Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Hearts 2–0 Dundee FC

Saturday 7 December 2024, 15:00 · Tynecastle Park · Round 16 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee Colin Steven · Attendance 18,737

Hearts Shankland 21', 31'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HeartsDundee FC
Goals20
xG1.750.54
Expected Points2.250.52

Hearts 67%Draw 23%Dundee FC 9%

Most likely score 1–0, 17%. Final score 2–0, 16%.

Dundee FC goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+9%5%1%12%2%10%3%9%6%1%3%2%17%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTForrest on for Wilson, 67'Grant on for Drammeh and Vargas on for Spittal, 76'Murray on for Adewumi and Ingram on for Robertson, 46'Tiffoney on for Houlden, 61'Vetro on for Mulligan, 84'Shankland 21'Shankland 31'Hearts 1.75Dundee FC 0.5400.511.520153045607590HTForrest on for Wilson, 67'Grant on for Drammeh and Vargas on for Spittal, 76'Murray on for Adewumi and Ingram on for Robertson, 46'Tiffoney on for Houlden, 61'Vetro on for Mulligan, 84'Shankland 21'Shankland 31'1.750.54HeartsDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsDundee FC

1.75 +0.61xG0.54 −0.71
1.71 +0.75xG on target0.00 −1.61
19 +6Shots6 −6
8 +4.9Shots on target0 −4.3
4 +2.1Big chances1 −0.6
26 +1Touches in the opposition box21 −2
57% +3Possession43% −6
429 −24Passes335 −12
79% 0Pass accuracy68% −4
59% +3Field tilt41% −9
46 +4Final-third entries28 −7
13 +1Box entries7 −5
10.8 −3Passes per defensive action11.7 −2
6 −0.4Corners4 −0.9
25 +6Tackles21 +4
14 +4.9Interceptions8 +0.6
20 −2Clearances43 +12
0 −2.5Saves5 +2.3
11 −1Fouls13 +2
1 −0.4Offsides3 +1.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hearts

Forrest 90+3', 0.29 xGHalkett 25', 0.19 xGShankland 90+3', 0.17 xGDrammeh 7', 0.16 xGDrammeh 16', 0.11 xGShankland 28', 0.09 xGShankland 51', 0.08 xGSpittal 74', 0.06 xGShankland 88', 0.06 xGShankland 1', 0.05 xGShankland 37', 0.05 xGRowles 87', 0.05 xGSpittal 11', 0.04 xGShankland 84', 0.03 xGSpittal 21', 0.02 xGDrammeh 39', 0.02 xGOyegoke 76', 0.02 xGShankland 31', 0.25 xG, goalShankland 21', 0.05 xG, goal11%0.19 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.19 xG, 0 goals69%1.21 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.21 xG, 2 goals10%0.18 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals6%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals4%0.07 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Portales 90', 0.21 xGKoumetio 86', 0.10 xGCameron 32', 0.08 xGAdewumi 34', 0.08 xGHoulden 48', 0.06 xGCameron 66', 0.01 xG56%0.30 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.30 xG, 0 goals43%0.23 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals2%0.01 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsDundee FC

1.36 14 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.10 2 shots, 0 goals
0.06 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.33 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.45 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
21 min (23%) · Hearts 0.42, Dundee FC 0.00 xG
Hearts ahead
72 min (77%) · Hearts 1.33, Dundee FC 0.54 xG

Line-ups

154152914183791621GordonOyegokeHalkettRowlesPenriceDevlinBoatengDrammehShanklandSpittalWilsonYellow cardGoalGoalYellow card76'76'67'Hearts 4-2-3-1Neil Critchley142920862819101123McCrackenAstleyPortalesKoumetioMulliganMcGheeSyllaRobertsonCameronAdewumiHouldenYellow card84'46'46'61'Dundee FC 3-4-2-1Tony Docherty

Hearts substitutes

  • 67' Forrest for Wilson
  • 76' Grant for Drammeh
  • 76' Vargas for Spittal

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 46' Ingram for Robertson · yellow card 90+1'
  • 46' Murray for Adewumi · yellow card 86'
  • 61' Tiffoney for Houlden
  • 84' Vetro for Mulligan

Players

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GordonGK900.000.0000.0000
OyegokeRB900.020.1410.22209
HalkettCB900.190.0920.1136
RowlesCB900.050.0000.0578
Penrice LB9010.000.5350.33612
DevlinDM900.000.0420.02510
BoatengDM900.000.0300.0144
DrammehRW760.290.0000.0122
Shankland AM9020.810.040−0.0163
SpittalLW760.110.0610.0975
WilsonST670.000.1110.0820
ForrestMF230.290.0110.1111
GrantMF140.000.030−0.0111
VargasMF140.000.462−0.1110

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrackenGK900.000.0100.0744
AstleyCB900.000.0200.03411
PortalesCB900.210.0000.04614
KoumetioCB900.100.3520.18316
Mulligan RWB840.000.0100.0135
McGheeCM900.000.040−0.0114
SyllaCM900.000.010−0.0216
RobertsonLWB460.000.0500.0823
CameronAM900.100.0200.0713
AdewumiAM460.080.0210.0012
HouldenST610.060.000−0.0102
Ingram DF440.000.0200.0576
Murray FW440.000.0100.0520
TiffoneyFW290.000.0000.0110
VetroFW60.000.3510.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

Halkett and Penrice: 4 passesRowles and Boateng: 5 passesHalkett and Spittal: 5 passesPenrice and Shankland: 5 passesOyegoke and Boateng: 6 passesDevlin and Spittal: 6 passesGordon and Rowles: 8 passesGordon and Halkett: 9 passesOyegoke and Drammeh: 9 passesRowles and Spittal: 9 passesHalkett and Boateng: 9 passesBoateng and Spittal: 9 passesRowles and Devlin: 10 passesPenrice and Boateng: 10 passesDevlin and Boateng: 10 passesDevlin and Shankland: 10 passesOyegoke and Shankland: 11 passesRowles and Penrice: 14 passesPenrice and Spittal: 14 passesRowles and Halkett: 19 passesHalkett and Devlin: 20 passesOyegoke and Halkett: 24 passesOyegoke and Devlin: 32 passesGordon: 17 completed passesOyegoke: 42 completed passesRowles: 33 completed passesHalkett: 51 completed passesPenrice: 27 completed passesDevlin: 53 completed passesBoateng: 31 completed passesDrammeh: 4 completed passesShankland: 15 completed passesSpittal: 23 completed passesWilson: 4 completed passes151542914183791621GordonOyegokeRowlesHalkettPenriceDevlinBoatengDrammehShanklandSpittalWilsonStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee FC

Koumetio and Robertson: 3 passesAstley and Sylla: 3 passesAstley and Houlden: 3 passesCameron and Houlden: 3 passesAstley and Mulligan: 4 passesAstley and Cameron: 4 passesRobertson and Sylla: 4 passesPortales and Sylla: 5 passesMulligan and Sylla: 5 passesSylla and Cameron: 5 passesRobertson and Adewumi: 6 passesMulligan and McGhee: 7 passesMcCracken and Portales: 10 passesRobertson and Cameron: 11 passesAstley and Portales: 12 passesMcCracken: 8 completed passesKoumetio: 5 completed passesAstley: 14 completed passesPortales: 18 completed passesMulligan: 10 completed passesRobertson: 16 completed passesSylla: 15 completed passesMcGhee: 9 completed passesAdewumi: 4 completed passesCameron: 11 completed passesHoulden: 6 completed passes120429819286111023McCrackenKoumetioAstleyPortalesMulliganRobertsonSyllaMcGheeAdewumiCameronHouldenStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

FromToPasses
DevlinOyegoke17
OyegokeDevlin16
HalkettOyegoke15
HalkettRowles12
OyegokeHalkett12

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
PortalesAstley14
PortalesMcCracken10
KoumetioPortales10
AstleyPortales7
McCrackenPortales7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

40.03−3.18−5.57+0.37+2.14−3.05−1.76+0.110+3.014+7.36+0.42−2.33+0.57+1.312+5.42−3.04+0.84+1.15+1.45+1.12−0.73+1.32+1.33+2.03+1.10−0.71+0.51+0.30−0.31−0.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Dundee FC

9+4.73−3.928+9.79+1.96+2.58+2.14−3.54−2.46−1.12−5.96−0.25+0.96+3.07+2.50−4.05+0.77+3.42−0.31−0.93−1.32−0.71−0.70−0.73+1.53+0.910.01+0.51+0.31+0.70−0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

0.020.010.010.030.020.100.040.010.030.010.040.040.070.03−0.010.02−0.020.050.060.14−0.02−0.050.010.25LessMore

Dundee FC

0.010.010.050.030.010.020.010.03−0.010.020.040.01−0.01−0.010.030.040.070.08−0.01−0.040.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackHearts1.27 → 1.29Dundee FC1.15 → 1.12Defence (lower is better)Hearts1.36 → 1.32Dundee FC1.55 → 1.56

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hearts
Top six22%28%+6
11th12%10%−2
Bottom11%7%−4
Dundee FC
Top six35%27%−8
11th9%11%+2
Bottom7%9%+2

From the forecast before the match (7 December 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HeartsDundee FC
Expected goals1.721.06
Win52%23%
Expected Points1.820.93
Clean sheet35%18%

Hearts 52%Draw 25%Dundee FC 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 54%.

Dundee FC goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+7%6%3%1%6%2%5%2%5%6%3%1%2%2%1%10%12%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 7 December 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHearts winDrawDundee FC win
Hearts
Top six22%28%16%12%
11th12%10%14%16%
Bottom11%7%13%17%
Dundee FC
Top six35%27%36%52%
11th9%11%9%5%
Bottom7%9%6%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hearts

  1. D1–11 DecAberdeen (H)xG 1.15–0.62
  2. L1–423 NovCeltic (H)xG 0.85–3.87
  3. L0–110 NovRangers (A)xG 0.59–2.17
  4. W2–12 NovSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.44–1.39
  5. L1–230 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.11–1.73
  6. D1–127 OctHibernian (A)xG 1.17–1.97

Dundee FC

  1. W4–14 DecMotherwell (H)xG 0.60–1.97
  2. D1–130 NovKilmarnock (A)xG 0.75–1.28
  3. W4–123 NovHibernian (H)xG 2.22–0.76
  4. L1–49 NovAberdeen (A)xG 1.89–1.81
  5. W3–23 NovKilmarnock (H)xG 1.58–1.04
  6. L0–230 OctCeltic (A)xG 0.16–4.62

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HeartsDundee FC
Position12th5th
Played1515
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠4–⁠95–⁠4–⁠6
Points10 (0.67 per game)19 (1.27 per game)
Expected Points per game1.161.21
Goals16–⁠2527–⁠27
xG per game1.14–⁠1.581.25–⁠1.66
Home: points, xG per game0.86, 1.25–⁠1.331.62, 1.41–⁠1.52
Away: points, xG per game0.50, 1.05–⁠1.790.86, 1.08–⁠1.83
ManagerNeil Critchley (6)Tony Docherty (53)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackHearts1.27, 4thDundee FC1.15, 9thDefence (lower is better)Hearts1.36, 4thDundee FC1.55, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecHearts attack: 1.27Dundee FC attack: 1.151.271.15Dundee FCHeartsDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecHearts defence: 1.36Dundee FC defence: 1.551.551.36

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HeartsDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−20%+4%−11%+16%
Counter-attacks−19%+14%+32%+39%
Set pieces+12%+10%−50%+30%
Penalties−100%+74%+74%−13%
Headers−9%+33%−1%+15%
Left side+6%+19%−8%−9%
Centre−17%+3%−23%+23%
Right side−12%average−19%+53%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdDundee FC concededLeft side+6%+53%Centre−17%+23%Right side−12%−9%Open play−20%+16%Counter-attacks−19%+39%Set pieces+12%+30%Headers−9%+15%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHearts concededLeft side−8%averageCentre−23%+3%Right side−19%+19%Open play−11%+4%Counter-attacks+32%+14%Set pieces−50%+10%Headers−1%+33%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsDundee FC

1.14xG1.25
1.58xG against1.66
54%Possession49%
12.5Shots11.5
12.3Shots against16.1
3.1Shots on target4.3
1.9Big chances1.6
25.4Touches in the opposition box23.5
454Passes347
78%Pass accuracy71%
6.4Corners4.9
56%Field tilt50%
42.0Final-third entries35.2
11.9Box entries11.8
13.5Passes per defensive action13.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.081.83
Ahead101.131.15
Behind361.221.37

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.231.98
Ahead250.981.39
Behind261.551.45

xG by period

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.220.251–3
16–300.110.172–2
31–450.140.332–5
46–600.110.311–5
61–750.160.194–4
76–900.400.326–6

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.263–4
16–300.200.215–4
31–450.340.257–5
46–600.140.273–3
61–750.130.244–5
76–900.250.435–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTGordon 13Clark 2Oyegoke 7Taylor 4Kingsley 2Kent 12Halkett 3Rowles 13Kingsley 2Penrice 9Kingsley 3Spittal 1Devlin 8Baningime 5Penrice 1Boateng 10Grant 3Spittal 1Forrest 5Vargas 3Dhanda 3Shankland 4Grant 3Baningime 2Spittal 8Forrest 2Vargas 2Shankland 11Vargas 3Drammeh 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 15 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-4-2 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-2-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTMcCracken 12Carson 3C. Robertson 8Astley 7Houlden 4Portales 12McGhee 3Koumetio 10Graham 1Ingram 9McGhee 3Mulligan 2Mulligan 4Tiffoney 2McGhee 2Sylla 13Robertson 2Cameron 15McCowan 3Braybrooke 2Larkeche 12Robertson 2Adewumi 1Tiffoney 4Houlden 4Main 4Murray 15Adewumi 1Robertson 13-5-2 in 7 of 15 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (7), 4-3-3 (4), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
10 August 2024Dundee FC3–1HeartsxG 1.53–1.52
11 May 2024Hearts3–0Dundee FCxG 2.41–1.03
3 February 2024Dundee FC2–3HeartsxG 1.69–1.76
23 January 2024Hearts3–2Dundee FCxG 2.21–0.69
27 August 2023Dundee FC1–0HeartsxG 1.52–0.86
9 February 2022Hearts1–2Dundee FCxG 1.76–0.86

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Hearts won 4, Dundee FC won 3, and 1 was a draw. Goals 13–11 and xG 1.63–1.00 per game.

Key players

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Shankland151,311130.300.16
Vargas11886210.280.08
Spittal11978220.110.18
Dhanda6573010.080.19

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Houlden8742310.370.05
Murray151,262420.310.11
Mulligan6616010.040.29
Tiffoney7664310.210.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.