Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

St. Johnstone 1–3 Hibernian

Saturday 27 April 2024, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 34 · Half-time 0–2 · Referee David Munro · Attendance 4,450

St. Johnstone Kimpioka 89'

Hibernian Marcondes 6', Hanlon 44', Vente 76'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Goals13
xG0.821.76
Expected Points0.692.05

St. Johnstone 15%Draw 25%Hibernian 60%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Final score 1–3, 7%.

Hibernian goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+6%7%2%6%7%2%2%5%5%3%12%12%14%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTKimpioka on for Sidibeh, 45+2'May on for Clark, Wright on for Franczak, and C. Smith on for M. Smith, 61'MacPherson on for Phillips, 84'Hanlon on for Fish, 24'Vente on for Le Fondre, 70'Campbell on for Marcondes, 71'Stevenson on for Maolida, 79'Levitt on for Moriah-Welsh, 80'Kimpioka 89'Marcondes 6'Hanlon 44'Vente 76'Hibernian 1.76St. Johnstone 0.8200.511.520153045607590HTKimpioka on for Sidibeh, 45+2'May on for Clark, Wright on for Franczak, and C. Smith on for M. Smith, 61'MacPherson on for Phillips, 84'Hanlon on for Fish, 24'Vente on for Le Fondre, 70'Campbell on for Marcondes, 71'Stevenson on for Maolida, 79'Levitt on for Moriah-Welsh, 80'Kimpioka 89'Marcondes 6'Hanlon 44'Vente 76'1.760.82St. JohnstoneHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneHibernian

0.82 −0.07xG1.76 +0.55
1.78 +0.93xG on target1.94 +0.68
9 −0.2Shots16 +5.0
3 +0.3Shots on target8 +4.0
2 +0.7Big chances2 +0.2
16 +1Touches in the opposition box27 +3
49% +5Possession51% −2
385 +53Passes406 −18
71% +6Pass accuracy73% −4
64% +26Field tilt36% −12
37 +10Final-third entries35 −2
6 −0.7Box entries13 +1.2
14.2 −2Passes per defensive action14.0 −2
1 −2.8Corners7 +1.8
17 −1Tackles13 −1
9 −0.4Interceptions4 −3.3
27 +1Clearances18 −6
4 +0.4Saves2 −0.8
11 −0.8Fouls8 −1.9
2 +0.5Offsides2 +0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Sidibeh 9', 0.32 xGM. Smith 52', 0.09 xGGordon 13', 0.05 xGMay 89', 0.05 xGGordon 79', 0.03 xGSidibeh 19', 0.02 xGPhillips 37', 0.02 xGWright 66', 0.02 xGKimpioka 89', 0.22 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals69%0.56 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.56 xG, 1 goal10%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals19%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Boyle 43', 0.29 xGMaolida 55', 0.21 xGMarcondes 36', 0.13 xGBoyle 43', 0.13 xGMarcondes 57', 0.11 xGMaolida 10', 0.08 xGHanlon 44', 0.08 xGCampbell 87', 0.07 xGCadden 39', 0.06 xGHanlon 72', 0.04 xGMaolida 57', 0.03 xGMoriah-Welsh 34', 0.02 xGHanlon 69', 0.01 xGVente 76', 0.38 xG, goalHanlon 44', 0.09 xG, goalMarcondes 6', 0.03 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals84%1.48 xGCentral box: 11 shots, 1.48 xG, 2 goals5%0.08 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals9%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals3%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 1 goal

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneHibernian

0.73 7 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.75 7 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.63 3 shots, 0 goals
0.08 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.38 6 shots, 2 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
6 min (7%) · St. Johnstone 0.00, Hibernian 0.04 xG
Hibernian ahead
86 min (93%) · St. Johnstone 0.82, Hibernian 1.73 xG

Line-ups

156434462211191016MitovMcGowanGordonConsidinePhillipsFranczakM. SmithCareyRobinsonClarkSidibeh84'61'61'61'45+2'St. Johnstone 3-1-4-2Craig Levein11253321301110201719MarshallCaddenFishBushiriObitaMoriah-WelshNewellBoyleMarcondesMaolidaLe FondreYellow cardGoal24'80'71'79'70'Hibernian 4-2-3-1Nick Montgomery

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 45+2' Kimpioka for Sidibeh · goal 89'
  • 61' C. Smith for M. Smith
  • 61' Wright for Franczak
  • 61' May for Clark
  • 84' MacPherson for Phillips

Hibernian substitutes

  • 24' Hanlon for Fish · goal 44'
  • 70' Vente for Le Fondre · goal 76'
  • 71' Campbell for Marcondes · 1 assist
  • 79' Stevenson for Maolida
  • 80' Levitt for Moriah-Welsh

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0010.0112
McGowanCB900.000.0200.0577
GordonCB900.080.0110.04413
ConsidineCB900.000.0110.0337
PhillipsDM840.020.0310.0419
FranczakRWB610.000.0000.0343
M. SmithCM610.090.0200.0122
CareyCM900.000.1020.1471
RobinsonLWB9010.000.4710.2339
ClarkST610.000.090−0.0401
SidibehST450.330.0100.0000
KimpiokaFW4510.220.041−0.0500
C. SmithMF290.000.0000.0110
WrightMF290.020.0100.0332
MayFW290.050.0000.0202
MacPhersonMF60.000.0000.0000

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MarshallGK900.000.0000.0230
CaddenRB900.060.0200.1068
FishCB240.000.0000.0102
Bushiri CB900.000.0000.0225
ObitaLB900.000.0000.0332
Moriah-WelshDM800.020.0110.0323
NewellDM900.000.0500.1353
BoyleRW900.420.1930.2590
MarcondesAM7110.280.071−0.0833
MaolidaLW790.310.2620.1972
Le FondreST700.000.0500.0941
HanlonDF6610.220.0000.0116
VenteFW2010.380.0310.0700
CampbellMF1910.070.0310.1141
StevensonMF110.000.0000.0120
LevittMF100.000.0200.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Mitov and McGowan: 3 passesMcGowan and Carey: 3 passesConsidine and Phillips: 3 passesConsidine and Robinson: 3 passesConsidine and Clark: 3 passesPhillips and Carey: 3 passesPhillips and Robinson: 3 passesFranczak and Clark: 3 passesSidibeh and Clark: 3 passesMitov and Considine: 4 passesMcGowan and Franczak: 4 passesMcGowan and Clark: 4 passesPhillips and M. Smith: 4 passesFranczak and Sidibeh: 4 passesMcGowan and Phillips: 5 passesPhillips and Clark: 5 passesMcGowan and M. Smith: 6 passesGordon and Carey: 6 passesFranczak and M. Smith: 7 passesCarey and Robinson: 8 passesConsidine and Carey: 10 passesMitov: 4 completed passesMcGowan: 14 completed passesConsidine: 15 completed passesGordon: 6 completed passesPhillips: 16 completed passesFranczak: 12 completed passesCarey: 21 completed passesM. Smith: 12 completed passesRobinson: 8 completed passesSidibeh: 4 completed passesClark: 12 completed passes154634461122191610MitovMcGowanConsidineGordonPhillipsFranczakCareyM. SmithRobinsonSidibehClarkStarters until 45+2' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

Cadden and Le Fondre: 3 passesBushiri and Maolida: 3 passesFish and Marcondes: 3 passesNewell and Le Fondre: 3 passesMarcondes and Maolida: 3 passesMarshall and Fish: 4 passesCadden and Boyle: 4 passesBushiri and Obita: 4 passesObita and Maolida: 4 passesMarshall and Bushiri: 5 passesCadden and Newell: 5 passesObita and Newell: 5 passesCadden and Fish: 6 passesBushiri and Fish: 6 passesMarshall: 7 completed passesCadden: 11 completed passesBushiri: 11 completed passesFish: 13 completed passesObita: 9 completed passesMoriah-Welsh: 3 completed passesNewell: 11 completed passesBoyle: 1 completed passesMarcondes: 5 completed passesMaolida: 5 completed passesLe Fondre: 4 completed passes11233521301110201719MarshallCaddenBushiriFishObitaMoriah-WelshNewellBoyleMarcondesMaolidaLe FondreStarters until 24' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
CareyRobinson10
ConsidineRobinson10
RobinsonCarey8
ConsidineCarey8
RobinsonConsidine8

Hibernian

FromToPasses
HanlonMarshall10
BushiriMarshall9
CaddenBoyle8
CaddenNewell8
CaddenLe Fondre7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

1−4.96−1.615−0.68−1.56−1.26−0.79+1.56+0.211+3.39+3.12−2.83−0.57+1.96−0.52−2.05+1.93+1.13+0.27+2.72+0.14+2.52+0.90−1.34+1.61+0.30−0.12+1.73+2.87+6.23−5.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Hibernian

8+2.64−3.27+0.31−3.27−0.47+0.65−0.28+0.78+2.070.09+4.62−0.86+0.62−3.52−3.33−0.42+0.13+0.16+3.13+1.20−1.20−0.90−1.41−0.90−0.71+0.71+0.61+0.60−0.78−8.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.020.010.010.010.010.010.030.030.010.070.030.040.060.010.040.02−0.01−0.02−0.010.020.010.15LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.110.010.010.010.010.050.020.030.030.040.060.030.030.130.060.030.01−0.100.020.190.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackSt. Johnstone0.93 → 0.92Hibernian1.21 → 1.23Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.53 → 1.55Hibernian1.34 → 1.31

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
11th46%57%+11
Ross County
11th51%41%−10

From the forecast before the match (27 April 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Expected goals1.141.28
Win32%39%
Expected Points1.261.46
Clean sheet28%32%

St. Johnstone 32%Draw 29%Hibernian 39%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 50%.

Hibernian goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%7%3%1%9%8%4%1%6%7%5%2%2%3%2%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 27 April 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawHibernian win
St. Johnstone
11th46%30%49%57%
Ross County
11th51%66%49%41%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–213 AprKilmarnock (H)xG 1.22–3.51
  2. W2–16 AprHibernian (A)xG 0.62–0.95
  3. L1–230 MarDundee FC (H)xG 1.28–1.03
  4. L1–316 MarCeltic (A)xG 0.73–4.02
  5. D1–12 MarLivingston (H)xG 1.09–0.54
  6. W2–028 FebAberdeen (A)xG 1.69–2.17

Hibernian

  1. D1–113 AprMotherwell (A)xG 1.51–0.97
  2. L1–26 AprSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.95–0.62
  3. L1–330 MarRangers (A)xG 0.50–2.82
  4. W3–016 MarLivingston (H)xG 2.56–0.93
  5. D2–213 MarRoss County (A)xG 1.33–1.14
  6. W2–02 MarRoss County (H)xG 1.27–0.35

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Position10th7th
Played3333
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠10–⁠169–⁠12–⁠12
Points31 (0.94 per game)39 (1.18 per game)
Expected Points per game0.911.19
Goals24–⁠4644–⁠51
xG per game0.89–⁠1.681.21–⁠1.50
Home: points, xG per game1.06, 1.02–⁠1.511.29, 1.32–⁠1.32
Away: points, xG per game0.81, 0.75–⁠1.871.06, 1.09–⁠1.69
ManagerCraig Levein (23)Nick Montgomery (29)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackSt. Johnstone0.93, 11thHibernian1.21, 6thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.53, 10thHibernian1.34, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprSt. Johnstone attack: 0.93Hibernian attack: 1.211.210.93HibernianSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprSt. Johnstone defence: 1.53Hibernian defence: 1.341.531.34

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−38%+20%−3%+7%
Counter-attacks−57%+32%−25%−25%
Set pieces−4%+41%−16%+3%
Penalties−70%−10%−40%+50%
Headers−4%+35%−28%−16%
Left side−38%+10%−8%−11%
Centre−21%+28%−18%+6%
Right side−43%+43%+9%+13%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHibernian concededLeft side−38%+13%Centre−21%+6%Right side−43%−11%Open play−38%+7%Counter-attacks−57%−25%Set pieces−4%+3%Headers−4%−16%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−8%+43%Centre−18%+28%Right side+9%+10%Open play−3%+20%Counter-attacks−25%+32%Set pieces−16%+41%Headers−28%+35%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneHibernian

0.89xG1.21
1.68xG against1.50
44%Possession53%
9.2Shots11.0
14.8Shots against13.5
2.7Shots on target4.0
1.3Big chances1.8
14.9Touches in the opposition box23.6
332Passes424
65%Pass accuracy77%
3.8Corners5.2
38%Field tilt48%
26.8Final-third entries36.8
6.7Box entries11.8
16.4Passes per defensive action15.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.801.22
Ahead150.812.02
Behind271.092.34

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.321.35
Ahead221.071.60
Behind241.121.66

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.144–2
16–300.120.202–5
31–450.150.204–8
46–600.150.324–8
61–750.120.372–11
76–900.270.468–12

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.215–6
16–300.200.176–6
31–450.200.315–9
46–600.170.237–8
61–750.200.2412–8
76–900.260.349–14

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMitov 33McGowan 18M. Smith 4Costelloe 4Gordon 26McClelland 5Considine 22Robinson 9Keltjens 10Brown 8Olufunwa 6Phillips 16M. Smith 12Carey 6Robinson 14Kucheriavyi 6Sprangler 4Sprangler 6Phillips 5Robinson 5M. Smith 7Carey 7Kucheriavyi 5Carey 8Kane 7Kimpioka 6Clark 9Jaiyesimi 8Sidibeh 73-4-1-2 in 7 of 33 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-5-2 (4), 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-4-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTMarshall 32Wollacott 1Miller 19Whittaker 5Cadden 4Fish 32Bushiri 20Hanlon 9Triantis 3Obita 24Stevenson 8Levitt 1Boyle 12Youan 11Campbell 5Levitt 16Jeggo 11Moriah-Welsh 6Newell 29Tavares 12Youan 9Maolida 8Vente 23Le Fondre 7Doidge 6Boyle 8Marcondes 8Campbell 34-4-2 in 15 of 33 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (15), 4-2-3-1 (10), 4-1-4-1 (4), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 April 2024Hibernian1–2St. JohnstonexG 0.95–0.62
16 December 2023St. Johnstone1–0HibernianxG 0.94–0.10
23 September 2023Hibernian2–0St. JohnstonexG 2.78–0.62
22 April 2023St. Johnstone1–1HibernianxG 0.84–0.45
21 October 2022Hibernian1–2St. JohnstonexG 0.88–0.85
30 July 2022St. Johnstone0–1HibernianxG 0.15–0.78

14 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 5, Hibernian won 6, and 3 were drawn. Goals 11–16 and xG 0.56–1.31 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sidibeh7638200.420.03
Kane7788100.390.03
Clark11976600.370.02
Jaiyesimi9708110.270.07

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Le Fondre7814510.460.11
Maolida11967710.450.11
Doidge6643320.490.05
Marcondes10944200.250.21

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.