Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Dundee FC 2–0 Celtic

Sunday 19 October 2025, 12:00 · Dens Park · Round 8 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 8,318

Dundee FC C. Robertson 18', Carter-Vickers 45+1' (og)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCCeltic
Goals20
xG1.302.70
Expected Points0.562.25

Dundee FC 12%Draw 19%Celtic 69%

Most likely score 1–2, 12%. Final score 2–0, 1%.

Celtic goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+3%5%4%3%1%2%8%7%3%2%1%5%8%7%5%2%1%1%2%2%1%12%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTHay on for Murray, 57'F. Robertson on for Westley, 75'Ingram on for Wright, 86'Kenny on for Ralston and Forrest on for Yang, 46'Balikwisha on for Nygren and McCowan on for Tounekti, 64'Engels on for Hatate, 82'C. Robertson 18'Carter-Vickers 45+1' (og)Celtic 2.70Dundee FC 1.3001230153045607590HTHay on for Murray, 57'F. Robertson on for Westley, 75'Ingram on for Wright, 86'Kenny on for Ralston and Forrest on for Yang, 46'Balikwisha on for Nygren and McCowan on for Tounekti, 64'Engels on for Hatate, 82'C. Robertson 18'Carter-Vickers 45+1' (og)2.701.30Dundee FCCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCCeltic

1.30 +0.63xG2.70 +0.69
0.83 +0.12xG on target0.83 −1.44
10 +2.8Shots23 +6.7
2 −0.4Shots on target3 −3.0
2 +1.1Big chances5 +1.0
15 +4Touches in the opposition box48 +11
18% −21Possession82% +11
152 −194Passes696 +10
52% −25Pass accuracy89% +1
8% −25Field tilt92% +11
21 −6Final-third entries109 +36
5 −0.1Box entries30 +7.7
38.3 +13.1Passes per defensive action5.8 −2.8
2 −1.8Corners12 +4.4
11 −4Tackles10 −5
14 +4.9Interceptions5 −2.6
51 +15Clearances29 +2
2 −1.9Saves1 −0.3
6 −1.8Fouls12 −1.3
0 −1.4Offsides0 −1.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Westley 45+1', 0.65 xGWestley 10', 0.16 xGC. Robertson 77', 0.16 xGHay 62', 0.11 xGCongreve 22', 0.04 xGHamilton 17', 0.03 xGGraham 16', 0.01 xGHamilton 36', 0.01 xGMurray 50', 0.01 xGC. Robertson 18', 0.11 xG, goal63%0.81 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.81 xG, 0 goals29%0.38 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.38 xG, 1 goal3%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals4%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Tierney 20', 0.45 xGIheanacho 63', 0.27 xGYang 23', 0.25 xGCarter-Vickers 67', 0.25 xGIheanacho 65', 0.24 xGForrest 90+1', 0.24 xGMcCowan 78', 0.18 xGHatate 78', 0.12 xGIheanacho 90+3', 0.10 xGKenny 90+5', 0.09 xGMcGregor 35', 0.07 xGHatate 71', 0.07 xGKenny 63', 0.06 xGHatate 59', 0.05 xGKenny 87', 0.05 xGMcGregor 33', 0.04 xGRalston 45+4', 0.04 xGIheanacho 16', 0.03 xGMcGregor 67', 0.03 xGHatate 13', 0.02 xGIheanacho 15', 0.02 xGCarter-Vickers 41', 0.02 xGBalikwisha 90+2', 0.02 xG28%0.75 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.75 xG, 0 goals57%1.55 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.55 xG, 0 goals3%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals10%0.26 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals3%0.07 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCCeltic

0.21 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.92 16 shots, 0 goals
0.69 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.39 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.78 7 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
18 min (18%) · Dundee FC 0.32, Celtic 0.07 xG
Dundee FC ahead
81 min (82%) · Dundee FC 0.98, Celtic 2.64 xG

Line-ups

14322784812201519McCrackenAstleyC. RobertsonGrahamWrightDigbyHamiltonSamuelsCongreveMurrayWestleyYellow cardGoalYellow card86'57'75'Dundee FC 3-4-3Steven Pressley1562056384241131723SchmeichelRalstonCarter-VickersScalesTierneyNygrenMcGregorHatateYangIheanachoTounektiYellow cardOwn goalYellow card46'64'82'46'64'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 57' Hay for Murray
  • 75' F. Robertson for Westley
  • 86' Ingram for Wright

Celtic substitutes

  • 46' Forrest for Yang
  • 46' Kenny for Ralston
  • 64' McCowan for Tounekti
  • 64' Balikwisha for Nygren
  • 82' Engels for Hatate

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCracken GK900.000.0000.0011
AstleyCB900.000.0100.00117
C. RobertsonCB9010.270.1510.17114
GrahamCB900.010.0000.01211
WrightRWB860.000.0910.0936
DigbyCM900.000.0000.01110
Hamilton CM900.040.0210.04610
SamuelsLWB900.000.0000.0355
CongreveRW9010.040.8430.2572
MurrayST570.010.0010.0110
WestleyLW750.810.0210.0324
HayFW330.110.0000.0112
F. RobertsonMF150.000.000−0.0101
IngramDF40.000.0000.0001

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Schmeichel GK900.000.0000.0341
RalstonRB460.040.0210.0351
Carter-VickersCB900.270.0500.21199
Scales CB900.000.0800.281213
TierneyLB900.450.4140.46810
NygrenCM640.000.1510.0561
McGregorCM900.150.1310.1494
HatateCM820.250.5910.2271
YangRW460.250.0310.0121
IheanachoST900.660.2510.2610
TounektiLW640.000.2640.23121
ForrestFW440.240.0400.0451
KennyFW440.190.0410.0101
McCowanMF260.180.0200.0411
BalikwishaFW260.020.0200.0440
EngelsMF80.000.1930.0120

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

McCracken and Digby: 3 passesWright and Murray: 3 passesDigby and Congreve: 3 passesHamilton and Congreve: 3 passesHamilton and Murray: 3 passesWright and Digby: 4 passesAstley and Wright: 8 passesMcCracken: 8 completed passesGraham: 4 completed passesC. Robertson: 5 completed passesAstley: 7 completed passesWright: 12 completed passesSamuels: 3 completed passesDigby: 5 completed passesHamilton: 10 completed passesCongreve: 7 completed passesMurray: 4 completed passesWestley: 4 completed passes12234712848201519McCrackenGrahamC. RobertsonAstleyWrightSamuelsDigbyHamiltonCongreveMurrayWestleyStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Carter-Vickers and Yang: 5 passesHatate and Tounekti: 5 passesSchmeichel and Carter-Vickers: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and Nygren: 6 passesTierney and Nygren: 6 passesRalston and Nygren: 7 passesSchmeichel and Scales: 8 passesTierney and Hatate: 8 passesNygren and Tounekti: 8 passesNygren and Yang: 9 passesRalston and Yang: 10 passesMcGregor and Tounekti: 12 passesHatate and McGregor: 15 passesScales and McGregor: 16 passesScales and Tounekti: 16 passesTierney and McGregor: 17 passesTierney and Tounekti: 18 passesRalston and McGregor: 19 passesNygren and McGregor: 20 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 21 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 21 passesScales and Tierney: 24 passesScales and Carter-Vickers: 29 passesSchmeichel: 14 completed passesRalston: 31 completed passesScales: 54 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 51 completed passesTierney: 39 completed passesHatate: 19 completed passesNygren: 30 completed passesMcGregor: 65 completed passesYang: 14 completed passesIheanacho: 4 completed passesTounekti: 29 completed passes1565206341842131723SchmeichelRalstonScalesCarter-VickersTierneyHatateNygrenMcGregorYangIheanachoTounektiStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
WrightAstley6
AstleyWright4
HamiltonCongreve3
WrightDigby3
McCrackenDigby3

Celtic

FromToPasses
ScalesCarter-Vickers27
TierneyScales25
Carter-VickersMcGregor25
Carter-VickersScales25
ScalesTierney21

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

6+0.919+11.428+9.54−5.01−4.04−2.018+12.48+0.27−1.95−2.91−2.92−2.82−0.61−3.05−0.22−2.01−1.80−1.50−2.62−1.10−1.13+2.00−0.80−0.80−2.10−0.61+0.90−0.800.00−0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Celtic

1−2.33−1.48−5.33−1.14+0.11−5.74−2.07+1.114+7.16−1.63−2.00−4.12−0.46+0.66−1.31−4.41−3.11−3.12−1.42−4.90−1.93+0.60−2.111+8.30−2.90−1.71+0.31+0.30−0.42+1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.020.020.010.010.040.050.050.020.020.03−0.030.070.32LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.010.030.010.060.090.040.030.030.040.190.120.07−0.05−0.020.16−0.010.170.110.120.110.220.240.27LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackDundee FC1.04 → 1.04Celtic2.35 → 2.31Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.74 → 1.73Celtic0.77 → 0.79

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
Top six2%7%+5
11th28%24%−4
Bottom35%22%−13
Celtic
Title95%91%−4
Livingston
11th27%23%−4
Bottom39%46%+7
Hearts
Title4%7%+3

From the forecast before the match (19 October 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCCeltic
Expected goals0.692.72
Win7%80%
Expected Points0.342.53
Clean sheet7%50%

Dundee FC 7%Draw 14%Celtic 80%

Most likely score 0–2, 12%. Both sides score 47%.

Celtic goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+4%9%8%4%3%2%7%8%8%5%3%2%2%3%3%2%1%12%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 19 October 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawCeltic win
Dundee FC
Top six2%7%3%2%
11th28%24%27%29%
Bottom35%22%34%36%
Celtic
Title95%91%93%96%
Livingston
11th27%23%27%27%
Bottom39%46%38%38%
Hearts
Title4%7%5%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. L0–45 OctAberdeen (A)xG 0.31–2.80
  2. L0–127 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.62–0.74
  3. W3–220 SepLivingston (H)xG 2.74–1.51
  4. D1–113 SepMotherwell (H)xG 0.82–2.28
  5. L0–231 AugDundee United (H)xG 0.12–0.91
  6. D0–023 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 0.26–1.11

Celtic

  1. W3–25 OctMotherwell (H)xG 2.62–1.39
  2. D0–027 SepHibernian (H)xG 2.80–0.70
  3. W2–114 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 2.83–1.66
  4. D0–031 AugRangers (A)xG 0.19–0.15
  5. W3–023 AugLivingston (H)xG 3.02–0.24
  6. W2–010 AugAberdeen (A)xG 1.17–0.55

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCCeltic
Position11th2nd
Played87
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠3–⁠45–⁠2–⁠0
Points6 (0.75 per game)17 (2.43 per game)
Expected Points per game0.702.18
Goals6–⁠1311–⁠3
xG per game0.67–⁠1.592.01–⁠0.70
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 0.95–⁠1.532.50, 2.46–⁠0.64
Away: points, xG per game0.50, 0.38–⁠1.662.33, 1.40–⁠0.79
ManagerSteven Pressley (8)Brendan Rodgers (83)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackDundee FC1.04, 11thCeltic2.35, 1stDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.74, 12thCeltic0.77, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctDundee FC attack: 1.04Celtic attack: 2.352.351.04CelticDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctDundee FC defence: 1.74Celtic defence: 0.771.740.77

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−47%+5%+104%−69%
Counter-attacks−83%+22%+2%−91%
Set pieces−52%+6%−40%−3%
Penalties−29%+112%+61%−19%
Headers−41%−2%+55%−9%
Left side−66%+23%+47%−77%
Centre−50%−6%+52%−32%
Right side−47%+22%+35%−73%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdCeltic concededLeft side−66%−73%Centre−50%−32%Right side−47%−77%Open play−47%−69%Counter-attacks−83%−91%Set pieces−52%−3%Headers−41%−9%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee FC concededLeft side+47%+22%Centre+52%−6%Right side+35%+23%Open play+104%+5%Counter-attacks+2%+22%Set pieces−40%+6%Headers+55%−2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCCeltic

0.67xG2.01
1.59xG against0.70
39%Possession71%
7.2Shots16.3
14.4Shots against5.9
2.4Shots on target6.0
0.9Big chances4.0
11.5Touches in the opposition box37.1
346Passes686
77%Pass accuracy89%
3.8Corners7.6
33%Field tilt81%
26.5Final-third entries72.9
5.1Box entries22.3
25.2Passes per defensive action8.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.771.56
Ahead101.052.64
Behind340.421.34

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level671.950.59
Ahead212.041.13
Behind23.880.00

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.020.120–1
16–300.040.210–3
31–450.160.382–4
46–600.140.202–0
61–750.140.251–2
76–900.170.431–3

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.010–0
16–300.310.002–0
31–450.390.190–1
46–600.320.172–1
61–750.260.043–0
76–900.590.284–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMcCracken 8Wright 6Astley 1Ingram 1Astley 7C. Robert… 8C. RobertsonDhanda 1Yogane 1Graham 7Samuels 6Graham 1Yogane 1Jones 4Westley 3Congreve 3F. Robertson 7Digby 2Hamilton 5Westley 4Hay 3Murray 5Dhanda 3Acquah 15-3-2 in 3 of 8 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 7Ralston 4Johnston 2Donovan 1Carter-Vickers 6Murray 1Scales 7Saracchi 3Tierney 3Inamura 1McCowan 3Engels 3Nygren 3McGregor 6Bernardo 1Hatate 5Maeda 2Nygren 2Tounekti 1Maeda 2Iheanacho 2Idah 2Maeda 2Tounekti 2Balikwisha 24-3-3 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 February 2025Celtic6–0Dundee FCxG 2.64–0.48
14 January 2025Dundee FC3–3CelticxG 0.66–2.12
30 October 2024Celtic2–0Dundee FCxG 4.62–0.16
28 April 2024Dundee FC1–2CelticxG 1.10–1.53
28 February 2024Celtic7–1Dundee FCxG 2.59–0.45
26 December 2023Dundee FC0–3CelticxG 0.13–2.79

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 0, Celtic won 9, and 1 was a draw. Goals 9–39 and xG 0.51–2.96 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Westley7465100.120.06
F. Robertson7623100.030.07
Wright6532000.010.07
Graham8696100.050.03

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nygren5493410.520.43
Maeda6536220.360.19
McGregor6572000.080.23
Scales7630000.040.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.