Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
HibernianMotherwell
1.94xG2.19
1.15Non-penalty xG1.40
1.64xG on target2.19
19Shots9
6Shots on target5
3Big chances3
35Touches in the opposition box18
48%Possession52%
444Passes505
86%Pass accuracy89%
64%Field tilt36%
51Final-third entries32
14Box entries11
11.9Passes per defensive action19.6
9Corners2
21Tackles13
9Interceptions10
13Clearances34
3Saves3
14Fouls13
1Offsides2
Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Hibernian
Motherwell
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
40'56'85'
0–00–11–11–2
0'HTFT
Level
69 min (74%) · Hibernian 0.81, Motherwell 1.48 xG
Motherwell ahead
24 min (26%) · Hibernian 1.13, Motherwell 0.70 xG
Line-ups
Hibernian substitutes
60'Molotnikov for Mayor
73'Abdulai for Chaiwa
73'Suto for Boyle
Motherwell substitutes
66'Knight-Lebel for Girdwood-Reich
66'Maswanhise for Vogt
75'Lowry for Charles-Cook
82'Wilson for Longelo
82'Whyte for Priestman
Players
Hibernian
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Sallinger
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
0
O'Hora
CB
90
0.00
0.06
2
0.15
9
6
Kerr
CB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.06
8
7
Obita
CB
90
0.00
0.04
1
0.20
13
6
Passlack
RWB
90
0.04
0.12
0
0.12
6
8
Mulligan
CM
90
0.09
0.13
1
0.03
5
5
Chaiwa
CM
73
0.00
0.03
0
0.04
2
2
Mayor
LWB
60
0.04
0.06
1
0.09
5
2
Elding
RW
90
0.26
0.25
2
0.12
3
2
Lowe
ST
90
0.55
0.01
1
0.01
1
2
Boyle
LW
73
1
0.81
0.01
0
0.01
1
1
Molotnikov
MF
30
0.04
0.18
2
0.17
1
3
Abdulai
MF
17
0.04
0.02
0
0.03
3
0
Suto
FW
17
0.08
0.02
1
−0.06
0
1
Motherwell
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Paulsen
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
1
Sparrow
RB
90
0.00
0.03
2
−0.03
1
7
Girdwood-Reich
CB
66
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
2
5
Moormann
CB
90
0.00
0.03
1
0.13
4
13
Williams
LB
90
1
0.00
0.10
1
0.09
4
4
Vogt
RM
66
0.00
0.04
0
0.04
4
1
Priestman
CM
82
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
2
3
Fadinger
CM
90
1
0.90
0.02
0
−0.02
2
10
Longelo
LM
82
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
5
8
Said
ST
90
1
0.64
0.11
2
0.18
4
2
Charles-Cook
ST
75
0.59
0.02
0
−0.02
3
4
Knight-Lebel
DF
24
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
5
Maswanhise
FW
24
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
1
Lowry
MF
15
0.05
0.00
0
0.03
1
0
Wilson
DF
8
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Whyte
MF
8
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
2
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Hibernian
Motherwell
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Hibernian
From
To
Passes
Kerr
Obita
17
Kerr
O'Hora
16
Kerr
Chaiwa
16
Obita
Mayor
16
Chaiwa
Kerr
16
Motherwell
From
To
Passes
Moormann
Williams
23
Paulsen
Moormann
20
Girdwood-Reich
Sparrow
17
Moormann
Paulsen
16
Paulsen
Girdwood-Reich
15
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Hibernian
Motherwell
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page.
Threat
Hibernian
Motherwell
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Hibernian
Title
1%
<1%
−1
Top six
76%
68%
−8
11th
2%
3%
+1
Bottom
1%
1%
0
Motherwell
Title
1%
1%
0
Top six
70%
80%
+10
11th
2%
1%
−1
Bottom
1%
1%
0
From the forecast before the match (2 August 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Hibernian
Motherwell
Expected goals
1.50
1.09
Win
46%
27%
Expected Points
1.65
1.08
Clean sheet
34%
22%
Hibernian 46%Draw 27%Motherwell 27%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.
From the forecast as it stood on 2 August 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Hibernian win
Draw
Motherwell win
Hibernian
Title
1%
1%
<1%
<1%
Top six
76%
83%
73%
68%
11th
2%
1%
1%
3%
Bottom
1%
<1%
1%
1%
Motherwell
Title
1%
<1%
<1%
1%
Top six
70%
64%
69%
80%
11th
2%
3%
2%
1%
Bottom
1%
1%
1%
1%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Hibernian
Motherwell
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−7%
average
+22%
−8%
Counter-attacks
+66%
−30%
−20%
−14%
Set pieces
+4%
−34%
−39%
−28%
Penalties
+25%
−46%
+43%
+7%
Headers
+19%
−28%
−24%
−16%
Left side
+5%
+8%
+28%
−14%
Centre
+8%
−20%
−29%
−11%
Right side
−4%
−19%
+38%
−22%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Digressive Celts