Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Hearts 4–0 Dundee FC

Saturday 1 November 2025, 15:00 · Tynecastle Park · Round 11 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 18,767

Hearts Shankland 31', Kaboré 39', 57', Magnússon 80'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HeartsDundee FC
Goals40
xG3.430.10
Expected Points2.980.01

Hearts 99%Draw 1%Dundee FC <1%

Most likely score 3–0, 29%. Final score 4–0, 26%.

Dundee FC goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+4%16%2%3%3%12%1%4%29%26%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTKingsley on for Milne, 70'Magnússon on for Spittal and Braga on for Kaboré, 71'Kerjota on for Baningime, 84'Kabangu on for Shankland, 87'Jones on for Digby and Yogane on for Westley, 61'Reilly on for Congreve and Hay on for Murray, 82'Shankland 31'Kaboré 39'Kaboré 57'Magnússon 80'Hearts 3.43Dundee FC 0.10012340153045607590HTKingsley on for Milne, 70'Magnússon on for Spittal and Braga on for Kaboré, 71'Kerjota on for Baningime, 84'Kabangu on for Shankland, 87'Jones on for Digby and Yogane on for Westley, 61'Reilly on for Congreve and Hay on for Murray, 82'Shankland 31'Kaboré 39'Kaboré 57'Magnússon 80'3.430.10HeartsDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsDundee FC

3.43 +1.66xG0.10 −0.68
5.16 +2.82xG on target0.00 −0.76
17 +1.4Shots5 −3.1
10 +3.9Shots on target0 −2.4
4 +1.5Big chances0 −1.0
24 −8Touches in the opposition box7 −6
67% +15Possession33% −4
608 +201Passes293 −24
85% +9Pass accuracy62% −10
69% +6Field tilt31% +2
47 +5Final-third entries17 −9
14 −0.9Box entries3 −2.2
15.9 +5Passes per defensive action23.8 −2
6 −0.2Corners2 −1.5
9 −10Tackles5 −10
4 −5.1Interceptions4 −5.7
29 −3Clearances23 −15
0 −2.2Saves6 +2.3
8 −4.0Fouls17 +9.0
2 +0.7Offsides1 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hearts

Braga 90+4', 0.64 xGBraga 79', 0.12 xGSpittal 56', 0.10 xGMagnússon 77', 0.08 xGMcEntee 20', 0.07 xGKyziridis 79', 0.06 xGMilne 3', 0.05 xGKaboré 49', 0.05 xGMilne 37', 0.04 xGShankland 49', 0.04 xGDevlin 50', 0.03 xGKyziridis 82', 0.02 xGShankland 4', 0.01 xGKaboré 56', 0.88 xG, goalMagnússon 79', 0.69 xG, goalKaboré 38', 0.49 xG, goalShankland 31', 0.07 xG, goal38%1.30 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.30 xG, 2 goals47%1.62 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 1.62 xG, 1 goal5%0.16 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals9%0.32 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.32 xG, 1 goal1%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Westley 36', 0.03 xGCongreve 29', 0.02 xGC. Robertson 43', 0.02 xGJones 73', 0.02 xGHamilton 36', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals56%0.05 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals33%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals11%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsDundee FC

1.94 10 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.02 1 shot, 0 goals
0.06 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
1.43 5 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces0.08 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
31 min (33%) · Hearts 0.20, Dundee FC 0.02 xG
Hearts ahead
63 min (67%) · Hearts 3.23, Dundee FC 0.08 xG

Line-ups

25311519188961416911SchwolowMcEnteeSteinwenderFindlayMilneKyziridisBaningimeDevlinSpittalShanklandKaboréGoalGoalGoal70'84'71'87'71'Hearts 4-4-2Derek McInnes1435784812191520McCrackenAstleyC. RobertsonKoumetioWrightDigbyHamiltonSamuelsWestleyMurrayCongreveYellow cardYellow card61'61'82'82'Dundee FC 3-4-3Steven Pressley

Hearts substitutes

  • 70' Kingsley for Milne
  • 71' Magnússon for Spittal · goal 80'
  • 71' Braga for Kaboré
  • 84' Kerjota for Baningime
  • 87' Kabangu for Shankland

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 61' Jones for Digby
  • 61' Yogane for Westley
  • 82' Hay for Murray
  • 82' Reilly for Congreve

Players

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchwolowGK900.000.0000.0110
McEnteeRB9010.070.3210.0568
SteinwenderCB900.000.0100.0967
FindlayCB900.000.0100.0855
MilneLB7010.090.1820.1297
KyziridisRM900.080.1430.0865
BaningimeCM840.000.071−0.0132
DevlinCM900.030.0900.0694
SpittalLM710.100.0920.1242
ShanklandST8710.120.0910.1032
KaboréST7121.420.011−0.0401
KingsleyDF200.000.0000.0111
MagnússonMF1910.760.0000.0000
BragaFW190.760.0200.0620
KerjotaFW60.000.0100.0000
KabanguFW30.000.001−0.0100

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrackenGK900.000.0100.0100
AstleyCB900.000.0100.0327
C. RobertsonCB900.020.0000.0336
KoumetioCB900.000.0000.0217
WrightRWB900.000.0810.1042
DigbyCM610.000.0010.0012
Hamilton CM900.010.0210.0010
SamuelsLWB900.000.0700.0835
WestleyRW610.030.000−0.0101
Murray ST820.000.0100.0012
CongreveLW820.020.0000.0121
JonesMF290.020.0100.0100
YoganeFW290.000.010−0.0200
HayFW80.000.0000.0001
ReillyFW80.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

McEntee and Kaboré: 6 passesMilne and Kyziridis: 6 passesMcEntee and Devlin: 7 passesMilne and Baningime: 7 passesMilne and Shankland: 7 passesDevlin and Spittal: 7 passesSchwolow and Steinwender: 8 passesSchwolow and Devlin: 8 passesMcEntee and Kyziridis: 8 passesKyziridis and Devlin: 9 passesKyziridis and Baningime: 9 passesSchwolow and Findlay: 10 passesMcEntee and Spittal: 10 passesSteinwender and Baningime: 10 passesMilne and Spittal: 13 passesDevlin and Shankland: 14 passesDevlin and Baningime: 18 passesSteinwender and Devlin: 20 passesFindlay and Devlin: 21 passesFindlay and Milne: 23 passesMilne and Devlin: 29 passesSteinwender and Findlay: 33 passesMcEntee and Steinwender: 35 passesSchwolow: 19 completed passesMcEntee: 38 completed passesSteinwender: 61 completed passesFindlay: 56 completed passesMilne: 51 completed passesKyziridis: 17 completed passesDevlin: 75 completed passesBaningime: 27 completed passesSpittal: 23 completed passesKaboré: 8 completed passesShankland: 23 completed passes25311519188914616119SchwolowMcEnteeSteinwenderFindlayMilneKyziridisDevlinBaningimeSpittalKaboréShanklandStarters until 70' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Dundee FC

McCracken and C. Robertson: 3 passesMcCracken and Wright: 3 passesKoumetio and C. Robertson: 3 passesC. Robertson and Wright: 3 passesC. Robertson and Hamilton: 3 passesAstley and Hamilton: 3 passesWright and Murray: 3 passesDigby and Hamilton: 3 passesHamilton and Congreve: 3 passesMurray and Congreve: 3 passesMcCracken and Koumetio: 4 passesMcCracken and Astley: 4 passesKoumetio and Hamilton: 4 passesC. Robertson and Digby: 4 passesAstley and Westley: 4 passesWright and Hamilton: 4 passesKoumetio and Samuels: 5 passesC. Robertson and Astley: 5 passesAstley and Wright: 8 passesWright and Digby: 8 passesSamuels and Hamilton: 8 passesMcCracken: 5 completed passesKoumetio: 11 completed passesC. Robertson: 11 completed passesAstley: 18 completed passesWright: 14 completed passesSamuels: 14 completed passesDigby: 14 completed passesHamilton: 18 completed passesWestley: 4 completed passesMurray: 5 completed passesCongreve: 5 completed passes1534712848191520McCrackenKoumetioC. RobertsonAstleyWrightSamuelsDigbyHamiltonWestleyMurrayCongreveStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

FromToPasses
SteinwenderMcEntee24
SteinwenderFindlay23
FindlaySteinwender22
McEnteeSteinwender20
FindlayDevlin17

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
SamuelsHamilton8
AstleyWright7
HamiltonSamuels5
C. RobertsonAstley5
AstleyMcCracken5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

5+1.03−2.513+2.23−3.55+2.16−1.16−1.28−0.512+6.05−2.32−3.33−2.210+2.82−3.83−2.140.01−1.72−2.83−2.32−0.31−1.41−0.50−1.53−0.40−1.10−0.20−0.41+0.71−0.23−5.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Dundee FC

2−3.315−4.27−1.26+1.12−3.36−1.15−3.29+0.74−4.01−2.84−0.43+0.63−0.83−2.13−0.74+1.52+0.72−0.25+1.95+4.00−1.20−0.80−0.74+2.21+0.40−0.43+2.30−0.10−0.33−5.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

0.010.010.020.020.040.010.020.030.010.050.010.030.010.070.040.020.040.080.030.01−0.04−0.060.140.11LessMore

Dundee FC

0.010.010.02−0.010.010.020.020.01−0.01−0.010.01−0.02−0.05−0.010.110.15LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackHearts1.57 → 1.62Dundee FC1.05 → 1.02Defence (lower is better)Hearts1.08 → 1.06Dundee FC1.71 → 1.77

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hearts
Title11%13%+2
Dundee FC
Top six3%3%0
11th27%28%+1
Bottom26%28%+2
Livingston
11th22%23%+1
Bottom44%42%−2
Celtic
Title86%85%−1

From the forecast before the match (1 November 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HeartsDundee FC
Expected goals2.300.76
Win72%10%
Expected Points2.330.49
Clean sheet47%10%

Hearts 72%Draw 18%Dundee FC 10%

Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 48%.

Dundee FC goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+5%3%1%9%3%4%7%3%5%4%2%3%2%1%1%10%12%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 1 November 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHearts winDrawDundee FC win
Hearts
Title11%13%8%6%
Dundee FC
Top six3%3%4%7%
11th27%28%26%25%
Bottom26%28%22%17%
Livingston
11th22%23%22%22%
Bottom44%42%47%48%
Celtic
Title86%85%90%90%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hearts

  1. D2–229 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.57–1.01
  2. W3–126 OctCeltic (H)xG 1.57–0.88
  3. W3–018 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 2.88–0.43
  4. W1–04 OctHibernian (H)xG 0.80–0.39
  5. W3–027 SepFalkirk (H)xG 1.94–0.67
  6. W2–013 SepRangers (A)xG 2.37–1.11

Dundee FC

  1. L1–225 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.21–1.08
  2. W2–019 OctCeltic (H)xG 1.30–2.70
  3. L0–45 OctAberdeen (A)xG 0.31–2.80
  4. L0–127 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.62–0.74
  5. W3–220 SepLivingston (H)xG 2.74–1.51
  6. D1–113 SepMotherwell (H)xG 0.82–2.28

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HeartsDundee FC
Position1st11th
Played1010
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠2–⁠02–⁠3–⁠5
Points26 (2.60 per game)9 (0.90 per game)
Expected Points per game2.010.76
Goals24–⁠99–⁠15
xG per game1.77–⁠0.860.78–⁠1.65
Home: points, xG per game2.60, 1.51–⁠0.971.40, 1.02–⁠1.76
Away: points, xG per game2.60, 2.02–⁠0.750.40, 0.55–⁠1.54
ManagerDerek McInnes (10)Steven Pressley (10)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackHearts1.57, 4thDundee FC1.05, 10thDefence (lower is better)Hearts1.08, 3rdDundee FC1.71, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctHearts attack: 1.57Dundee FC attack: 1.051.571.05Dundee FCHeartsDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctHearts defence: 1.08Dundee FC defence: 1.711.711.08

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HeartsDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+5%−22%−52%+21%
Counter-attacks+45%−91%−46%−15%
Set pieces+46%−23%−27%+9%
Penalties+64%−100%−45%+64%
Headers+41%−39%−21%−3%
Left side+37%−39%−48%+52%
Centre+27%−43%−40%−9%
Right side−5%+3%−47%+28%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdDundee FC concededLeft side+37%+28%Centre+27%−9%Right side−5%+52%Open play+5%+21%Counter-attacks+45%−15%Set pieces+46%+9%Headers+41%−3%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHearts concededLeft side−48%+3%Centre−40%−43%Right side−47%−39%Open play−52%−22%Counter-attacks−46%−91%Set pieces−27%−23%Headers−21%−39%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsDundee FC

1.77xG0.78
0.86xG against1.65
52%Possession37%
15.6Shots8.1
9.5Shots against15.0
6.1Shots on target2.4
2.5Big chances1.0
32.4Touches in the opposition box12.9
407Passes317
76%Pass accuracy73%
6.2Corners3.5
63%Field tilt30%
41.7Final-third entries26.1
14.9Box entries5.2
10.9Passes per defensive action25.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.450.56
Ahead332.201.10
Behind121.761.31

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level450.881.47
Ahead181.022.60
Behind270.471.33

xG by period

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.102–1
16–300.280.094–4
31–450.250.142–1
46–600.290.166–2
61–750.250.155–1
76–900.560.225–0

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.100–1
16–300.070.252–3
31–450.210.323–4
46–600.110.212–1
61–750.130.311–2
76–900.180.461–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSchwolow 6Clark 4McEntee 6Kent 3Steinwender 1Halkett 10Findlay 9Shankland 1Kingsley 6Devlin 2Milne 1Milne 5Braga 2McEntee 1Devlin 8McEntee 2Borchgrevink 1Baningime 6Spittal 3Kyziridis 6Milne 3Forrest 1Shankland 9Findlay 1Braga 7McEntee 1Milne 14-4-2 in 6 of 10 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (6), 3-5-2 (3), 4-3-3 (1)

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWMcCracken 10Astley 10Wright 1C. Robertson 10Graham 9Wright 7Congreve 2Ingram 1F. Robertson 7Digby 4Jones 2Hamilton 6Westley 1Samuels 7Yogane 2Dhanda 1Congreve 3Westley 2Jones 2Murray 4Westley 3Hay 2Murray 3Westley 3Dhanda 23-4-3 in 3 of 10 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (3), 5-3-2 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 April 2025Hearts0–1Dundee FCxG 1.46–0.71
1 February 2025Dundee FC0–6HeartsxG 0.37–3.06
7 December 2024Hearts2–0Dundee FCxG 1.75–0.54
10 August 2024Dundee FC3–1HeartsxG 1.53–1.52
11 May 2024Hearts3–0Dundee FCxG 2.41–1.03
3 February 2024Dundee FC2–3HeartsxG 1.69–1.76

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Hearts won 6, Dundee FC won 4, and 1 was a draw. Goals 21–12 and xG 1.75–0.87 per game.

Key players

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Braga9781610.640.10
Kyziridis6590340.200.42
Shankland10896610.450.10
Milne10885120.080.14

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Congreve5516050.090.60
Westley9610100.220.19
Murray7520100.350.02
F. Robertson7638100.030.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.