Matches › 2023/24

Hibernian 1–2 St. Johnstone

Saturday 6 April 2024, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 32 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 16,735

Hibernian Cadden 56'

St. Johnstone Sidibeh 49', Gallacher 81'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	St. Johnstone
Goals	1	2
xG	0.95	0.62
Expected Points	1.58	1.04

Hibernian 40%Draw 38%St. Johnstone 22%

Most likely score 0–0, 20%. Final score 1–2, 3%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianSt. Johnstone

0.95 −0.26xG0.62 −0.27

1.58 +0.35xG on target1.18 +0.34

13 +2.0Shots6 −3.3

6 +2.1Shots on target2 −0.7

2 +0.2Big chances1 −0.3

32 +9Touches in the opposition box6 −9

71% +18Possession29% −15

503 +80Passes212 −122

81% +4Pass accuracy63% −2

79% +33Field tilt21% −18

48 +11Final-third entries18 −9

17 +5.4Box entries4 −2.9

10.9 −5Passes per defensive action19.9 +4

13 +8.1Corners3 −0.8

10 −4Tackles16 −2

3 −4.5Interceptions19 +9.9

9 −15Clearances37 +11

0 −3.0Saves6 +2.5

6 −4Fouls6 −6

3 +1.5Offsides5 +3.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianSt. Johnstone

0.70 10 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.07 2 shots, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.37 2 shots, 1 goal

0.25 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.17 2 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–11–11–2

Level: 74 min (80%) · Hibernian 0.79, St. Johnstone 0.61 xG
St. Johnstone ahead: 19 min (20%) · Hibernian 0.16, St. Johnstone 0.00 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

46' Moriah-Welsh for Fish
65' Youan for Le Fondre
83' Tavares for Newell

St. Johnstone substitutes

76' Carey for Clark · 1 assist
79' Kimpioka for Sidibeh
90+3' May for M. Smith

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marshall	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	1
Cadden	RB	90	1	0.23	0.03	0	0.00	7	5
Fish	CB	46		0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	2
Bushiri	CB	90		0.17	0.01	0	0.10	5	3
Obita	LB	90		0.00	0.11	1	0.21	8	3
Triantis	DM	90		0.00	0.19	2	0.13	7	1
Boyle	RM	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.02	3	1
Marcondes	CM	90		0.17	0.39	3	0.18	5	4
Newell	CM	83		0.06	0.11	1	0.35	7	2
Maolida	LM	90		0.20	0.19	2	0.28	11	0
Le Fondre	ST	65		0.09	0.01	1	−0.03	0	1
Moriah-Welsh	MF	44		0.02	0.01	0	0.06	4	0
Youan	FW	25		0.00	0.01	0	0.03	4	1
Tavares	MF	7		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

St. Johnstone

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Mitov	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	5	1
Keltjens	RWB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	11
McGowan	CB	90			0.01	0.00	0	0.01	1	8
Considine	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	13
Robinson	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	9
Gallacher	LWB	90	1		0.16	0.00	1	−0.01	2	6
M. Smith	CM	90		1	0.00	0.01	2	0.02	1	7
Phillips	CM	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.00	2	11
Kucheriavyi	CM	90			0.00	0.01	1	0.02	1	2
Clark	ST	76			0.07	0.03	0	0.01	2	2
Sidibeh	ST	79	1		0.37	0.02	1	0.08	5	1
Carey	MF	14		1	0.00	0.07	1	0.00	0	2
Kimpioka	FW	11			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
May	FW	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Obita	Maolida	21
Bushiri	Triantis	17
Obita	Bushiri	13
Bushiri	Obita	12
Newell	Obita	11

St. Johnstone

From	To	Passes
Robinson	Kucheriavyi	6
Robinson	Considine	5
Phillips	Robinson	5
Robinson	Gallacher	5
Gallacher	Robinson	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 31 matches

St. Johnstone

Against its average of 31 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	42%	14%	−28
St. Johnstone
11th	35%	20%	−15
Bottom	1%	<1%	−1
Dundee FC
Top six	57%	82%	+25
Ross County
11th	60%	73%	+13
Bottom	3%	3%	0

From the forecast before the match (6 April 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	St. Johnstone
Expected goals	1.66	0.89
Win	55%	19%
Expected Points	1.91	0.84
Clean sheet	41%	19%

Hibernian 55%Draw 25%St. Johnstone 19%

Most likely score 1–0, 12%. Both sides score 48%.

From the forecast as it stood on 6 April 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	St. Johnstone win
Hibernian
Top six	42%	60%	25%	14%
St. Johnstone
11th	35%	41%	32%	20%
Bottom	1%	2%	1%	<1%
Dundee FC
Top six	57%	43%	70%	82%
Ross County
11th	60%	54%	63%	73%
Bottom	3%	2%	3%	3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

St. Johnstone

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	St. Johnstone
Position	7th	10th
Played	31	31
Won, drawn, lost	9–⁠11–⁠11	6–⁠10–⁠15
Points	38 (1.23 per game)	28 (0.90 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.15	0.92
Goals	42–⁠48	22–⁠43
xG per game	1.21–⁠1.54	0.89–⁠1.65
Home: points, xG per game	1.38, 1.34–⁠1.36	1.12, 1.01–⁠1.39
Away: points, xG per game	1.07, 1.06–⁠1.74	0.67, 0.76–⁠1.93
Manager	Nick Montgomery (27)	Craig Levein (21)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		St. Johnstone
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−3%	+10%	−36%	+19%
Counter-attacks	−13%	−26%	−65%	+32%
Set pieces	−13%	+7%	−6%	+35%
Penalties	−51%	+63%	−67%	−2%
Headers	−26%	−12%	+2%	+37%
Left side	−9%	−12%	−37%	+9%
Centre	−14%	+11%	−19%	+24%
Right side	+10%	+20%	−47%	+40%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−9%+40%Centre−14%+24%Right side+10%+9%Open play−3%+19%Counter-attacks−13%+32%Set pieces−13%+35%Headers−26%+37%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHibernian concededLeft side−37%+20%Centre−19%+11%Right side−47%−12%Open play−36%+10%Counter-attacks−65%−26%Set pieces−6%+7%Headers+2%−12%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianSt. Johnstone

1.21xG0.89

1.54xG against1.65

52%Possession44%

11.0Shots9.3

13.9Shots against14.7

3.9Shots on target2.7

1.8Big chances1.3

23.0Touches in the opposition box15.3

423Passes334

77%Pass accuracy65%

4.9Corners3.8

47%Field tilt39%

36.8Final-third entries26.6

11.6Box entries6.9

15.5Passes per defensive action16.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	42	1.32	1.41
Ahead	23	1.09	1.61
Behind	25	1.12	1.69

St. Johnstone

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	48	0.82	1.21
Ahead	15	0.84	2.05
Behind	26	1.05	2.21

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.17	0.23	5–6
16–30	0.20	0.17	6–6
31–45	0.21	0.33	5–9
46–60	0.17	0.23	6–7
61–75	0.18	0.25	11–8
76–90	0.27	0.33	9–12

St. Johnstone

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.09	0.13	4–2
16–30	0.13	0.21	2–4
31–45	0.15	0.19	4–8
46–60	0.14	0.33	3–7
61–75	0.11	0.36	2–11
76–90	0.27	0.45	7–11

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 4-4-2 (15), 4-2-3-1 (9), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-5-2 (4), 4-2-3-1 (4), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
16 December 2023	St. Johnstone	1–0	Hibernian	xG 0.94–0.10
23 September 2023	Hibernian	2–0	St. Johnstone	xG 2.78–0.62
22 April 2023	St. Johnstone	1–1	Hibernian	xG 0.84–0.45
21 October 2022	Hibernian	1–2	St. Johnstone	xG 0.88–0.85
30 July 2022	St. Johnstone	0–1	Hibernian	xG 0.15–0.78
15 May 2022	Hibernian	4–0	St. Johnstone	xG 1.99–0.51

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 6, St. Johnstone won 4, and 3 were drawn. Goals 15–9 and xG 1.33–0.56 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Le Fondre	6	749	5	1	0.48	0.12
Doidge	6	643	3	2	0.49	0.05
Maolida	9	787	6	1	0.41	0.10
Marcondes	8	764	2	0	0.29	0.13

St. Johnstone

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Sidibeh	5	471	1	0	0.50	0.03
Clark	9	812	6	0	0.42	0.02
Kane	7	788	1	0	0.39	0.03
Jaiyesimi	9	708	1	1	0.27	0.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.