Matches › 2024/25

Hibernian 2–0 St. Johnstone

Saturday 14 September 2024, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 5 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 15,448

Hibernian Kukharevych 45+1', Boyle 72'

St. Johnstone Kimpioka sent off 89'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	St. Johnstone
Goals	2	0
xG	1.61	0.25
Expected Points	2.43	0.35

Hibernian 74%Draw 22%St. Johnstone 4%

Most likely score 1–0, 26%. Final score 2–0, 22%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianSt. Johnstone

1.61 +0.86xG0.25 −0.98

1.44 +0.83xG on target0.03 −0.81

16 +6Shots5 −8

4 +1.8Shots on target1 −2.8

3 +2.2Big chances0 −1.5

23 +2Touches in the opposition box9 −10

52% +7Possession48% −7

420 +124Passes385 +10

77% +11Pass accuracy72% +1

60% +12Field tilt40% −12

29 −1Final-third entries29 −13

13 +5.8Box entries9 −1.5

17.6 +3Passes per defensive action10.9 −2

5 −0.8Corners7 +0.5

14 0Tackles14 −1

9 +2.5Interceptions9 +2.8

24 +1Clearances25 −7

1 −1.8Saves2 −0.5

6 −7Fouls17 +5

0 −2.0Offsides1 0.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianSt. Johnstone

1.00 10 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.18 4 shots, 0 goals

0.09 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.51 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.06 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–0

Level: 46 min (51%) · Hibernian 0.65, St. Johnstone 0.18 xG
Hibernian ahead: 45 min (49%) · Hibernian 0.96, St. Johnstone 0.06 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

46' Hoilett for Youan
62' Campbell for Molotnikov
62' Boyle for N. Cadden · goal 72'
83' Miller for C. Cadden
83' McKirdy for Kukharevych

St. Johnstone substitutes

74' Kirk for Clark
79' McPake for Wright

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Bursik	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	1
C. Cadden	RB	83		1	0.00	0.16	1	0.08	5	6
Ekpiteta	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	−0.12	3	9
O'Hora	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.10	7	10
Obita	LB	90			0.00	0.02	1	0.06	4	5
Kwon	DM	90			0.13	0.02	1	0.04	6	2
Triantis	DM	90			0.00	0.27	2	0.16	9	7
Youan	RW	46			0.15	0.01	1	0.02	1	1
Molotnikov	AM	62			0.15	0.02	1	0.00	0	0
N. Cadden	LW	62			0.12	0.14	1	0.08	3	3
Kukharevych	ST	83	1		0.58	0.01	0	0.12	2	4
Hoilett	MF	44			0.03	0.19	2	0.02	0	2
Campbell	MF	28			0.04	0.05	2	0.06	1	0
Boyle	FW	28	1		0.41	0.00	0	0.07	2	0
Miller	DF	7			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	0
McKirdy	MF	7			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

St. Johnstone

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Sinclair	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	3
Essel	CB	90	0.02	0.02	0	0.07	6	5
Neilson	CB	90	0.00	0.11	0	0.23	7	10
Cameron	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.06	4	9
Wright	RWB	79	0.00	0.04	2	0.06	6	4
Holt	CM	90	0.00	0.02	0	0.00	1	4
Sprangler	CM	90	0.06	0.00	0	−0.03	1	6
Smith	CM	90	0.04	0.07	1	0.08	9	3
Raymond	LWB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.09	7	4
Clark	ST	74	0.13	0.01	0	0.02	1	1
Kimpioka	ST	89	0.00	0.03	1	−0.05	1	3
Kirk	FW	16	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
McPake	FW	11	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Ekpiteta	O'Hora	19
Ekpiteta	C. Cadden	15
O'Hora	Obita	15
C. Cadden	Ekpiteta	14
O'Hora	Ekpiteta	13

St. Johnstone

From	To	Passes
Neilson	Cameron	11
Cameron	Neilson	11
Essel	Wright	9
Neilson	Essel	8
Sinclair	Cameron	8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 4 matches

St. Johnstone

Against its average of 4 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	37%	42%	+5
11th	8%	7%	−1
Bottom	6%	4%	−2
St. Johnstone
Top six	10%	6%	−4
11th	19%	21%	+2
Bottom	26%	32%	+6
Ross County
Top six	11%	11%	0
Bottom	28%	27%	−1

From the forecast before the match (14 September 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	St. Johnstone
Expected goals	1.63	0.95
Win	53%	21%
Expected Points	1.84	0.90
Clean sheet	39%	20%

Hibernian 53%Draw 26%St. Johnstone 21%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

From the forecast as it stood on 14 September 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	St. Johnstone win
Hibernian
Top six	37%	42%	35%	24%
11th	8%	7%	9%	12%
Bottom	6%	4%	6%	10%
St. Johnstone
Top six	10%	6%	11%	19%
11th	19%	21%	19%	17%
Bottom	26%	32%	24%	15%
Ross County
Top six	11%	11%	11%	11%
Bottom	28%	27%	28%	31%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	St. Johnstone
Position	9th	8th
Played	4	4
Won, drawn, lost	0–⁠2–⁠2	1–⁠0–⁠3
Points	2 (0.50 per game)	3 (0.75 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.78	1.41
Goals	3–⁠8	5–⁠6
xG per game	0.75–⁠1.79	1.23–⁠1.21
Home: points, xG per game	0.50, 0.49–⁠1.72	0.00, 0.78–⁠1.34
Away: points, xG per game	0.50, 1.01–⁠1.87	1.50, 1.69–⁠1.07
Manager	David Gray (6)	Craig Levein (32)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		St. Johnstone
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−34%	−2%	−16%	−8%
Counter-attacks	−59%	+128%	−67%	−41%
Set pieces	−6%	+10%	−15%	+58%
Penalties	−78%	+77%	+42%	−65%
Headers	−64%	−22%	−4%	+19%
Left side	−26%	+4%	−13%	+36%
Centre	−40%	+24%	−22%	−6%
Right side	−13%	+15%	−28%	−4%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−26%−4%Centre−40%−6%Right side−13%+36%Open play−34%−8%Counter-attacks−59%−41%Set pieces−6%+58%Headers−64%+19%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHibernian concededLeft side−13%+15%Centre−22%+24%Right side−28%+4%Open play−16%−2%Counter-attacks−67%+128%Set pieces−15%+10%Headers−4%−22%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianSt. Johnstone

0.75xG1.23

1.79xG against1.21

45%Possession55%

10.2Shots12.5

13.0Shots against13.0

2.2Shots on target3.8

0.8Big chances1.5

21.0Touches in the opposition box19.5

296Passes374

66%Pass accuracy72%

5.8Corners6.5

48%Field tilt52%

30.0Final-third entries42.2

7.2Box entries10.5

14.3Passes per defensive action12.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	35	1.07	1.85
Ahead	14	0.37	2.75
Behind	41	0.61	1.42

St. Johnstone

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	29	1.50	1.62
Ahead	22	1.70	1.80
Behind	39	0.77	0.57

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.15	0.57	0–2
16–30	0.11	0.13	0–1
31–45	0.08	0.04	1–0
46–60	0.02	0.24	1–1
61–75	0.27	0.34	1–0
76–90	0.12	0.47	0–4

St. Johnstone

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.11	0.09	1–1
16–30	0.09	0.26	0–1
31–45	0.44	0.13	1–0
46–60	0.12	0.13	0–1
61–75	0.13	0.24	1–1
76–90	0.34	0.36	2–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-3-3 (1)

St. Johnstone

Formations: 3-5-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
27 April 2024	St. Johnstone	1–3	Hibernian	xG 0.82–1.76
6 April 2024	Hibernian	1–2	St. Johnstone	xG 0.95–0.62
16 December 2023	St. Johnstone	1–0	Hibernian	xG 0.94–0.10
23 September 2023	Hibernian	2–0	St. Johnstone	xG 2.78–0.62
22 April 2023	St. Johnstone	1–1	Hibernian	xG 0.84–0.45
21 October 2022	Hibernian	1–2	St. Johnstone	xG 0.88–0.85

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 7, St. Johnstone won 5, and 3 were drawn. Goals 19–12 and xG 1.34–0.58 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Vente	28	2,092	5	3	0.25	0.08
Boyle	32	2,838	6	4	0.18	0.14
Campbell	12	1,057	3	1	0.11	0.07
Newell	40	3,548	3	5	0.03	0.13

St. Johnstone

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Sidibeh	14	1,200	7	0	0.47	0.05
Clark	17	1,460	7	0	0.33	0.03
Kimpioka	11	1,025	5	0	0.33	0.03
Carey	30	2,863	2	9	0.04	0.18

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.