Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Aberdeen 2–0 Hibernian

Saturday 11 April 2026, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 33 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 18,323

Aberdeen Nisbet 17' (pen), 75'

Hibernian Hanley sent off 16'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenHibernian
Goals20
xG1.930.10
Non-penalty xG1.140.10
Expected Points2.790.12

Aberdeen 90%Draw 10%Hibernian 1%

Most likely score 2–0, 31%. Final score 2–0, 31%.

Hibernian goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+6%3%3%17%2%6%1%28%31%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTHanley (Hibernian), red card 16'Keskinen on for Olusanya and Shinnie on for Cameron, 71'Palaversa on for Armstrong, 80'Kjartansson on for Aremu and Bwomono on for Gyamfi, 85'Bushiri on for Iredale, 18'Suto on for Scarlett, 46'Newell on for Barlaser, Boyle on for Chaiwa, and Andrews on for McGrath, 80'Nisbet 17' (pen)Nisbet 75'Aberdeen 1.93Hibernian 0.1001230153045607590HTHanley (Hibernian), red card 16'Keskinen on for Olusanya and Shinnie on for Cameron, 71'Palaversa on for Armstrong, 80'Kjartansson on for Aremu and Bwomono on for Gyamfi, 85'Bushiri on for Iredale, 18'Suto on for Scarlett, 46'Newell on for Barlaser, Boyle on for Chaiwa, and Andrews on for McGrath, 80'Nisbet 17' (pen)Nisbet 75'1.930.10AberdeenHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenHibernian

1.93 +0.74xG0.10 −1.55
1.14Non-penalty xG0.10
1.05 +0.02xG on target0.37 −1.14
17 +6Shots4 −9
5 +1.6Shots on target1 −3.9
2 +0.2Big chances0 −2.3
36 +15Touches in the opposition box9 −16
52% +4Possession48% −1
421 +29Passes387 −30
80% +4Pass accuracy78% −2
67% +24Field tilt33% −16
34 −1Final-third entries21 −18
18 +7Box entries2 −10
12.2 −2Passes per defensive action25.7 +9
3 −1.8Corners3 −2.3
12 −4Tackles9 −3
10 +1.9Interceptions4 −4.4
22 −10Clearances35 +6
1 −2.4Saves3 +0.3
18 +4Fouls9 −2
3 +1.2Offsides4 +2.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Jensen 45+1', 0.21 xGOlusanya 47', 0.14 xGOlusanya 48', 0.10 xGKeskinen 88', 0.09 xGGyamfi 45', 0.08 xGNisbet 44', 0.06 xGGyamfi 62', 0.06 xGArmstrong 4', 0.05 xGArmstrong 50', 0.05 xGKeskinen 88', 0.05 xGArmstrong 21', 0.04 xGCameron 39', 0.04 xGAremu 67', 0.04 xGCameron 35', 0.03 xGCameron 2', 0.02 xGNisbet 75', 0.08 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals51%0.58 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.58 xG, 1 goal30%0.34 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.34 xG, 0 goals19%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Barlaser 26', 0.04 xGMcGrath 58', 0.03 xGNewell 81', 0.03 xGObita 43', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals30%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals70%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenHibernian

0.81 11 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.03 1 shot, 0 goals
0.27 3 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.06 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.07 3 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
17 min (18%) · Aberdeen 0.86, Hibernian 0.00 xG
Aberdeen ahead
77 min (82%) · Aberdeen 1.07, Hibernian 0.10 xG

Line-ups

122232128321677252015MitovMilneMorrisonMolloyJensenAremuArmstrongGyamfiCameronOlusanyaNisbetYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal85'80'85'71'71'Aberdeen 3-4-1-2Stephen Robinson1541525142221174744SallingerO'HoraHanleyIredalePasslackChaiwaBarlaserObitaMcGrathEldingScarlettSent offYellow cardYellow card18'80'80'80'46'Hibernian 3-4-1-2David Gray

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 71' Shinnie for Cameron
  • 71' Keskinen for Olusanya
  • 80' Palaversa for Armstrong
  • 85' Bwomono for Gyamfi
  • 85' Kjartansson for Aremu

Hibernian substitutes

  • 18' Bushiri for Iredale
  • 46' Suto for Scarlett
  • 80' Newell for Barlaser
  • 80' Andrews for McGrath
  • 80' Boyle for Chaiwa

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0110
MilneCB900.000.0510.10310
MorrisonCB900.000.0000.0545
MolloyCB900.000.0310.0753
JensenRWB900.210.1250.0136
Aremu CM850.040.0600.0627
ArmstrongCM800.150.0300.0544
Gyamfi LWB850.140.3010.3062
CameronAM710.090.1800.0622
OlusanyaST710.230.0200.0030
NisbetST9020.930.0620.1354
ShinnieMF190.000.0410.0722
KeskinenFW190.130.010−0.0110
PalaversaMF100.000.060−0.0501
BwomonoDF50.000.0000.0120
KjartanssonMF50.000.000−0.0100

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SallingerGK900.000.0100.0873
O'HoraCB900.000.0000.0318
Hanley CB160.000.0000.0313
IredaleCB180.000.0000.0223
PasslackRWB900.000.0210.0578
ChaiwaCM800.000.000−0.0112
Barlaser CM800.040.010−0.0332
ObitaLWB900.010.1000.1496
McGrathAM800.030.0100.0135
Elding ST900.000.000−0.0111
ScarlettST460.000.0000.0000
BushiriDF720.000.0000.0216
SutoFW440.000.000−0.0301
NewellMF100.030.0000.0101
AndrewsMF100.000.000−0.0100
BoyleFW100.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Molloy and Gyamfi: 4 passesMorrison and Cameron: 4 passesCameron and Nisbet: 4 passesMorrison and Jensen: 5 passesJensen and Nisbet: 5 passesMitov and Milne: 6 passesMilne and Aremu: 7 passesGyamfi and Cameron: 7 passesMitov and Morrison: 8 passesMilne and Cameron: 8 passesMolloy and Aremu: 9 passesMolloy and Cameron: 9 passesAremu and Cameron: 9 passesArmstrong and Cameron: 10 passesAremu and Armstrong: 11 passesMolloy and Armstrong: 12 passesArmstrong and Gyamfi: 12 passesMorrison and Armstrong: 13 passesJensen and Armstrong: 13 passesJensen and Cameron: 14 passesJensen and Aremu: 17 passesMilne and Jensen: 23 passesMorrison and Milne: 25 passesMolloy and Morrison: 28 passesMitov: 13 completed passesMolloy: 39 completed passesMorrison: 46 completed passesMilne: 42 completed passesJensen: 43 completed passesAremu: 27 completed passesArmstrong: 40 completed passesGyamfi: 14 completed passesCameron: 31 completed passesOlusanya: 3 completed passesNisbet: 9 completed passes121232228321677252015MitovMolloyMorrisonMilneJensenAremuArmstrongGyamfiCameronOlusanyaNisbetStarters until 71' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
MolloyMorrison18
MilneJensen17
MorrisonMilne17
JensenMilne12
MorrisonMolloy12

Hibernian

FromToPasses
O'HoraPasslack13
McGrathObita11
O'HoraBarlaser10
O'HoraSallinger8
ObitaBarlaser8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

2−2.75−2.610−5.62−6.31−3.47+0.26−1.49+2.84−5.81−6.714+8.75+1.29+4.45−0.43−3.27+4.14+0.52−0.76+2.51−3.41−1.34+2.810.02+0.42−0.40−0.50−0.20−0.50−0.54+3.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Hibernian

8+4.511+5.26−1.61−2.93−2.53−4.54−3.48+1.65−0.43−2.24−1.05+2.06+1.78+3.53−0.62−1.50−2.41−1.43−0.81−1.31−0.71−0.410.03+1.00−0.60−0.60−0.60−0.51+0.18−6.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.020.010.050.030.010.060.010.100.040.050.020.010.05−0.020.030.070.07−0.11−0.080.130.120.15LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.020.050.040.040.020.040.030.01−0.01−0.010.030.01−0.02−0.030.01−0.010.07LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackAberdeen1.09 → 1.14Hibernian1.51 → 1.45Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.55 → 1.48Hibernian1.08 → 1.13

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
11th12%5%−7
Kilmarnock
11th64%70%+6

From the forecast before the match (11 April 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenHibernian
Expected goals1.051.55
Win25%48%
Expected Points1.021.71
Clean sheet21%35%

Aberdeen 25%Draw 27%Hibernian 48%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Hibernian goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%9%5%2%7%5%2%4%6%5%3%1%1%2%2%11%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 April 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawHibernian win
Aberdeen
11th12%5%11%17%
Kilmarnock
11th64%70%66%61%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. L0–24 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.53–0.90
  2. L1–421 MarRangers (A)xG 0.68–1.61
  3. D1–114 MarFalkirk (H)xG 1.54–0.76
  4. L1–24 MarCeltic (H)xG 1.42–1.90
  5. L0–128 FebHearts (A)xG 0.39–2.33
  6. D0–024 FebDundee United (A)xG 1.45–1.02

Hibernian

  1. W3–04 AprKilmarnock (H)xG 2.30–0.60
  2. D0–021 MarMotherwell (A)xG 0.60–0.44
  3. D0–014 MarLivingston (H)xG 2.18–0.14
  4. D3–328 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.74–0.92
  5. W2–122 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.80–1.94
  6. W2–014 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.19–0.30

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenHibernian
Position9th5th
Played3232
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠6–⁠1813–⁠12–⁠7
Points30 (0.94 per game)51 (1.59 per game)
Expected Points per game1.131.77
Goals31–⁠4851–⁠35
xG per game1.19–⁠1.641.65–⁠1.10
Home: points, xG per game1.13, 1.46–⁠1.581.88, 2.04–⁠0.86
Away: points, xG per game0.76, 0.96–⁠1.701.31, 1.26–⁠1.35
ManagerStephen Robinson (3)David Gray (72)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackAberdeen1.09, 10thHibernian1.51, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.55, 9thHibernian1.08, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprAberdeen attack: 1.09Hibernian attack: 1.511.511.09HibernianAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprAberdeen defence: 1.55Hibernian defence: 1.081.551.08

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−20%−2%+1%−8%
Counter-attacksaverage+39%+82%−35%
Set pieces−8%+52%+9%−38%
Penalties−36%−14%+50%−57%
Headers−28%+32%+25%−31%
Left side+14%+3%+17%+2%
Centre−24%+26%+17%−25%
Right side−23%+17%−3%−29%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdHibernian concededLeft side+14%−29%Centre−24%−25%Right side−23%+2%Open play−20%−8%Counter-attacksaverage−35%Set pieces−8%−38%Headers−28%−31%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdAberdeen concededLeft side+17%+17%Centre+17%+26%Right side−3%+3%Open play+1%−2%Counter-attacks+82%+39%Set pieces+9%+52%Headers+25%+32%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenHibernian

1.19xG1.65
1.64xG against1.10
48%Possession49%
11.3Shots13.0
15.3Shots against11.3
3.4Shots on target4.9
1.8Big chances2.3
20.9Touches in the opposition box24.8
392Passes417
77%Pass accuracy80%
4.8Corners5.3
43%Field tilt48%
35.0Final-third entries38.5
10.8Box entries11.8
14.1Passes per defensive action16.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.121.64
Ahead131.021.50
Behind311.371.72

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level471.481.00
Ahead281.751.19
Behind151.991.30

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.222–5
16–300.170.246–7
31–450.240.354–9
46–600.200.312–7
61–750.210.268–7
76–900.280.289–13

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.270.087–3
16–300.220.208–6
31–450.230.269–8
46–600.350.139–4
61–750.230.124–5
76–900.340.3214–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 28Bråtveit 4Devlin 14Jensen 10Lobban 6Milne 23Morrison 7Devlin 2Knoester 23Molloy 4McIntyre 3Gyamfi 8Frame 6Shinnie 4Armstrong 10Aouchiche 7Nilsen 4Shinnie 15Polvara 7Geiger 5Devlin 6Milanovic 5Keskinen 4Aouchiche 7Armstrong 4Cameron 4Karlsson 13Keskinen 9Armstrong 4Nisbet 18Lazetic 9Yengi 34-2-3-1 in 9 of 32 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (9), 3-4-2-1 (8), 3-4-3 (5), 4-1-4-1 (5), 3-5-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTSallinger 28Smith 4O'Hora 21Garananga 2Mitchell 1Bushiri 21Hanley 20Iredale 28Obita 3Cadden 13Passlack 8Megwa 7Mulligan 16Andrews 1Newell 1Barlaser 23Chaiwa 13McGrath 6N. Cadden 18Obita 10McGrath 4McGrath 14Boyle 6Barlaser 4Boyle 15Klidje 7Elding 5Bowie 19Scarlett 5Youan 53-4-1-2 in 19 of 32 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (19), 3-4-3 (4), 3-1-4-2 (4), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 December 2025Hibernian2–0AberdeenxG 1.64–0.57
26 October 2025Aberdeen1–2HibernianxG 1.24–3.20
26 April 2025Aberdeen1–0HibernianxG 0.83–0.93
1 February 2025Hibernian2–0AberdeenxG 1.60–0.48
21 December 2024Aberdeen1–3HibernianxG 1.90–1.44
26 November 2024Hibernian3–3AberdeenxG 2.21–1.61

22 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 7, Hibernian won 11, and 4 were drawn. Goals 25–34 and xG 1.28–1.47 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet201,725710.370.09
Karlsson161,292500.340.12
Armstrong201,763140.150.20
Keskinen161,403330.140.19

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Youan6661410.630.18
Klidje7735310.660.04
Campbell2508130.390.22
Boyle211,701520.420.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.