Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Dundee FC 3–0 Livingston

Saturday 9 May 2026, 15:00 · Dens Park · Round 36 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Colin Steven · Attendance 5,573

Dundee FC Congreve 13', Robertson 71', Hay 83'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCLivingston
Goals30
xG2.101.58
Non-penalty xG2.100.79
Expected Points1.731.00

Dundee FC 48%Draw 28%Livingston 24%

Most likely score 2–1, 13%. Final score 3–0, 2%.

Livingston goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+3%3%2%9%3%3%4%2%9%8%3%4%3%1%1%11%13%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTKoumetio on for Yogane and Samuels on for Halliday, 68'Robertson on for Murray, 69'S. Wright on for Congreve and Hay on for Westley, 80'Muirhead on for Nouble, 64'May on for McKay, 80'Montaño on for Kerr and Danso on for Sylla, 86'Congreve 13'Robertson 71'Hay 83'Dundee FC 2.10Livingston 1.5801230153045607590HTKoumetio on for Yogane and Samuels on for Halliday, 68'Robertson on for Murray, 69'S. Wright on for Congreve and Hay on for Westley, 80'Muirhead on for Nouble, 64'May on for McKay, 80'Montaño on for Kerr and Danso on for Sylla, 86'Congreve 13'Robertson 71'Hay 83'2.101.58Dundee FCLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCLivingston

2.10 +1.13xG1.58 +0.56
2.10Non-penalty xG0.79
2.71 +1.79xG on target1.00 −0.08
16 +6.1Shots10 +0.3
4 +0.8Shots on target3 −0.3
5 +3.7Big chances3 +1.6
25 +10Touches in the opposition box21 +2
43% 0Possession57% +13
419 +71Passes563 +204
82% +7Pass accuracy86% +13
7 +3.2Corners5 +0.5
14 0Tackles11 −6
12 +4.2Interceptions5 −4.1
15 −19Clearances15 −20
3 −0.8Saves1 −2.1
3 −6.0Fouls5 −8.4
0 −1.3Offsides0 −1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Murray 43', 0.30 xGGraham 5', 0.12 xGDhanda 45', 0.08 xGAstley 45+1', 0.08 xGHamilton 90+1', 0.07 xGWestley 3', 0.06 xGHamilton 37', 0.06 xGCongreve 71', 0.04 xGMurray 35', 0.03 xGWestley 52', 0.03 xGWestley 33', 0.02 xGCongreve 35', 0.02 xGKoumetio 83', 0.01 xGCongreve 13', 0.55 xG, goalRobertson 71', 0.45 xG, goalHay 83', 0.19 xG, goal35%0.74 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.74 xG, 2 goals51%1.06 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.06 xG, 1 goal5%0.11 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals9%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Nouble 42', 0.31 xGNouble 55', 0.19 xGTait 7', 0.10 xGKerr 68', 0.07 xGTait 82', 0.04 xGKerr 59', 0.03 xGSmith 67', 0.02 xGMcKay 76', 0.02 xGWilson 12', 0.01 xG40%0.32 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.32 xG, 0 goals34%0.27 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.27 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals26%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCLivingston

1.44 7 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.75 7 shots, 0 goals
0.07 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.59 8 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.05 2 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
13 min (14%) · Dundee FC 0.73, Livingston 0.11 xG
Dundee FC ahead
80 min (86%) · Dundee FC 1.37, Livingston 1.47 xG

Line-ups

13164227214820191715O'HaraHallidayAstleyGrahamD. WrightDhandaHamiltonCongreveWestleyYoganeMurrayGoal68'80'80'68'69'Dundee FC 4-2-3-1Steven Pressley2819232722524158107PriorFinlaysonKabongoloWilsonKerrTaitSyllaSmithPittmanMcKayNoubleYellow card86'86'80'64'Livingston 4-2-3-1Marvin Bartley

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 68' Koumetio for Yogane · yellow card 90+2'
  • 68' Samuels for Halliday
  • 69' Robertson for Murray · goal 71', 1 assist
  • 80' Hay for Westley · goal 83'
  • 80' S. Wright for Congreve

Livingston substitutes

  • 64' Muirhead for Nouble · penalty missed 75'
  • 80' May for McKay
  • 86' Montaño for Kerr
  • 86' Danso for Sylla

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPDef
O'HaraGK900.000.0001
HallidayRB680.000.0207
AstleyCB900.080.0115
GrahamCB900.120.0116
D. WrightLB900.000.0306
DhandaDM900.080.0511
HamiltonDM900.130.0103
CongreveRW8010.610.1920
WestleyAM8010.100.0115
YoganeLW680.000.1710
MurrayST690.330.1211
Koumetio DF220.010.0002
SamuelsDF220.000.0712
RobertsonMF21110.450.4312
HayFW1010.190.0000
S. WrightFW100.000.0112

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPDef
PriorGK900.000.0001
FinlaysonRB900.000.0302
Kabongolo CB900.000.0103
WilsonCB900.010.0208
KerrLB860.100.0205
TaitDM900.140.1012
SyllaDM860.000.6016
SmithRW900.020.1921
PittmanAM900.000.0416
McKayLW800.020.3821
NoubleST640.500.0601
MuirheadFW260.790.0521
MayFW100.000.0600
MontañoDF40.000.0000
DansoMF40.000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions).

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackDundee FC1.05 → 1.08Livingston0.98 → 0.98Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.62 → 1.60Livingston1.77 → 1.79

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
11th1%–−1

From the forecast before the match (9 May 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCLivingston
Expected goals1.651.04
Win51%23%
Expected Points1.790.96
Clean sheet35%19%

Dundee FC 51%Draw 26%Livingston 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 53%.

Livingston goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+7%6%4%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%3%1%2%2%1%11%12%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 9 May 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawLivingston win
Dundee FC
11th1%–1%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. W1–02 MaySt. Mirren (H)xG 0.46–0.51
  2. L0–326 AprDundee United (A)xG 0.76–2.14
  3. D2–211 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 1.32–1.63
  4. L1–25 AprCeltic (H)xG 1.55–3.82
  5. L0–121 MarHearts (A)xG 0.56–1.64
  6. D2–215 MarDundee United (H)xG 1.28–2.85

Livingston

  1. D2–21 MayAberdeen (H)xG 1.56–0.86
  2. W2–025 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.72–1.10
  3. L2–311 AprDundee United (A)xG 1.81–1.82
  4. D2–25 AprHearts (H)xG 2.00–1.87
  5. L0–221 MarKilmarnock (A)xG 0.79–1.71
  6. D0–014 MarHibernian (A)xG 0.14–2.18

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCLivingston
Position9th12th
Played3535
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠9–⁠172–⁠14–⁠19
Points36 (1.03 per game)20 (0.57 per game)
Expected Points per game0.920.86
Goals35–⁠5639–⁠68
xG per game0.97–⁠1.631.02–⁠1.93
Home: points, xG per game1.47, 1.10–⁠1.620.65, 1.10–⁠1.79
Away: points, xG per game0.61, 0.85–⁠1.640.50, 0.95–⁠2.06
ManagerSteven Pressley (35)Marvin Bartley (10)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackDundee FC1.05, 11thLivingston0.98, 12thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.62, 11thLivingston1.77, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayDundee FC attack: 1.05Livingston attack: 0.981.050.98LivingstonDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayDundee FC defence: 1.62Livingston defence: 1.771.771.62

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−38%+29%−40%+35%
Counter-attacks−73%−4%−26%+23%
Set pieces−16%−6%−16%+36%
Penalties+18%−2%+18%+57%
Headers−20%+11%−30%+33%
Left side−58%+14%−44%+23%
Centre−31%+8%−28%+34%
Right side−25%+35%−29%+45%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdLivingston concededLeft side−58%+45%Centre−31%+34%Right side−25%+23%Open play−38%+35%Counter-attacks−73%+23%Set pieces−16%+36%Headers−20%+33%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdDundee FC concededLeft side−44%+35%Centre−28%+8%Right side−29%+14%Open play−40%+29%Counter-attacks−26%−4%Set pieces−16%−6%Headers−30%+11%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCLivingston

0.97xG1.02
1.63xG against1.93
43%Possession44%
9.9Shots9.7
15.6Shots against15.2
3.2Shots on target3.3
1.3Big chances1.4
15.5Touches in the opposition box19.4
348Passes360
75%Pass accuracy73%
3.8Corners4.5
36%Field tilt37%
32.1Final-third entries30.4
7.0Box entries8.5
20.5Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off. Field tilt, entries, and passes per defensive action cover 33 and 33 of those matches.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.061.77
Ahead170.801.73
Behind310.951.37

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level440.881.94
Ahead100.932.82
Behind351.221.66

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.305–10
16–300.110.205–9
31–450.250.319–8
46–600.120.265–6
61–750.160.233–7
76–900.220.328–16

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.365–12
16–300.140.266–11
31–450.240.405–9
46–600.190.308–8
61–750.150.225–8
76–900.200.3810–20

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTMcCracken 35Astley 15Wright 9Halliday 7Astley 16C. Robertson 10Graham 31Koumetio 11Samuels 2Samuels 16Wright 15Murray 1Hamilton 14Wright 7Dhanda 5Congreve 28Westley 3Jones 2Dhanda 15Robertson 9Digby 8Hamilton 17Jones 8Cotterill 7Yogane 24Westley 4Dhanda 3Murray 20Hay 10Westley 34-1-4-1 in 10 of 35 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (10), 3-4-3 (7), 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-5-1 (4), 5-3-2 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWPrior 35Finlayson 15Brenet 9Kerr 5McGowan 20Finlayson 12Sylla 2Wilson 28Kabongolo 3Blaney 3Montaño 16Montgomery 8Fati 6Sylla 20Smith 5Danso 4Pittman 26Arfield 4May 2Tait 26Susoho 13Carey 1Smith 13Kabongolo 7McLennan 4Muirhead 11Bokila 8Yengi 7May 15McLennan 4Yengi 44-3-3 in 11 of 35 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (11), 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-5-2 (6), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
14 February 2026Dundee FC2–2LivingstonxG 0.91–1.29
13 December 2025Livingston2–2Dundee FCxG 0.89–0.46
20 September 2025Dundee FC3–2LivingstonxG 2.74–1.51
27 January 2024Livingston1–4Dundee FCxG 2.22–1.11
5 November 2023Dundee FC1–0LivingstonxG 0.67–1.49
28 October 2023Livingston0–2Dundee FCxG 0.14–2.02

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 4, Livingston won 3, and 3 were drawn. Goals 15–15 and xG 1.16–1.34 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Hay111,241310.270.10
Westley161,161310.220.13
Congreve292,434270.090.25
Murray231,876700.310.03

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Muirhead151,389520.440.19
Nouble6458120.360.21
Yengi111,054200.300.08
Smith231,810720.180.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.