Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Celtic 3–0 St. Mirren

Sunday 5 January 2025, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 22 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 58,838

Celtic Kühn 33', 68', Trusty 43'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticSt. Mirren
Goals30
xG2.601.08
Expected Points2.440.38

Celtic 75%Draw 18%St. Mirren 7%

Most likely score 2–1, 16%. Final score 3–0, 6%.

St. Mirren goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+1%3%9%4%6%8%6%7%3%8%3%1%3%1%16%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTHatate on for McCowan, 70'Yang on for Kühn, 71'Furuhashi on for Idah and Palma on for Maeda, 83'Oseni on for Kiltie, Smyth on for O'Hara, and Ayunga on for Olusanya, 62'Idowu on for Boyd-Munce, 83'John on for Tanser, 84'Kühn 33'Trusty 43'Kühn 68'Celtic 2.60St. Mirren 1.0801230153045607590HTHatate on for McCowan, 70'Yang on for Kühn, 71'Furuhashi on for Idah and Palma on for Maeda, 83'Oseni on for Kiltie, Smyth on for O'Hara, and Ayunga on for Olusanya, 62'Idowu on for Boyd-Munce, 83'John on for Tanser, 84'Kühn 33'Trusty 43'Kühn 68'2.601.08CelticSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticSt. Mirren

2.60 −0.07xG1.08 −0.03
1.87 −0.89xG on target0.44 −0.73
11 −9Shots6 −5
6 −1.3Shots on target1 −2.7
7 +2.5Big chances1 −0.8
33 −6Touches in the opposition box15 −5
76% +2Possession24% −19
675 −50Passes209 −92
89% 0Pass accuracy62% −3
78% −4Field tilt22% −19
60 −19Final-third entries16 −15
18 −4.1Box entries5 −3.8
13.9 +4.6Passes per defensive action25.3 +10.3
8 −1.4Corners3 −1.5
12 −3Tackles11 −5
2 −4.1Interceptions6 −2.4
36 +17Clearances26 −2
1 −1.5Saves3 +0.7
6 −3.7Fouls8 −4.8
3 +1.7Offsides3 +1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Kühn 67', 0.36 xGMaeda 58', 0.25 xGEngels 53', 0.20 xGFuruhashi 90+3', 0.16 xGIdah 2', 0.12 xGMaeda 14', 0.06 xGEngels 78', 0.04 xGMaeda 42', 0.02 xGKühn 68', 0.85 xG, goalKühn 33', 0.28 xG, goalTrusty 43', 0.24 xG, goal56%1.46 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.46 xG, 2 goals41%1.08 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 1.08 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals2%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals1%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Ayunga 90', 0.67 xGTaylor 67', 0.24 xGOlusanya 10', 0.13 xGSmyth 80', 0.02 xGTanser 12', 0.01 xGKiltie 25', 0.01 xG22%0.24 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.24 xG, 0 goals75%0.81 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.81 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticSt. Mirren

1.59 7 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.70 3 shots, 0 goals
0.64 2 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.36 2 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.38 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
33 min (35%) · Celtic 0.47, St. Mirren 0.15 xG
Celtic ahead
60 min (65%) · Celtic 2.13, St. Mirren 0.93 xG

Line-ups

12206342142710938SchmeichelJohnstonCarter-VickersTrustyTaylorMcGregorMcCowanEngelsKühnIdahMaedaGoalGoalGoal70'71'83'83'Celtic 4-1-2-3Brendan Rodgers7722135428815631120HemmingFraserGogicTaylorBwomonoPhillipsBoyd-MunceO'HaraTanserKiltieOlusanyaYellow card83'62'84'62'62'St. Mirren 3-5-1-1Stephen Robinson

Celtic substitutes

  • 70' Hatate for McCowan
  • 71' Yang for Kühn
  • 83' Furuhashi for Idah
  • 83' Palma for Maeda

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 62' Smyth for O'Hara
  • 62' Ayunga for Olusanya
  • 62' Oseni for Kiltie
  • 83' Idowu for Boyd-Munce
  • 84' John for Tanser

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchmeichelGK900.000.0000.0322
JohnstonRB900.000.0710.1999
Carter-VickersCB900.000.0000.0728
TrustyCB9010.240.0100.12416
TaylorLB900.000.0400.1083
McGregorDM900.000.1000.0423
McCowanCM700.000.3910.1931
EngelsCM9010.240.3020.0966
KühnRW7121.500.2720.50112
IdahST830.120.010−0.1713
MaedaLW8310.340.1010.0941
HatateMF200.000.0900.1240
YangFW190.000.0910.1150
FuruhashiFW70.160.0000.1000
PalmaFW70.000.0000.0000

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HemmingGK900.000.0000.0333
Fraser CB900.000.0300.1244
GogicCB900.000.0100.0336
TaylorCB900.240.011−0.0115
BwomonoRWB900.000.191−0.02010
PhillipsCM900.000.1200.2134
Boyd-MunceCM830.000.041−0.0301
O'HaraCM620.000.0800.0702
TanserLWB840.010.0100.0112
KiltieAM620.010.0000.0002
OlusanyaST620.130.000−0.0410
SmythMF280.020.2510.0002
AyungaFW280.670.000−0.0102
OseniFW280.000.1410.0610
IdowuMF70.000.0000.0111
JohnMF60.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Carter-Vickers and Engels: 5 passesTrusty and McCowan: 5 passesSchmeichel and Johnston: 6 passesJohnston and McCowan: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 6 passesMcGregor and Kühn: 6 passesMcCowan and Maeda: 6 passesTaylor and McCowan: 7 passesTaylor and Kühn: 7 passesMcGregor and McCowan: 7 passesJohnston and Engels: 8 passesCarter-Vickers and Kühn: 9 passesEngels and McGregor: 10 passesTaylor and Maeda: 11 passesSchmeichel and Carter-Vickers: 12 passesTrusty and McGregor: 12 passesTrusty and Maeda: 13 passesTaylor and McGregor: 15 passesTrusty and Engels: 16 passesSchmeichel and Trusty: 18 passesJohnston and McGregor: 23 passesCarter-Vickers and Trusty: 26 passesJohnston and Carter-Vickers: 27 passesJohnston and Kühn: 27 passesTaylor and Engels: 29 passesTrusty and Taylor: 52 passesSchmeichel: 27 completed passesJohnston: 51 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 46 completed passesTrusty: 75 completed passesTaylor: 64 completed passesEngels: 43 completed passesMcGregor: 45 completed passesMcCowan: 20 completed passesKühn: 28 completed passesIdah: 5 completed passesMaeda: 15 completed passes12206327421410938SchmeichelJohnstonCarter-VickersTrustyTaylorEngelsMcGregorMcCowanKühnIdahMaedaStarters until 70' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

St. Mirren

Hemming and Kiltie: 3 passesGogic and Fraser: 3 passesGogic and Tanser: 3 passesTaylor and Tanser: 3 passesTaylor and O'Hara: 3 passesTaylor and Kiltie: 3 passesBwomono and Olusanya: 3 passesO'Hara and Olusanya: 3 passesHemming and Phillips: 4 passesTaylor and Boyd-Munce: 4 passesBwomono and Phillips: 4 passesFraser and Phillips: 5 passesFraser and O'Hara: 5 passesPhillips and O'Hara: 5 passesFraser and Boyd-Munce: 7 passesHemming: 6 completed passesGogic: 7 completed passesTaylor: 11 completed passesFraser: 15 completed passesBwomono: 4 completed passesTanser: 4 completed passesPhillips: 11 completed passesO'Hara: 13 completed passesBoyd-Munce: 11 completed passesKiltie: 1 completed passesOlusanya: 3 completed passes7713522423886151120HemmingGogicTaylorFraserBwomonoTanserPhillipsO'HaraBoyd-MunceKiltieOlusanyaStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
TrustyTaylor42
TaylorEngels25
JohnstonCarter-Vickers23
Carter-VickersTrusty22
TaylorTrusty20

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FraserPhillips5
PhillipsO'Hara4
TaylorBoyd-Munce4
Boyd-MunceFraser4
FraserBoyd-Munce4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

7+4.24+1.011+1.47+2.25+2.28+3.59+4.29+4.24−3.02−1.82−2.00−2.77+1.64−1.80−3.52−2.03+1.23−0.52−2.54+1.01−1.00−1.55+2.22−0.20−1.50−0.61+0.10−1.10−1.12−4.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 19 matches

St. Mirren

1−3.86−0.313−0.612+4.76+0.64−2.811+4.65−1.89−0.23−1.13−0.91−3.32−4.21−3.02−1.61−2.03+0.14−0.41−1.51−0.62+0.91+0.12−0.16+5.62+1.60−1.10−0.40−0.70−5.11−4.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.020.050.020.030.010.030.030.070.040.140.140.020.050.050.050.070.100.05−0.04−0.070.120.200.170.16LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.010.010.010.010.030.020.050.02−0.010.01−0.010.01−0.02−0.01−0.010.150.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackCeltic2.33 → 2.34St. Mirren1.09 → 1.07Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.75 → 0.75St. Mirren1.48 → 1.49

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title98%98%0
St. Mirren
Top six30%28%−2
11th7%7%0
Bottom1%2%+1
Motherwell
Top six54%55%+1
11th4%4%0
Rangers
Title2%2%0

From the forecast before the match (5 January 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticSt. Mirren
Expected goals3.060.54
Win86%4%
Expected Points2.690.21
Clean sheet58%5%

Celtic 86%Draw 10%St. Mirren 4%

Most likely score 3–0, 13%. Both sides score 40%.

St. Mirren goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+3%1%8%5%1%7%2%7%2%5%1%6%3%5%3%13%13%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 5 January 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawSt. Mirren win
Celtic
Title98%98%96%92%
St. Mirren
Top six30%28%39%55%
11th7%7%4%2%
Bottom1%2%1%–
Motherwell
Top six54%55%52%45%
11th4%4%3%5%
Rangers
Title2%2%4%8%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. L0–32 JanRangers (A)xG 0.13–2.27
  2. W4–029 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 4.68–0.06
  3. W4–026 DecMotherwell (H)xG 3.55–0.23
  4. D0–022 DecDundee United (A)xG 1.00–0.10
  5. W3–07 DecHibernian (H)xG 3.83–2.34
  6. W1–04 DecAberdeen (A)xG 1.62–0.88

St. Mirren

  1. L0–22 JanKilmarnock (A)xG 0.26–2.98
  2. L1–229 DecDundee FC (H)xG 1.02–1.00
  3. W2–126 DecRangers (H)xG 1.07–1.52
  4. W2–121 DecRoss County (A)xG 1.10–1.24
  5. W3–214 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.08–0.79
  6. L0–17 DecMotherwell (H)xG 0.55–1.74

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticSt. Mirren
Position1st6th
Played1921
Won, drawn, lost16–⁠2–⁠18–⁠3–⁠10
Points50 (2.63 per game)27 (1.29 per game)
Expected Points per game2.341.12
Goals52–⁠727–⁠34
xG per game2.67–⁠0.771.11–⁠1.57
Home: points, xG per game2.78, 3.39–⁠0.661.55, 1.05–⁠1.19
Away: points, xG per game2.50, 2.01–⁠0.861.00, 1.18–⁠2.00
ManagerBrendan Rodgers (57)Stephen Robinson (54)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackCeltic2.33, 1stSt. Mirren1.09, 9thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.75, 1stSt. Mirren1.48, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanCeltic attack: 2.33St. Mirren attack: 1.092.331.09St. MirrenCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanCeltic defence: 0.75St. Mirren defence: 1.481.480.75

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+120%−39%−32%−15%
Counter-attacks+95%average−34%+4%
Set pieces+33%−69%−21%+32%
Penalties+24%−69%+41%+97%
Headers+14%−73%−23%−8%
Left side+83%−20%−37%−11%
Centre+94%−52%−33%−2%
Right side+96%−55%−15%+22%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+83%+22%Centre+94%−2%Right side+96%−11%Open play+120%−15%Counter-attacks+95%+4%Set pieces+33%+32%Headers+14%−8%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdCeltic concededLeft side−37%−55%Centre−33%−52%Right side−15%−20%Open play−32%−39%Counter-attacks−34%averageSet pieces−21%−69%Headers−23%−73%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticSt. Mirren

2.67xG1.11
0.77xG against1.57
74%Possession43%
20.1Shots11.2
7.6Shots against12.3
7.3Shots on target3.7
4.5Big chances1.8
39.2Touches in the opposition box19.6
725Passes301
89%Pass accuracy65%
9.4Corners4.5
82%Field tilt41%
79.0Final-third entries31.4
22.1Box entries8.8
9.3Passes per defensive action15.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level362.680.73
Ahead482.940.68
Behind60.471.58

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level491.151.37
Ahead201.091.87
Behind221.051.77

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.380.114–1
16–300.340.138–0
31–450.460.1311–1
46–600.570.1310–2
61–750.390.148–1
76–900.530.1411–2

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.274–6
16–300.170.177–4
31–450.350.176–3
46–600.180.182–6
61–750.110.290–7
76–900.180.498–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 19Johnston 16Ralston 3Carter-Vickers 12Trusty 9Welsh 1Scales 16Taylor 13Valle 6Bernardo 10Engels 10McCowan 5McGregor 16Hatate 14Kühn 13Yang 3Forrest 3Furuhashi 13Idah 6Maeda 15Forrest 2Yang 14-3-3 in 18 of 19 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (18), 4-4-1-1 (1)

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWBalcombe 21Fraser 18Phillips 2Gogic 18Iacovitti 6Taylor 15Dunne 4Bwomono 12Rooney 6Fraser 3Phillips 16Idowu 6Smyth 2O'Hara 13Boyd-Munce 2Gogic 1Tanser 14Smyth 3Brown 3McMenamin 5Boyd-Munce 5Scott 3Olusanya 15Mandron 3van Veen 2Kiltie 11Olusanya 4Ayunga 33-4-3 in 9 of 21 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (9), 3-5-2 (6), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
25 August 2024St. Mirren0–3CelticxG 0.15–2.46
18 May 2024Celtic3–2St. MirrenxG 2.30–1.36
13 April 2024Celtic3–0St. MirrenxG 3.33–0.18
2 January 2024St. Mirren0–3CelticxG 0.18–3.62
1 November 2023Celtic2–1St. MirrenxG 3.89–0.62
20 May 2023Celtic2–2St. MirrenxG 1.73–1.24

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 11, St. Mirren won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 40–11 and xG 2.52–0.63 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Idah6605500.950.16
Furuhashi131,118830.970.04
Engels10808410.540.38
McCowan5540330.260.65

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Smyth5474400.350.07
Olusanya191,391600.350.01
McMenamin5460200.240.05
O'Hara151,368220.130.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.