Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Dundee FC 3–3 Celtic

Tuesday 14 January 2025, 20:00 · The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park · Round 17 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 8,816

Dundee FC Adewumi 41', Carter-Vickers 54' (og), Donnelly 78'

Celtic McCowan 5', Yang 53', Engels 90+3' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCCeltic
Goals33
xG0.662.12
Non-penalty xG0.661.33
Expected Points0.372.46

Dundee FC 6%Draw 17%Celtic 76%

Most likely score 0–2, 18%. Final score 3–3, 0%.

Celtic goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+2%12%12%4%2%10%8%3%3%4%3%18%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTHoulden on for Murray, 82'Cameron on for F. Robertson and Tiffoney on for Garza, 87'Hatate on for McCowan, Engels on for Bernardo, and Kühn on for Idah, 61'Palma on for Taylor and Valle on for Yang, 71'Adewumi 41'Carter-Vickers 54' (og)Donnelly 78'McCowan 5'Yang 53'Engels 90+3' (pen)Celtic 2.12Dundee FC 0.6601230153045607590HTHoulden on for Murray, 82'Cameron on for F. Robertson and Tiffoney on for Garza, 87'Hatate on for McCowan, Engels on for Bernardo, and Kühn on for Idah, 61'Palma on for Taylor and Valle on for Yang, 71'Adewumi 41'Carter-Vickers 54' (og)Donnelly 78'McCowan 5'Yang 53'Engels 90+3' (pen)2.120.66Dundee FCCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCCeltic

0.66 −0.48xG2.12 −0.57
0.66Non-penalty xG1.33
1.18 −0.22xG on target2.05 −0.79
10 −1Shots12 −8
4 +0.2Shots on target5 −2.4
1 −0.5Big chances5 +0.3
15 −6Touches in the opposition box32 −8
21% −25Possession79% +5
172 −160Passes640 −88
49% −20Pass accuracy87% −2
9% −35Field tilt91% +9
9 −25Final-third entries72 −6
6 −4Box entries22 0
27.2 +13.1Passes per defensive action6.0 −3.2
2 −2.9Corners4 −5.3
12 −6Tackles15 0
11 +3.1Interceptions6 +0.4
32 −1Clearances25 +5
2 −1.0Saves2 −0.4
11 +1.3Fouls10 +0.6
1 −0.5Offsides3 +1.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Murray 3', 0.15 xGGarza 63', 0.11 xGIngram 59', 0.05 xGF. Robertson 60', 0.05 xGSylla 52', 0.04 xGSylla 90+1', 0.04 xGAdewumi 77', 0.03 xGAdewumi 57', 0.02 xGAdewumi 41', 0.10 xG, goalDonnelly 78', 0.07 xG, goal33%0.22 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.22 xG, 1 goal23%0.15 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 1 goal15%0.10 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals29%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Bernardo 51', 0.38 xGBernardo 24', 0.25 xGIdah 8', 0.12 xGMcCowan 32', 0.10 xGTaylor 64', 0.07 xGEngels 84', 0.03 xGEngels 86', 0.03 xGKühn 90+1', 0.03 xGValle 81', 0.02 xGYang 53', 0.25 xG, goalMcCowan 5', 0.06 xG, goal19%0.25 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.25 xG, 1 goal63%0.84 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.84 xG, 0 goals7%0.09 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 1 goal10%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCCeltic

0.17 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.96 10 shots, 2 goals
0.10 1 shot, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.38 1 shot, 0 goals
0.39 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
42 min (45%) · Dundee FC 0.52, Celtic 0.76 xG
Dundee FC ahead
15 min (16%) · Dundee FC 0.04, Celtic 0.89 xG
Celtic ahead
37 min (39%) · Dundee FC 0.10, Celtic 0.47 xG

Line-ups

314350828142191115CarsonAstleyC. RobertsonDonnellyMulliganSyllaGarzaIngramF. RobertsonAdewumiMurrayGoalYellow cardGoalYellow card87'87'82'Dundee FC 3-4-2-1Tony Docherty1220638144228139SchmeichelJohnstonCarter-VickersTrustyTaylorFuruhashiMcCowanMcGregorBernardoYangIdahOwn goalGoalYellow cardGoal71'61'61'71'61'Celtic 4-5-1Brendan Rodgers

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 82' Houlden for Murray
  • 87' Cameron for F. Robertson
  • 87' Tiffoney for Garza

Celtic substitutes

  • 61' Engels for Bernardo · goal 90+3' (pen)
  • 61' Hatate for McCowan
  • 61' Kühn for Idah
  • 71' Valle for Yang
  • 71' Palma for Taylor

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0331
AstleyCB900.000.0000.0128
C. RobertsonCB900.000.0700.1008
DonnellyCB9010.070.0010.0009
MulliganRWB900.000.0010.0145
SyllaCM900.070.0010.0423
GarzaCM870.110.010−0.0116
Ingram LWB900.050.000−0.0109
F. RobertsonAM8720.050.1820.0322
AdewumiAM9010.150.0000.0922
Murray ST820.150.0000.1722
HouldenFW80.000.001−0.0100
CameronMF30.000.0000.0100
TiffoneyFW30.000.0000.0001

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchmeichelGK900.000.0000.0100
JohnstonRB900.000.3620.31714
Carter-VickersCB900.000.0200.141310
TrustyCB900.000.0200.18156
TaylorLB7110.070.4020.52171
FuruhashiRM900.000.4440.2851
McCowanCM6110.160.050−0.0921
McGregorCM900.000.0200.0135
Bernardo CM610.630.040−0.0321
YangLM7110.250.050−0.1270
IdahST610.120.010−0.0600
EngelsMF2910.850.021−0.0102
HatateMF290.000.010−0.0122
KühnFW290.030.1110.1440
ValleDF190.020.0300.0512
PalmaFW190.000.0710.2131

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

Carson and C. Robertson: 3 passesC. Robertson and Astley: 3 passesC. Robertson and Donnelly: 3 passesDonnelly and F. Robertson: 3 passesDonnelly and Murray: 3 passesSylla and Garza: 3 passesCarson and Murray: 4 passesAstley and Mulligan: 4 passesDonnelly and Ingram: 4 passesDonnelly and Sylla: 4 passesMulligan and Sylla: 4 passesGarza and F. Robertson: 4 passesGarza and Murray: 4 passesMulligan and Murray: 6 passesMulligan and Garza: 8 passesCarson: 7 completed passesC. Robertson: 6 completed passesAstley: 7 completed passesDonnelly: 9 completed passesMulligan: 12 completed passesIngram: 4 completed passesSylla: 11 completed passesGarza: 14 completed passesAdewumi: 0 completed passesF. Robertson: 10 completed passesMurray: 6 completed passes313450822814111915CarsonC. RobertsonAstleyDonnellyMulliganIngramSyllaGarzaAdewumiF. RobertsonMurrayStarters until 82' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Furuhashi and Idah: 5 passesTrusty and McGregor: 6 passesTrusty and Bernardo: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and Bernardo: 6 passesTrusty and McCowan: 7 passesCarter-Vickers and Taylor: 7 passesTaylor and McGregor: 7 passesTaylor and McCowan: 7 passesBernardo and McCowan: 7 passesBernardo and Yang: 7 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 8 passesCarter-Vickers and Furuhashi: 8 passesFuruhashi and McCowan: 9 passesMcGregor and McCowan: 10 passesSchmeichel and Trusty: 11 passesJohnston and McGregor: 11 passesTrusty and Yang: 11 passesSchmeichel and Carter-Vickers: 18 passesJohnston and Furuhashi: 18 passesJohnston and McCowan: 20 passesCarter-Vickers and McCowan: 21 passesTaylor and Bernardo: 29 passesTrusty and Carter-Vickers: 30 passesJohnston and Carter-Vickers: 32 passesTaylor and Yang: 36 passesTrusty and Taylor: 46 passesSchmeichel: 24 completed passesJohnston: 51 completed passesTrusty: 63 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 68 completed passesTaylor: 73 completed passesMcGregor: 29 completed passesFuruhashi: 20 completed passesBernardo: 31 completed passesMcCowan: 43 completed passesYang: 32 completed passesIdah: 7 completed passes1262034282814139SchmeichelJohnstonTrustyCarter-VickersTaylorMcGregorFuruhashiBernardoMcCowanYangIdahStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
MulliganGarza7
SyllaDonnelly4
CarsonMurray4
C. RobertsonCarson4
SyllaMulligan3

Celtic

FromToPasses
TrustyTaylor33
TaylorYang27
Carter-VickersJohnston24
TrustyCarter-Vickers22
Carter-VickersTrusty19

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

8+3.014+7.79+0.72−2.46−0.35−2.711+4.48+0.68−0.660.04−0.24+0.83−1.72−2.94−0.11−2.50−2.02−0.25+0.93+0.52+0.60−0.61−0.52−0.20−1.10−0.41+0.41+0.73+2.56−12.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 22 matches

Celtic

13+9.95+2.03−6.72−3.37+3.89+4.210+4.92−3.05−1.57+0.36+2.33−0.73+0.33−2.62−3.72−1.24+0.23+1.16+2.33−1.40−2.91−1.10−1.44+1.17+4.90−1.40−0.64+3.10−0.90−1.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 22 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.010.010.010.010.01−0.010.020.01−0.01−0.010.010.050.060.030.25LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.010.020.040.010.040.020.010.070.010.110.030.030.100.020.110.090.160.100.070.07−0.33−0.020.240.310.24LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackDundee FC1.09 → 1.09Celtic2.38 → 2.38Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.57 → 1.59Celtic0.73 → 0.74

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
Top six14%18%+4
11th22%19%−3
Bottom4%3%−1
Celtic
Title>99%99%−1
St. Mirren
Top six18%19%+1
11th16%16%0
Kilmarnock
Top six19%19%0
11th9%9%0

From the forecast before the match (14 January 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCCeltic
Expected goals0.722.52
Win8%76%
Expected Points0.402.44
Clean sheet8%49%

Dundee FC 8%Draw 16%Celtic 76%

Most likely score 0–2, 13%. Both sides score 47%.

Celtic goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+4%7%3%2%2%7%9%8%5%2%2%1%3%3%3%2%10%13%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 14 January 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawCeltic win
Dundee FC
Top six14%28%18%12%
11th22%11%19%24%
Bottom4%1%3%4%
Celtic
Title>99%99%99%>99%
St. Mirren
Top six18%17%19%18%
11th16%20%16%15%
Kilmarnock
Top six19%15%19%19%
11th9%13%9%9%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. D1–19 JanRangers (H)xG 1.02–0.65
  2. W3–15 JanSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.49–2.00
  3. L1–22 JanDundee United (H)xG 1.90–2.48
  4. W2–129 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.00–1.02
  5. L0–326 DecRoss County (H)xG 0.30–2.03
  6. L0–121 DecRangers (A)xG 0.11–3.47

Celtic

  1. W4–111 JanRoss County (A)xG 4.20–0.97
  2. W2–08 JanDundee United (H)xG 1.74–0.16
  3. W3–05 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.60–1.08
  4. L0–32 JanRangers (A)xG 0.13–2.27
  5. W4–029 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 4.68–0.06
  6. W4–026 DecMotherwell (H)xG 3.55–0.23

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCCeltic
Position8th1st
Played2222
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠5–⁠1019–⁠2–⁠1
Points26 (1.18 per game)59 (2.68 per game)
Expected Points per game1.092.38
Goals34–⁠3861–⁠8
xG per game1.14–⁠1.742.69–⁠0.76
Home: points, xG per game1.27, 1.31–⁠1.572.82, 3.17–⁠0.66
Away: points, xG per game1.09, 0.97–⁠1.912.55, 2.21–⁠0.87
ManagerTony Docherty (60)Brendan Rodgers (60)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackDundee FC1.09, 9thCeltic2.38, 1stDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.57, 11thCeltic0.73, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanDundee FC attack: 1.09Celtic attack: 2.382.381.09CelticDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanDundee FC defence: 1.57Celtic defence: 0.731.570.73

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−24%+24%+127%−41%
Counter-attacks+6%+87%+87%−15%
Set pieces−39%+12%+26%−68%
Penalties+32%−21%+32%−47%
Headers−13%+23%+20%−69%
Left side−5%+23%+89%−28%
Centre−32%+20%+102%−51%
Right side−30%+45%+81%−60%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdCeltic concededLeft side−5%−60%Centre−32%−51%Right side−30%−28%Open play−24%−41%Counter-attacks+6%−15%Set pieces−39%−68%Headers−13%−69%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee FC concededLeft side+89%+45%Centre+102%+20%Right side+81%+23%Open play+127%+24%Counter-attacks+87%+87%Set pieces+26%+12%Headers+20%+23%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCCeltic

1.14xG2.69
1.74xG against0.76
46%Possession74%
10.8Shots19.9
16.8Shots against7.3
3.8Shots on target7.4
1.5Big chances4.7
21.1Touches in the opposition box39.6
332Passes728
68%Pass accuracy89%
4.9Corners9.3
45%Field tilt82%
33.8Final-third entries78.5
10.5Box entries22.3
14.1Passes per defensive action9.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.201.83
Ahead240.981.61
Behind261.211.74

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level372.660.66
Ahead482.960.75
Behind50.471.58

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.220.236–4
16–300.180.217–6
31–450.260.277–8
46–600.110.283–4
61–750.170.276–8
76–900.200.485–8

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.360.104–1
16–300.310.129–0
31–450.520.1114–1
46–600.540.1510–3
61–750.410.139–1
76–900.550.1515–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTMcCracken 13Carson 9Astley 14Houlden 4Portales 15Robertson 11Koumetio 14McGhee 4Graham 3Ingram 9Mulligan 9McGhee 3Tiffoney 5Mulligan 4F. Robert… 3F. RobertsonSylla 19Adewumi 4Garza 1Cameron 20McGhee 4McCowan 3Larkeche 12F. Robert… 5F. RobertsonAdewumi 1Murray 20Main 4Sylla 1Houlden 9Tiffoney 5Adewumi 43-5-2 in 7 of 22 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (7), 3-4-2-1 (4), 4-3-3 (4), 5-3-2 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 22Johnston 19Ralston 3Carter-Vickers 15Trusty 12Welsh 1Scales 16Taylor 15Valle 7Engels 13Bernardo 10McCowan 7McGregor 19Hatate 15Kühn 14Yang 4Forrest 3Furuhashi 13Idah 9Maeda 17Yang 2Forrest 24-3-3 in 20 of 22 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (20), 4-1-2-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 October 2024Celtic2–0Dundee FCxG 4.62–0.16
28 April 2024Dundee FC1–2CelticxG 1.10–1.53
28 February 2024Celtic7–1Dundee FCxG 2.59–0.45
26 December 2023Dundee FC0–3CelticxG 0.13–2.79
16 September 2023Celtic3–0Dundee FCxG 3.17–0.81
20 February 2022Celtic3–2Dundee FCxG 2.64–0.36

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 0, Celtic won 8, and 0 were drawn. Goals 6–30 and xG 0.49–3.10 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murray201,717820.320.09
Houlden131,174410.340.04
Adewumi9801310.240.06
Cameron211,798540.100.17

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi141,2431031.000.06
Idah9823500.750.21
Engels131,068530.520.40
Kühn141,121960.570.34

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.