Monday 3 August 2026, 19:30 · Celtic Park · Round 1 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 58,904
Celtic Nygren 52'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Celtic
Dundee FC
Goals
1
0
xG
2.26
0.49
Expected Points
2.54
0.30
Celtic 80%Draw 15%Dundee FC 5%
Most likely score 2–0, 18%. Final score 1–0, 14%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
CelticDundee FC
2.26xG0.49
1.51xG on target0.78
18Shots11
4Shots on target3
3Big chances0
34Touches in the opposition box16
66%Possession34%
650Passes336
86%Pass accuracy73%
79%Field tilt21%
65Final-third entries23
24Box entries4
14.1Passes per defensive action21.2
9Corners4
14Tackles12
9Interceptions16
37Clearances32
3Saves3
9Fouls7
0Offsides1
Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Celtic
Dundee FC
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
52'
0–01–0
0'HTFT
Level
52 min (57%) · Celtic 1.64, Dundee FC 0.32 xG
Celtic ahead
40 min (43%) · Celtic 0.62, Dundee FC 0.17 xG
Line-ups
Celtic substitutes
78'Forrest for Durán
78'Tounekti for Yang
83'Donovan for Tierney
83'McCowan for Nygren
Dundee FC substitutes
60'Robertson for Reilly
60'Hay for Murray · yellow card 90'
80'Forrest for J. Bevan
80'Halliday for Wright
Players
Celtic
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Sinisalo
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
2
1
Johnston
RB
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.05
5
10
Carter-Vickers
CB
90
0.03
0.02
0
0.05
3
18
Trusty
CB
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.10
6
6
Tierney
LB
83
1
0.16
0.74
4
0.50
5
9
McGregor
DM
90
0.11
0.10
1
0.12
6
3
Engels
DM
90
0.13
0.08
2
0.07
6
6
Durán
RW
78
0.00
0.06
0
0.08
5
1
Nygren
AM
83
1
0.80
0.35
4
0.15
7
1
Yang
LW
78
0.11
0.11
0
0.14
10
5
Høgh
ST
90
0.68
0.04
0
−0.03
0
2
Forrest
FW
12
0.13
0.10
1
0.08
0
0
Tounekti
FW
12
0.11
0.05
0
0.09
1
0
Donovan
DF
7
0.00
0.19
1
0.18
2
1
McCowan
MF
7
0.00
0.11
0
0.08
2
0
Dundee FC
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Goodman
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
3
1
Wright
RB
80
0.00
0.05
1
0.10
2
3
Astley
CB
90
0.03
0.17
1
0.04
3
17
O. Bevan
CB
90
0.07
0.08
1
0.07
3
11
Odutayo
LB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
3
4
J. Bevan
RM
80
0.06
0.02
1
0.02
5
2
Finnigan
CM
90
0.07
0.06
2
0.18
3
9
Hamilton
CM
90
0.03
0.01
0
−0.02
1
4
Reilly
LM
60
0.05
0.06
0
0.00
0
4
Westley
ST
90
0.12
0.00
0
−0.03
0
5
Murray
ST
60
0.00
0.25
1
−0.11
0
1
Robertson
MF
30
0.00
0.04
1
0.00
1
1
Hay
FW
30
0.05
0.00
0
−0.07
1
0
Forrest
MF
10
0.00
0.04
1
0.09
2
1
Halliday
MF
10
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Celtic
Dundee FC
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Celtic
From
To
Passes
Trusty
Tierney
21
McGregor
Carter-Vickers
19
Trusty
Carter-Vickers
18
Tierney
Trusty
18
Carter-Vickers
Sinisalo
17
Dundee FC
From
To
Passes
O. Bevan
Odutayo
13
Odutayo
O. Bevan
12
O. Bevan
Astley
12
Hamilton
O. Bevan
10
Astley
O. Bevan
9
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Celtic
Dundee FC
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page.
Threat
Celtic
Dundee FC
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Celtic
Title
76%
78%
+2
Dundee FC
Top six
13%
12%
−1
11th
20%
20%
0
Bottom
27%
28%
+1
Rangers
Title
21%
20%
−1
Top six
99%
99%
0
From the forecast before the match (3 August 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Celtic
Dundee FC
Expected goals
2.96
0.65
Win
83%
5%
Expected Points
2.62
0.27
Clean sheet
52%
5%
Celtic 83%Draw 12%Dundee FC 5%
Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 46%.
From the forecast as it stood on 3 August 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Celtic win
Draw
Dundee FC win
Celtic
Title
76%
78%
69%
64%
Dundee FC
Top six
13%
12%
17%
21%
11th
20%
20%
18%
17%
Bottom
27%
28%
21%
17%
Rangers
Title
21%
20%
27%
31%
Top six
99%
99%
99%
>99%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Celtic
Dundee FC
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+92%
−37%
−32%
+31%
Counter-attacks
−8%
−54%
−74%
−9%
Set pieces
−2%
−21%
−13%
−5%
Penalties
+43%
+7%
+7%
+25%
Headers
+40%
−27%
−16%
+18%
Left side
+66%
−41%
−52%
+9%
Centre
+70%
−34%
−27%
+12%
Right side
+10%
−29%
−22%
+34%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Matchups
Celtic attacking
Celtic createdDundee FC concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+66%+34%Centre+70%+12%Right side+10%+9%Open play+92%+31%Counter-attacks−8%−9%Set pieces−2%−5%Headers+40%+18%
Dundee FC attacking
Dundee FC createdCeltic concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−52%−29%Centre−27%−34%Right side−22%−41%Open play−32%−37%Counter-attacks−74%−54%Set pieces−13%−21%Headers−16%−27%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Digressive Celts