Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Hibernian 4–0 Dundee FC

Sunday 13 April 2025, 14:30 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 33 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 17,926

Hibernian Bushiri 26', Bowie 68', 84', Gayle 78'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianDundee FC
Goals40
xG2.000.14
Expected Points2.680.18

Hibernian 85%Draw 14%Dundee FC 2%

Most likely score 2–0, 26%. Final score 4–0, 8%.

Dundee FC goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+10%1%4%4%17%2%8%1%2%23%26%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTCampbell on for Hoilett and Bowie on for Kukharevych, 64'Moriah-Welsh on for Levitt and Gayle on for Boyle, 74'N. Cadden on for C. Cadden, 79'Samuels on for Larkeche, 46'Houlden on for Tiffoney, 60'Ingram on for McGhee, 70'Reilly on for Adewumi, 80'Bushiri 26'Bowie 68'Gayle 78'Bowie 84'Hibernian 2.00Dundee FC 0.1401230153045607590HTCampbell on for Hoilett and Bowie on for Kukharevych, 64'Moriah-Welsh on for Levitt and Gayle on for Boyle, 74'N. Cadden on for C. Cadden, 79'Samuels on for Larkeche, 46'Houlden on for Tiffoney, 60'Ingram on for McGhee, 70'Reilly on for Adewumi, 80'Bushiri 26'Bowie 68'Gayle 78'Bowie 84'2.000.14HibernianDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianDundee FC

2.00 +0.43xG0.14 −1.05
2.98 +1.44xG on target0.24 −1.18
19 +7Shots4 −7
6 +2.0Shots on target2 −1.8
4 +1.6Big chances0 −1.8
33 +10Touches in the opposition box8 −14
53% +8Possession47% +3
347 +14Passes322 +6
76% +3Pass accuracy73% +7
63% +15Field tilt37% −5
45 +11Final-third entries28 −3
20 +10.1Box entries6 −4.2
11.8 −4Passes per defensive action9.3 −5
8 +2.3Corners2 −3.0
17 +4Tackles20 +3
10 +2.2Interceptions7 −0.7
32 −1Clearances51 +16
2 −0.7Saves2 −1.6
9 −1.8Fouls10 +0.2
1 −0.9Offsides2 +0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

N. Cadden 86', 0.30 xGLevitt 20', 0.23 xGKukharevych 20', 0.14 xGHoilett 7', 0.12 xGHoilett 42', 0.12 xGBoyle 59', 0.12 xGKukharevych 1', 0.09 xGBoyle 23', 0.05 xGHoilett 5', 0.04 xGMiller 42', 0.04 xGKukharevych 45+1', 0.03 xGObita 21', 0.02 xGMiller 66', 0.02 xGKukharevych 42', 0.01 xGMiller 55', 0.01 xGBushiri 26', 0.33 xG, goalBowie 68', 0.17 xG, goalBowie 84', 0.11 xG, goalGayle 78', 0.07 xG, goal37%0.74 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.74 xG, 1 goal42%0.85 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.85 xG, 2 goals18%0.37 xGWide in the box: 8 shots, 0.37 xG, 1 goal2%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Mulligan 90', 0.05 xGMcGhee 50', 0.04 xGMurray 13', 0.03 xGTiffoney 19', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals100%0.14 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianDundee FC

1.02 10 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.11 3 shots, 0 goals
0.37 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.62 7 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.03 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
26 min (29%) · Hibernian 1.00, Dundee FC 0.05 xG
Hibernian ahead
65 min (71%) · Hibernian 1.00, Dundee FC 0.09 xG

Line-ups

13233151226621231099SmithMillerBushiriIredaleC. CaddenTriantisLevittObitaHoilettBoyleKukharevychGoalYellow card79'74'64'74'64'Hibernian 3-4-1-2David Gray31653218281911157CarsonMcGheeShaughnessyC. RobertsonLarkecheMulliganSyllaF. RobertsonAdewumiMurrayTiffoneyYellow card70'46'80'60'Dundee FC 4-3-3Tony Docherty

Hibernian substitutes

  • 64' Campbell for Hoilett
  • 64' Bowie for Kukharevych · goal 68', goal 84', 1 assist
  • 74' Moriah-Welsh for Levitt
  • 74' Gayle for Boyle · goal 78'
  • 79' N. Cadden for C. Cadden · 1 assist

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 46' Samuels for Larkeche
  • 60' Houlden for Tiffoney
  • 70' Ingram for McGhee
  • 80' Reilly for Adewumi

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SmithGK900.000.0000.0342
MillerCB9010.070.2820.31511
BushiriCB9010.330.0110.03212
IredaleCB900.000.0000.10119
C. CaddenRWB790.000.0330.12125
TriantisCM900.000.0610.0688
Levitt CM740.230.0000.0734
ObitaLWB900.020.0310.0996
HoilettAM640.280.1860.1461
BoyleST7410.160.2210.0530
KukharevychST640.270.0210.1250
CampbellMF260.000.0100.0100
BowieFW26210.280.0110.0010
Moriah-WelshMF160.000.000−0.0100
GayleFW1610.070.0100.0401
N. CaddenDF1110.300.0810.0821

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0451
McGheeRB700.040.0100.04310
Shaughnessy CB900.000.0000.02117
C. RobertsonCB900.000.0000.04515
LarkecheLB460.000.0110.0423
MulliganCM900.050.0200.0835
SyllaCM900.000.0100.01111
F. RobertsonCM900.000.0210.0214
AdewumiRW800.000.0000.0113
MurrayST900.030.0000.0102
TiffoneyLW600.020.0000.0001
SamuelsDF440.000.0520.0843
HouldenFW300.000.0000.0005
IngramDF200.000.0000.0122
ReillyMF100.000.0100.0341

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Smith and Iredale: 5 passesIredale and Triantis: 5 passesIredale and Boyle: 5 passesHoilett and Boyle: 5 passesSmith and Miller: 6 passesSmith and Bushiri: 6 passesIredale and Hoilett: 6 passesC. Cadden and Kukharevych: 6 passesLevitt and Obita: 6 passesLevitt and Hoilett: 6 passesHoilett and Kukharevych: 6 passesIredale and Levitt: 7 passesC. Cadden and Hoilett: 7 passesTriantis and Obita: 7 passesTriantis and Hoilett: 7 passesIredale and Bushiri: 8 passesC. Cadden and Triantis: 8 passesMiller and Bushiri: 9 passesIredale and Kukharevych: 10 passesMiller and Triantis: 13 passesIredale and Obita: 15 passesObita and Hoilett: 16 passesMiller and C. Cadden: 21 passesSmith: 15 completed passesIredale: 34 completed passesMiller: 32 completed passesBushiri: 23 completed passesC. Cadden: 29 completed passesTriantis: 28 completed passesLevitt: 18 completed passesObita: 26 completed passesHoilett: 25 completed passesBoyle: 7 completed passesKukharevych: 15 completed passes13152331226621231099SmithIredaleMillerBushiriC. CaddenTriantisLevittObitaHoilettBoyleKukharevychStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Dundee FC

McGhee and C. Robertson: 3 passesMcGhee and Sylla: 3 passesShaughnessy and Mulligan: 3 passesC. Robertson and Sylla: 3 passesC. Robertson and F. Robertson: 3 passesF. Robertson and Tiffoney: 3 passesCarson and C. Robertson: 4 passesMcGhee and F. Robertson: 4 passesShaughnessy and Sylla: 4 passesC. Robertson and Tiffoney: 4 passesLarkeche and Mulligan: 4 passesLarkeche and Tiffoney: 4 passesLarkeche and F. Robertson: 5 passesMcGhee and Mulligan: 6 passesShaughnessy and C. Robertson: 6 passesC. Robertson and Larkeche: 6 passesSylla and F. Robertson: 6 passesMcGhee and Shaughnessy: 9 passesCarson: 8 completed passesMcGhee: 15 completed passesShaughnessy: 13 completed passesC. Robertson: 16 completed passesLarkeche: 13 completed passesSylla: 10 completed passesF. Robertson: 14 completed passesMulligan: 8 completed passesAdewumi: 1 completed passesMurray: 0 completed passesTiffoney: 7 completed passes31653212819811157CarsonMcGheeShaughnessyC. RobertsonLarkecheSyllaF. RobertsonMulliganAdewumiMurrayTiffoneyStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
C. CaddenMiller12
MillerC. Cadden11
IredaleObita9
HoilettObita8
MillerTriantis8

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
C. RobertsonShaughnessy8
SamuelsMulligan8
McGheeMulligan7
SamuelsF. Robertson7
ShaughnessyCarson6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

6+1.36−0.64−3.78+3.18+1.35−0.64−2.47+0.310+3.57+2.27+2.83−0.17+1.97+2.24+0.33−0.74+1.83−0.65+0.40−2.02+0.61−0.10−1.52−0.21+0.31+0.50−0.70−0.40−0.510−5.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Dundee FC

7+2.014+7.012−5.614+6.05+1.011+4.45−2.74−2.99+0.87−0.911+5.34−0.35+1.47+2.08+3.37+3.29+5.53+1.01−1.74−0.15+2.52+0.72+1.30−1.60−2.710.00−0.40−0.51+0.70−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.030.010.010.030.030.010.010.040.030.030.060.030.030.060.04−0.020.150.110.080.09−0.050.080.110.23LessMore

Dundee FC

0.020.010.020.020.010.010.030.040.040.02−0.010.010.040.050.040.020.07LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackHibernian1.47 → 1.51Dundee FC1.14 → 1.11Defence (lower is better)Hibernian1.17 → 1.14Dundee FC1.66 → 1.70

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
11th33%38%+5
Bottom7%9%+2
Ross County
11th33%30%−3
Bottom7%6%−1
Kilmarnock
11th16%15%−1

From the forecast before the match (13 April 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianDundee FC
Expected goals2.140.89
Win66%14%
Expected Points2.170.62
Clean sheet41%12%

Hibernian 66%Draw 20%Dundee FC 14%

Most likely score 2–0, 11%. Both sides score 53%.

Dundee FC goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+5%4%2%4%1%4%1%8%7%3%4%4%2%2%2%10%10%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 13 April 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHibernian winDrawDundee FC win
Dundee FC
11th33%38%29%18%
Bottom7%9%5%2%
Ross County
11th33%30%35%41%
Bottom7%6%7%7%
Kilmarnock
11th16%15%16%23%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

  1. W2–05 AprRangers (A)xG 0.52–1.36
  2. W3–029 MarSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.12–0.02
  3. D1–115 MarKilmarnock (A)xG 2.01–0.64
  4. W2–12 MarHearts (H)xG 0.61–0.69
  5. W3–126 FebDundee United (A)xG 1.53–0.71
  6. W2–122 FebCeltic (H)xG 0.67–1.78

Dundee FC

  1. W2–05 AprSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.65–2.35
  2. L3–429 MarRangers (H)xG 2.97–2.70
  3. W4–216 MarDundee United (A)xG 2.27–1.20
  4. D1–11 MarSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.59–0.59
  5. L1–226 FebMotherwell (A)xG 1.42–1.10
  6. L1–322 FebRoss County (A)xG 0.66–3.92

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianDundee FC
Position3rd11th
Played3232
Won, drawn, lost13–⁠11–⁠89–⁠7–⁠16
Points50 (1.56 per game)34 (1.06 per game)
Expected Points per game1.551.06
Goals50–⁠4150–⁠67
xG per game1.57–⁠1.281.19–⁠1.87
Home: points, xG per game1.81, 1.73–⁠1.111.12, 1.32–⁠1.76
Away: points, xG per game1.31, 1.40–⁠1.461.00, 1.04–⁠1.99
ManagerDavid Gray (34)Tony Docherty (70)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackHibernian1.47, 3rdDundee FC1.14, 9thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.17, 3rdDundee FC1.66, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprHibernian attack: 1.47Dundee FC attack: 1.141.471.14Dundee FCHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprHibernian defence: 1.17Dundee FC defence: 1.661.661.17

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−9%−19%−22%+23%
Counter-attacks+23%+37%−18%+105%
Set pieces+33%−7%−15%+37%
Penalties+70%+6%+27%+6%
Headers+12%−13%−4%+36%
Left side+11%−28%−15%+24%
Centre+8%−2%−21%+36%
Right side−4%−9%−21%+45%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdDundee FC concededLeft side+11%+45%Centre+8%+36%Right side−4%+24%Open play−9%+23%Counter-attacks+23%+105%Set pieces+33%+37%Headers+12%+36%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHibernian concededLeft side−15%−9%Centre−21%−2%Right side−21%−28%Open play−22%−19%Counter-attacks−18%+37%Set pieces−15%−7%Headers−4%−13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianDundee FC

1.57xG1.19
1.28xG against1.87
46%Possession44%
12.2Shots10.9
11.2Shots against16.6
4.0Shots on target3.8
2.4Big chances1.8
22.5Touches in the opposition box21.5
333Passes316
72%Pass accuracy66%
5.7Corners5.0
48%Field tilt42%
33.8Final-third entries31.1
9.9Box entries10.2
15.9Passes per defensive action14.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level391.491.20
Ahead311.521.15
Behind201.781.63

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level361.101.84
Ahead251.231.95
Behind291.271.83

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.225–8
16–300.310.2311–5
31–450.240.1410–6
46–600.180.164–4
61–750.360.178–2
76–900.340.3612–16

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.239–7
16–300.200.2710–10
31–450.230.2610–12
46–600.150.335–12
61–750.170.308–11
76–900.270.498–15

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTSmith 19Bursik 13Iredale 19Miller 6Boyle 5Bushiri 20Ekpiteta 12O'Hora 26C. Cadden 17Miller 14Obita 1Triantis 23Levitt 6Kwon 5Newell 15Obita 10C. Cadden 1N. Cadden 14Kwon 7Triantis 5Campbell 13Hoilett 6Boyle 5Kukharevych 15Campbell 2Vente 1Boyle 13Hoilett 9Gayle 73-4-1-2 in 15 of 32 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (15), 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-3-3 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWCarson 16McCracken 16Mulligan 14Ingram 9McGhee 8C. Robertson 15Portales 11Astley 5Koumetio 13Donnelly 9McGhee 4Larkeche 19F. Robertson 5Ingram 3Mulligan 7Tiffoney 5Adewumi 4Sylla 29McGhee 6Cameron 23F. Robertson 7Garza 5Astley 11Adewumi 6Portales 4Murray 18Houlden 7Main 4Murray 11Tiffoney 7Adewumi 64-3-3 in 8 of 32 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (8), 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-5-2 (7), 3-4-3 (3), 5-3-2 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
23 November 2024Dundee FC4–1HibernianxG 2.22–0.76
24 August 2024Hibernian2–2Dundee FCxG 0.88–0.84
24 February 2024Hibernian2–1Dundee FCxG 1.94–0.35
25 November 2023Dundee FC1–2HibernianxG 1.42–0.84
30 September 2023Hibernian0–0Dundee FCxG 2.62–0.55
10 May 2022Dundee FC3–1HibernianxG 1.48–0.99

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 3, Dundee FC won 2, and 4 were drawn. Goals 11–13 and xG 1.36–0.94 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kukharevych161,206400.540.02
Hoilett151,248420.280.26
Boyle232,0911140.390.12
N. Cadden191,552540.230.27

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murray302,5821520.390.08
Houlden141,368510.360.03
Tiffoney161,430510.190.10
Cameron272,310540.090.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.