Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Celtic 2–0 Dundee FC

Wednesday 30 October 2024, 19:45 · Celtic Park · Round 10 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Ross Hardie · Attendance 58,751

Celtic Johnston 60', Engels 66' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticDundee FC
Goals20
xG4.620.16
Non-penalty xG3.830.16
Expected Points2.990.01

Celtic >99%Draw <1%Dundee FC <1%

Most likely score 6+–0, 23%. Final score 2–0, 5%.

Dundee FC goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+1%5%14%2%4%4%4%21%20%23%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

02460153045607590HTMaeda on for Palma, Hatate on for Bernardo, and Johnston on for Ralston, 57'Forrest on for Yang, 62'Scales on for Carter-Vickers, 76'Houlden on for Murray, 68'Braybrooke on for Cameron, 86'Johnston 60'Engels 66' (pen)Celtic 4.62Dundee FC 0.1602460153045607590HTMaeda on for Palma, Hatate on for Bernardo, and Johnston on for Ralston, 57'Forrest on for Yang, 62'Scales on for Carter-Vickers, 76'Houlden on for Murray, 68'Braybrooke on for Cameron, 86'Johnston 60'Engels 66' (pen)4.620.16CelticDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticDundee FC

4.62 +2.16xG0.16 −1.13
3.83Non-penalty xG0.16
2.65 −0.20xG on target0.32 −1.30
24 +2Shots3 −9
5 −3.0Shots on target1 −3.4
7 +2.2Big chances0 −1.4
41 0Touches in the opposition box10 −12
80% +6Possession20% −30
784 +62Passes194 −147
92% +3Pass accuracy62% −7
92% +9Field tilt8% −46
121 +47Final-third entries9 −28
25 +2Box entries3 −8
5.9 −2.7Passes per defensive action30.9 +18.5
7 −2.7Corners2 −3.0
13 −3Tackles16 −3
3 −5.0Interceptions7 −2.2
8 −8Clearances25 −3
1 −0.9Saves3 +0.4
12 +2.6Fouls7 −3.3
1 −0.4Offsides1 −0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Furuhashi 7', 0.67 xGFuruhashi 4', 0.65 xGPalma 50', 0.53 xGYang 35', 0.39 xGMaeda 90+1', 0.25 xGFuruhashi 50', 0.21 xGFuruhashi 50', 0.16 xGFuruhashi 31', 0.15 xGEngels 26', 0.11 xGMcCowan 90+3', 0.07 xGMcCowan 31', 0.05 xGPalma 23', 0.03 xGEngels 24', 0.03 xGMcCowan 32', 0.03 xGMcCowan 44', 0.03 xGFuruhashi 47', 0.03 xGPalma 49', 0.03 xGMcCowan 52', 0.03 xGEngels 8', 0.02 xGPalma 15', 0.02 xGBernardo 43', 0.02 xGEngels 78', 0.02 xGJohnston 60', 0.30 xG, goal38%1.47 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 1.47 xG, 1 goal52%2.00 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 2.00 xG, 0 goals3%0.11 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals6%0.23 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Portales 1', 0.08 xGCameron 80', 0.05 xGHoulden 79', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals50%0.08 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals31%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals19%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticDundee FC

3.83 23 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.05 1 shot, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.03 1 shot, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.08 1 shot, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
60 min (65%) · Celtic 3.49, Dundee FC 0.08 xG
Celtic ahead
33 min (35%) · Celtic 1.13, Dundee FC 0.08 xG

Line-ups

15620632728141387SchmeichelRalstonCarter-VickersTrustyTaylorEngelsBernardoMcCowanYangFuruhashiPalmaYellow cardGoal57'76'57'62'57'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers12429321810281915McCrackenIngramAstleyPortalesC. RobertsonLarkecheMulliganCameronSyllaF. RobertsonMurrayYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card86'68'Dundee FC 5-4-1Tony Docherty

Celtic substitutes

  • 57' Johnston for Ralston · goal 60'
  • 57' Hatate for Bernardo
  • 57' Maeda for Palma
  • 62' Forrest for Yang
  • 76' Scales for Carter-Vickers

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 68' Houlden for Murray
  • 86' Braybrooke for Cameron

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchmeichelGK900.000.0000.0200
RalstonRB570.000.3710.19162
Carter-VickersCB760.000.0400.19110
TrustyCB900.000.0500.28104
Taylor LB900.000.1220.0852
EngelsCM9010.970.5640.1422
BernardoCM570.020.071−0.0104
McCowanCM900.210.101−0.1424
YangRW620.390.2120.2260
FuruhashiST901.870.0410.1010
PalmaLW570.610.5740.27101
JohnstonDF3310.300.6310.1941
HatateMF330.000.0200.0412
MaedaFW330.250.020−0.0112
ForrestFW280.000.0400.0760
ScalesDF140.000.0100.0631

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCracken GK900.000.0000.0120
IngramRWB900.000.0100.0028
AstleyCB900.000.0000.0226
Portales CB900.080.0000.00110
C. RobertsonCB900.000.0310.0525
LarkecheLWB900.000.0000.0255
Mulligan RM900.000.0000.0112
CameronCM860.050.010−0.0111
Sylla CM900.000.0110.00211
F. RobertsonLM900.000.0100.0233
MurrayST680.000.351−0.0104
HouldenFW220.030.0000.0000
BraybrookeMF40.000.0100.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Taylor and McCowan: 5 passesBernardo and McCowan: 6 passesBernardo and Yang: 6 passesTrusty and Engels: 7 passesBernardo and Palma: 7 passesRalston and Trusty: 8 passesCarter-Vickers and Bernardo: 8 passesCarter-Vickers and McCowan: 8 passesCarter-Vickers and Yang: 8 passesEngels and Bernardo: 8 passesSchmeichel and Trusty: 9 passesRalston and Taylor: 9 passesSchmeichel and Carter-Vickers: 10 passesRalston and Palma: 12 passesMcCowan and Yang: 12 passesRalston and Bernardo: 19 passesTrusty and Palma: 19 passesTaylor and Bernardo: 19 passesEngels and Palma: 20 passesTaylor and Engels: 21 passesRalston and McCowan: 29 passesRalston and Yang: 35 passesTaylor and Palma: 41 passesTrusty and Carter-Vickers: 42 passesTrusty and Taylor: 45 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 50 passesSchmeichel: 14 completed passesRalston: 83 completed passesTrusty: 72 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 70 completed passesTaylor: 72 completed passesEngels: 31 completed passesBernardo: 41 completed passesMcCowan: 34 completed passesYang: 35 completed passesFuruhashi: 3 completed passesPalma: 49 completed passes15662032728141387SchmeichelRalstonTrustyCarter-VickersTaylorEngelsBernardoMcCowanYangFuruhashiPalmaStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Dundee FC

Ingram and Astley: 3 passesC. Robertson and Larkeche: 3 passesC. Robertson and Sylla: 3 passesC. Robertson and Cameron: 3 passesPortales and Cameron: 3 passesMulligan and F. Robertson: 3 passesCameron and Murray: 3 passesMcCracken and Portales: 4 passesC. Robertson and Portales: 4 passesLarkeche and F. Robertson: 4 passesSylla and F. Robertson: 5 passesC. Robertson and F. Robertson: 6 passesCameron and F. Robertson: 6 passesMcCracken: 7 completed passesIngram: 2 completed passesC. Robertson: 11 completed passesAstley: 7 completed passesPortales: 10 completed passesLarkeche: 4 completed passesMulligan: 6 completed passesSylla: 8 completed passesCameron: 9 completed passesF. Robertson: 14 completed passesMurray: 6 completed passes12342921828101915McCrackenIngramC. RobertsonAstleyPortalesLarkecheMulliganSyllaCameronF. RobertsonMurrayStarters until 68' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
TrustyTaylor33
TaylorTrusty31
Carter-VickersRalston30
Carter-VickersTrusty27
TaylorPalma26

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
C. RobertsonF. Robertson6
McCrackenIngram5
F. RobertsonC. Robertson5
F. RobertsonCameron5
PortalesC. Robertson5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

1−1.92−0.41−3.42−0.32−3.36+0.73−2.04−3.74−3.43−1.43−0.63+0.19+4.66−0.32−1.94−0.71−0.85+2.02−2.61−1.76+4.22+0.36+2.90−2.43+1.42+1.33+2.00−1.23+1.95−4.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 9 matches

Dundee FC

3−1.27+0.629+11.39+2.66+2.42−4.89+2.29+3.95−2.27−0.71−6.02−2.11−1.94−0.81−3.04+0.92−1.31−1.62−0.41−4.40−3.10−1.91+0.10−1.920.00−1.60−0.40−0.70−0.41+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 9 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.040.010.020.040.080.050.050.030.080.140.070.060.170.04−0.060.080.010.10−0.010.040.200.230.20LessMore

Dundee FC

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01−0.010.020.010.01−0.010.01−0.040.01−0.010.05LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackCeltic2.43 → 2.46Dundee FC1.11 → 1.08Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.73 → 0.72Dundee FC1.58 → 1.61

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title93%93%0
Dundee FC
Top six14%13%−1
11th17%18%+1
Bottom23%23%0
Rangers
Title7%7%0
St. Mirren
Top six19%19%0
11th16%16%0
Bottom16%15%−1

From the forecast before the match (30 October 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticDundee FC
Expected goals3.370.55
Win89%3%
Expected Points2.750.17
Clean sheet58%3%

Celtic 89%Draw 8%Dundee FC 3%

Most likely score 3–0, 13%. Both sides score 41%.

Dundee FC goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+2%7%4%1%6%2%7%2%6%2%7%4%1%7%4%1%11%13%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 October 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawDundee FC win
Celtic
Title93%93%89%84%
Dundee FC
Top six14%13%20%30%
11th17%18%16%15%
Bottom23%23%19%11%
Rangers
Title7%7%11%16%
St. Mirren
Top six19%19%21%15%
11th16%16%15%15%
Bottom16%15%18%23%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W3–027 OctMotherwell (A)xG 1.45–0.71
  2. D2–219 OctAberdeen (H)xG 3.21–1.10
  3. W2–16 OctRoss County (A)xG 1.51–0.97
  4. W6–028 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 3.38–0.32
  5. W2–014 SepHearts (H)xG 2.88–0.65
  6. W3–01 SepRangers (H)xG 1.55–1.14

Dundee FC

  1. L1–226 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.43–2.17
  2. W1–019 OctMotherwell (A)xG 0.84–0.56
  3. L2–35 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 0.62–2.72
  4. L1–228 SepAberdeen (H)xG 1.50–0.62
  5. L0–214 SepRoss County (A)xG 0.66–1.43
  6. D2–231 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.76–1.34

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticDundee FC
Position1st8th
Played99
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠1–⁠02–⁠3–⁠4
Points25 (2.78 per game)9 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game2.461.24
Goals27–⁠314–⁠16
xG per game2.46–⁠0.591.29–⁠1.49
Home: points, xG per game2.50, 2.69–⁠0.770.80, 1.37–⁠1.67
Away: points, xG per game3.00, 2.28–⁠0.451.25, 1.19–⁠1.27
ManagerBrendan Rodgers (47)Tony Docherty (47)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackCeltic2.43, 1stDundee FC1.11, 9thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.73, 1stDundee FC1.58, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctCeltic attack: 2.43Dundee FC attack: 1.112.431.11Dundee FCCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctCeltic defence: 0.73Dundee FC defence: 1.581.580.73

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+131%−50%−13%−7%
Counter-attacks+124%−89%+77%+50%
Set pieces−9%−70%−58%+46%
Penalties−17%−17%+149%−17%
Headers−3%−69%−4%+16%
Left side+138%−55%−14%−9%
Centre+57%−58%−17%+13%
Right side+121%−66%−22%+37%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee FC concededLeft side+138%+37%Centre+57%+13%Right side+121%−9%Open play+131%−7%Counter-attacks+124%+50%Set pieces−9%+46%Headers−3%+16%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdCeltic concededLeft side−14%−66%Centre−17%−58%Right side−22%−55%Open play−13%−50%Counter-attacks+77%−89%Set pieces−58%−70%Headers−4%−69%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticDundee FC

2.46xG1.29
0.59xG against1.49
74%Possession50%
22.1Shots11.6
6.8Shots against14.2
8.0Shots on target4.4
4.8Big chances1.4
41.4Touches in the opposition box22.0
722Passes341
88%Pass accuracy70%
9.7Corners5.0
83%Field tilt54%
74.0Final-third entries37.3
22.6Box entries10.9
8.6Passes per defensive action12.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level293.080.70
Ahead572.210.56
Behind41.390.19

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level311.361.92
Ahead300.781.46
Behind291.741.07

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.350.072–0
16–300.370.086–0
31–450.540.146–1
46–600.450.124–2
61–750.280.053–0
76–900.480.136–0

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.182–3
16–300.220.154–2
31–450.290.274–4
46–600.150.191–0
61–750.130.170–3
76–900.300.543–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 9Johnston 9Carter-Vickers 5Trusty 4Scales 9Taylor 6Valle 3Bernardo 4Engels 4O'Riley 2McGregor 8Hatate 8Kühn 7Forrest 2Furuhashi 7Idah 2Maeda 7Forrest 24-3-3 in 8 of 9 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (8), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTMcCracken 7Carson 2C. Robertson 4Houlden 3Astley 2Portales 7McGhee 3Koumetio 7Graham 1Ingram 7Tiffoney 1McGhee 1Cameron 9Tiffoney 2Mulligan 1Sylla 7F. Robert… 2F. RobertsonMcCowan 3Braybrooke 2Fraser 1Larkeche 9Main 4Sylla 1Murray 9Tiffoney 3Houlden 13-5-2 in 4 of 9 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (4), 4-3-3 (3), 5-3-2 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
28 April 2024Dundee FC1–2CelticxG 1.10–1.53
28 February 2024Celtic7–1Dundee FCxG 2.59–0.45
26 December 2023Dundee FC0–3CelticxG 0.13–2.79
16 September 2023Celtic3–0Dundee FCxG 3.17–0.81
20 February 2022Celtic3–2Dundee FCxG 2.64–0.36
7 November 2021Dundee FC2–4CelticxG 0.66–1.95

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 7, Dundee FC won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 28–6 and xG 2.88–0.54 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi7588430.870.06
Kühn7580350.580.32
Hatate8628300.320.21
Johnston9774320.100.35

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murray9765300.360.05
Cameron9766130.090.17
Tiffoney6543200.170.06
Larkeche9725200.100.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.