Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Hibernian 0–0 Livingston

Saturday 14 March 2026, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 30 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Lloyd Wilson · Attendance 18,083

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianLivingston
Goals00
xG2.180.14
Expected Points2.760.14

Hibernian 89%Draw 10%Livingston 1%

Most likely score 2–0, 27%. Final score 0–0, 7%.

Livingston goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+7%3%4%19%3%9%1%3%21%27%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTBoyle on for Iredale and Scarlett on for Suto, 61'Campbell on for Chaiwa and Andrews on for Elding, 75'Fati on for Montaño and McKay on for May, 61'Muirhead on for Nouble, 64'L. Smith on for Kerr, 74'Danso on for Tait, 75'Hibernian 2.18Livingston 0.1401230153045607590HTBoyle on for Iredale and Scarlett on for Suto, 61'Campbell on for Chaiwa and Andrews on for Elding, 75'Fati on for Montaño and McKay on for May, 61'Muirhead on for Nouble, 64'L. Smith on for Kerr, 74'Danso on for Tait, 75'2.180.14HibernianLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianLivingston

2.18 +0.54xG0.14 −0.85
0.81 −0.74xG on target0.06 −0.98
22 +8.9Shots6 −3.5
5 −0.1Shots on target2 −1.3
1 −1.4Big chances0 −1.4
42 +18Touches in the opposition box6 −14
75% +26Possession25% −19
742 +336Passes254 −107
91% +11Pass accuracy72% −1
96% +49Field tilt4% −34
119 +83Final-third entries10 −21
26 +14.6Box entries2 −6.4
11.8 −5Passes per defensive action31.5 +18
12 +6.8Corners0 −4.6
7 −6Tackles16 −1
3 −5.4Interceptions6 −2.7
14 −16Clearances44 +9
2 −0.7Saves5 +1.9
6 −5Fouls7 −7
1 −0.6Offsides1 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Campbell 82', 0.63 xGN. Cadden 52', 0.24 xGScarlett 82', 0.15 xGMcGrath 55', 0.14 xGMcGrath 18', 0.12 xGElding 25', 0.09 xGPasslack 80', 0.09 xGO'Hora 27', 0.08 xGElding 42', 0.08 xGMcGrath 24', 0.07 xGScarlett 88', 0.07 xGO'Hora 90+5', 0.07 xGSuto 12', 0.05 xGScarlett 72', 0.05 xGMcGrath 24', 0.04 xGSuto 28', 0.04 xGElding 67', 0.04 xGChaiwa 33', 0.03 xGMcGrath 40', 0.03 xGN. Cadden 42', 0.03 xGAndrews 90+5', 0.03 xGBoyle 63', 0.02 xG42%0.92 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.92 xG, 0 goals49%1.07 xGCentral box: 14 shots, 1.07 xG, 0 goals1%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals7%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Muirhead 78', 0.04 xGNouble 44', 0.03 xGMuirhead 80', 0.03 xGMay 8', 0.02 xGMuirhead 85', 0.02 xGSylla 90+3', 0.00 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals40%0.06 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals33%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals27%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianLivingston

1.69 13 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.05 2 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.03 1 shot, 0 goals
0.49 9 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.06 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
95 min (100%) · Hibernian 2.18, Livingston 0.14 xG

Line-ups

15331525221419174777SallingerO'HoraBushiriIredalePasslackBarlaserChaiwaN. CaddenMcGrathEldingSutoYellow card61'75'75'61'Hibernian 3-4-1-2David Gray2823271922482526177PriorKabongoloWilsonFinlaysonKerrSyllaPittmanTaitMontañoMayNoubleYellow card74'75'61'61'64'Livingston 3-5-2Marvin Bartley

Hibernian substitutes

  • 61' Scarlett for Suto
  • 61' Boyle for Iredale
  • 75' Campbell for Chaiwa
  • 75' Andrews for Elding · yellow card 90+2'

Livingston substitutes

  • 61' Fati for Montaño
  • 61' McKay for May
  • 64' Muirhead for Nouble
  • 74' L. Smith for Kerr
  • 75' Danso for Tait

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SallingerGK900.000.0000.0220
O'HoraCB900.150.1100.27163
BushiriCB900.000.0410.18148
IredaleCB610.000.0900.24160
PasslackRWB900.090.2710.14142
BarlaserCM900.000.2110.36156
Chaiwa CM750.030.091−0.0842
N. CaddenLWB900.270.7080.65140
McGrathAM900.400.1830.04101
EldingST750.210.042−0.0321
SutoST610.090.0600.0411
ScarlettFW290.270.000−0.0100
BoyleFW290.020.0100.1220
CampbellMF150.630.000−0.0100
Andrews MF150.030.010−0.0121

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Prior GK900.000.0000.0223
KabongoloCB900.000.0000.01013
WilsonCB900.000.0000.0434
FinlaysonCB900.000.0000.03113
KerrRWB740.000.000−0.0104
SyllaCM900.000.0000.00012
PittmanCM900.000.000−0.0106
TaitCM750.000.0110.0252
MontañoLWB610.000.0110.0205
MayST610.020.0000.0211
NoubleST640.030.0200.0240
FatiDF290.000.000−0.0113
McKayMF290.000.010−0.0100
MuirheadFW260.090.0400.0124
L. SmithFW160.000.0010.0100
DansoMF150.000.0000.0112

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Iredale and Suto: 7 passesBushiri and Passlack: 7 passesPasslack and Elding: 7 passesPasslack and Suto: 7 passesChaiwa and McGrath: 7 passesBushiri and McGrath: 8 passesPasslack and Barlaser: 10 passesN. Cadden and Suto: 10 passesO'Hora and Barlaser: 11 passesO'Hora and Elding: 11 passesIredale and McGrath: 14 passesBushiri and Chaiwa: 14 passesPasslack and Chaiwa: 14 passesBarlaser and McGrath: 15 passesN. Cadden and McGrath: 16 passesBarlaser and Chaiwa: 17 passesBarlaser and N. Cadden: 19 passesBushiri and Barlaser: 22 passesO'Hora and Chaiwa: 22 passesIredale and Barlaser: 28 passesO'Hora and Passlack: 38 passesIredale and N. Cadden: 52 passesBushiri and O'Hora: 56 passesIredale and Bushiri: 58 passesSallinger: 8 completed passesIredale: 89 completed passesBushiri: 89 completed passesO'Hora: 81 completed passesPasslack: 45 completed passesBarlaser: 69 completed passesChaiwa: 45 completed passesN. Cadden: 53 completed passesMcGrath: 39 completed passesElding: 16 completed passesSuto: 15 completed passes11533525221419174777SallingerIredaleBushiriO'HoraPasslackBarlaserChaiwaN. CaddenMcGrathEldingSutoStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Livingston

Finlayson and Montaño: 3 passesKabongolo and May: 3 passesKerr and Nouble: 3 passesMontaño and Tait: 3 passesFinlayson and Sylla: 4 passesFinlayson and Pittman: 4 passesMontaño and Nouble: 4 passesTait and May: 4 passesNouble and May: 4 passesKabongolo and Tait: 5 passesKabongolo and Nouble: 5 passesWilson and Finlayson: 6 passesFinlayson and Tait: 7 passesKabongolo and Kerr: 7 passesPrior and Finlayson: 8 passesTait and Nouble: 11 passesPrior: 12 completed passesWilson: 6 completed passesFinlayson: 18 completed passesKabongolo: 17 completed passesKerr: 7 completed passesMontaño: 5 completed passesSylla: 4 completed passesPittman: 5 completed passesTait: 16 completed passesNouble: 15 completed passesMay: 7 completed passes2827192322624825717PriorWilsonFinlaysonKabongoloKerrMontañoSyllaPittmanTaitNoubleMayStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
BushiriO'Hora36
BushiriIredale35
O'HoraPasslack31
IredaleN. Cadden30
O'HoraBushiri25

Livingston

FromToPasses
PriorFinlayson11
FinlaysonWilson7
NoubleTait6
FinlaysonTait6
TaitNouble5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

1−2.63−3.03−4.51−3.24−1.52−5.46−0.43−2.74−1.18+3.35+2.06+1.73−1.38+4.40−3.33+0.63+0.64+0.13+0.71−0.93+1.610.02+0.10−0.60−0.70−0.60−0.61+0.17−7.91−6.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Livingston

8+2.99+0.829+10.712+4.512+6.38+1.37−1.13−3.63−4.96−1.73−1.65+0.240.05−0.65−1.03−0.73−1.12−0.51−2.64+0.11−1.60−1.90−1.40−1.90−2.60−1.30−0.30−0.70−0.50−1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.010.010.040.030.030.030.050.060.070.040.120.150.170.110.120.12−0.01−0.040.090.040.09−0.08−0.100.150.62LessMore

Livingston

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01−0.010.010.020.020.010.020.020.02LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackHibernian1.49 → 1.50Livingston0.93 → 0.90Defence (lower is better)Hibernian1.15 → 1.11Livingston1.86 → 1.85

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
11th8%10%+2
Bottom91%88%−3
Kilmarnock
11th66%66%0
Bottom8%11%+3

From the forecast before the match (14 March 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianLivingston
Expected goals2.450.70
Win75%8%
Expected Points2.420.41
Clean sheet49%9%

Hibernian 75%Draw 16%Livingston 8%

Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 47%.

Livingston goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+5%3%1%8%3%9%3%7%3%6%5%2%3%2%2%1%10%13%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 14 March 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHibernian winDrawLivingston win
Livingston
11th8%7%10%16%
Bottom91%93%88%81%
Kilmarnock
11th66%67%66%59%
Bottom8%7%11%17%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

  1. D3–328 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.74–0.92
  2. W2–122 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.80–1.94
  3. W2–014 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.19–0.30
  4. L0–110 FebHearts (A)xG 0.38–0.66
  5. W3–24 FebDundee United (H)xG 2.57–1.73
  6. D0–01 FebRangers (H)xG 1.88–0.58

Livingston

  1. D1–128 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.70–1.02
  2. D2–222 FebRangers (H)xG 0.30–3.74
  3. D2–214 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.29–0.91
  4. L1–211 FebCeltic (A)xG 1.06–3.44
  5. L1–24 FebFalkirk (H)xG 0.57–2.40
  6. L0–231 JanMotherwell (H)xG 0.22–1.62

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianLivingston
Position5th12th
Played2929
Won, drawn, lost12–⁠10–⁠71–⁠11–⁠17
Points46 (1.59 per game)14 (0.48 per game)
Expected Points per game1.720.82
Goals48–⁠3531–⁠59
xG per game1.64–⁠1.180.99–⁠2.00
Home: points, xG per game1.86, 2.01–⁠0.930.60, 1.01–⁠1.85
Away: points, xG per game1.33, 1.30–⁠1.410.36, 0.98–⁠2.17
ManagerDavid Gray (69)Marvin Bartley (4)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackHibernian1.49, 4thLivingston0.93, 12thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.15, 5thLivingston1.86, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarHibernian attack: 1.49Livingston attack: 0.931.490.93LivingstonHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarHibernian defence: 1.15Livingston defence: 1.861.861.15

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−5%−3%−38%+40%
Counter-attacks+93%−26%−57%+23%
Set pieces+14%−34%−25%+42%
Penalties+62%−54%+38%+62%
Headers+25%−25%−38%+27%
Left side+16%+10%−45%+27%
Centre+14%−19%−36%+38%
Right sideaverage−27%−30%+51%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdLivingston concededLeft side+16%+51%Centre+14%+38%Right sideaverage+27%Open play−5%+40%Counter-attacks+93%+23%Set pieces+14%+42%Headers+25%+27%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdHibernian concededLeft side−45%−27%Centre−36%−19%Right side−30%+10%Open play−38%−3%Counter-attacks−57%−26%Set pieces−25%−34%Headers−38%−25%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianLivingston

1.64xG0.99
1.18xG against2.00
49%Possession44%
13.1Shots9.5
11.7Shots against15.1
5.1Shots on target3.3
2.4Big chances1.4
24.5Touches in the opposition box19.6
406Passes361
80%Pass accuracy73%
5.2Corners4.6
47%Field tilt38%
36.4Final-third entries31.4
11.4Box entries8.4
16.9Passes per defensive action13.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.451.09
Ahead281.761.25
Behind161.991.30

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level420.952.05
Ahead100.863.11
Behind381.071.65

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.095–3
16–300.230.228–6
31–450.250.289–8
46–600.370.139–4
61–750.250.134–5
76–900.320.3413–9

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.414–12
16–300.160.266–7
31–450.250.425–9
46–600.130.324–7
61–750.170.244–6
76–900.200.358–18

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTSallinger 25Smith 4Hanley 19O'Hora 18Garananga 2Bushiri 19Iredale 26Obita 2Cadden 13Megwa 7Passlack 5Mulligan 16Chaiwa 10Andrews 1Barlaser 20McGrath 6Levitt 4Cadden 16Obita 9McGrath 4McGrath 11Boyle 6Barlaser 4Boyle 14Klidje 7Scarlett 4Bowie 19Youan 5Hoilett 33-4-1-2 in 16 of 29 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (16), 3-4-3 (4), 3-1-4-2 (4), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWPrior 29Finlayson 13Brenet 9Lawal 5McGowan 18Finlayson 10Sylla 2Wilson 22Kabongolo 3Blaney 3Montaño 13Montgomery 8Fati 3Pittman 24Danso 4Wilson 1Sylla 14L. Smith 2Muirhead 1Tait 24Susoho 13Carey 1L. Smith 13McLennan 4Kabongolo 3Muirhead 10Bokila 8Yengi 7May 13McLennan 4Yengi 44-3-3 in 11 of 29 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (11), 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-5-2 (4), 3-1-4-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
1 November 2025Livingston2–2HibernianxG 1.87–0.76
18 October 2025Hibernian4–0LivingstonxG 2.80–0.43
19 May 2024Livingston1–1HibernianxG 0.66–0.66
16 March 2024Hibernian3–0LivingstonxG 2.56–0.93
9 December 2023Livingston0–1HibernianxG 1.34–0.22
26 August 2023Hibernian2–3LivingstonxG 0.81–1.68

17 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 8, Livingston won 6, and 3 were drawn. Goals 33–20 and xG 1.52–1.26 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Youan6661410.630.18
Klidje7735310.660.04
Boyle201,603510.440.10
Campbell2487130.290.23

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Muirhead141,223420.450.16
Yengi111,054200.300.08
McLennan8766300.260.08
Bokila9883500.300.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.