Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Hibernian 2–2 Dundee FC

Saturday 24 August 2024, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 3 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Colin Steven · Attendance 15,710

Hibernian Boyle 45', Bowie 72'

Dundee FC Tiffoney 9', Murray 88'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianDundee FC
Goals22
xG0.880.84
Expected Points1.331.29

Hibernian 32%Draw 37%Dundee FC 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 18%. Final score 2–2, 3%.

Dundee FC goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+6%1%6%1%6%7%3%1%2%16%16%15%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTBowie on for N. Cadden, C. Cadden on for Miller, and Campbell on for Kwon, 64'Moriah-Welsh on for Molotnikov, 78'Bushiri on for Kukharevych, 83'Main on for Houlden and Ingram on for Tiffoney, 75'Robertson on for Larkeche, 79'Boyle 45'Bowie 72'Tiffoney 9'Murray 88'Hibernian 0.88Dundee FC 0.8400.250.50.7510153045607590HTBowie on for N. Cadden, C. Cadden on for Miller, and Campbell on for Kwon, 64'Moriah-Welsh on for Molotnikov, 78'Bushiri on for Kukharevych, 83'Main on for Houlden and Ingram on for Tiffoney, 75'Robertson on for Larkeche, 79'Boyle 45'Bowie 72'Tiffoney 9'Murray 88'0.880.84HibernianDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianDundee FC

0.88 +0.04xG0.84 −1.14
0.95 +0.66xG on target0.73 −1.48
13 +3.5Shots10 −2.5
2 +0.5Shots on target5 0.0
1 0.0Big chances2 0.0
29 +10Touches in the opposition box24 +3
50% +8Possession50% −2
281 −14Passes285 −57
67% −1Pass accuracy72% +5
44% −3Field tilt56% +2
40 +10Final-third entries29 −8
6 −1.5Box entries8 −2.0
9.7 −10Passes per defensive action11.8 +2
5 −0.5Corners4 0.0
13 0Tackles24 +5
5 −2.0Interceptions13 +3.0
14 −10Clearances31 −3
3 0.0Saves0 −4.0
14 +4.0Fouls15 +8.0
2 0.0Offsides4 +2.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Campbell 90', 0.11 xGN. Cadden 28', 0.08 xGMolotnikov 67', 0.08 xGN. Cadden 41', 0.05 xGMolotnikov 14', 0.04 xGBoyle 61', 0.04 xGBoyle 58', 0.03 xGKwon 7', 0.02 xGO'Hora 35', 0.02 xGKukharevych 40', 0.02 xGKukharevych 45+1', 0.02 xGBowie 72', 0.29 xG, goalBoyle 45', 0.08 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals24%0.21 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals35%0.31 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.31 xG, 1 goal39%0.34 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.34 xG, 1 goal2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Murray 19', 0.07 xGMcCowan 57', 0.07 xGTiffoney 66', 0.05 xGKoumetio 87', 0.05 xGMain 90+2', 0.04 xGHoulden 69', 0.02 xGMcGhee 70', 0.02 xGHoulden 69', 0.01 xGTiffoney 9', 0.37 xG, goalMurray 88', 0.15 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals54%0.46 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.46 xG, 1 goal32%0.27 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.27 xG, 1 goal14%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianDundee FC

0.07 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.73 6 shots, 2 goals
0.08 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.73 9 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces0.12 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
41 min (44%) · Hibernian 0.60, Dundee FC 0.58 xG
Hibernian ahead
16 min (17%) · Hibernian 0.00, Dundee FC 0.20 xG
Dundee FC ahead
36 min (39%) · Hibernian 0.29, Dundee FC 0.07 xG

Line-ups

124521181110351999BursikMillerEkpitetaO'HoraObitaKwonNewellBoyleMolotnikovN. CaddenKukharevychYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow card64'64'78'64'83'Hibernian 4-2-3-1David Gray1629202110281723157McCrackenMcGheePortalesKoumetioLarkecheCameronSyllaMcCowanHouldenMurrayTiffoneyYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow cardGoal79'75'75'Dundee FC 4-3-3Tony Docherty

Hibernian substitutes

  • 64' C. Cadden for Miller
  • 64' Campbell for Kwon
  • 64' Bowie for N. Cadden · goal 72'
  • 78' Moriah-Welsh for Molotnikov
  • 83' Bushiri for Kukharevych

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 75' Ingram for Tiffoney
  • 75' Main for Houlden
  • 79' Robertson for Larkeche

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BursikGK900.000.0000.0320
Miller RB640.000.0420.0751
EkpitetaCB900.000.0100.0429
O'HoraCB900.020.021−0.0143
ObitaLB900.000.0100.0366
KwonDM640.020.0200.0722
Newell DM900.000.0510.06105
Boyle RW9010.150.0100.0342
Molotnikov AM780.120.0400.1351
N. CaddenLW640.130.0620.0441
KukharevychST830.040.020−0.2801
C. CaddenDF260.000.0000.0102
CampbellMF260.110.0010.0100
BowieFW2610.290.0100.0010
Moriah-WelshMF120.000.0000.0101
BushiriDF70.000.0000.0000

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrackenGK900.000.0100.0320
McGhee RB900.020.0810.0915
PortalesCB9010.000.0910.2249
Koumetio CB900.050.0000.01015
Larkeche LB790.000.0100.05510
CameronCM9010.000.3530.0853
SyllaCM900.000.0400.10214
McCowanCM900.070.0210.0546
HouldenRW750.030.0200.0335
Murray ST9010.220.030−0.0115
TiffoneyLW7510.420.0200.0330
IngramDF150.000.0310.0541
MainFW150.040.0000.0000
RobertsonMF110.000.0000.0010

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Miller and O'Hora: 3 passesObita and Molotnikov: 3 passesMolotnikov and Kukharevych: 3 passesO'Hora and Molotnikov: 4 passesEkpiteta and Kwon: 4 passesNewell and N. Cadden: 4 passesMolotnikov and N. Cadden: 4 passesMiller and Newell: 5 passesMiller and Boyle: 5 passesO'Hora and N. Cadden: 5 passesObita and Newell: 5 passesObita and Kukharevych: 5 passesN. Cadden and Kukharevych: 5 passesMiller and Ekpiteta: 6 passesMiller and Kwon: 6 passesO'Hora and Kwon: 6 passesNewell and Boyle: 6 passesMiller and Molotnikov: 7 passesMiller and Kukharevych: 8 passesBursik and Ekpiteta: 9 passesO'Hora and Ekpiteta: 9 passesBursik and O'Hora: 11 passesO'Hora and Obita: 11 passesObita and N. Cadden: 11 passesO'Hora and Newell: 12 passesBursik: 17 completed passesMiller: 23 completed passesO'Hora: 32 completed passesEkpiteta: 18 completed passesObita: 21 completed passesNewell: 22 completed passesKwon: 13 completed passesBoyle: 5 completed passesMolotnikov: 10 completed passesN. Cadden: 14 completed passesKukharevych: 10 completed passes125421111810351999BursikMillerO'HoraEkpitetaObitaNewellKwonBoyleMolotnikovN. CaddenKukharevychStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Dundee FC

Koumetio and Portales: 3 passesKoumetio and Larkeche: 3 passesKoumetio and Cameron: 3 passesLarkeche and McCowan: 3 passesSylla and Tiffoney: 3 passesMcCracken and Murray: 4 passesMcGhee and Sylla: 4 passesMcGhee and McCowan: 4 passesCameron and Tiffoney: 4 passesMcCowan and Tiffoney: 4 passesMcGhee and Portales: 5 passesMcGhee and Houlden: 5 passesLarkeche and Murray: 5 passesHoulden and Cameron: 5 passesCameron and McCowan: 5 passesMcCowan and Murray: 5 passesPortales and Sylla: 6 passesSylla and Cameron: 6 passesLarkeche and Tiffoney: 7 passesTiffoney and Murray: 8 passesMcCracken and Portales: 9 passesMcGhee and Cameron: 9 passesPortales and Cameron: 11 passesMcCracken: 14 completed passesMcGhee: 17 completed passesKoumetio: 7 completed passesPortales: 22 completed passesLarkeche: 12 completed passesSylla: 15 completed passesHoulden: 7 completed passesCameron: 22 completed passesMcCowan: 17 completed passesTiffoney: 11 completed passesMurray: 10 completed passes1620292128231017715McCrackenMcGheeKoumetioPortalesLarkecheSyllaHouldenCameronMcCowanTiffoneyMurrayStarters until 75' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
ObitaN. Cadden9
O'HoraObita8
BursikEkpiteta7
NewellO'Hora6
O'HoraBursik6

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
PortalesCameron8
CameronMcGhee6
TiffoneyMurray6
LarkecheTiffoney6
McCowanCameron6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

50.03−2.511−1.04+1.07+0.57+3.550.04−1.03−7.55+1.00−3.51−2.03−0.54−1.03+1.04+0.52−0.52−0.52−5.020.01−1.010.02+1.520.000.00−0.520.01+1.000.04−9.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 2 matches

Dundee FC

4+0.56−1.521−0.510+3.03−2.56+2.57+3.59+4.512+5.015+7.010+3.56+3.51−2.07+4.04−1.04+1.54+2.03+1.04+0.53−4.50−4.00−3.510.02−1.53+1.51−1.500.00−0.52+2.00−0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 2 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.030.010.030.010.020.020.050.030.020.030.010.020.050.030.06−0.02−0.020.01−0.13−0.15−0.040.080.09LessMore

Dundee FC

0.020.010.010.010.020.010.020.020.020.020.030.010.030.030.010.030.030.050.01−0.010.020.070.050.010.25LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackHibernian1.22 → 1.22Dundee FC1.12 → 1.12Defence (lower is better)Hibernian1.38 → 1.38Dundee FC1.56 → 1.55

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hibernian
Top six45%42%−3
11th7%7%0
Bottom4%4%0
Dundee FC
Top six31%33%+2
11th12%11%−1
Bottom9%9%0

From the forecast before the match (24 August 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianDundee FC
Expected goals1.671.04
Win51%23%
Expected Points1.800.95
Clean sheet35%19%

Hibernian 51%Draw 25%Dundee FC 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 53%.

Dundee FC goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+7%6%4%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%3%1%2%2%1%11%12%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 24 August 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHibernian winDrawDundee FC win
Hibernian
Top six45%52%42%34%
11th7%5%7%10%
Bottom4%3%4%7%
Dundee FC
Top six31%24%33%43%
11th12%13%11%8%
Bottom9%11%9%5%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

  1. L0–211 AugCeltic (H)xG 0.10–2.60
  2. L0–34 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.58–1.20
  3. D1–119 MayLivingston (A)xG 0.66–0.66
  4. W3–015 MayMotherwell (H)xG 1.34–0.85
  5. L0–412 MayAberdeen (H)xG 1.03–2.33
  6. L1–24 MayRoss County (A)xG 2.55–1.83

Dundee FC

  1. W3–110 AugHearts (H)xG 1.53–1.52
  2. D2–24 AugDundee United (A)xG 2.42–2.21
  3. D1–118 MayKilmarnock (H)xG 1.69–1.11
  4. L2–514 MayRangers (A)xG 1.19–3.29
  5. L0–311 MayHearts (A)xG 1.03–2.41
  6. L1–34 MaySt. Mirren (H)xG 0.79–1.43

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianDundee FC
Position11th3rd
Played22
Won, drawn, lost0–⁠0–⁠21–⁠1–⁠0
Points0 (0.00 per game)4 (2.00 per game)
Expected Points per game0.831.45
Goals0–⁠55–⁠3
xG per game0.84–⁠1.901.98–⁠1.86
Home: points, xG per game0.00, 0.10–⁠2.603.00, 1.53–⁠1.52
Away: points, xG per game0.00, 1.58–⁠1.201.00, 2.42–⁠2.21
ManagerDavid Gray (4)Tony Docherty (40)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackHibernian1.22, 5thDundee FC1.12, 8thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.38, 5thDundee FC1.56, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02 Aug11 AugHibernian attack: 1.22Dundee FC attack: 1.121.221.12Dundee FCHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02 Aug11 AugHibernian defence: 1.38Dundee FC defence: 1.561.561.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−10%+4%−27%+11%
Counter-attacks−43%+145%+35%+71%
Set pieces−30%−27%−7%+32%
Penalties−57%−13%+152%−4%
Headers−55%−15%−24%+57%
Left side−10%+3%−19%average
Centre−26%+18%−2%+17%
Right side−14%+10%−38%+57%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdDundee FC concededLeft side−10%+57%Centre−26%+17%Right side−14%averageOpen play−10%+11%Counter-attacks−43%+71%Set pieces−30%+32%Headers−55%+57%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHibernian concededLeft side−19%+10%Centre−2%+18%Right side−38%+3%Open play−27%+4%Counter-attacks+35%+145%Set pieces−7%−27%Headers−24%−15%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianDundee FC

0.84xG1.98
1.90xG against1.86
42%Possession52%
9.5Shots12.5
14.0Shots against14.5
1.5Shots on target5.0
1.0Big chances2.0
18.5Touches in the opposition box21.0
295Passes342
68%Pass accuracy67%
5.5Corners4.0
47%Field tilt54%
30.5Final-third entries37.5
7.5Box entries10.0
20.1Passes per defensive action10.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level261.502.22
Ahead0––
Behind640.581.77

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level261.302.34
Ahead341.751.87
Behind302.791.48

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.270.540–1
16–300.140.170–1
31–450.020.050–0
46–600.010.400–1
61–750.210.370–0
76–900.190.360–2

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.050.340–1
16–300.460.352–1
31–450.570.132–0
46–600.060.390–0
61–750.170.300–1
76–900.660.351–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBursik 2Miller 2Ekpiteta 2O'Hora 2Obita 2Campbell 1Moriah-Welsh 1Newell 2Boyle 2Campbell 1Levitt 1Molotnikov 2Kukharevych 1Vente 14-2-3-1 in every start

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcCracken 2Ingram 2McGhee 2Portales 1Graham 1Larkeche 2Cameron 2Sylla 2McCowan 2Portales 1Houlden 1Murray 2Houlden 1Tiffoney 14-3-3 in 1 of 2 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
24 February 2024Hibernian2–1Dundee FCxG 1.94–0.35
25 November 2023Dundee FC1–2HibernianxG 1.42–0.84
30 September 2023Hibernian0–0Dundee FCxG 2.62–0.55
10 May 2022Dundee FC3–1HibernianxG 1.48–0.99
2 March 2022Dundee FC0–0HibernianxG 0.20–0.58
14 December 2021Hibernian1–0Dundee FCxG 1.14–0.62

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 3, Dundee FC won 1, and 3 were drawn. Goals 8–7 and xG 1.51–0.77 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle302,674530.190.15
Vente282,092530.250.08
Campbell121,031310.100.08
Newell383,368250.030.13

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McCowan393,4441260.240.14
Main4484000.190.14
Mulligan6811100.200.08
Tiffoney201,627420.160.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.