Digressive Celts

Matches › 2026/27

St. Mirren 3–3 Motherwell

Sunday 30 August 2026, 15:00 · The Marbill Coaches Stadium · Round 4 · Half-time 3–2 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 5,295

St. Mirren Nsio 39', John 44', Ramos 45+3'

Motherwell Maswanhise 2', Charles-Cook 24', Kanga 90+4'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenMotherwell
Goals33
xG2.922.45
Non-penalty xG2.921.66
Expected Points1.661.11

St. Mirren 48%Draw 23%Motherwell 29%

Most likely score 2–2, 9%. Final score 3–3, 8%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+1%2%5%4%2%4%3%5%3%1%3%6%5%2%2%3%3%1%2%1%9%7%9%8%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTTaylor on for Agrafiotis, Sule on for Mochrie, and Richardson on for Ramsay, 61'Thomas on for Ramos, 71'Young on for Kabia, 75'O'Donnell on for Sparrow, 46'Houlden on for Charles-Cook and Kanga on for Maswanhise, 58'Williams on for Hodge, 71'Bjørgolfsson on for Said, 73'Nsio 39'John 44'Ramos 45+3'Maswanhise 2'Charles-Cook 24'Kanga 90+4'St. Mirren 2.92Motherwell 2.45012340153045607590HTTaylor on for Agrafiotis, Sule on for Mochrie, and Richardson on for Ramsay, 61'Thomas on for Ramos, 71'Young on for Kabia, 75'O'Donnell on for Sparrow, 46'Houlden on for Charles-Cook and Kanga on for Maswanhise, 58'Williams on for Hodge, 71'Bjørgolfsson on for Said, 73'Nsio 39'John 44'Ramos 45+3'Maswanhise 2'Charles-Cook 24'Kanga 90+4'2.922.45St. MirrenMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenMotherwell

2.92 +1.34xG2.45 +0.72
2.92Non-penalty xG1.66
3.55 +1.80xG on target2.18 +0.83
23 +9Shots22 +12
9 +4.5Shots on target7 +4.0
4 +1.0Big chances3 0.0
45 +19Touches in the opposition box32 +13
45% −2Possession55% 0
424 +35Passes519 −16
84% +6Pass accuracy90% +3
51% +2Field tilt49% +3
46 +5Final-third entries49 +18
24 +11Box entries12 +1
15.3 +3Passes per defensive action10.9 −3
7 +1.0Corners7 +5.0
20 −2Tackles18 +3
10 +2.0Interceptions4 −4.0
23 −14Clearances23 −7
4 +2.5Saves6 +4.0
14 0Fouls12 −3
1 −1.0Offsides2 +0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Young 90+1', 0.54 xGAgrafiotis 36', 0.21 xGKabia 63', 0.21 xGFieldson 89', 0.18 xGTaylor 63', 0.14 xGRichardson 72', 0.12 xGKabia 30', 0.08 xGMochrie 36', 0.08 xGRamos 53', 0.06 xGNsio 60', 0.06 xGSule 68', 0.06 xGMochrie 12', 0.05 xGYoung 81', 0.04 xGRamsay 28', 0.03 xGKabia 49', 0.03 xGSule 72', 0.03 xGYoung 78', 0.03 xGSule 88', 0.03 xGSule 88', 0.03 xGTaylor 80', 0.02 xGRamos 45+4', 0.55 xG, goalJohn 44', 0.18 xG, goalNsio 39', 0.16 xG, goal13%0.39 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.39 xG, 0 goals63%1.86 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.86 xG, 2 goals16%0.48 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.48 xG, 1 goal4%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals3%0.08 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Bjørgolfsson 75', 0.14 xGKanga 90+2', 0.10 xGLowry 42', 0.08 xGMaswanhise 21', 0.07 xGKnight-Lebel 4', 0.06 xGHoulden 74', 0.06 xGHoulden 78', 0.06 xGLowry 90', 0.06 xGBjørgolfsson 76', 0.05 xGCharles-Cook 24', 0.04 xGLongelo 38', 0.04 xGHoulden 90+2', 0.04 xGSparrow 24', 0.03 xGLongelo 60', 0.03 xGLowry 6', 0.02 xGLongelo 26', 0.02 xGLowry 57', 0.02 xGLowry 89', 0.02 xGMaswanhise 2', 0.66 xG, goalCharles-Cook 24', 0.05 xG, goalKanga 90+3', 0.03 xG, goal4%0.06 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals22%0.36 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.36 xG, 0 goals60%1.01 xGWide in the box: 9 shots, 1.01 xG, 2 goals13%0.22 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.22 xG, 1 goal1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenMotherwell

0.88 15 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.18 12 shots, 1 goal
1.11 5 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.06 1 shot, 0 goals
0.94 3 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.43 8 shots, 2 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
7 min (7%) · St. Mirren 0.55, Motherwell 0.66 xG
St. Mirren ahead
50 min (51%) · St. Mirren 1.58, Motherwell 0.60 xG
Motherwell ahead
42 min (42%) · St. Mirren 0.79, Motherwell 1.20 xG

Line-ups

1471353384810231925ChapmanRamsayGogicFieldsonJohnCarrNsioRamosMochrieKabiaAgrafiotisGoalYellow cardGoalGoal61'71'61'75'61'St. Mirren 4-2-3-1Craig McLeish17454518871191117PaulsenSparrowKnight-LebelMoormannLongeloMaswanhiseFadingerHodgeSaidLowryCharles-CookYellow cardGoalGoal46'58'71'73'58'Motherwell 4-4-2Alfred Johansson

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 61' Taylor for Agrafiotis
  • 61' Richardson for Ramsay
  • 61' Sule for Mochrie
  • 71' Thomas for Ramos
  • 75' Young for Kabia · yellow card 89'

Motherwell substitutes

  • 46' O'Donnell for Sparrow · yellow card 47'
  • 58' Kanga for Maswanhise · goal 90+4'
  • 58' Houlden for Charles-Cook
  • 71' Williams for Hodge
  • 73' Bjørgolfsson for Said

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ChapmanGK900.000.0300.1372
RamsayRB610.030.4420.1144
GogicCB9010.000.2010.1797
FieldsonCB900.180.0010.02314
JohnLB9010.180.0100.0433
Carr DM900.000.0310.091210
NsioDM9010.230.030−0.0447
RamosRW71120.600.2920.1691
MochrieAM610.130.112−0.0113
KabiaLW750.320.2910.2690
AgrafiotisST610.210.1210.0202
TaylorMF290.160.0510.0651
RichardsonMF290.120.000−0.0102
SuleFW290.150.1920.0630
ThomasFW190.000.2530.0612
Young FW150.610.0000.0910

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
PaulsenGK900.000.0000.0102
SparrowRB460.030.000−0.0106
Knight-LebelCB900.060.0200.101112
Moormann CB900.000.0310.0945
LongeloLB900.080.3540.2181
MaswanhiseRM5811.520.0200.1142
FadingerCM900.000.0200.0145
HodgeCM710.000.0220.0826
SaidLM730.000.0100.0014
LowryST9010.200.5550.17111
Charles-CookST5810.090.0210.0312
O'Donnell DF440.000.0400.0836
KangaFW3210.130.0200.0220
HouldenFW320.160.0010.0000
WilliamsMF190.000.0200.0011
BjørgolfssonFW170.190.0110.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Chapman and Carr: 5 passesRamsay and Agrafiotis: 5 passesGogic and Nsio: 5 passesCarr and Agrafiotis: 5 passesNsio and Kabia: 5 passesRamsay and Ramos: 6 passesCarr and Ramos: 6 passesRamos and Agrafiotis: 7 passesJohn and Nsio: 8 passesJohn and Kabia: 8 passesCarr and Nsio: 8 passesChapman and Fieldson: 9 passesRamsay and Carr: 9 passesRamos and Mochrie: 9 passesMochrie and Kabia: 9 passesFieldson and Carr: 10 passesChapman and Gogic: 11 passesRamsay and Gogic: 11 passesGogic and Carr: 11 passesFieldson and John: 12 passesGogic and Fieldson: 17 passesChapman: 20 completed passesRamsay: 28 completed passesGogic: 34 completed passesFieldson: 30 completed passesJohn: 22 completed passesCarr: 32 completed passesNsio: 20 completed passesRamos: 22 completed passesMochrie: 19 completed passesKabia: 11 completed passesAgrafiotis: 16 completed passes1471353384810231925ChapmanRamsayGogicFieldsonJohnCarrNsioRamosMochrieKabiaAgrafiotisStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Motherwell

Paulsen and Hodge: 3 passesSparrow and Fadinger: 3 passesLongelo and Lowry: 3 passesSparrow and Maswanhise: 4 passesHodge and Said: 4 passesSaid and Charles-Cook: 4 passesLongelo and Charles-Cook: 5 passesLongelo and Fadinger: 6 passesLongelo and Said: 6 passesMaswanhise and Lowry: 6 passesPaulsen and Fadinger: 7 passesKnight-Lebel and Said: 7 passesKnight-Lebel and Hodge: 8 passesFadinger and Hodge: 8 passesFadinger and Lowry: 8 passesSparrow and Knight-Lebel: 9 passesMoormann and Fadinger: 9 passesMoormann and Hodge: 10 passesHodge and Lowry: 10 passesMoormann and Longelo: 11 passesKnight-Lebel and Fadinger: 12 passesKnight-Lebel and Lowry: 12 passesLongelo and Hodge: 12 passesPaulsen and Moormann: 17 passesMoormann and Knight-Lebel: 17 passesPaulsen and Knight-Lebel: 21 passesPaulsen: 27 completed passesSparrow: 12 completed passesMoormann: 37 completed passesKnight-Lebel: 45 completed passesLongelo: 24 completed passesFadinger: 27 completed passesHodge: 31 completed passesMaswanhise: 7 completed passesLowry: 23 completed passesSaid: 11 completed passesCharles-Cook: 5 completed passes17544587118111917PaulsenSparrowMoormannKnight-LebelLongeloFadingerHodgeMaswanhiseLowrySaidCharles-CookStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
GogicFieldson17
FieldsonGogic11
FieldsonChapman10
CarrGogic9
JohnNsio9

Motherwell

FromToPasses
PaulsenKnight-Lebel20
PaulsenMoormann16
Knight-LebelPaulsen14
MoormannKnight-Lebel13
MoormannPaulsen13

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

4−1.08−3.016+2.52−4.57−1.5100.09+3.07−2.09−0.57+2.02−0.530.03−1.07+1.510+6.52−3.52−1.06+4.08+4.52−1.50−2.51−2.02−1.54+1.00−0.50−0.52+0.52+1.51−0.52−7.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 2 matches

Motherwell

6+3.016+6.560.03−0.59−1.04−5.59−1.55−4.51−4.07+1.57+4.55+1.540.04−0.55+1.56+4.52−0.53+1.05+2.54+1.520.01+0.54+2.04+2.00−1.01+1.01+0.51+0.50−0.512−9.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 2 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.040.030.010.050.020.020.040.030.030.040.070.040.06−0.020.030.020.100.090.080.110.090.080.11LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.010.050.010.010.010.040.060.020.080.010.040.030.030.03−0.010.050.070.020.020.040.140.14LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Mirren1.12 → 1.15Motherwell1.36 → 1.38Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.35 → 1.37Motherwell1.23 → 1.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six47%45%−2
11th6%7%+1
Bottom3%3%0
Motherwell
Title<1%<1%0
Top six77%77%0
11th1%1%0
Hibernian
Top six77%79%+2
11th1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (30 August 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenMotherwell
Expected goals1.191.22
Win35%36%
Expected Points1.331.38
Clean sheet29%31%

St. Mirren 35%Draw 29%Motherwell 36%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 50%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+10%7%3%8%3%1%6%8%5%2%2%3%2%10%10%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 August 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawMotherwell win
St. Mirren
Top six47%57%45%38%
11th6%4%7%8%
Bottom3%2%3%4%
Motherwell
Title<1%<1%<1%1%
Top six77%69%77%84%
11th1%2%1%1%
Hibernian
Top six77%75%79%78%
11th1%2%1%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. W1–08 AugSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.58–1.17
  2. W2–01 AugFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–0.55
  3. D1–117 MayDundee United (H)xG 1.02–0.50
  4. W2–012 MayAberdeen (A)xG 1.50–0.53
  5. L0–39 MayKilmarnock (H)xG 1.21–1.49
  6. L0–12 MayDundee FC (A)xG 0.51–0.46

Motherwell

  1. D0–09 AugFalkirk (H)xG 1.27–0.55
  2. W2–12 AugHibernian (A)xG 2.19–1.94
  3. W1–016 MayHibernian (A)xG 1.16–0.76
  4. L2–313 MayCeltic (H)xG 1.24–1.38
  5. D1–19 MayHearts (H)xG 0.55–1.33
  6. L0–12 MayFalkirk (A)xG 1.33–2.42

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenMotherwell
Position4th5th
Played22
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠0–⁠01–⁠1–⁠0
Points6 (3.00 per game)4 (2.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.921.75
Goals3–⁠02–⁠1
xG per game1.58–⁠0.861.73–⁠1.25
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 1.58–⁠1.171.00, 1.27–⁠0.55
Away: points, xG per game3.00, 1.57–⁠0.553.00, 2.19–⁠1.94
ManagerCraig McLeish (11)Alfred Johansson (2)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Mirren1.12, 10thMotherwell1.36, 5thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.35, 6thMotherwell1.23, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSt. Mirren attack: 1.12Motherwell attack: 1.361.361.12MotherwellSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSt. Mirren defence: 1.35Motherwell defence: 1.231.351.23

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−18%−31%+5%−19%
Counter-attacks−32%+13%+44%−33%
Set pieces−18%−35%−49%−27%
Penalties−13%−1%+58%+35%
Headers−10%−32%−49%−41%
Left side−9%−22%−6%−23%
Centre−34%−32%−37%−21%
Right sideaverage−24%+71%−30%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdMotherwell concededLeft side−9%−30%Centre−34%−21%Right sideaverage−23%Open play−18%−19%Counter-attacks−32%−33%Set pieces−18%−27%Headers−10%−41%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−6%−24%Centre−37%−32%Right side+71%−22%Open play+5%−31%Counter-attacks+44%+13%Set pieces−49%−35%Headers−49%−32%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenMotherwell

1.58xG1.73
0.86xG against1.25
47%Possession55%
14.0Shots10.0
9.5Shots against14.5
4.5Shots on target3.0
3.0Big chances3.0
26.0Touches in the opposition box19.0
389Passes536
78%Pass accuracy87%
6.0Corners2.0
48%Field tilt47%
41.0Final-third entries31.0
13.0Box entries11.0
12.3Passes per defensive action13.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.701.03
Ahead481.460.70
Behind0––

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level801.560.78
Ahead103.004.84
Behind0––

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.031–0
16–300.230.100–0
31–450.160.040–0
46–600.110.440–0
61–750.670.061–0
76–900.260.181–0

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.050–0
16–300.230.040–0
31–450.560.031–0
46–600.280.520–1
61–750.130.150–0
76–900.440.461–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTChapman 2Fraser 1Richardson 1Gogic 2Fraser 1Fieldson 1Sule 1John 1Carr 2Phillips 1Nsio 1Richardson 1Ramos 1Nsio 1Phillips 1Ramos 1Mochrie 1Mochrie 1Sule 14-2-3-1 in 1 of 2 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPaulsen 2Sparrow 2Knight-Lebel 1Girdwood-Reich 1Moormann 2Longelo 1Williams 1Priestman 2Fadinger 2Vogt 2Booth 1Charles-Cook 1Longelo 1Said 1Said 1Maswanhise 14-2-3-1 in 1 of 2 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
21 February 2026St. Mirren0–5MotherwellxG 1.00–2.20
3 January 2026Motherwell2–0St. MirrenxG 1.88–0.30
9 August 2025St. Mirren0–0MotherwellxG 1.31–0.53
15 March 2025Motherwell2–2St. MirrenxG 0.67–1.24
7 December 2024St. Mirren0–1MotherwellxG 0.55–1.74
28 September 2024Motherwell2–1St. MirrenxG 2.07–2.33

19 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 3, Motherwell won 8, and 8 were drawn. Goals 14–25 and xG 1.16–1.37 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
John292,467150.030.24
Phillips393,358700.160.08
Idowu161,310010.070.13
Young5569200.150.03

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Maswanhise362,9851720.460.09
Said272,434400.180.14
Charles-Cook9896020.180.13
Longelo332,887840.150.14

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.