Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Dundee FC 3–2 Aberdeen

Sunday 17 May 2026, 14:00 · Dens Park · Round 38 · Half-time 1–2 · Referee Ross Hardie · Attendance 8,279

Dundee FC Wright 10', Westley 61', Astley 90'

Aberdeen Morrison 23', Olusanya 45+6'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCAberdeen
Goals32
xG1.991.12
Expected Points2.070.64

Dundee FC 59%Draw 29%Aberdeen 12%

Most likely score 2–1, 21%. Final score 3–2, 4%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+1%6%7%1%7%9%2%4%11%4%1%3%1%18%21%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTBevan on for Reilly, 68'Yogane on for Congreve, 76'Cotterill on for Hamilton and Murray on for Westley, 77'Graham on for Samuels, 87'Devlin on for Knoester, 14'Bilalovic on for Cameron, Milanovic on for Keskinen, and Shinnie on for Geiger, 69'Aremu on for Kjartansson, 76'Wright 10'Westley 61'Astley 90'Morrison 23'Olusanya 45+6'Dundee FC 1.99Aberdeen 1.1201230153045607590HTBevan on for Reilly, 68'Yogane on for Congreve, 76'Cotterill on for Hamilton and Murray on for Westley, 77'Graham on for Samuels, 87'Devlin on for Knoester, 14'Bilalovic on for Cameron, Milanovic on for Keskinen, and Shinnie on for Geiger, 69'Aremu on for Kjartansson, 76'Wright 10'Westley 61'Astley 90'Morrison 23'Olusanya 45+6'1.991.12Dundee FCAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCAberdeen

1.99 +1.00xG1.12 −0.07
2.32 +1.37xG on target1.14 +0.13
11 +1Shots9 −2
6 +2.8Shots on target2 −1.4
6 +4.6Big chances1 −0.8
20 +4Touches in the opposition box15 −7
56% +13Possession44% −4
408 +56Passes317 −78
74% 0Pass accuracy67% −9
7 +3.2Corners2 −2.8
9 −5Tackles24 +8
9 +1.1Interceptions10 +1.8
36 +2Clearances20 −12
0 −3.8Saves3 −0.2
14 +4.9Fouls9 −5.4
2 +0.7Offsides1 −0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Reilly 10', 0.34 xGReilly 61', 0.19 xGCongreve 45+3', 0.15 xGWright 44', 0.04 xGWestley 45+8', 0.03 xGBevan 89', 0.03 xGF. Robertson 21', 0.02 xGCotterill 82', 0.02 xGWright 10', 0.92 xG, goalAstley 90', 0.14 xG, goalWestley 61', 0.11 xG, goal63%1.26 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 1.26 xG, 1 goal17%0.34 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.34 xG, 1 goal17%0.34 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.34 xG, 1 goal3%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Keskinen 57', 0.08 xGCameron 45+6', 0.06 xGShinnie 77', 0.05 xGNisbet 5', 0.04 xGGeiger 39', 0.02 xGMilanovic 72', 0.02 xGKjartansson 45+5', 0.01 xGOlusanya 45+6', 0.71 xG, goalMorrison 23', 0.13 xG, goal63%0.71 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.71 xG, 1 goal12%0.13 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.13 xG, 1 goal7%0.08 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals19%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCAberdeen

1.78 8 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.88 5 shots, 1 goal
0.20 3 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.24 4 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
67 min (68%) · Dundee FC 1.64, Aberdeen 0.92 xG
Dundee FC ahead
14 min (14%) · Dundee FC 0.02, Aberdeen 0.13 xG
Aberdeen ahead
18 min (18%) · Dundee FC 0.33, Aberdeen 0.08 xG

Line-ups

1374512284820101819O'HaraWrightAstleyKoumetioSamuelsJonesHamiltonCongreveF. RobertsonReillyWestleyGoalGoalGoal87'77'76'68'77'Dundee FC 4-2-3-1Steven Pressley13222352181292581520SumanMilneMorrisonKnoesterMolloyKeskinenKjartanssonCameronGeigerNisbetOlusanyaGoalGoal14'69'76'69'69'Aberdeen 4-3-1-2Stephen Robinson

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 68' Bevan for Reilly
  • 76' Yogane for Congreve
  • 77' Cotterill for Hamilton
  • 77' Murray for Westley
  • 87' Graham for Samuels

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 14' Devlin for Knoester
  • 69' Shinnie for Geiger
  • 69' Bilalovic for Cameron
  • 69' Milanovic for Keskinen
  • 76' Aremu for Kjartansson

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPDef
O'HaraGK900.000.0002
WrightRB9010.950.0224
AstleyCB9010.140.01017
KoumetioCB900.000.01015
SamuelsLB870.000.0202
JonesDM900.000.0007
HamiltonDM770.000.0102
CongreveRW760.150.4232
F. RobertsonAM9010.020.2022
ReillyLW6810.530.0010
WestleyST7710.140.1302
BevanFW220.030.0000
YoganeFW140.000.0010
CotterillMF130.020.0001
MurrayFW130.000.0000
GrahamDF30.000.0001

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPDef
SumanGK900.000.0000
MilneRB900.000.0128
MorrisonCB9010.130.00011
KnoesterCB140.000.0003
MolloyLB900.000.0707
KeskinenCM690.080.0102
KjartanssonCM760.010.0007
CameronCM6910.060.0914
GeigerAM690.020.0106
NisbetST900.040.0102
OlusanyaST9010.710.0311
DevlinDF760.000.0102
ShinnieMF210.050.0002
BilalovicFW210.000.0000
MilanovicFW210.020.0001
AremuMF140.000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions).

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.35AttackDundee FC1.06 → 1.10Aberdeen1.15 → 1.14Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.65 → 1.62Aberdeen1.47 → 1.51

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCAberdeen
Expected goals1.361.24
Win39%33%
Expected Points1.451.27
Clean sheet29%26%

Dundee FC 39%Draw 28%Aberdeen 33%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+8%9%6%2%8%3%1%7%9%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%1%9%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 17 May 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. L1–312 MayKilmarnock (A)xG 0.43–3.48
  2. W3–09 MayLivingston (H)xG 2.10–1.58
  3. W1–02 MaySt. Mirren (H)xG 0.46–0.51
  4. L0–326 AprDundee United (A)xG 0.76–2.14
  5. D2–211 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 1.32–1.63
  6. L1–25 AprCeltic (H)xG 1.55–3.82

Aberdeen

  1. L0–212 MaySt. Mirren (H)xG 0.53–1.50
  2. W2–09 MayDundee United (H)xG 2.17–0.79
  3. D2–21 MayLivingston (A)xG 0.86–1.56
  4. W1–025 AprKilmarnock (H)xG 0.50–0.71
  5. W2–011 AprHibernian (H)xG 1.93–0.10
  6. L0–24 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.53–0.90

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCAberdeen
Position9th8th
Played3737
Won, drawn, lost10–⁠9–⁠1811–⁠7–⁠19
Points39 (1.05 per game)40 (1.08 per game)
Expected Points per game0.921.18
Goals39–⁠5938–⁠52
xG per game0.99–⁠1.681.19–⁠1.55
Home: points, xG per game1.56, 1.16–⁠1.611.37, 1.42–⁠1.41
Away: points, xG per game0.58, 0.83–⁠1.740.78, 0.95–⁠1.69
ManagerSteven Pressley (37)Stephen Robinson (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.35AttackDundee FC1.06, 11thAberdeen1.15, 9thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.65, 11thAberdeen1.47, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayDundee FC attack: 1.06Aberdeen attack: 1.151.151.06AberdeenDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayDundee FC defence: 1.65Aberdeen defence: 1.471.651.47

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−36%+32%−17%−10%
Counter-attacks−74%−7%−1%+30%
Set pieces−13%−4%−15%+55%
Penalties+9%+27%−27%−27%
Headers−19%+19%−32%+24%
Left side−54%+13%+11%−3%
Centre−29%+11%−25%+19%
Right side−24%+36%−18%+15%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdAberdeen concededLeft side−54%+15%Centre−29%+19%Right side−24%−3%Open play−36%−10%Counter-attacks−74%+30%Set pieces−13%+55%Headers−19%+24%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee FC concededLeft side+11%+36%Centre−25%+11%Right side−18%+13%Open play−17%+32%Counter-attacks−1%−7%Set pieces−15%−4%Headers−32%+19%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCAberdeen

0.99xG1.19
1.68xG against1.55
43%Possession48%
10.0Shots11.3
15.5Shots against14.5
3.2Shots on target3.4
1.4Big chances1.8
15.9Touches in the opposition box21.8
352Passes396
75%Pass accuracy76%
3.8Corners4.8
36%Field tilt44%
32.1Final-third entries35.0
7.0Box entries11.0
20.5Passes per defensive action14.1

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 33 and 33 of those matches.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.071.81
Ahead180.891.73
Behind300.951.44

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.101.59
Ahead181.161.25
Behind281.351.68

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.296–10
16–300.100.205–9
31–450.250.339–8
46–600.120.265–6
61–750.160.264–8
76–900.210.3410–18

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.203–5
16–300.180.239–7
31–450.230.334–10
46–600.200.322–8
61–750.190.2310–7
76–900.290.2610–15

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTMcCracken 35O'Hara 2Astley 16D. Wright 9Halliday 8Astley 17C. Robertson 11Graham 32Koumetio 12Samuels 2Samuels 16D. Wright 16F. Robertson 1Hamilton 14D. Wright 7Dhanda 6Congreve 29Westley 3Jones 2Dhanda 15F. Robertson 10Digby 8Hamilton 18Jones 8Cotterill 8Yogane 25Westley 4Dhanda 3Murray 21Hay 10Westley 34-1-4-1 in 10 of 37 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (10), 3-4-3 (7), 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-5-1 (4), 5-3-2 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 32Bråtveit 5Devlin 15Jensen 13Lobban 6Milne 23Morrison 11Devlin 2Knoester 25Molloy 8McIntyre 3Frame 9Gyamfi 9Molloy 5Armstrong 13Aremu 7Aouchiche 7Shinnie 15Polvara 7Geiger 6Devlin 6Milanovic 5Olusanya 4Aouchiche 7Cameron 6Armstrong 5Karlsson 13Keskinen 9Nisbet 6Nisbet 18Lazetic 9Olusanya 54-2-3-1 in 9 of 37 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (9), 3-4-2-1 (8), 3-4-1-2 (5), 3-4-3 (5), 4-1-4-1 (5), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
21 February 2026Aberdeen2–3Dundee FCxG 0.46–3.99
6 December 2025Dundee FC1–3AberdeenxG 1.12–1.38
5 October 2025Aberdeen4–0Dundee FCxG 2.80–0.31
15 February 2025Dundee FC1–2AberdeenxG 1.81–1.80
9 November 2024Aberdeen4–1Dundee FCxG 1.81–1.89
28 September 2024Dundee FC1–2AberdeenxG 1.50–0.62

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 3, Aberdeen won 7, and 3 were drawn. Goals 14–24 and xG 1.30–1.27 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Congreve302,514370.110.25
Hay121,319410.270.10
Murray241,945700.320.04
Westley171,263320.210.12

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Karlsson161,292500.340.12
Nisbet252,153910.360.09
Armstrong242,080250.150.19
Keskinen161,463330.140.18

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.