Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Hearts 1–0 Dundee FC

Saturday 21 March 2026, 15:00 · Tynecastle Park · Round 31 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 18,827

Hearts McEntee 77' · Kent sent off 90+1'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HeartsDundee FC
Goals10
xG1.640.56
Expected Points2.210.55

Hearts 65%Draw 24%Dundee FC 10%

Most likely score 1–0, 19%. Final score 1–0, 19%.

Dundee FC goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+9%5%1%12%3%10%3%8%5%1%2%1%19%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTKent (Hearts), second yellow card 90+1'Spittal on for Altena and Shankland on for Kaboré, 54'Baningime on for Devlin, 76'Chesnokov on for Braga and Forrest on for Kyziridis, 86'Reilly on for Yogane and Cotterill on for Westley, 63'S. Wright on for Congreve, 71'Murray on for Hay, 72'Jones on for Robertson, 76'McEntee 77'Hearts 1.64Dundee FC 0.5600.511.520153045607590HTKent (Hearts), second yellow card 90+1'Spittal on for Altena and Shankland on for Kaboré, 54'Baningime on for Devlin, 76'Chesnokov on for Braga and Forrest on for Kyziridis, 86'Reilly on for Yogane and Cotterill on for Westley, 63'S. Wright on for Congreve, 71'Murray on for Hay, 72'Jones on for Robertson, 76'McEntee 77'1.640.56HeartsDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsDundee FC

1.64 +0.02xG0.56 −0.42
1.73 −0.11xG on target0.02 −0.87
16 +2Shots8 −2
6 +1.0Shots on target1 −2.1
3 +0.5Big chances0 −1.3
24 −3Touches in the opposition box25 +10
57% +4Possession43% 0
456 +40Passes343 −6
83% +8Pass accuracy74% −1
79% +20Field tilt21% −16
42 +1Final-third entries17 −16
10 −2.6Box entries10 +3.1
11.3 0Passes per defensive action17.9 −3
4 −1.6Corners7 +3.2
21 +4Tackles17 +3
6 −2.9Interceptions7 −1.0
30 −2Clearances35 +1
1 −1.2Saves5 +1.2
12 +0.9Fouls11 +1.8
1 −0.2Offsides1 −0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hearts

Braga 26', 0.49 xGKaboré 45+2', 0.27 xGShankland 84', 0.19 xGShankland 70', 0.10 xGKyziridis 43', 0.09 xGAltena 52', 0.05 xGLeonard 65', 0.04 xGBraga 69', 0.04 xGSpittal 70', 0.04 xGKaboré 34', 0.03 xGKent 35', 0.03 xGLeonard 69', 0.03 xGDevlin 40', 0.02 xGBraga 51', 0.02 xGShankland 90+3', 0.02 xGMcEntee 77', 0.19 xG, goal12%0.19 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.19 xG, 1 goal52%0.85 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.85 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals30%0.49 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.49 xG, 0 goals5%0.08 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Murray 75', 0.13 xGMurray 81', 0.12 xGCongreve 18', 0.06 xGHamilton 81', 0.06 xGWestley 45+5', 0.05 xGHamilton 45+5', 0.05 xGHalliday 55', 0.05 xGJones 82', 0.04 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals32%0.18 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals32%0.18 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals29%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals7%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsDundee FC

1.14 9 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.18 2 shots, 0 goals
0.02 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.48 6 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.38 6 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
82 min (84%) · Hearts 1.43, Dundee FC 0.34 xG
Hearts ahead
16 min (16%) · Hearts 0.20, Dundee FC 0.21 xG

Line-ups

25312155231449891011SchwolowMcEnteeKentSteinwenderMcCartAltenaDevlinLeonardKyziridisBragaKaboréGoalYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow card54'76'86'86'54'Hearts 4-4-2Derek McInnes1164227104820191711McCrackenHallidayAstleyGrahamD. WrightRobertsonHamiltonCongreveWestleyYoganeHayYellow card76'71'63'63'72'Dundee FC 4-2-3-1Steven Pressley

Hearts substitutes

  • 54' Spittal for Altena
  • 54' Shankland for Kaboré
  • 76' Baningime for Devlin
  • 86' Forrest for Kyziridis
  • 86' Chesnokov for Braga

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 63' Cotterill for Westley
  • 63' Reilly for Yogane · yellow card 76'
  • 71' S. Wright for Congreve
  • 72' Murray for Hay
  • 76' Jones for Robertson

Players

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchwolowGK900.000.0000.0431
McEnteeRB9010.190.1010.1295
Kent CB900.030.0100.04312
SteinwenderCB900.000.0100.0425
McCartLB900.000.0400.0477
AltenaRM540.050.0510.0522
DevlinCM760.020.020−0.0304
Leonard CM9010.070.2720.1395
KyziridisLM860.090.061−0.0239
BragaST860.560.0410.1752
KaboréST540.300.0010.0002
SpittalMF360.040.0300.0523
ShanklandFW360.300.0400.0333
BaningimeMF140.000.0100.0210
ForrestMF40.000.0010.0001
ChesnokovFW40.000.0000.0000

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrackenGK900.000.0000.0211
HallidayRB900.050.0300.1137
AstleyCB900.000.0010.04413
GrahamCB900.000.0000.03115
D. WrightLB900.000.0100.0444
RobertsonDM760.000.1520.1553
HamiltonDM900.110.0200.03510
Congreve RW710.060.0100.0333
WestleyAM630.050.010−0.0612
YoganeLW630.000.0300.0430
HayST720.000.0600.0603
CotterillMF270.000.0000.0012
Reilly FW270.000.1000.0110
S. WrightFW190.000.0000.0001
MurrayFW180.250.0000.0100
JonesMF140.040.0200.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

McEntee and Kaboré: 4 passesMcCart and Leonard: 4 passesAltena and Devlin: 4 passesMcEntee and Devlin: 5 passesKent and Leonard: 5 passesAltena and Braga: 5 passesAltena and Kaboré: 5 passesSchwolow and Kent: 6 passesSteinwender and Kyziridis: 6 passesKent and Altena: 6 passesMcEntee and Altena: 7 passesMcEntee and Braga: 7 passesLeonard and Braga: 7 passesSchwolow and Steinwender: 8 passesMcCart and Kyziridis: 8 passesSteinwender and Leonard: 9 passesMcCart and Devlin: 12 passesMcEntee and Kent: 13 passesKent and Devlin: 13 passesAltena and Leonard: 14 passesSteinwender and Devlin: 15 passesSteinwender and McCart: 17 passesDevlin and Leonard: 19 passesMcEntee and Leonard: 20 passesSteinwender and Kent: 20 passesSchwolow: 12 completed passesMcEntee: 28 completed passesSteinwender: 42 completed passesKent: 35 completed passesMcCart: 26 completed passesAltena: 23 completed passesDevlin: 36 completed passesLeonard: 45 completed passesKyziridis: 10 completed passesBraga: 10 completed passesKaboré: 7 completed passes25311525231449891011SchwolowMcEnteeSteinwenderKentMcCartAltenaDevlinLeonardKyziridisBragaKaboréStarters until 54' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee FC

Graham and Westley: 3 passesGraham and Yogane: 3 passesAstley and Congreve: 3 passesHamilton and Congreve: 3 passesRobertson and Yogane: 3 passesMcCracken and Astley: 4 passesHalliday and Hamilton: 4 passesHalliday and Congreve: 4 passesHalliday and Robertson: 4 passesRobertson and Westley: 4 passesRobertson and Hay: 4 passesMcCracken and Hay: 5 passesD. Wright and Robertson: 5 passesAstley and Hamilton: 6 passesHamilton and Robertson: 6 passesCongreve and Robertson: 6 passesMcCracken and Hamilton: 7 passesGraham and Robertson: 7 passesD. Wright and Hamilton: 7 passesD. Wright and Yogane: 7 passesAstley and Robertson: 8 passesMcCracken and Graham: 9 passesGraham and D. Wright: 10 passesGraham and Astley: 11 passesGraham and Hamilton: 12 passesHalliday and Astley: 16 passesMcCracken: 17 completed passesHalliday: 18 completed passesGraham: 30 completed passesAstley: 27 completed passesD. Wright: 21 completed passesHamilton: 26 completed passesCongreve: 6 completed passesRobertson: 25 completed passesWestley: 6 completed passesYogane: 7 completed passesHay: 5 completed passes1162247482010191711McCrackenHallidayGrahamAstleyD. WrightHamiltonCongreveRobertsonWestleyYoganeHayStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

FromToPasses
SteinwenderKent16
DevlinLeonard15
LeonardMcEntee14
KentMcEntee14
LeonardDevlin13

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
HamiltonGraham12
HallidayAstley11
AstleyHalliday10
GrahamAstley9
D. WrightGraham8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

5+0.76−0.613+0.48+1.85+1.08+0.13−3.89+0.74−3.17+1.07+1.19+4.33−3.15−0.250.03−1.42−0.63−0.97+2.40−2.52−0.20−1.42+0.61−1.82+0.90−0.40−0.60−0.40−0.82−5.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Dundee FC

0−4.57−0.519+1.25−3.16+1.52−3.270.014+5.716+7.92−4.55+0.44−0.74+0.84−1.11−3.83−0.32−0.74+2.34+1.45+1.820.01−0.71−0.110.00−1.80−0.60−0.30−0.70−0.30−0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

0.040.010.020.010.020.040.020.040.040.030.020.010.030.050.020.040.030.040.010.07−0.01−0.060.070.11LessMore

Dundee FC

0.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.040.020.020.020.050.020.030.060.050.01−0.060.15LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.33AttackHearts1.46 → 1.47Dundee FC1.09 → 1.07Defence (lower is better)Hearts1.09 → 1.07Dundee FC1.56 → 1.57

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hearts
Title19%24%+5
Dundee FC
11th3%3%0
Celtic
Title54%51%−3
Rangers
Title27%25%−2

From the forecast before the match (21 March 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HeartsDundee FC
Expected goals2.000.80
Win65%14%
Expected Points2.170.62
Clean sheet45%13%

Hearts 65%Draw 21%Dundee FC 14%

Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 48%.

Dundee FC goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+7%4%2%4%1%4%1%8%6%3%4%3%1%2%1%12%10%12%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 21 March 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHearts winDrawDundee FC win
Hearts
Title19%24%13%8%
Dundee FC
11th3%3%2%<1%
Celtic
Title54%51%57%62%
Rangers
Title27%25%30%29%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hearts

  1. L0–114 MarKilmarnock (A)xG 1.06–1.27
  2. W1–028 FebAberdeen (H)xG 2.33–0.39
  3. W1–021 FebFalkirk (H)xG 1.10–0.74
  4. L2–415 FebRangers (A)xG 0.40–2.51
  5. W1–010 FebHibernian (H)xG 0.66–0.38
  6. L0–13 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.23–2.31

Dundee FC

  1. D2–215 MarDundee United (H)xG 1.28–2.85
  2. W2–17 MarMotherwell (H)xG 1.47–1.85
  3. D3–328 FebHibernian (H)xG 0.92–1.74
  4. W3–221 FebAberdeen (A)xG 3.99–0.46
  5. D2–214 FebLivingston (H)xG 0.91–1.29
  6. L0–111 FebFalkirk (A)xG 1.58–0.98

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HeartsDundee FC
Position1st8th
Played3030
Won, drawn, lost19–⁠6–⁠58–⁠8–⁠14
Points63 (2.10 per game)32 (1.07 per game)
Expected Points per game1.720.96
Goals52–⁠2531–⁠48
xG per game1.62–⁠1.020.98–⁠1.57
Home: points, xG per game2.47, 1.70–⁠0.921.47, 1.12–⁠1.54
Away: points, xG per game1.73, 1.54–⁠1.130.67, 0.85–⁠1.61
ManagerDerek McInnes (30)Steven Pressley (30)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.33AttackHearts1.46, 4thDundee FC1.09, 10thDefence (lower is better)Hearts1.09, 3rdDundee FC1.56, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarHearts attack: 1.46Dundee FC attack: 1.091.461.09Dundee FCHeartsDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarHearts defence: 1.09Dundee FC defence: 1.561.561.09

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HeartsDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+10%−17%−35%+16%
Counter-attacks+28%−23%−68%+4%
Set pieces+25%−31%−14%+2%
Penalties−11%−100%−11%+11%
Headers+20%−7%−14%+12%
Left side+14%−18%−56%+12%
Centre+26%−30%−28%average
Right side−4%−5%−21%+32%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdDundee FC concededLeft side+14%+32%Centre+26%averageRight side−4%+12%Open play+10%+16%Counter-attacks+28%+4%Set pieces+25%+2%Headers+20%+12%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHearts concededLeft side−56%−5%Centre−28%−30%Right side−21%−18%Open play−35%−17%Counter-attacks−68%−23%Set pieces−14%−31%Headers−14%−7%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsDundee FC

1.62xG0.98
1.02xG against1.57
53%Possession43%
14.3Shots10.1
9.9Shots against15.7
5.0Shots on target3.1
2.5Big chances1.3
27.3Touches in the opposition box15.5
416Passes349
76%Pass accuracy75%
5.6Corners3.8
59%Field tilt37%
40.8Final-third entries33.0
12.6Box entries6.9
11.8Passes per defensive action20.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.380.96
Ahead341.891.12
Behind141.680.98

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.071.63
Ahead170.861.90
Behind290.921.29

xG by period

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.134–3
16–300.250.1211–6
31–450.270.188–5
46–600.290.1510–4
61–750.170.177–2
76–900.420.2712–5

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.224–7
16–300.100.204–9
31–450.280.319–7
46–600.100.284–6
61–750.160.223–5
76–900.210.347–14

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSchwolow 24Clark 4Gordon 2McEntee 12Steinwender 11Kent 3Halkett 25Kent 3Steinwender 2Findlay 27McCart 2Shankland 1Milne 16Kingsley 9McCart 2Milne 7Kyziridis 6Braga 4Baningime 12Magnússon 7Leonard 7Devlin 20Spittal 5Kyziridis 19Braga 4Milne 3Shankland 20Kaboré 9Findlay 1Braga 19Magnússon 4Milne 14-4-2 in 12 of 30 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (12), 4-2-3-1 (10), 3-5-2 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTMcCracken 30Astley 14D. Wright 9Halliday 3Astley 13C. Robertson 10Graham 26Koumetio 9Samuels 2Samuels 15D. Wright 11Murray 1Hamilton 11D. Wright 7Dhanda 4Congreve 23Westley 3Jones 2Dhanda 12Robertson 8Digby 8Hamilton 15Jones 8Cotterill 6Yogane 20Westley 4Dhanda 3Murray 17Hay 8Westley 34-1-4-1 in 7 of 30 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (7), 3-4-3 (7), 4-5-1 (4), 4-2-3-1 (3), 5-3-2 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
11 January 2026Dundee FC0–1HeartsxG 1.34–0.36
1 November 2025Hearts4–0Dundee FCxG 3.43–0.10
26 April 2025Hearts0–1Dundee FCxG 1.46–0.71
1 February 2025Dundee FC0–6HeartsxG 0.37–3.06
7 December 2024Hearts2–0Dundee FCxG 1.75–0.54
10 August 2024Dundee FC3–1HeartsxG 1.53–1.52

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Hearts won 8, Dundee FC won 4, and 1 was a draw. Goals 26–12 and xG 1.78–0.85 per game.

Key players

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kaboré11938420.570.13
Braga272,2851230.470.12
Shankland211,8341120.400.12
Kyziridis262,242460.210.28

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Hay91,022310.290.11
Congreve242,056270.100.28
Westley13901210.190.16
Murray201,635500.270.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.