Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Dundee United 3–0 Dundee FC

Sunday 26 April 2026, 14:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 34 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 13,207

Dundee United Ferry 14', 70', Strain 72'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedDundee FC
Goals30
xG2.140.76
Expected Points2.350.46

Dundee United 72%Draw 19%Dundee FC 9%

Most likely score 2–0, 14%. Final score 3–0, 10%.

Dundee FC goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+3%3%3%5%10%9%3%4%4%1%1%1%11%11%14%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTDolcek on for Watters, 69'Russell on for Ferry and Camará on for Agyei, 83'Naamo on for Strain, 84'Reilly on for Congreve and Murray on for S. Wright, 69'Yogane on for Hay, 79'Ferry 14'Ferry 70'Strain 72'Dundee United 2.14Dundee FC 0.7601230153045607590HTDolcek on for Watters, 69'Russell on for Ferry and Camará on for Agyei, 83'Naamo on for Strain, 84'Reilly on for Congreve and Murray on for S. Wright, 69'Yogane on for Hay, 79'Ferry 14'Ferry 70'Strain 72'2.140.76Dundee UnitedDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedDundee FC

2.14 +0.82xG0.76 −0.24
2.77 +1.41xG on target0.47 −0.45
18 +4.8Shots9 −0.9
5 +0.5Shots on target4 +0.9
5 +3.1Big chances1 −0.3
25 +1Touches in the opposition box14 −2
48% +7Possession52% +9
256 −48Passes274 −77
61% −6Pass accuracy63% −12
2 −2.6Corners4 +0.3
16 0Tackles13 −1
4 −6.7Interceptions10 +2.1
32 −6Clearances42 +8
3 −0.2Saves2 −1.8
22 +9.3Fouls7 −2.1
1 −0.6Offsides0 −1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Sapsford 2', 0.31 xGSevelj 67', 0.24 xGWatters 14', 0.11 xGSevelj 53', 0.10 xGSapsford 14', 0.06 xGAgyei 17', 0.06 xGFarrugia 55', 0.06 xGSapsford 4', 0.05 xGFerry 17', 0.05 xGFarrugia 24', 0.04 xGAgyei 33', 0.03 xGSevelj 43', 0.03 xGAgyei 58', 0.03 xGFarrugia 67', 0.03 xGAgyei 1', 0.01 xGFerry 14', 0.64 xG, goalStrain 72', 0.25 xG, goalFerry 70', 0.06 xG, goal46%0.99 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.99 xG, 1 goal31%0.67 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.67 xG, 1 goal10%0.21 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals13%0.28 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.28 xG, 1 goal0%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Hay 51', 0.28 xGKoumetio 89', 0.15 xGGraham 21', 0.13 xGGraham 35', 0.05 xGDhanda 89', 0.05 xGDhanda 45+2', 0.04 xGAstley 20', 0.03 xGGraham 3', 0.02 xGHamilton 45+2', 0.01 xG54%0.41 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.41 xG, 0 goals26%0.20 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals13%0.10 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedDundee FC

1.82 15 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.04 2 shots, 0 goals
0.04 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.29 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.72 7 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
14 min (15%) · Dundee United 1.17, Dundee FC 0.02 xG
Dundee United ahead
78 min (85%) · Dundee United 0.98, Dundee FC 0.74 xG

Line-ups

25462325121120936RichardsIovuGrahamKeresztesStrainSeveljAgyeiFerryFarrugiaSapsfordWattersGoalYellow cardGoalGoal84'83'83'69'Dundee United 3-4-2-1Jim Goodwin1422512482021192511McCrackenAstleyGrahamKoumetioSamuelsHamiltonCongreveDhandaWestleyS. WrightHay69'69'79'Dundee FC 4-1-4-1Steven Pressley

Dundee United substitutes

  • 69' Dolcek for Watters
  • 83' Camará for Agyei
  • 83' Russell for Ferry
  • 84' Naamo for Strain

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 69' Reilly for Congreve
  • 69' Murray for S. Wright
  • 79' Yogane for Hay

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPDef
RichardsGK900.000.0101
IovuCB900.000.0008
GrahamCB900.000.1308
KeresztesCB900.000.0009
Strain RWB8410.250.0101
SeveljCM9010.380.1126
AgyeiCM830.120.01011
FerryLWB83210.750.5335
FarrugiaAM900.130.1924
SapsfordAM900.410.0003
WattersST690.110.0120
DolcekFW210.000.0000
CamaráMF70.000.0001
RussellFW70.000.0000
NaamoDF60.000.0000

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPDef
McCrackenGK900.000.0001
AstleyRB900.030.0108
GrahamCB900.200.00019
KoumetioCB900.150.01015
SamuelsLB900.000.0209
HamiltonDM900.010.0005
CongreveRM690.000.0921
DhandaCM900.090.2806
WestleyCM900.000.0003
S. WrightLM690.000.0110
HayST790.280.0003
ReillyMF210.000.0000
MurrayFW210.000.0002
YoganeFW110.000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions).

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.35AttackDundee United1.20 → 1.24Dundee FC1.07 → 1.05Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.52 → 1.48Dundee FC1.62 → 1.65

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
11th3%4%+1

From the forecast before the match (26 April 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedDundee FC
Expected goals1.721.07
Win52%23%
Expected Points1.810.94
Clean sheet34%18%

Dundee United 52%Draw 25%Dundee FC 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 54%.

Dundee FC goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+7%6%4%1%6%2%5%2%5%6%3%1%2%2%1%10%12%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 April 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawDundee FC win
Dundee FC
11th3%4%2%<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. W3–211 AprLivingston (H)xG 1.82–1.81
  2. L2–44 AprRangers (A)xG 1.81–3.96
  3. W2–022 MarCeltic (H)xG 1.13–1.10
  4. D2–215 MarDundee FC (A)xG 2.85–1.28
  5. W2–13 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.69–1.11
  6. L0–228 FebMotherwell (A)xG 0.31–2.12

Dundee FC

  1. D2–211 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 1.32–1.63
  2. L1–25 AprCeltic (H)xG 1.55–3.82
  3. L0–121 MarHearts (A)xG 0.56–1.64
  4. D2–215 MarDundee United (H)xG 1.28–2.85
  5. W2–17 MarMotherwell (H)xG 1.47–1.85
  6. D3–328 FebHibernian (H)xG 0.92–1.74

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedDundee FC
Position7th9th
Played3333
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠13–⁠118–⁠9–⁠16
Points40 (1.21 per game)33 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.130.93
Goals45–⁠5434–⁠53
xG per game1.32–⁠1.801.00–⁠1.65
Home: points, xG per game1.41, 1.35–⁠1.891.38, 1.14–⁠1.68
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.29–⁠1.710.65, 0.86–⁠1.61
ManagerJim Goodwin (83)Steven Pressley (33)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.35AttackDundee United1.20, 7thDundee FC1.07, 11thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.52, 9thDundee FC1.62, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprDundee United attack: 1.20Dundee FC attack: 1.071.201.07Dundee FCDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprDundee United defence: 1.52Dundee FC defence: 1.621.621.52

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−31%+28%−36%+29%
Counter-attacks+31%+12%−72%average
Set pieces+14%+33%−17%−2%
Penalties+40%+20%+20%average
Headers−14%+24%−16%+10%
Left side+2%+32%−58%+14%
Centre−24%+30%−29%+9%
Right side+3%+18%−23%+38%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdDundee FC concededLeft side+2%+38%Centre−24%+9%Right side+3%+14%Open play−31%+29%Counter-attacks+31%averageSet pieces+14%−2%Headers−14%+10%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdDundee United concededLeft side−58%+18%Centre−29%+30%Right side−23%+32%Open play−36%+28%Counter-attacks−72%+12%Set pieces−17%+33%Headers−16%+24%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedDundee FC

1.32xG1.00
1.80xG against1.65
41%Possession43%
13.2Shots9.9
15.6Shots against15.7
4.5Shots on target3.1
1.9Big chances1.3
24.2Touches in the opposition box15.5
304Passes351
67%Pass accuracy75%
4.6Corners3.7
38%Field tilt36%
30.7Final-third entries32.1
11.3Box entries7.0
14.5Passes per defensive action20.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level481.431.54
Ahead181.132.32
Behind251.251.94

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.071.73
Ahead160.861.90
Behind300.961.39

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.204–3
16–300.120.255–13
31–450.250.348–9
46–600.260.327–11
61–750.240.3112–5
76–900.290.389–13

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.284–9
16–300.110.215–9
31–450.260.339–8
46–600.120.275–6
61–750.160.223–5
76–900.220.348–16

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWKucherenko 12Richards 11Maynard-Brewer 10Iovu 25Sevelj 6Cleall-Harding 4Esselink 18Graham 15Keresztes 28Stephenson 17Strain 9Naamo 4Sevelj 18Stephenson 8Sibbald 19Camará 13Agyei 6Ferry 28Keresztes 2Naamo 2Sapsford 8Dolcek 7Farrugia 6Sapsford 13Watters 12Möller 6Fatah 17Sapsford 5Trapanovski 53-4-3 in 17 of 33 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (17), 3-4-2-1 (5), 3-5-2 (5), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTMcCracken 33Astley 14D. Wright 9Halliday 6Astley 15C. Robertson 10Graham 29Koumetio 10Samuels 2Samuels 15D. Wright 14Murray 1Hamilton 13D. Wright 7Dhanda 4Congreve 26Westley 3Jones 2Dhanda 14Robertson 9Digby 8Hamilton 16Jones 8Cotterill 7Yogane 23Westley 4Dhanda 3Murray 19Hay 9Westley 34-1-4-1 in 9 of 33 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (9), 3-4-3 (7), 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-5-1 (4), 5-3-2 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
15 March 2026Dundee FC2–2Dundee UnitedxG 1.28–2.85
3 January 2026Dundee United0–1Dundee FCxG 1.50–1.83
31 August 2025Dundee FC0–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.12–0.91
16 March 2025Dundee United2–4Dundee FCxG 1.20–2.27
2 January 2025Dundee FC1–2Dundee UnitedxG 1.90–2.48
4 August 2024Dundee United2–2Dundee FCxG 2.21–2.42

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 3, Dundee FC won 2, and 4 were drawn. Goals 13–12 and xG 1.74–1.47 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fatah221,859830.330.15
Sapsford262,277820.370.07
Dolcek10897520.300.13
Watters141,111220.330.08

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley14996210.250.15
Hay101,148310.260.10
Congreve272,275270.100.27
Murray221,779700.330.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.