39%) · St. Mirren 1.12, Celtic 1.08 xG
St. Mirren ahead
31 min (31%) · St. Mirren 0.09, Celtic 1.73 xG
Celtic ahead
29 min (29%) · St. Mirren 0.73, Celtic 0.37 xG

Line-ups

1471353348823193025ChapmanRamsayGogićFieldsonJohnNsioCarrMochrieKabiaTaylorAgrafiotisYellow cardYellow cardGoal83'68'62'69'St. Mirren 4-2-3-1Craig McLeish151206542222381311SinisaloDonovanCarter-VickersTrustyScalesMcGregorBaurHassanNygrenYangDuránYellow cardGoalGoal87'73'72'73'83'Celtic 4-2-3-1Martin O'Neill

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 62' Ramos for Taylor · yellow card 90+7'
  • 68' Thomas for Mochrie
  • 69' Sule for Agrafiotis · yellow card 90+6'
  • 83' Young for Carr

Celtic substitutes

  • 72' Forrest for Hassan
  • 73' Sørensen for Baur
  • 73' Tounekti for Yang
  • 83' Mheuka for Durán
  • 87' Murray for Donovan

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ChapmanGK900.000.0000.0563
Ramsay RB900.110.0200.01213
GogićCB900.000.0100.07818
FieldsonCB900.000.0000.04513
JohnLB900.060.0530.0417
Nsio DM900.070.0320.0567
CarrDM830.000.0220.0554
MochrieRW680.090.021−0.0402
KabiaAM900.080.1230.20122
TaylorLW620.110.0510.0623
AgrafiotisST6910.790.000−0.0101
Ramos MF280.020.0000.0111
ThomasFW220.540.000−0.0102
Sule FW210.060.0000.0000
YoungFW70.020.4710.2031

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SinisaloGK900.000.0000.0201
Donovan RB870.000.0210.0218
Carter-VickersCB900.000.0110.07412
TrustyCB900.080.0200.15123
ScalesLB9010.290.0500.0687
McGregorDM900.100.0400.0837
BaurDM730.000.0840.0157
HassanRW720.220.9320.61212
NygrenAM9010.000.3730.0642
YangLW7311.580.0310.14111
DuránST8310.550.1320.0752
ForrestFW180.000.0000.0210
SørensenMF170.000.1810.0430
TounektiFW170.320.1000.1360
MheukaFW70.060.0210.0520
MurrayDF30.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Chapman and John: 3 passesRamsay and Mochrie: 3 passesRamsay and Taylor: 3 passesGogić and Agrafiotis: 3 passesFieldson and Taylor: 3 passesJohn and Taylor: 3 passesMochrie and Taylor: 3 passesMochrie and Kabia: 3 passesTaylor and Agrafiotis: 3 passesChapman and Agrafiotis: 4 passesFieldson and Nsio: 4 passesCarr and Nsio: 4 passesTaylor and Kabia: 4 passesChapman and Gogić: 5 passesChapman and Carr: 5 passesFieldson and John: 5 passesJohn and Nsio: 5 passesJohn and Kabia: 5 passesCarr and Mochrie: 5 passesGogić and Mochrie: 6 passesFieldson and Carr: 7 passesChapman and Fieldson: 8 passesCarr and Taylor: 11 passesRamsay and Gogić: 12 passesGogić and Carr: 12 passesRamsay and Carr: 13 passesChapman: 14 completed passesRamsay: 18 completed passesGogić: 30 completed passesFieldson: 18 completed passesJohn: 14 completed passesCarr: 29 completed passesNsio: 9 completed passesMochrie: 10 completed passesTaylor: 19 completed passesKabia: 7 completed passesAgrafiotis: 4 completed passes1471353384823301925ChapmanRamsayGogićFieldsonJohnCarrNsioMochrieTaylorKabiaAgrafiotisStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Donovan and McGregor: 6 passesDonovan and Nygren: 6 passesBaur and Hassan: 6 passesBaur and Nygren: 6 passesMcGregor and Nygren: 6 passesTrusty and McGregor: 7 passesMcGregor and Yang: 7 passesMcGregor and Durán: 7 passesCarter-Vickers and Baur: 8 passesHassan and Nygren: 8 passesScales and Nygren: 9 passesBaur and Yang: 9 passesScales and McGregor: 10 passesBaur and McGregor: 10 passesCarter-Vickers and Hassan: 11 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 14 passesTrusty and Baur: 16 passesTrusty and Yang: 17 passesSinisalo and Carter-Vickers: 18 passesDonovan and Hassan: 18 passesDonovan and Carter-Vickers: 19 passesSinisalo and Trusty: 20 passesScales and Baur: 20 passesTrusty and Scales: 21 passesScales and Yang: 25 passesTrusty and Carter-Vickers: 26 passesSinisalo: 27 completed passesDonovan: 31 completed passesTrusty: 57 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 57 completed passesScales: 49 completed passesBaur: 42 completed passesMcGregor: 39 completed passesHassan: 18 completed passesNygren: 27 completed passesYang: 32 completed passesDurán: 11 completed passes151620522422381311SinisaloDonovanTrustyCarter-VickersScalesBaurMcGregorHassanNygrenYangDuránStarters until 72' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FieldsonChapman11
GogićCarr9
RamsayGogić9
GogićRamsay8
RamsayCarr8

Celtic

FromToPasses
Carter-VickersTrusty15
ScalesYang15
SinisaloTrusty15
SinisaloCarter-Vickers14
Carter-VickersDonovan14

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

9+3.811+1.218+4.010+2.86+1.012+2.814+4.58+1.27−3.08+2.84+0.81−2.84−0.54−0.24+0.52−0.53−0.23−2.00−2.52+0.50−1.81−1.21−1.50−0.21+0.80−1.20−1.00−1.03−5.22−4.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Celtic

4+2.06+0.814+4.58+2.81−3.29+4.28+1.21−4.88+1.83−2.08+4.05−0.23−1.55−0.25−0.23+1.84+1.86+3.09+2.86+3.53+1.21−2.28+6.03+0.210.02+1.01+0.21+0.81−0.20−5.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.040.010.010.020.030.040.030.020.030.050.080.02−0.03−0.010.06−0.010.140.20LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.010.020.030.010.050.030.040.070.070.060.040.070.120.110.010.160.070.030.010.040.190.26LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackSt. Mirren1.16 → 1.15Celtic2.19 → 2.19Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.34 → 1.36Celtic0.87 → 0.87

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six62%58%−4
11th2%3%+1
Bottom1%1%0
Celtic
Title87%90%+3
Rangers
Title11%9%−2
Falkirk
Top six18%19%+1
11th13%13%0
Bottom11%11%0

From the forecast before the match (5 September 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenCeltic
Expected goals0.861.94
Win15%62%
Expected Points0.692.09
Clean sheet14%42%

St. Mirren 15%Draw 22%Celtic 62%

Most likely score 0–2, 11%. Both sides score 50%.

Celtic goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+7%7%4%1%5%6%3%1%2%4%4%3%1%1%1%11%11%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 5 September 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawCeltic win
St. Mirren
Top six62%75%64%58%
11th2%1%2%3%
Bottom1%<1%1%1%
Celtic
Title87%81%84%90%
Rangers
Title11%16%14%9%
Falkirk
Top six18%15%16%19%
11th13%14%12%13%
Bottom11%10%11%11%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. W1–02 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.85–0.41
  2. D3–330 AugMotherwell (H)xG 2.92–2.45
  3. W1–08 AugSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.58–1.17
  4. W2–01 AugFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–0.55
  5. D1–117 MayDundee United (H)xG 1.02–0.50
  6. W2–012 MayAberdeen (A)xG 1.50–0.53

Celtic

  1. W3–02 SepAberdeen (H)xG 2.67–0.68
  2. W2–129 AugFalkirk (H)xG 3.45–0.57
  3. W5–19 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 5.50–0.98
  4. W1–03 AugDundee FC (H)xG 2.26–0.49
  5. W3–116 MayHearts (H)xG 2.83–0.93
  6. W3–213 MayMotherwell (A)xG 1.38–1.24

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenCeltic
Position2nd1st
Played44
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠1–⁠04–⁠0–⁠0
Points10 (2.50 per game)12 (3.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.812.73
Goals7–⁠311–⁠2
xG per game1.73–⁠1.153.47–⁠0.68
Home: points, xG per game2.00, 2.25–⁠1.813.00, 2.79–⁠0.58
Away: points, xG per game3.00, 1.21–⁠0.483.00, 5.50–⁠0.98
ManagerCraig McLeish (13)Martin O'Neill (22)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackSt. Mirren1.16, 9thCeltic2.19, 1stDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.34, 6thCeltic0.87, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepSt. Mirren attack: 1.16Celtic attack: 2.192.191.16CelticSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5AugSepSt. Mirren defence: 1.34Celtic defence: 0.871.340.87

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−15%−37%+163%−51%
Counter-attacks+42%−30%+96%−81%
Set pieces−6%−31%−32%−21%
Penalties−3%+88%−52%−64%
Headers−18%−45%+143%−25%
Left side+3%−5%+139%−59%
Centreaverage−54%+134%−39%
Right side−18%−36%+30%−50%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdCeltic concededLeft side+3%−50%Centreaverage−39%Right side−18%−59%Open play−15%−51%Counter-attacks+42%−81%Set pieces−6%−21%Headers−18%−25%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+139%−36%Centre+134%−54%Right side+30%−5%Open play+163%−37%Counter-attacks+96%−30%Set pieces−32%−31%Headers+143%−45%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenCeltic

1.73xG3.47
1.15xG against0.68
48%Possession63%
15.2Shots24.2
12.2Shots against9.0
4.8Shots on target10.0
2.8Big chances6.2
31.5Touches in the opposition box37.0
432Passes661
81%Pass accuracy90%
5.5Corners9.2
53%Field tilt73%
41.8Final-third entries62.2
16.2Box entries24.5
14.3Passes per defensive action13.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level232.221.60
Ahead571.540.70
Behind101.692.57

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level183.410.43
Ahead723.480.74
Behind0––

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.402–1
16–300.160.120–1
31–450.440.053–0
46–600.180.240–0
61–750.480.101–0
76–900.350.231–1

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.540.233–0
16–300.690.111–0
31–450.840.104–0
46–600.420.092–1
61–750.390.101–1
76–900.580.060–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTChapman 4Ramsay 2Fraser 1Richardson 1Gogić 4Fraser 1Fieldson 3John 3Sule 1Carr 4Nsio 3Phillips 1Ramos 2Mochrie 1Richardson 1Nsio 1Mochrie 1Taylor 1Kabia 2Mochrie 1Ramos 1Agrafiotis 2Mochrie 1Sule 14-2-3-1 in 3 of 4 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (3), 3-5-2 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTSinisalo 4Donovan 2Johnston 2Carter-Vickers 4Trusty 3Scales 1Tierney 3Scales 1McGregor 3Baur 1Oxlade-Chamberlain 2Engels 2Durán 2Hassan 2Nygren 4Yang 4Durán 2Høgh 24-2-3-1 in 3 of 4 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
11 April 2026Celtic1–0St. MirrenxG 0.94–0.25
22 November 2025St. Mirren0–1CelticxG 1.53–0.88
3 August 2025Celtic1–0St. MirrenxG 1.41–0.23
17 May 2025Celtic1–1St. MirrenxG 2.55–0.20
1 March 2025St. Mirren2–5CelticxG 1.63–3.37
5 January 2025Celtic3–0St. MirrenxG 2.60–1.08

21 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 2, Celtic won 16, and 3 were drawn. Goals 14–52 and xG 0.69–2.36 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
John312,647250.040.22
Young5613200.230.03
Phillips393,358700.160.08
Idowu161,310010.070.13

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nygren332,8531970.520.27
Forrest3837110.280.40
McCowan121,275210.200.30
Yang322,378910.330.17

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.