Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Dundee FC 0–1 Hearts

Sunday 11 January 2026, 14:00 · Dens Park · Round 22 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Ryan Lee · Attendance 8,525

Hearts Braga 27' · Schwolow sent off 45+5'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCHearts
Goals01
xG1.340.36
Expected Points2.140.56

Dundee FC 62%Draw 30%Hearts 9%

Most likely score 1–0, 25%. Final score 0–1, 6%.

Hearts goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+6%11%1%17%7%1%7%3%2%18%25%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTSchwolow (Hearts), red card 45+5'Murray on for F. Robertson and Samuels on for Astley, 64'Reilly on for Jones, 86'Acquah on for Wright, 90+2'Gordon on for Braga, 45+6'Steinwender on for Altena, 46'Kent on for Kyziridis and Kaboré on for Shankland, 70'Braga 27'Dundee FC 1.34Hearts 0.3600.511.50153045607590HTSchwolow (Hearts), red card 45+5'Murray on for F. Robertson and Samuels on for Astley, 64'Reilly on for Jones, 86'Acquah on for Wright, 90+2'Gordon on for Braga, 45+6'Steinwender on for Altena, 46'Kent on for Kyziridis and Kaboré on for Shankland, 70'Braga 27'1.340.36Dundee FCHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCHearts

1.34 +0.53xG0.36 −1.35
0.71 −0.13xG on target0.67 −1.34
17 +7.8Shots6 −8.8
5 +2.1Shots on target1 −4.2
0 −1.1Big chances0 −2.4
31 +18Touches in the opposition box7 −22
53% +14Possession47% −7
359 +29Passes357 −80
77% +4Pass accuracy74% −3
72% +41Field tilt28% −33
47 +18Final-third entries22 −22
18 +12.5Box entries3 −10.6
17.9 −4Passes per defensive action10.5 −1
6 +3.0Corners4 −2.0
9 −6Tackles22 +4
1 −7.4Interceptions13 +4.1
24 −11Clearances48 +16
0 −4.0Saves5 +2.8
13 +3.8Fouls14 +2.7
1 −0.3Offsides0 −1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Hamilton 30', 0.19 xGCongreve 45+7', 0.17 xGHamilton 79', 0.17 xGWright 66', 0.11 xGKoumetio 2', 0.10 xGKoumetio 88', 0.10 xGHay 51', 0.08 xGKoumetio 67', 0.08 xGHamilton 80', 0.06 xGWright 87', 0.06 xGAcquah 90+4', 0.05 xGHamilton 88', 0.04 xGJones 38', 0.03 xGHay 84', 0.03 xGHamilton 90+1', 0.03 xGWright 61', 0.02 xGHamilton 73', 0.02 xG13%0.17 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.17 xG, 0 goals60%0.80 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 0.80 xG, 0 goals8%0.10 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals20%0.26 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

Shankland 13', 0.10 xGShankland 59', 0.09 xGBraga 13', 0.05 xGShankland 35', 0.02 xGKyziridis 65', 0.02 xGBraga 27', 0.07 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals69%0.25 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals31%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCHearts

0.71 11 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.26 5 shots, 1 goal
0.62 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.09 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
27 min (27%) · Dundee FC 0.10, Hearts 0.23 xG
Hearts ahead
74 min (73%) · Dundee FC 1.24, Hearts 0.13 xG

Line-ups

142257482010281711McCrackenAstleyGrahamKoumetioWrightHamiltonCongreveF. RobertsonJonesYoganeHayYellow cardYellow card64'90+2'64'86'Dundee FC 4-1-4-1Steven Pressley252341956142210899SchwolowAltenaHalkettFindlayMcCartBaningimeDevlinMagnússonBragaKyziridisShanklandSent offGoal46'45+6'70'70'Hearts 4-2-3-1Derek McInnes

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 64' Samuels for Astley
  • 64' Murray for F. Robertson
  • 86' Reilly for Jones
  • 90+2' Acquah for Wright

Hearts substitutes

  • 45+6' Gordon for Braga
  • 46' Steinwender for Altena
  • 70' Kent for Kyziridis
  • 70' Kaboré for Shankland

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrackenGK900.000.0000.0311
Astley RB640.000.0500.0732
GrahamCB900.000.1310.19109
KoumetioCB900.280.0300.06910
WrightLB900.190.2920.1951
HamiltonDM900.510.020−0.0146
CongreveRM900.170.1930.25131
F. Robertson CM640.000.011−0.0111
JonesCM860.030.0700.0442
YoganeLM900.000.3940.43141
HayST900.110.030−0.1112
SamuelsDF260.000.1710.3160
MurrayFW260.000.171−0.0500
ReillyFW40.000.1110.1010
AcquahFW00.050.000––0

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Schwolow GK450.000.0000.0330
AltenaRB460.000.0200.0539
HalkettCB900.000.0610.12514
FindlayCB900.000.0100.03314
McCartLB900.000.0000.0126
BaningimeDM900.000.010−0.0302
DevlinDM900.000.0310.0127
MagnússonRW900.000.0100.02013
BragaAM4510.130.0910.0002
KyziridisLW700.020.2210.0342
ShanklandST7010.210.0210.0233
GordonGK450.000.0000.0001
SteinwenderDF440.000.0100.0348
KentDF200.000.0000.0113
KaboréFW200.000.000−0.0103

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

McCracken and Graham: 4 passesMcCracken and Wright: 4 passesMcCracken and Jones: 4 passesAstley and Hamilton: 4 passesGraham and F. Robertson: 4 passesGraham and Jones: 4 passesHamilton and Congreve: 4 passesHamilton and F. Robertson: 4 passesCongreve and F. Robertson: 4 passesMcCracken and Koumetio: 5 passesAstley and F. Robertson: 5 passesHamilton and Jones: 5 passesCongreve and Jones: 5 passesCongreve and Hay: 5 passesAstley and Graham: 6 passesKoumetio and Jones: 6 passesWright and Hamilton: 6 passesWright and Yogane: 6 passesGraham and Hamilton: 7 passesJones and Yogane: 7 passesKoumetio and Graham: 8 passesKoumetio and Wright: 9 passesWright and Jones: 11 passesAstley and Congreve: 12 passesMcCracken: 13 completed passesAstley: 22 completed passesKoumetio: 20 completed passesGraham: 22 completed passesWright: 22 completed passesHamilton: 17 completed passesCongreve: 14 completed passesF. Robertson: 13 completed passesJones: 27 completed passesYogane: 7 completed passesHay: 7 completed passes145227482010281711McCrackenAstleyKoumetioGrahamWrightHamiltonCongreveF. RobertsonJonesYoganeHayStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Hearts

Altena and Braga: 4 passesFindlay and Baningime: 4 passesAltena and Devlin: 5 passesAltena and Baningime: 5 passesDevlin and Kyziridis: 5 passesBraga and Shankland: 5 passesAltena and Magnússon: 6 passesFindlay and McCart: 6 passesDevlin and Shankland: 6 passesMcCart and Kyziridis: 7 passesFindlay and Halkett: 8 passesHalkett and Devlin: 8 passesSchwolow and Findlay: 9 passesHalkett and Baningime: 9 passesMcCart and Devlin: 10 passesAltena and Halkett: 14 passesFindlay and Devlin: 16 passesDevlin and Baningime: 16 passesSchwolow: 11 completed passesAltena: 27 completed passesFindlay: 25 completed passesHalkett: 26 completed passesMcCart: 14 completed passesDevlin: 39 completed passesBaningime: 22 completed passesMagnússon: 9 completed passesBraga: 6 completed passesKyziridis: 10 completed passesShankland: 6 completed passes252319451462210899SchwolowAltenaFindlayHalkettMcCartDevlinBaningimeMagnússonBragaKyziridisShanklandStarters until 45+5' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
YoganeSamuels10
AstleyCongreve8
GrahamKoumetio8
SamuelsYogane8
GrahamJones7

Hearts

FromToPasses
DevlinBaningime11
FindlaySchwolow9
AltenaHalkett9
BaningimeDevlin9
BaningimeHalkett8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

3−1.93−5.03−5.33−1.79+4.92−4.93−5.49+1.46−0.84−0.77+2.53+0.34−0.97+2.10−3.70−2.62+0.55+2.56+3.03+1.21−0.63+1.92+0.920.01+0.40−0.31+0.42+1.80−0.310−8.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Hearts

9+4.712+5.431+20.19+3.05+1.410+2.35−3.26−1.25−4.07−0.15−0.83−3.03−2.64−3.24−1.710+4.85+0.32−0.91−3.10−4.30−2.93+0.80−1.60−1.60−3.23+2.00−0.50−0.20−0.510.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.020.030.020.030.030.010.020.040.030.080.050.070.040.040.270.17−0.010.110.080.040.01−0.15−0.010.47LessMore

Hearts

0.010.010.020.020.010.010.040.020.020.01−0.030.010.010.02−0.010.070.07LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.32AttackDundee FC1.01 → 1.03Hearts1.52 → 1.48Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.61 → 1.57Hearts1.06 → 1.07

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
Top six2%1%−1
11th14%17%+3
Bottom2%2%0
Hearts
Title21%26%+5
Celtic
Title61%57%−4
Kilmarnock
11th53%51%−2
Bottom23%23%0

From the forecast before the match (11 January 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCHearts
Expected goals0.971.65
Win21%53%
Expected Points0.901.84
Clean sheet19%38%

Dundee FC 21%Draw 26%Hearts 53%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 51%.

Hearts goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+8%5%2%6%5%2%3%6%5%3%1%1%2%1%11%10%12%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 January 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawHearts win
Dundee FC
Top six2%5%2%1%
11th14%7%13%17%
Bottom2%1%2%2%
Hearts
Title21%13%18%26%
Celtic
Title61%66%63%57%
Kilmarnock
11th53%57%54%51%
Bottom23%23%22%23%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. W1–03 JanDundee United (A)xG 1.83–1.50
  2. W2–130 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 2.23–1.27
  3. W1–027 DecFalkirk (H)xG 1.24–1.33
  4. L0–120 DecMotherwell (A)xG 0.23–1.23
  5. D2–213 DecLivingston (A)xG 0.46–0.89
  6. L1–36 DecAberdeen (H)xG 1.12–1.38

Hearts

  1. W1–03 JanLivingston (H)xG 2.23–0.54
  2. L2–327 DecHibernian (A)xG 1.78–1.51
  3. W2–121 DecRangers (H)xG 1.70–2.33
  4. W2–013 DecFalkirk (A)xG 1.51–1.03
  5. W2–17 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.52–1.87
  6. D1–13 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 2.19–1.80

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCHearts
Position9th1st
Played2120
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠4–⁠1113–⁠5–⁠2
Points22 (1.05 per game)44 (2.20 per game)
Expected Points per game0.831.84
Goals19–⁠3339–⁠17
xG per game0.81–⁠1.631.71–⁠0.96
Home: points, xG per game1.60, 1.08–⁠1.502.40, 1.75–⁠1.00
Away: points, xG per game0.55, 0.56–⁠1.742.00, 1.66–⁠0.93
ManagerSteven Pressley (21)Derek McInnes (20)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.32AttackDundee FC1.01, 11thHearts1.52, 4thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.61, 11thHearts1.06, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanDundee FC attack: 1.01Hearts attack: 1.521.521.01HeartsDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanDundee FC defence: 1.61Hearts defence: 1.061.611.06

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−46%+25%+16%−18%
Counter-attacks−63%−32%+13%−45%
Set pieces−25%+27%+50%−29%
Penalties−38%−7%−2%−100%
Headers−23%+21%+42%−14%
Left side−56%+12%+17%−28%
Centre−45%+17%+44%−36%
Right side−25%+29%−8%+6%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHearts concededLeft side−56%+6%Centre−45%−36%Right side−25%−28%Open play−46%−18%Counter-attacks−63%−45%Set pieces−25%−29%Headers−23%−14%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdDundee FC concededLeft side+17%+29%Centre+44%+17%Right side−8%+12%Open play+16%+25%Counter-attacks+13%−32%Set pieces+50%+27%Headers+42%+21%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCHearts

0.81xG1.71
1.63xG against0.96
40%Possession54%
9.2Shots14.8
16.2Shots against9.3
2.9Shots on target5.2
1.1Big chances2.4
13.0Touches in the opposition box28.9
330Passes437
73%Pass accuracy77%
3.0Corners6.0
32%Field tilt61%
29.0Final-third entries43.9
5.5Box entries13.6
21.6Passes per defensive action11.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level391.031.57
Ahead200.751.91
Behind310.561.52

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.400.77
Ahead361.971.14
Behind131.981.07

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.231–4
16–300.100.214–7
31–450.180.286–7
46–600.120.254–3
61–750.120.262–3
76–900.150.402–9

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.143–2
16–300.210.106–4
31–450.280.187–4
46–600.330.128–3
61–750.190.157–1
76–900.490.288–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWMcCracken 21Astley 18Wright 1C. Robertson 14Graham 19Koumetio 8Samuels 3Wright 11Congreve 7Hamilton 2Digby 8F. Robertson 7Dhanda 5Hamilton 13Jones 6Westley 3Samuels 9Yogane 6Wright 3Congreve 7Dhanda 3Westley 3Murray 10Hay 6Westley 3Yogane 5Wright 4Westley 43-4-3 in 7 of 21 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (7), 4-5-1 (4), 5-3-2 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Hearts

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSchwolow 16Clark 4McEntee 10Steinwender 5Kent 3Halkett 16Steinwender 2Kent 2Findlay 19Shankland 1Kingsley 9Milne 8Devlin 2Milne 6Kyziridis 5Braga 4Baningime 8McEntee 6Magnússon 3Devlin 18Spittal 4Kyziridis 11Braga 4Milne 3Shankland 18Kaboré 4Findlay 1Braga 9Magnússon 4Milne 14-4-2 in 10 of 20 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (10), 4-2-3-1 (5), 3-5-2 (3), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
1 November 2025Hearts4–0Dundee FCxG 3.43–0.10
26 April 2025Hearts0–1Dundee FCxG 1.46–0.71
1 February 2025Dundee FC0–6HeartsxG 0.37–3.06
7 December 2024Hearts2–0Dundee FCxG 1.75–0.54
10 August 2024Dundee FC3–1HeartsxG 1.53–1.52
11 May 2024Hearts3–0Dundee FCxG 2.41–1.03

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 4, Hearts won 7, and 1 was a draw. Goals 12–25 and xG 0.81–1.89 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Hay7787210.260.13
Congreve151,301160.070.32
Westley13851200.190.14
Dhanda131,084200.160.14

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Braga171,473820.500.14
Shankland191,6901010.400.12
Kyziridis161,456360.150.37
Magnússon8749100.350.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.