Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Aberdeen 0–2 St. Mirren

Tuesday 12 May 2026, 19:45 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 37 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 15,638

St. Mirren King 42', Phillips 80'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenSt. Mirren
Goals02
xG0.531.50
Expected Points0.532.22

Aberdeen 9%Draw 25%St. Mirren 66%

Most likely score 0–1, 24%. Final score 0–2, 19%.

St. Mirren goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+7%6%1%4%15%11%4%3%3%24%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTMilne on for Morrison and Cameron on for Aremu, 46'Lobban on for Devlin and Keskinen on for Nisbet, 68'Shinnie on for Geiger, 80'Douglas on for Phillips, 90+2'King 42'Phillips 80'St. Mirren 1.50Aberdeen 0.5300.511.520153045607590HTMilne on for Morrison and Cameron on for Aremu, 46'Lobban on for Devlin and Keskinen on for Nisbet, 68'Shinnie on for Geiger, 80'Douglas on for Phillips, 90+2'King 42'Phillips 80'1.500.53AberdeenSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenSt. Mirren

0.53 −0.68xG1.50 +0.42
0.15 −0.89xG on target2.30 +1.35
8 −3Shots9 −3
1 −2.5Shots on target5 +1.5
0 −1.9Big chances2 +0.2
24 +2Touches in the opposition box15 −9
58% +10Possession42% −4
548 +157Passes397 +28
78% +2Pass accuracy72% −3
6 +1.3Corners1 −4.6
12 −4Tackles13 −2
11 +2.9Interceptions10 +3.1
35 +3Clearances39 +9
3 −0.2Saves1 −1.9
14 0Fouls11 −2
1 −0.8Offsides2 −0.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Knoester 47', 0.12 xGNisbet 62', 0.11 xGFrame 59', 0.07 xGMolloy 56', 0.06 xGShinnie 89', 0.05 xGLobban 90', 0.05 xGNisbet 46', 0.04 xGKeskinen 89', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals62%0.33 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.33 xG, 0 goals28%0.15 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals9%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Phillips 9', 0.25 xGPhillips 59', 0.12 xGGogic 80', 0.08 xGMandron 58', 0.05 xGMandron 41', 0.03 xGPhillips 88', 0.02 xGPhillips 90', 0.01 xGKing 42', 0.72 xG, goalPhillips 80', 0.22 xG, goal63%0.94 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.94 xG, 2 goals25%0.37 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.37 xG, 0 goals5%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals7%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenSt. Mirren

0.35 6 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.23 4 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.26 2 shots, 0 goals
0.18 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces1.02 3 shots, 2 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
42 min (46%) · Aberdeen 0.00, St. Mirren 1.00 xG
St. Mirren ahead
50 min (54%) · Aberdeen 0.53, St. Mirren 0.50 xG

Line-ups

992352121832382015BråtveitMorrisonKnoesterMolloyDevlinPalaversaAremuFrameGeigerOlusanyaNisbetYellow card46'68'46'80'68'Aberdeen 3-4-1-2Stephen Robinson27413226516821889SinclairDonnellyGogicFraserO'HaraKingCampbellDevaneyFreckletonPhillipsMandronYellow cardGoalYellow cardGoal90+2'St. Mirren 3-1-4-2Craig McLeish

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 46' Milne for Morrison
  • 46' Cameron for Aremu
  • 68' Lobban for Devlin
  • 68' Keskinen for Nisbet
  • 80' Shinnie for Geiger

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 90+2' Douglas for Phillips

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPDef
BråtveitGK900.000.0001
MorrisonCB460.000.0005
KnoesterCB900.120.01015
MolloyCB900.060.0209
DevlinRWB680.000.1414
PalaversaCM900.000.2616
AremuCM460.000.0105
FrameLWB900.070.1015
Geiger AM800.000.0202
OlusanyaST900.000.0710
NisbetST680.150.0311
MilneDF440.000.0002
CameronMF440.000.1412
LobbanMF220.050.0002
KeskinenFW220.030.0000
ShinnieMF100.050.0000

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPDef
SinclairGK900.000.0000
DonnellyCB900.000.0209
GogicCB900.080.00010
Fraser CB900.000.00012
O'HaraDM900.000.0214
KingRWB9010.720.0203
CampbellCM900.000.0408
Devaney CM9010.000.4816
FreckletonLWB900.000.1309
PhillipsST9010.620.0213
MandronST9010.080.4231
DouglasFW00.000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions).

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.35AttackAberdeen1.17 → 1.13St. Mirren1.06 → 1.09Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.44 → 1.47St. Mirren1.44 → 1.39

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
11th96%87%−9
Kilmarnock
11th4%13%+9

From the forecast before the match (12 May 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.481.00
Win48%25%
Expected Points1.701.02
Clean sheet37%23%

Aberdeen 48%Draw 27%St. Mirren 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 49%.

St. Mirren goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+9%8%4%1%6%2%9%9%5%2%5%5%2%2%2%12%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 12 May 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawSt. Mirren win
St. Mirren
11th96%>99%98%87%
Kilmarnock
11th4%–2%13%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. W2–09 MayDundee United (H)xG 2.17–0.79
  2. D2–21 MayLivingston (A)xG 0.86–1.56
  3. W1–025 AprKilmarnock (H)xG 0.50–0.71
  4. W2–011 AprHibernian (H)xG 1.93–0.10
  5. L0–24 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.53–0.90
  6. L1–421 MarRangers (A)xG 0.68–1.61

St. Mirren

  1. L0–39 MayKilmarnock (H)xG 1.21–1.49
  2. L0–12 MayDundee FC (A)xG 0.51–0.46
  3. L0–225 AprLivingston (H)xG 1.10–0.72
  4. L0–111 AprCeltic (A)xG 0.25–0.94
  5. W2–04 AprAberdeen (H)xG 0.90–0.53
  6. W2–121 MarFalkirk (A)xG 0.90–1.43

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenSt. Mirren
Position8th11th
Played3636
Won, drawn, lost11–⁠7–⁠187–⁠9–⁠20
Points40 (1.11 per game)30 (0.83 per game)
Expected Points per game1.201.18
Goals38–⁠5027–⁠54
xG per game1.21–⁠1.551.08–⁠1.32
Home: points, xG per game1.44, 1.47–⁠1.411.11, 1.11–⁠1.08
Away: points, xG per game0.78, 0.95–⁠1.690.56, 1.06–⁠1.57
ManagerStephen Robinson (7)Craig McLeish (7)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.35AttackAberdeen1.17, 8thSt. Mirren1.06, 11thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.44, 8thSt. Mirren1.44, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayAberdeen attack: 1.17St. Mirren attack: 1.061.171.06St. MirrenAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayAberdeen defence: 1.44St. Mirren defence: 1.441.441.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−17%−9%−29%−8%
Counter-attacks+3%+31%−44%+61%
Set pieces−14%+51%+9%−20%
Penalties−23%−23%−61%−42%
Headers−31%+28%+9%average
Left side+13%−2%−27%−4%
Centre−24%+20%−22%−1%
Right side−18%+11%−9%−8%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+13%−8%Centre−24%−1%Right side−18%−4%Open play−17%−8%Counter-attacks+3%+61%Set pieces−14%−20%Headers−31%average

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdAberdeen concededLeft side−27%+11%Centre−22%+20%Right side−9%−2%Open play−29%−9%Counter-attacks−44%+31%Set pieces+9%+51%Headers+9%+28%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenSt. Mirren

1.21xG1.08
1.55xG against1.32
48%Possession46%
11.4Shots11.8
14.7Shots against12.3
3.5Shots on target3.5
1.9Big chances1.8
21.7Touches in the opposition box24.0
391Passes369
76%Pass accuracy74%
4.7Corners5.6
44%Field tilt46%
35.0Final-third entries35.8
11.0Box entries10.7
14.1Passes per defensive action15.4

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 33 and 33 of those matches.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.131.57
Ahead181.161.25
Behind281.371.72

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level531.121.33
Ahead120.881.48
Behind251.101.22

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.203–5
16–300.180.239–7
31–450.240.314–9
46–600.200.322–8
61–750.200.2310–7
76–900.300.2510–14

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.171–6
16–300.150.175–4
31–450.160.274–10
46–600.180.174–9
61–750.190.255–9
76–900.240.308–16

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 32Bråtveit 4Devlin 14Jensen 13Lobban 6Milne 23Morrison 11Devlin 2Knoester 24Molloy 7McIntyre 3Gyamfi 9Frame 8Molloy 5Armstrong 13Aouchiche 7Aremu 6Shinnie 15Polvara 7Geiger 6Devlin 6Milanovic 5Olusanya 4Aouchiche 7Cameron 6Armstrong 5Karlsson 13Keskinen 9Nisbet 5Nisbet 18Lazetic 9Olusanya 44-2-3-1 in 9 of 36 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (9), 3-4-2-1 (8), 3-4-3 (5), 4-1-4-1 (5), 3-4-1-2 (4), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTGeorge 33Sinclair 3Fraser 27Donnelly 4Richardson 1King 21Gogic 20Freckleton 35Richard… 20RichardsonMcMena… 8McMenaminO'Hara 5Phillips 33Baccus 13Devaney 11Donnelly 5O'Hara 13Gogic 11Idowu 6John 27Tanser 7McMena… 2McMenaminNlundulu 15Idowu 8Young 4Mandron 27Ayunga 14Phillips 23-5-2 in 25 of 36 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (25), 3-4-1-2 (3), 5-3-2 (3), 3-4-3 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
4 April 2026St. Mirren2–0AberdeenxG 0.90–0.53
3 December 2025Aberdeen3–3St. MirrenxG 2.08–1.83
18 October 2025St. Mirren0–1AberdeenxG 0.48–2.05
3 May 2025St. Mirren1–0AberdeenxG 1.22–0.47
25 January 2025Aberdeen0–3St. MirrenxG 1.41–1.78
23 November 2024St. Mirren2–1AberdeenxG 1.56–1.38

21 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 6, St. Mirren won 10, and 5 were drawn. Goals 29–33 and xG 1.34–1.41 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet242,085910.370.09
Karlsson161,292500.340.12
Armstrong242,080250.150.19
Keskinen161,441330.140.18

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McMenamin141,203110.200.26
Ayunga141,197300.310.03
Mandron272,427440.220.12
Nlundulu161,545300.240.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.