Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Hibernian 0–1 Motherwell

Saturday 16 May 2026, 12:30 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 38 · Half-time 0–1 · Attendance 19,014

Motherwell Fadinger 35' · Watt sent off 67'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianMotherwell
Goals01
xG0.761.16
Expected Points1.001.66

Hibernian 22%Draw 33%Motherwell 44%

Most likely score 0–1, 17%. Final score 0–1, 17%.

Motherwell goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+10%3%11%8%3%4%5%3%1%1%14%17%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTWatt (Motherwell), second yellow card 67'Hanley on for Bushiri, 16'Mulligan on for Newell and Barlaser on for McGrath, 46'Scarlett on for Hanley, 59'Suto on for Elding, 70'Priestman on for Slattery, Koutroumbis on for Just, and Said on for Charles-Cook, 73'Hendry on for Maswanhise, 83'O'Donnell on for Longelo, 87'Fadinger 35'Motherwell 1.16Hibernian 0.7600.511.50153045607590HTWatt (Motherwell), second yellow card 67'Hanley on for Bushiri, 16'Mulligan on for Newell and Barlaser on for McGrath, 46'Scarlett on for Hanley, 59'Suto on for Elding, 70'Priestman on for Slattery, Koutroumbis on for Just, and Said on for Charles-Cook, 73'Hendry on for Maswanhise, 83'O'Donnell on for Longelo, 87'Fadinger 35'1.160.76HibernianMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianMotherwell

0.76 −0.76xG1.16 −0.32
0.00 −1.44xG on target1.52 0.00
11 −1Shots14 +1
1 −3.5Shots on target5 +0.1
1 −1.2Big chances3 +0.8
20 −2Touches in the opposition box25 −1
49% +2Possession51% −7
371 −22Passes401 −136
77% 0Pass accuracy82% −3
7 +2.1Corners4 +0.2
22 +10Tackles12 −2
1 −7.4Interceptions1 −6.5
19 −12Clearances30 +7
4 +1.2Saves0 −2.7
14 +3Fouls13 +1
2 +0.3Offsides0 −2.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Scarlett 90+7', 0.23 xGSuto 90+8', 0.10 xGScarlett 74', 0.09 xGN. Cadden 32', 0.06 xGSuto 76', 0.06 xGN. Cadden 45+2', 0.05 xGO'Hora 87', 0.05 xGBarlaser 90+3', 0.05 xGChaiwa 78', 0.03 xGPasslack 90+3', 0.02 xGN. Cadden 26', 0.01 xG30%0.23 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.23 xG, 0 goals30%0.23 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals21%0.16 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals18%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Maswanhise 56', 0.32 xGSparrow 13', 0.12 xGJust 7', 0.08 xGMaswanhise 26', 0.08 xGSlattery 28', 0.07 xGJust 56', 0.07 xGCharles-Cook 18', 0.06 xGGordon 24', 0.05 xGSaid 80', 0.05 xGWatt 43', 0.04 xGSlattery 60', 0.04 xGJust 4', 0.03 xGJust 30', 0.02 xGFadinger 35', 0.12 xG, goal10%0.12 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.12 xG, 0 goals57%0.66 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.66 xG, 0 goals15%0.17 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals18%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.21 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianMotherwell

0.34 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.05 12 shots, 1 goal
0.42 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.11 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
35 min (35%) · Hibernian 0.08, Motherwell 0.64 xG
Motherwell ahead
66 min (65%) · Hibernian 0.68, Motherwell 0.52 xG

Line-ups

15332125141119171047SallingerO'HoraBushiriObitaPasslackChaiwaNewellN. CaddenMcGrathBoyleEldingYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card16'46'46'70'Hibernian 3-4-1-2David Gray3174574520127781821ConnellySparrowGordonWelshLongeloWattFadingerCharles-CookSlatteryMaswanhiseJustYellow cardSent off, second yellowGoalYellow cardYellow cardYellow card87'73'73'83'73'Motherwell 4-2-3-1Jens Berthel Askou

Hibernian substitutes

  • 16' Hanley for Bushiri · off 59'
  • 46' Barlaser for McGrath
  • 46' Mulligan for Newell · yellow card 53'
  • 59' Scarlett for Hanley
  • 70' Suto for Elding

Motherwell substitutes

  • 73' Koutroumbis for Just
  • 73' Priestman for Slattery
  • 73' Said for Charles-Cook
  • 83' Hendry for Maswanhise
  • 87' O'Donnell for Longelo

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPDef
SallingerGK900.000.0100
O'HoraCB900.050.0805
BushiriCB160.000.0002
ObitaCB900.000.0917
PasslackRWB900.020.0503
Chaiwa CM900.030.0103
NewellCM460.000.0001
N. Cadden LWB900.120.3215
McGrath AM460.000.0011
Boyle ST900.000.1024
EldingST700.000.0001
HanleyDF430.000.0004
BarlaserMF440.050.5220
Mulligan MF440.000.0113
ScarlettFW310.320.0000
SutoFW200.170.0004

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPDef
ConnellyGK900.000.0000
SparrowRB900.120.0417
GordonCB900.050.00011
WelshCB900.000.01013
LongeloLB870.000.0103
Watt DM670.040.2332
Fadinger DM9010.120.0102
Charles-Cook RW7310.060.4440
Slattery AM730.110.0210
MaswanhiseLW830.410.2621
JustST730.210.1912
KoutroumbisDF170.000.0101
PriestmanMF170.000.0002
SaidFW170.050.0000
HendryFW70.000.0001
O'DonnellDF30.000.0003

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions).

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackHibernian1.40 → 1.38Motherwell1.34 → 1.36Defence (lower is better)Hibernian1.20 → 1.21Motherwell1.27 → 1.24

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianMotherwell
Expected goals1.571.05
Win49%25%
Expected Points1.721.01
Clean sheet35%21%

Hibernian 49%Draw 26%Motherwell 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Motherwell goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%1%6%2%9%5%2%5%5%3%2%2%1%11%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 16 May 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hibernian

  1. W2–113 MayRangers (A)xG 1.60–1.75
  2. W3–19 MayFalkirk (A)xG 1.10–0.63
  3. L1–23 MayCeltic (H)xG 0.36–2.81
  4. L1–226 AprHearts (H)xG 0.54–1.83
  5. L0–211 AprAberdeen (A)xG 0.10–1.93
  6. W3–04 AprKilmarnock (H)xG 2.30–0.60

Motherwell

  1. L2–313 MayCeltic (H)xG 1.24–1.38
  2. D1–19 MayHearts (H)xG 0.55–1.33
  3. L0–12 MayFalkirk (A)xG 1.33–2.42
  4. W3–226 AprRangers (A)xG 0.76–2.70
  5. L1–311 AprHearts (A)xG 2.21–1.74
  6. L2–34 AprFalkirk (H)xG 1.46–2.06

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianMotherwell
Position5th4th
Played3737
Won, drawn, lost15–⁠12–⁠1015–⁠13–⁠9
Points57 (1.54 per game)58 (1.57 per game)
Expected Points per game1.631.55
Goals58–⁠4358–⁠36
xG per game1.52–⁠1.201.48–⁠1.25
Home: points, xG per game1.67, 1.86–⁠1.021.89, 1.59–⁠0.85
Away: points, xG per game1.42, 1.21–⁠1.371.22, 1.37–⁠1.67
ManagerDavid Gray (77)Jens Berthel Askou (37)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackHibernian1.40, 4thMotherwell1.34, 5thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.20, 4thMotherwell1.27, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHibernian attack: 1.40Motherwell attack: 1.341.401.34MotherwellHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHibernian defence: 1.20Motherwell defence: 1.271.271.20

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−5%−1%+23%−6%
Counter-attacks+72%−28%−17%−11%
Set pieces+4%−33%−38%−29%
Penalties+31%−44%+50%+13%
Headers+19%−29%−25%−17%
Left side+7%+8%+26%−14%
Centre+9%−18%−27%−10%
Right side−3%−22%+38%−21%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdMotherwell concededLeft side+7%−21%Centre+9%−10%Right side−3%−14%Open play−5%−6%Counter-attacks+72%−11%Set pieces+4%−29%Headers+19%−17%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdHibernian concededLeft side+26%−22%Centre−27%−18%Right side+38%+8%Open play+23%−1%Counter-attacks−17%−28%Set pieces−38%−33%Headers−25%−29%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianMotherwell

1.52xG1.48
1.20xG against1.25
47%Possession58%
12.0Shots13.2
12.4Shots against10.9
4.5Shots on target4.9
2.2Big chances2.2
22.5Touches in the opposition box25.6
393Passes536
77%Pass accuracy85%
4.9Corners3.8
48%Field tilt63%
38.0Final-third entries50.3
11.5Box entries16.0
16.9Passes per defensive action13.0

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 33 and 33 of those matches.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.441.15
Ahead291.551.24
Behind151.711.25

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level501.211.27
Ahead271.721.22
Behind132.071.27

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.260.1010–3
16–300.210.239–7
31–450.210.2811–10
46–600.300.149–4
61–750.210.144–9
76–900.330.3015–10

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.113–3
16–300.240.1615–3
31–450.240.229–5
46–600.310.1512–5
61–750.240.315–11
76–900.330.3014–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTSallinger 32Smith 5O'Hora 26Garananga 2Mitchell 1Hanley 23Bushiri 23Iredale 32Obita 4C. Cadden 13Passlack 12Megwa 8Chaiwa 18Mulligan 16Newell 2Barlaser 27McGrath 6Levitt 4N. Cadden 20Obita 13McGrath 4McGrath 17Boyle 6Campbell 4Boyle 19Elding 10Klidje 7Bowie 19Scarlett 6Youan 53-4-1-2 in 24 of 37 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (24), 3-4-3 (4), 3-1-4-2 (4), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTWard 37O'Donnell 15Koutroumbis 10Sparrow 10McGinn 31Gordon 9O'Donnell 7Welsh 25Koutroumbis 1Longelo 27Koutroumbis 5O'Donnell 3Fadinger 31Priestman 10Just 3Watt 27Slattery 2Maswanhise 15Said 13Just 3Just 14Slattery 12Watt 5Slattery 10Said 8Just 6Maswanhise 15Stamatelopoulos 9Hendry 74-2-3-1 in 25 of 37 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (25), 4-3-3 (5), 4-1-3-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
21 March 2026Motherwell0–0HibernianxG 0.44–0.60
10 January 2026Hibernian1–1MotherwellxG 1.31–1.03
25 November 2025Motherwell2–0HibernianxG 2.14–0.77
11 January 2025Hibernian3–1MotherwellxG 2.22–0.22
30 November 2024Motherwell0–3HibernianxG 0.75–3.15
5 October 2024Hibernian1–2MotherwellxG 1.35–1.23

19 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 7, Motherwell won 5, and 7 were drawn. Goals 27–21 and xG 1.40–1.06 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Youan6661410.630.18
Klidje7735310.660.04
Campbell4711330.370.16
Boyle251,974730.390.11

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stamatelopoulos9868620.890.08
Maswanhise342,7881720.460.08
Just312,629770.220.22
Hendry8727000.280.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.