Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Dundee FC 4–1 Hibernian

Saturday 23 November 2024, 17:45 · The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park · Round 13 · Half-time 3–1 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 5,310

Dundee FC McGhee 26', Triantis 31' (og), Houlden 45+2', Main 90+2'

Hibernian N. Cadden 2' · Obita sent off 12'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCHibernian
Goals41
xG2.220.76
Expected Points2.460.36

Dundee FC 76%Draw 18%Hibernian 6%

Most likely score 2–0, 16%. Final score 4–1, 4%.

Hibernian goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+11%3%5%10%10%3%4%4%1%1%11%16%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTObita (Hibernian), red card 12'Astley on for C. Robertson, 10'Braybrooke on for Sylla and Ingram on for Mulligan, 74'Main on for F. Robertson, 87'Miller on for C. Cadden and Iredale on for N. Cadden, 34'Boyle on for Kukharevych, 67'Molotnikov on for Triantis and Levitt on for Newell, 80'McGhee 26'Triantis 31' (og)Houlden 45+2'Main 90+2'N. Cadden 2'Dundee FC 2.22Hibernian 0.7601230153045607590HTObita (Hibernian), red card 12'Astley on for C. Robertson, 10'Braybrooke on for Sylla and Ingram on for Mulligan, 74'Main on for F. Robertson, 87'Miller on for C. Cadden and Iredale on for N. Cadden, 34'Boyle on for Kukharevych, 67'Molotnikov on for Triantis and Levitt on for Newell, 80'McGhee 26'Triantis 31' (og)Houlden 45+2'Main 90+2'N. Cadden 2'2.220.76Dundee FCHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCHibernian

2.22 +0.95xG0.76 −0.46
2.67 +1.06xG on target0.88 −0.28
17 +6Shots12 −1
6 +1.8Shots on target1 −2.4
3 +1.3Big chances0 −1.7
32 +9Touches in the opposition box16 −6
67% +20Possession33% −17
493 +158Passes239 −109
83% +12Pass accuracy67% −6
70% +20Field tilt30% −25
49 +13Final-third entries23 −14
23 +11.6Box entries6 −3.5
10.8 −2Passes per defensive action25.6 +11
8 +3.2Corners2 −3.9
13 −5Tackles8 −5
3 −5.4Interceptions1 −6.0
14 −14Clearances35 +10
0 −2.7Saves3 +0.8
6 −5Fouls14 +2
2 +0.6Offsides2 +0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Houlden 29', 0.32 xGHoulden 18', 0.12 xGCameron 78', 0.11 xGHoulden 57', 0.06 xGMurray 90', 0.06 xGAstley 19', 0.05 xGMurray 59', 0.05 xGMurray 21', 0.04 xGCameron 30', 0.04 xGMulligan 45+1', 0.04 xGIngram 75', 0.04 xGMulligan 16', 0.03 xGMurray 67', 0.03 xGHoulden 55', 0.02 xGHoulden 45+2', 0.92 xG, goalMain 90+2', 0.17 xG, goalMcGhee 26', 0.13 xG, goal56%1.25 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 1.25 xG, 1 goal21%0.47 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.47 xG, 1 goal17%0.38 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.38 xG, 1 goal6%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Kukharevych 8', 0.34 xGNewell 48', 0.08 xGBoyle 70', 0.05 xGYouan 63', 0.04 xGKukharevych 6', 0.03 xGMiller 54', 0.03 xGCampbell 63', 0.03 xGYouan 86', 0.03 xGTriantis 52', 0.02 xGNewell 64', 0.01 xGLevitt 80', 0.01 xGN. Cadden 2', 0.09 xG, goal45%0.35 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.35 xG, 0 goals29%0.22 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.22 xG, 1 goal9%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals17%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCHibernian

2.14 15 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.69 9 shots, 1 goal
0.08 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.07 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
7 min (7%) · Dundee FC 0.36, Hibernian 0.09 xG
Dundee FC ahead
64 min (67%) · Dundee FC 1.49, Hibernian 0.30 xG
Hibernian ahead
24 min (25%) · Dundee FC 0.37, Hibernian 0.37 xG

Line-ups

3129320682810192315CarsonPortalesC. RobertsonKoumetioMcGheeMulliganSyllaCameronF. RobertsonHouldenMurrayYellow cardGoalYellow cardGoalYellow card10'74'74'87'Dundee FC 3-5-2Tony Docherty1123352132261199719BursikC. CaddenBushiriO'HoraObitaCampbellTriantisNewellKukharevychYouanN. CaddenSent offOwn goalYellow cardGoal34'80'80'67'34'Hibernian 4-3-3David Gray

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 10' Astley for C. Robertson
  • 74' Ingram for Mulligan
  • 74' Braybrooke for Sylla
  • 87' Main for F. Robertson · goal 90+2'

Hibernian substitutes

  • 34' Iredale for N. Cadden
  • 34' Miller for C. Cadden
  • 67' Boyle for Kukharevych
  • 80' Levitt for Newell
  • 80' Molotnikov for Triantis

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Carson GK900.000.0000.0121
PortalesCB900.000.0100.0956
C. RobertsonCB100.000.0000.0110
KoumetioCB900.000.0200.0835
McGheeRWB9010.130.020−0.0507
MulliganCM740.070.2520.35130
Sylla CM740.000.1520.0755
CameronCM9010.150.4050.2962
F. RobertsonLWB8710.000.3410.0971
HouldenST9011.440.000−0.0610
Murray ST900.180.022−0.0512
AstleyDF800.050.0100.0103
IngramDF160.040.0100.0242
BraybrookeMF160.000.0200.0301
MainFW310.170.0100.0000

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BursikGK900.000.0000.0123
C. CaddenRB340.000.1010.1932
BushiriCB900.000.041−0.03110
O'HoraCB900.000.0100.0226
Obita LB1210.000.0520.0711
CampbellCM900.030.021−0.0613
TriantisCM800.020.0100.0548
Newell CM800.100.0000.0005
KukharevychRW670.370.000−0.0211
YouanST900.080.1020.2560
N. CaddenLW3410.090.0000.0004
IredaleDF560.000.0310.0231
MillerDF560.030.0100.0625
BoyleFW230.050.0000.0210
LevittMF100.010.021−0.0220
MolotnikovMF100.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
PortalesKoumetio22
AstleyPortales19
PortalesAstley17
F. RobertsonCameron15
CameronF. Robertson14

Hibernian

FromToPasses
CampbellNewell6
MillerYouan6
YouanObita4
ObitaYouan4
BushiriTriantis4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

3−0.72−5.05−1.42−1.83−3.270.03−2.76−0.99+1.22−4.62−2.43+0.57+2.64+0.240.010+7.12−0.20−2.31−3.92−0.82+0.30−0.80−1.61−1.20−1.21+0.51+0.30−0.31+0.58−10.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 12 matches

Hibernian

4−0.15−0.618+3.114+7.08+4.09+2.66+1.62−4.36+0.23−3.74−1.21−2.34+0.74−0.57+2.55+1.11−2.70−2.83−0.35+0.43+1.20−1.10−0.80−1.02−0.20−0.50−0.30−1.20−0.20−0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 12 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.010.020.020.020.010.030.040.010.020.020.090.090.030.020.010.040.020.110.010.03−0.05−0.010.080.21LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.040.010.030.01−0.010.03−0.01−0.01−0.010.020.02−0.050.090.080.22LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackDundee FC1.12 → 1.16Hibernian1.20 → 1.18Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.59 → 1.54Hibernian1.39 → 1.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
Top six15%20%+5
11th17%13%−4
Bottom16%10%−6
Hibernian
Top six15%10%−5
11th14%17%+3
Bottom13%19%+6

From the forecast before the match (23 November 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCHibernian
Expected goals1.371.29
Win38%34%
Expected Points1.421.31
Clean sheet28%25%

Dundee FC 38%Draw 27%Hibernian 34%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 55%.

Hibernian goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+8%8%6%2%9%8%3%1%7%8%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 23 November 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawHibernian win
Dundee FC
Top six15%20%13%9%
11th17%13%17%21%
Bottom16%10%16%23%
Hibernian
Top six15%10%12%23%
11th14%17%15%11%
Bottom13%19%14%7%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. L1–49 NovAberdeen (A)xG 1.89–1.81
  2. W3–23 NovKilmarnock (H)xG 1.58–1.04
  3. L0–230 OctCeltic (A)xG 0.16–4.62
  4. L1–226 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.43–2.17
  5. W1–019 OctMotherwell (A)xG 0.84–0.56
  6. L2–35 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 0.62–2.72

Hibernian

  1. L1–29 NovSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.28–2.18
  2. D1–13 NovDundee United (H)xG 1.09–1.31
  3. D0–030 OctRoss County (A)xG 0.50–0.50
  4. D1–127 OctHearts (H)xG 1.97–1.17
  5. L2–319 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.71–1.79
  6. L1–25 OctMotherwell (H)xG 1.35–1.23

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCHibernian
Position9th12th
Played1212
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠3–⁠61–⁠5–⁠6
Points12 (1.00 per game)8 (0.67 per game)
Expected Points per game1.201.24
Goals18–⁠2411–⁠18
xG per game1.27–⁠1.741.22–⁠1.45
Home: points, xG per game1.17, 1.40–⁠1.570.86, 1.33–⁠1.37
Away: points, xG per game0.83, 1.14–⁠1.920.40, 1.08–⁠1.56
ManagerTony Docherty (50)David Gray (14)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackDundee FC1.12, 10thHibernian1.20, 7thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.59, 12thHibernian1.39, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDundee FC attack: 1.12Hibernian attack: 1.201.201.12HibernianDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDundee FC defence: 1.59Hibernian defence: 1.391.591.39

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−16%+23%−36%−22%
Counter-attacks+43%+35%−74%+160%
Set pieces−47%+41%+38%+20%
Penalties+111%+6%+58%+6%
Headers−2%+15%−14%+13%
Left side−10%−12%−28%−12%
Centre−26%+40%−20%+11%
Right side−15%+48%−6%+11%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHibernian concededLeft side−10%+11%Centre−26%+11%Right side−15%−12%Open play−16%−22%Counter-attacks+43%+160%Set pieces−47%+20%Headers−2%+13%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdDundee FC concededLeft side−28%+48%Centre−20%+40%Right side−6%−12%Open play−36%+23%Counter-attacks−74%+35%Set pieces+38%+41%Headers−14%+15%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCHibernian

1.27xG1.22
1.74xG against1.45
47%Possession50%
11.4Shots12.7
15.4Shots against11.8
4.2Shots on target3.4
1.7Big chances1.7
23.1Touches in the opposition box21.5
335Passes348
71%Pass accuracy74%
4.8Corners5.9
50%Field tilt54%
35.6Final-third entries36.9
11.4Box entries9.5
13.0Passes per defensive action14.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.332.15
Ahead220.781.46
Behind301.561.45

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.121.21
Ahead170.941.80
Behind281.561.63

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.282–3
16–300.170.194–3
31–450.330.275–5
46–600.150.292–3
61–750.130.251–5
76–900.270.464–5

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.230–2
16–300.140.211–3
31–450.290.093–2
46–600.150.232–2
61–750.320.184–0
76–900.230.511–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcCracken 10Carson 2Ingram 9McGhee 3C. Robertson 6Portales 6Astley 2Koumetio 7McGhee 2Graham 1Larkeche 12Cameron 12Mulligan 2Tiffoney 2Sylla 10F. Robertson 2McCowan 3Braybrooke 2Fraser 1Houlden 4Astley 3Portales 2Murray 7Main 4Sylla 1Murray 5Tiffoney 3Houlden 24-3-3 in 4 of 12 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (4), 3-5-2 (4), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1)

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBursik 12Miller 10C. Cadden 2Ekpiteta 12O'Hora 12Obita 12Kwon 9Campbell 1Moriah-Welsh 1Newell 8Triantis 5Boyle 8C. Cadden 3Youan 1Triantis 3Molotnikov 3Kukharevych 2Hoilett 5Molotnikov 3Youan 2Kukharevych 7Hoilett 1Youan 14-2-3-1 in 7 of 12 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-3-3 (3), 4-4-2 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
24 August 2024Hibernian2–2Dundee FCxG 0.88–0.84
24 February 2024Hibernian2–1Dundee FCxG 1.94–0.35
25 November 2023Dundee FC1–2HibernianxG 1.42–0.84
30 September 2023Hibernian0–0Dundee FCxG 2.62–0.55
10 May 2022Dundee FC3–1HibernianxG 1.48–0.99
2 March 2022Dundee FC0–0HibernianxG 0.20–0.58

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 1, Hibernian won 3, and 4 were drawn. Goals 9–10 and xG 0.78–1.43 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murray121,013400.360.10
Houlden6541210.270.07
Tiffoney6595210.210.11
Cameron12988130.080.16

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kukharevych9756200.390.02
Boyle8745210.290.07
Hoilett7592100.090.25
C. Cadden5491010.120.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.