Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Celtic 1–1 St. Mirren

Saturday 17 May 2025, 12:30 · Celtic Park · Round 38 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 58,889

Celtic Forrest 90+4'

St. Mirren Ayunga 51'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticSt. Mirren
Goals11
xG2.550.20
Expected Points2.870.07

Celtic 94%Draw 5%St. Mirren 1%

Most likely score 2–0, 26%. Final score 1–1, 3%.

St. Mirren goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+2%14%3%6%5%11%2%4%1%26%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTForrest on for Kühn, Yang on for Bernardo, and McCowan on for Idah, 54'Kenny on for Maeda, 72'Schlupp on for Engels, 79'Idowu on for Ayunga and Kiltie on for Boyd-Munce, 63'Tanser on for John, 68'Scott on for Mandron, 81'Iacovitti on for Alebiosu, 82'Forrest 90+4'Ayunga 51'Celtic 2.55St. Mirren 0.2001230153045607590HTForrest on for Kühn, Yang on for Bernardo, and McCowan on for Idah, 54'Kenny on for Maeda, 72'Schlupp on for Engels, 79'Idowu on for Ayunga and Kiltie on for Boyd-Munce, 63'Tanser on for John, 68'Scott on for Mandron, 81'Iacovitti on for Alebiosu, 82'Forrest 90+4'Ayunga 51'2.550.20CelticSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticSt. Mirren

2.55 −0.03xG0.20 −1.08
1.74 −1.18xG on target0.40 −0.92
21 +2Shots4 −8
4 −3.2Shots on target3 −1.2
3 −1.4Big chances0 −2.1
66 +28Touches in the opposition box13 −8
77% +2Possession23% −20
676 −48Passes208 −87
89% 0Pass accuracy65% 0
91% +8Field tilt9% −36
86 +11Final-third entries16 −16
35 +12.6Box entries6 −3.5
7.9 −1.2Passes per defensive action35.0 +20.0
14 +5.4Corners0 −4.8
12 −2Tackles12 −4
9 +3.4Interceptions8 +0.2
20 −2Clearances45 +15
2 −0.3Saves3 +0.7
12 +2.7Fouls6 −6.6
2 +0.1Offsides1 −1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Maeda 64', 0.88 xGYang 87', 0.39 xGEngels 66', 0.23 xGKenny 86', 0.17 xGMaeda 5', 0.10 xGSchlupp 89', 0.10 xGYang 90', 0.08 xGKenny 86', 0.06 xGForrest 83', 0.05 xGForrest 87', 0.05 xGForrest 90+1', 0.05 xGKühn 39', 0.04 xGEngels 39', 0.04 xGMcCowan 57', 0.04 xGMcCowan 73', 0.04 xGMcGregor 61', 0.03 xGMcGregor 10', 0.02 xGMcGregor 31', 0.02 xGBernardo 39', 0.02 xGBernardo 42', 0.02 xGForrest 90+4', 0.12 xG, goal47%1.20 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.20 xG, 0 goals20%0.51 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.51 xG, 0 goals22%0.55 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.55 xG, 1 goal11%0.29 xGEdge of the box: 9 shots, 0.29 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Idowu 82', 0.06 xGMandron 81', 0.03 xGMandron 25', 0.02 xGAyunga 51', 0.09 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals60%0.12 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 1 goal40%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticSt. Mirren

1.53 10 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.08 2 shots, 0 goals
0.34 3 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.03 1 shot, 0 goals
0.68 8 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.09 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
52 min (55%) · Celtic 0.25, St. Mirren 0.10 xG
St. Mirren ahead
43 min (45%) · Celtic 2.30, St. Mirren 0.09 xG

Line-ups

12205327422810938SchmeichelJohnstonCarter-VickersScalesTaylorEngelsMcGregorBernardoKühnIdahMaeda79'54'54'54'72'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers1221352886152497HemmingFraserGogicTaylorAlebiosuPhillipsO'HaraBoyd-MunceJohnMandronAyungaYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal82'63'68'81'63'St. Mirren 3-5-2Stephen Robinson

Celtic substitutes

  • 54' McCowan for Idah
  • 54' Yang for Bernardo
  • 54' Forrest for Kühn · goal 90+4'
  • 72' Kenny for Maeda
  • 79' Schlupp for Engels

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 63' Idowu for Ayunga
  • 63' Kiltie for Boyd-Munce
  • 68' Tanser for John
  • 81' Scott for Mandron
  • 82' Iacovitti for Alebiosu

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchmeichelGK900.000.0000.0210
JohnstonRB9010.000.1220.1483
Carter-VickersCB900.000.0120.07311
ScalesCB900.000.2700.26612
TaylorLB900.000.2600.1793
EngelsCM790.260.1500.1771
McGregorCM900.070.1220.0821
BernardoCM540.040.0300.0101
KühnRW540.040.4020.1993
IdahST540.000.021−0.0421
MaedaLW720.980.0200.0540
McCowanMF360.080.3420.1721
YangFW360.470.4510.4082
ForrestFW3610.270.7620.55132
KennyFW180.240.000−0.0120
SchluppDF110.100.0100.0210

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HemmingGK900.000.0000.0222
Fraser CB900.000.0100.03315
GogicCB900.000.0000.01112
TaylorCB900.000.0710.11710
AlebiosuRWB820.000.0200.0715
Phillips CM900.000.000−0.0112
O'Hara CM900.000.021−0.01010
Boyd-MunceCM630.000.0000.0005
JohnLWB680.000.0300.0115
MandronST810.050.0100.0204
AyungaST6310.090.000−0.0300
IdowuMF270.060.0000.0221
KiltieFW270.000.000−0.0201
TanserMF220.000.0310.0432
ScottFW90.000.0000.0000
IacovittiDF80.000.0000.0112

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Scales and Maeda: 5 passesScales and Bernardo: 6 passesSchmeichel and McGregor: 7 passesJohnston and Bernardo: 7 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 7 passesEngels and Kühn: 7 passesBernardo and McGregor: 7 passesBernardo and Kühn: 7 passesMcGregor and Kühn: 7 passesTaylor and Bernardo: 8 passesSchmeichel and Carter-Vickers: 9 passesScales and Carter-Vickers: 9 passesTaylor and Engels: 9 passesSchmeichel and Scales: 10 passesJohnston and Engels: 14 passesEngels and McGregor: 15 passesJohnston and Carter-Vickers: 17 passesScales and McGregor: 17 passesTaylor and Maeda: 17 passesTaylor and McGregor: 20 passesJohnston and Kühn: 23 passesJohnston and McGregor: 26 passesScales and Taylor: 41 passesSchmeichel: 20 completed passesJohnston: 47 completed passesScales: 50 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 28 completed passesTaylor: 54 completed passesEngels: 29 completed passesBernardo: 21 completed passesMcGregor: 53 completed passesKühn: 23 completed passesIdah: 6 completed passesMaeda: 12 completed passes12520327284210938SchmeichelJohnstonScalesCarter-VickersTaylorEngelsBernardoMcGregorKühnIdahMaedaStarters until 54' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

St. Mirren

Taylor and Mandron: 3 passesFraser and Phillips: 3 passesAlebiosu and Boyd-Munce: 3 passesAlebiosu and Mandron: 3 passesPhillips and Mandron: 3 passesBoyd-Munce and Mandron: 3 passesTaylor and O'Hara: 4 passesAlebiosu and Phillips: 4 passesJohn and O'Hara: 4 passesHemming and Taylor: 5 passesO'Hara and Boyd-Munce: 5 passesGogic and Taylor: 6 passesTaylor and John: 6 passesFraser and Boyd-Munce: 7 passesHemming and Mandron: 8 passesGogic and Fraser: 8 passesFraser and Alebiosu: 8 passesHemming: 13 completed passesGogic: 11 completed passesTaylor: 14 completed passesFraser: 17 completed passesAlebiosu: 13 completed passesJohn: 11 completed passesPhillips: 8 completed passesO'Hara: 9 completed passesBoyd-Munce: 11 completed passesMandron: 8 completed passesAyunga: 3 completed passes1135222248861597HemmingGogicTaylorFraserAlebiosuJohnPhillipsO'HaraBoyd-MunceMandronAyungaStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
ScalesTaylor28
McGregorJohnston28
TaylorScales24
Carter-VickersJohnston19
JohnstonKühn18

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
HemmingMandron9
FraserGogic6
AlebiosuFraser5
JohnTaylor4
TaylorGogic4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

2−1.33−0.46−3.32−2.74+0.17+2.31−4.02−2.66−0.43−4.15+0.96+2.23−0.212+6.68+2.52−1.23−0.54+2.03−0.84+0.11−1.70−2.23+1.56+3.44+1.510.00−0.51+0.12+1.410.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

St. Mirren

13+8.117+10.630+16.66−0.83−2.37+0.512+4.811+6.08+1.34−3.76+0.73−1.60−3.24−0.52−3.82−1.62−1.50−2.94+0.40−3.82−0.70−1.90−1.30−1.20−2.32+1.10−0.60−1.11+0.50−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.020.010.010.010.020.110.030.090.010.040.100.060.110.160.100.220.140.120.070.22−0.060.320.28LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.010.020.010.030.010.01−0.010.010.010.030.020.01−0.01−0.040.030.010.060.07LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackCeltic2.45 → 2.45St. Mirren1.28 → 1.25Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.77 → 0.76St. Mirren1.33 → 1.35

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticSt. Mirren
Expected goals2.840.65
Win82%6%
Expected Points2.580.29
Clean sheet52%6%

Celtic 82%Draw 12%St. Mirren 6%

Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 45%.

St. Mirren goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+3%2%8%6%2%8%3%8%2%8%5%2%5%3%1%4%2%12%12%

From the forecast as it stood on 17 May 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Celtic

  1. W5–114 MayAberdeen (A)xG 3.68–1.07
  2. W3–110 MayHibernian (H)xG 2.26–0.82
  3. D1–14 MayRangers (A)xG 1.10–1.46
  4. W5–026 AprDundee United (A)xG 3.06–0.44
  5. W5–112 AprKilmarnock (H)xG 1.81–0.29
  6. L0–16 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.32–0.52

St. Mirren

  1. D2–214 MayHibernian (H)xG 0.70–1.34
  2. W2–010 MayDundee United (A)xG 2.18–1.47
  3. W1–03 MayAberdeen (H)xG 1.22–0.47
  4. D2–226 AprRangers (H)xG 1.90–1.27
  5. W3–212 AprRoss County (H)xG 2.16–1.43
  6. L0–25 AprDundee FC (A)xG 2.35–0.65

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticSt. Mirren
Position1st6th
Played3737
Won, drawn, lost29–⁠4–⁠414–⁠7–⁠16
Points91 (2.46 per game)49 (1.32 per game)
Expected Points per game2.401.31
Goals111–⁠2552–⁠58
xG per game2.58–⁠0.771.28–⁠1.45
Home: points, xG per game2.72, 2.81–⁠0.671.45, 1.22–⁠1.23
Away: points, xG per game2.21, 2.37–⁠0.871.18, 1.36–⁠1.70
ManagerBrendan Rodgers (75)Stephen Robinson (70)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackCeltic2.45, 1stSt. Mirren1.28, 5thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.77, 1stSt. Mirren1.33, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayCeltic attack: 2.45St. Mirren attack: 1.282.451.28St. MirrenCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayCeltic defence: 0.77St. Mirren defence: 1.331.330.77

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+128%−42%−13%−11%
Counter-attacks+39%−19%−21%−1%
Set pieces+6%−57%−10%+12%
Penalties+55%−61%+35%+74%
Headers+31%−50%−10%−6%
Left side+80%−25%−16%−17%
Centre+93%−48%−13%−2%
Right side+74%−57%−11%+8%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+80%+8%Centre+93%−2%Right side+74%−17%Open play+128%−11%Counter-attacks+39%−1%Set pieces+6%+12%Headers+31%−6%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdCeltic concededLeft side−16%−57%Centre−13%−48%Right side−11%−25%Open play−13%−42%Counter-attacks−21%−19%Set pieces−10%−57%Headers−10%−50%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticSt. Mirren

2.58xG1.28
0.77xG against1.45
74%Possession43%
18.7Shots11.6
7.8Shots against11.5
7.2Shots on target4.2
4.4Big chances2.1
38.1Touches in the opposition box21.4
724Passes295
89%Pass accuracy65%
8.6Corners4.8
82%Field tilt45%
75.0Final-third entries32.1
22.4Box entries9.5
9.1Passes per defensive action15.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level322.540.84
Ahead472.780.72
Behind111.850.79

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level481.211.27
Ahead211.311.58
Behind211.431.72

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.290.118–4
16–300.390.1220–3
31–450.520.1725–7
46–600.430.1120–5
61–750.370.1114–1
76–900.580.1524–5

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.257–9
16–300.160.168–6
31–450.310.1714–8
46–600.220.177–8
61–750.160.286–14
76–900.250.4110–13

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 31Sinisalo 6Johnston 29Ralston 8Carter-Vickers 28Welsh 1Trusty 22Scales 20Nawrocki 3Taylor 23Schlupp 7Valle 7Engels 24Bernardo 12McCowan 12McGregor 33Hatate 27Kühn 23Forrest 5Yang 5Idah 16Furuhashi 13Maeda 7Maeda 21Jota 7Yang 44-3-3 in 33 of 37 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (33), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 4-1-2-3 (1)

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTBalcombe 21Hemming 16Fraser 34Idowu 1Alebiosu 1Gogic 32Iacovitti 8Taylor 30Dunne 4Bwomono 15Alebiosu 11Rooney 6Phillips 34Adeniran 2Boyd-Mu… 21Boyd-MunceSmyth 6McMena… 5McMenaminO'Hara 29Idowu 10Gogic 1Tanser 19John 14Brown 3Olusanya 26Idowu 2van Veen 2Mandron 17Ayunga 13Kiltie 133-5-2 in 20 of 37 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (20), 3-4-3 (9), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
1 March 2025St. Mirren2–5CelticxG 1.63–3.37
5 January 2025Celtic3–0St. MirrenxG 2.60–1.08
25 August 2024St. Mirren0–3CelticxG 0.15–2.46
18 May 2024Celtic3–2St. MirrenxG 2.30–1.36
13 April 2024Celtic3–0St. MirrenxG 3.33–0.18
2 January 2024St. Mirren0–3CelticxG 0.18–3.62

17 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 13, St. Mirren won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 48–13 and xG 2.58–0.72 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi151,3331030.930.08
Idah181,6511300.740.14
Jota7570420.480.36
Kühn231,8261390.480.33

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Olusanya262,045820.440.03
Mandron171,729720.290.14
McMenamin5525410.340.07
Smyth6665400.270.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.