Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Hearts 0–1 Dundee FC

Saturday 26 April 2025, 15:00 · Tynecastle Park · Round 34 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Ross Hardie · Attendance 18,085

Dundee FC Murray 38'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HeartsDundee FC
Goals01
xG1.460.71
Expected Points1.980.73

Hearts 57%Draw 29%Dundee FC 15%

Most likely score 1–0, 18%. Final score 0–1, 6%.

Dundee FC goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+8%6%2%5%11%4%5%4%1%1%1%18%16%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTKingsley on for McCart and Drammeh on for Baningime, 46'Vargas on for Kartum, 63'Dhanda on for Spittal, 77'Forrest on for Kabangu, 90'F. Robertson on for Houlden, 63'Samuels on for Larkeche, 80'Ingram on for Astley and Fraser on for Portales, 90+1'Murray 38'Hearts 1.46Dundee FC 0.7100.511.520153045607590HTKingsley on for McCart and Drammeh on for Baningime, 46'Vargas on for Kartum, 63'Dhanda on for Spittal, 77'Forrest on for Kabangu, 90'F. Robertson on for Houlden, 63'Samuels on for Larkeche, 80'Ingram on for Astley and Fraser on for Portales, 90+1'Murray 38'1.460.71HeartsDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsDundee FC

1.46 +0.12xG0.71 −0.45
1.41 +0.10xG on target0.43 −0.95
14 +1Shots9 −2
4 −0.2Shots on target2 −1.8
2 −0.3Big chances1 −0.7
24 −1Touches in the opposition box25 +4
73% +20Possession27% −17
612 +175Passes224 −92
83% +7Pass accuracy56% −10
68% +11Field tilt32% −10
64 +24Final-third entries17 −14
13 +1Box entries9 −1
9.5 −4Passes per defensive action30.4 +16
7 +0.9Corners3 −1.9
16 −2Tackles13 −4
9 +0.2Interceptions6 −1.7
31 +2Clearances59 +23
1 −1.5Saves4 +0.5
7 −3.7Fouls9 −0.8
1 −0.5Offsides1 −0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hearts

Grant 36', 0.56 xGKabangu 45', 0.32 xGGrant 32', 0.12 xGKent 55', 0.11 xGVargas 90+4', 0.08 xGDevlin 80', 0.06 xGKabangu 17', 0.04 xGDevlin 36', 0.04 xGDevlin 40', 0.03 xGKabangu 61', 0.03 xGDrammeh 73', 0.03 xGSpittal 43', 0.02 xGForrester 87', 0.02 xGPenrice 19', 0.01 xG8%0.11 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals76%1.11 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 1.11 xG, 0 goals5%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals8%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals3%0.05 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Houlden 34', 0.25 xGAstley 23', 0.10 xGHoulden 24', 0.06 xGF. Robertson 79', 0.05 xGMulligan 45+1', 0.04 xGMurray 31', 0.03 xGC. Robertson 78', 0.03 xGLarkeche 22', 0.02 xGMurray 38', 0.12 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals93%0.66 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.66 xG, 1 goal4%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsDundee FC

1.35 13 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.56 6 shots, 1 goal
0.11 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.15 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
38 min (39%) · Hearts 0.76, Dundee FC 0.59 xG
Dundee FC ahead
59 min (61%) · Hearts 0.70, Dundee FC 0.12 xG

Line-ups

135230296142771619GordonForresterKentMcCartPenriceBaningimeDevlinKartumGrantSpittalKabanguYellow card46'46'63'77'90'Hearts 4-2-3-1Neil Critchley31453218291023157CarsonAstleyShaughnessyC. RobertsonLarkecheMulliganPortalesCameronHouldenMurrayTiffoneyYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal90+1'80'90+1'63'Dundee FC 4-3-3Tony Docherty

Hearts substitutes

  • 46' Kingsley for McCart
  • 46' Drammeh for Baningime
  • 63' Vargas for Kartum
  • 77' Dhanda for Spittal
  • 90' Forrest for Kabangu

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 63' F. Robertson for Houlden
  • 80' Samuels for Larkeche
  • 90+1' Ingram for Astley
  • 90+1' Fraser for Portales

Players

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GordonGK900.000.0000.0230
ForresterRB900.020.0820.1188
KentCB900.110.0200.1195
McCartCB460.000.0820.19810
PenriceLB900.010.1810.2076
BaningimeDM460.000.0100.0012
DevlinDM900.120.030−0.0127
KartumRW630.000.1000.0224
GrantAM900.680.0410.1291
SpittalLW770.020.2430.0943
Kabangu ST900.390.011−0.0222
KingsleyDF440.000.0110.0746
DrammehFW440.030.000−0.0300
VargasMF270.080.0000.0003
DhandaMF130.000.0000.0101
ForrestMF00.000.0000.0110

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Carson GK900.000.0100.0983
AstleyRB900.100.0400.0225
ShaughnessyCB900.000.0000.00019
C. Robertson CB900.030.0410.12316
LarkecheLB800.020.0100.0107
MulliganCM900.040.2310.2756
PortalesCM900.000.0100.0135
Cameron CM900.000.1230.0751
Houlden RW630.320.0010.0008
MurrayST9010.150.0200.0302
TiffoneyLW900.000.0100.0423
F. RobertsonMF270.050.0000.0122
SamuelsDF100.000.0000.0003
IngramDF00.000.0000.0001
FraserMF00.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

Forrester and Devlin: 5 passesDevlin and Kartum: 5 passesDevlin and Grant: 5 passesBaningime and Grant: 5 passesForrester and Grant: 6 passesBaningime and Kartum: 6 passesGrant and Spittal: 6 passesKent and Baningime: 7 passesKent and Kartum: 7 passesMcCart and Spittal: 7 passesPenrice and Devlin: 7 passesDevlin and Spittal: 7 passesGordon and Kent: 8 passesForrester and Kartum: 8 passesKent and Grant: 8 passesMcCart and Penrice: 8 passesDevlin and Baningime: 9 passesKartum and Grant: 9 passesKent and Devlin: 10 passesMcCart and Grant: 10 passesPenrice and Spittal: 13 passesForrester and Kent: 14 passesMcCart and Devlin: 14 passesKent and McCart: 17 passesGordon: 11 completed passesForrester: 19 completed passesKent: 41 completed passesMcCart: 37 completed passesPenrice: 16 completed passesDevlin: 37 completed passesBaningime: 21 completed passesKartum: 20 completed passesGrant: 24 completed passesSpittal: 19 completed passesKabangu: 9 completed passes135230291462771619GordonForresterKentMcCartPenriceDevlinBaningimeKartumGrantSpittalKabanguStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Dundee FC

Carson and Shaughnessy: 3 passesCarson and C. Robertson: 3 passesCarson and Houlden: 3 passesAstley and Portales: 3 passesLarkeche and Portales: 3 passesLarkeche and Mulligan: 3 passesCarson and Murray: 4 passesAstley and Houlden: 4 passesAstley and Mulligan: 4 passesC. Robertson and Portales: 4 passesCameron and Mulligan: 4 passesCameron and Tiffoney: 5 passesMulligan and Murray: 5 passesC. Robertson and Larkeche: 7 passesLarkeche and Cameron: 7 passesAstley and Cameron: 8 passesPortales and Cameron: 8 passesCarson: 11 completed passesAstley: 13 completed passesShaughnessy: 5 completed passesC. Robertson: 10 completed passesLarkeche: 14 completed passesPortales: 19 completed passesHoulden: 2 completed passesCameron: 20 completed passesMulligan: 11 completed passesTiffoney: 4 completed passesMurray: 3 completed passes31453212923108715CarsonAstleyShaughnessyC. RobertsonLarkechePortalesHouldenCameronMulliganTiffoneyMurrayStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

FromToPasses
GrantForrester15
DevlinGrant14
KentForrester13
KentGrant13
DevlinKent13

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
CarsonMurray8
PortalesCameron6
CameronAstley5
LarkecheCameron5
CameronTiffoney5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

2−2.06+0.58−4.98+1.49+4.33−3.96−0.37+1.112+5.010+2.63−2.82−2.43−0.44−1.56−1.15+0.34+0.710+7.13−0.93−1.54+1.71−0.82+0.61−0.95+2.42+1.30−0.33+2.30−0.50−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Dundee FC

10+4.912+4.823+5.67−1.25+1.010+3.39+1.49+2.212+3.89+1.14−0.34+0.45−0.16+1.22−1.92−1.70−2.13+0.41−3.11−1.51−0.32+1.30−1.50−2.610.02+1.61+0.50−0.30−0.71−4.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

0.010.010.010.030.030.010.010.040.050.050.050.020.090.070.030.080.060.01−0.010.05−0.030.020.060.13LessMore

Dundee FC

0.050.030.020.030.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.03−0.010.040.030.020.080.030.020.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackHearts1.39 → 1.38Dundee FC1.11 → 1.11Defence (lower is better)Hearts1.23 → 1.22Dundee FC1.70 → 1.68

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
11th36%19%−17
Bottom12%3%−9
Ross County
11th31%42%+11
Bottom9%12%+3
St. Johnstone
11th16%14%−2
Bottom76%82%+6

From the forecast before the match (26 April 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HeartsDundee FC
Expected goals2.060.91
Win63%15%
Expected Points2.120.67
Clean sheet40%13%

Hearts 63%Draw 21%Dundee FC 15%

Most likely score 2–0, 11%. Both sides score 53%.

Dundee FC goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+6%4%2%4%1%4%1%7%7%3%4%3%2%2%1%10%10%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 April 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHearts winDrawDundee FC win
Dundee FC
11th36%41%35%19%
Bottom12%15%10%3%
Ross County
11th31%29%32%42%
Bottom9%9%9%12%
St. Johnstone
11th16%17%15%14%
Bottom76%74%77%82%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hearts

  1. D0–012 AprMotherwell (A)xG 1.12–0.27
  2. L0–16 AprDundee United (H)xG 1.21–0.82
  3. L0–329 MarCeltic (A)xG 1.02–2.68
  4. W2–015 MarRoss County (H)xG 1.73–0.29
  5. L1–22 MarHibernian (A)xG 0.69–0.61
  6. W3–126 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.34–1.17

Dundee FC

  1. L0–413 AprHibernian (A)xG 0.14–2.00
  2. W2–05 AprSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.65–2.35
  3. L3–429 MarRangers (H)xG 2.97–2.70
  4. W4–216 MarDundee United (A)xG 2.27–1.20
  5. D1–11 MarSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.59–0.59
  6. L1–226 FebMotherwell (A)xG 1.42–1.10

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HeartsDundee FC
Position7th11th
Played3333
Won, drawn, lost11–⁠7–⁠159–⁠7–⁠17
Points40 (1.21 per game)34 (1.03 per game)
Expected Points per game1.401.03
Goals43–⁠4450–⁠71
xG per game1.34–⁠1.341.16–⁠1.87
Home: points, xG per game1.50, 1.46–⁠1.201.12, 1.32–⁠1.76
Away: points, xG per game0.94, 1.24–⁠1.470.94, 0.98–⁠1.99
ManagerNeil Critchley (24)Tony Docherty (71)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackHearts1.39, 4thDundee FC1.11, 9thDefence (lower is better)Hearts1.23, 4thDundee FC1.70, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprHearts attack: 1.39Dundee FC attack: 1.111.391.11Dundee FCHeartsDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprHearts defence: 1.23Dundee FC defence: 1.701.701.23

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HeartsDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−1%−10%−24%+23%
Counter-attacks+9%−15%−21%+106%
Set pieces+8%average−17%+38%
Penalties−79%+25%+25%+4%
Headers−4%+14%−7%+34%
Left side+11%−9%−16%+24%
Centre−1%−4%−23%+36%
Right side−1%−15%−23%+46%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdDundee FC concededLeft side+11%+46%Centre−1%+36%Right side−1%+24%Open play−1%+23%Counter-attacks+9%+106%Set pieces+8%+38%Headers−4%+34%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHearts concededLeft side−16%−15%Centre−23%−4%Right side−23%−9%Open play−24%−10%Counter-attacks−21%−15%Set pieces−17%averageHeaders−7%+14%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsDundee FC

1.34xG1.16
1.34xG against1.87
54%Possession44%
12.7Shots10.7
10.6Shots against16.6
4.2Shots on target3.8
2.3Big chances1.7
24.7Touches in the opposition box21.1
437Passes316
76%Pass accuracy66%
6.1Corners4.9
58%Field tilt42%
40.0Final-third entries30.9
11.8Box entries10.1
13.5Passes per defensive action14.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.291.36
Ahead231.511.12
Behind261.291.49

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level361.081.88
Ahead241.231.95
Behind301.191.81

xG by period

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.156–5
16–300.180.216–6
31–450.170.255–7
46–600.200.288–8
61–750.190.168–9
76–900.410.3010–9

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.239–7
16–300.190.2810–11
31–450.220.2610–12
46–600.140.335–12
61–750.160.298–12
76–900.260.498–17

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTGordon 31Clark 2Forrester 14Oyegoke 11Taylor 6Kent 12Halkett 10Steinwender 7Rowles 20McCart 9Kingsley 2Penrice 27Kingsley 3Grant 1Devlin 18Baningime 12Kartum 4Boateng 13Grant 8Spittal 6Drammeh 9Baningime 6Forrest 5Shankland 14Grant 7Boyce 3Spittal 18Kabangu 6Forrest 3Wilson 13Shankland 11Vargas 44-2-3-1 in 14 of 33 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (14), 4-3-1-2 (6), 4-4-2 (6), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWCarson 17McCracken 16Mulligan 14McGhee 9Ingram 9C. Robertson 16Portales 11Shaughnessy 5Koumetio 13Donnelly 9McGhee 4Larkeche 20F. Robertson 5Ingram 3Mulligan 8Tiffoney 5Adewumi 4Sylla 30McGhee 6Cameron 23F. Robertson 8Garza 5Astley 11Adewumi 7Portales 4Murray 19Houlden 7Main 4Murray 11Tiffoney 8Adewumi 64-3-3 in 9 of 33 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (9), 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-5-2 (7), 3-4-3 (3), 5-3-2 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
1 February 2025Dundee FC0–6HeartsxG 0.37–3.06
7 December 2024Hearts2–0Dundee FCxG 1.75–0.54
10 August 2024Dundee FC3–1HeartsxG 1.53–1.52
11 May 2024Hearts3–0Dundee FCxG 2.41–1.03
3 February 2024Dundee FC2–3HeartsxG 1.69–1.76
23 January 2024Hearts3–2Dundee FCxG 2.21–0.69

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Hearts won 6, Dundee FC won 3, and 1 was a draw. Goals 21–11 and xG 1.78–0.89 per game.

Key players

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kabangu10885610.510.09
Drammeh11933310.470.07
Vargas121,047420.360.13
Shankland252,252460.280.15

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murray312,6721520.380.08
Houlden141,398510.350.03
Tiffoney171,490510.190.10
Cameron272,310540.090.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.