Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

St. Mirren 2–0 Aberdeen

Saturday 4 April 2026, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 32 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 7,653

St. Mirren Ayunga 40', Gogic 83'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenAberdeen
Goals20
xG0.900.53
Expected Points1.640.96

St. Mirren 42%Draw 39%Aberdeen 19%

Most likely score 0–0, 23%. Final score 2–0, 10%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+12%3%15%3%10%6%2%2%1%23%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTTanser on for John and Nlundulu on for Phillips, 59'Richardson on for Ayunga, 69'Olusanya on for Bilalovic, Nisbet on for Lazetic, and Armstrong on for Keskinen, 46'Cameron on for Shinnie, 65'Lobban on for Jensen, 79'Ayunga 40'Gogic 83'St. Mirren 0.90Aberdeen 0.5300.250.50.7510153045607590HTTanser on for John and Nlundulu on for Phillips, 59'Richardson on for Ayunga, 69'Olusanya on for Bilalovic, Nisbet on for Lazetic, and Armstrong on for Keskinen, 46'Cameron on for Shinnie, 65'Lobban on for Jensen, 79'Ayunga 40'Gogic 83'0.900.53St. MirrenAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenAberdeen

0.90 −0.23xG0.53 −0.68
1.40 +0.42xG on target0.00 −1.06
11 −1Shots7 −4
4 +0.5Shots on target0 −3.5
3 +1.3Big chances0 −1.9
23 −1Touches in the opposition box22 +1
57% +12Possession43% −5
468 +121Passes345 −48
82% +9Pass accuracy77% 0
67% +22Field tilt33% −10
30 −6Final-third entries26 −9
9 −2Box entries9 −2
14.4 −1Passes per defensive action10.9 −3
8 +2.5Corners5 +0.2
17 +3Tackles19 +3
9 +2.0Interceptions11 +3.0
33 +2Clearances26 −6
0 −3.1Saves2 −1.4
8 −5Fouls15 +1
2 −0.2Offsides1 −0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Donnelly 11', 0.24 xGFreckleton 20', 0.20 xGDonnelly 3', 0.15 xGGogic 11', 0.06 xGMandron 63', 0.04 xGTanser 68', 0.03 xGDonnelly 18', 0.02 xGO'Hara 31', 0.02 xGNlundulu 82', 0.02 xGGogic 83', 0.07 xG, goalAyunga 40', 0.06 xG, goal49%0.44 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.44 xG, 0 goals31%0.28 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.28 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals20%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.18 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Jensen 65', 0.17 xGNisbet 67', 0.10 xGOlusanya 79', 0.07 xGNisbet 90', 0.07 xGGyamfi 48', 0.04 xGMilne 75', 0.04 xGBilalovic 23', 0.03 xG32%0.17 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.17 xG, 0 goals43%0.23 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals25%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenAberdeen

0.10 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.15 3 shots, 0 goals
0.80 7 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces0.38 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
40 min (44%) · St. Mirren 0.74, Aberdeen 0.04 xG
St. Mirren ahead
51 min (56%) · St. Mirren 0.16, Aberdeen 0.50 xG

Line-ups

14132168881624119GeorgeDonnellyGogicFreckletonO'HaraPhillipsDevaneyCampbellJohnAyungaMandronGoalGoalYellow card59'59'69'St. Mirren 3-5-2Craig McLeish992223212832477812714BråtveitMilneMorrisonMolloyJensenAremuShinnieGyamfiKeskinenLazeticBilalovicYellow cardYellow cardYellow card79'65'46'46'46'Aberdeen 3-4-3Stephen Robinson

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 59' Tanser for John · 1 assist
  • 59' Nlundulu for Phillips
  • 69' Richardson for Ayunga

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 46' Armstrong for Keskinen
  • 46' Nisbet for Lazetic
  • 46' Olusanya for Bilalovic
  • 65' Cameron for Shinnie
  • 79' Lobban for Jensen

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0454
DonnellyCB900.400.0600.0049
GogicCB9010.140.0500.0259
FreckletonCB900.200.0100.05811
O'HaraRWB900.020.2310.3078
PhillipsCM590.000.0200.0150
DevaneyCM900.000.1210.1895
CampbellCM900.000.051−0.0116
JohnLWB590.000.6430.1381
Ayunga ST6910.060.010−0.0211
MandronST900.040.031−0.0904
TanserMF3110.030.0810.0333
NlunduluFW310.020.0100.0111
RichardsonMF210.000.0000.0000

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BråtveitGK900.000.0000.0220
MilneCB900.040.0000.0219
Morrison CB900.000.351−0.0626
MolloyCB900.000.0000.03111
JensenRWB790.170.0000.0007
AremuCM900.000.0300.0978
ShinnieCM650.000.0700.0568
GyamfiLWB900.040.010−0.0212
KeskinenRW460.000.0000.0011
Lazetic ST460.000.0010.0001
Bilalovic LW460.030.0000.0012
ArmstrongMF440.000.0210.0030
NisbetFW440.170.000−0.0112
OlusanyaFW440.070.011−0.0120
CameronMF250.000.2510.0811
LobbanMF110.000.0000.0550

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

George and Devaney: 6 passesGogic and Phillips: 6 passesDonnelly and John: 6 passesJohn and Phillips: 6 passesPhillips and Campbell: 6 passesCampbell and Mandron: 6 passesFreckleton and Phillips: 7 passesO'Hara and Devaney: 7 passesPhillips and Mandron: 7 passesCampbell and Devaney: 7 passesGeorge and Gogic: 8 passesDonnelly and Devaney: 8 passesJohn and Ayunga: 8 passesFreckleton and Campbell: 9 passesJohn and Devaney: 9 passesPhillips and Devaney: 9 passesDevaney and Mandron: 9 passesGogic and Devaney: 11 passesGogic and Donnelly: 14 passesJohn and Campbell: 15 passesFreckleton and Devaney: 17 passesFreckleton and John: 19 passesDonnelly and O'Hara: 19 passesGogic and Freckleton: 29 passesGeorge: 18 completed passesGogic: 42 completed passesFreckleton: 51 completed passesDonnelly: 30 completed passesO'Hara: 23 completed passesJohn: 39 completed passesPhillips: 23 completed passesCampbell: 28 completed passesDevaney: 50 completed passesMandron: 15 completed passesAyunga: 10 completed passes11321462488168911GeorgeGogicFreckletonDonnellyO'HaraJohnPhillipsCampbellDevaneyMandronAyungaStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Aberdeen

Bråtveit and Molloy: 3 passesBråtveit and Milne: 3 passesMorrison and Shinnie: 3 passesLazetic and Bilalovic: 3 passesMilne and Jensen: 4 passesMorrison and Milne: 5 passesMolloy and Shinnie: 7 passesMolloy and Morrison: 9 passesBråtveit and Morrison: 15 passesBråtveit: 15 completed passesMolloy: 10 completed passesMorrison: 19 completed passesMilne: 11 completed passesJensen: 3 completed passesGyamfi: 1 completed passesAremu: 6 completed passesShinnie: 12 completed passesKeskinen: 4 completed passesLazetic: 4 completed passesBilalovic: 4 completed passes992123222877324812714BråtveitMolloyMorrisonMilneJensenGyamfiAremuShinnieKeskinenLazeticBilalovicStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
GogicFreckleton16
FreckletonGogic16
JohnFreckleton15
FreckletonDevaney12
O'HaraDonnelly11

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
BråtveitMorrison12
MorrisonMolloy12
MolloyMorrison11
MorrisonBråtveit9
MorrisonMilne9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

3−1.911+3.35−2.23−2.03−3.36−0.84−2.24−3.98+1.36+1.29+4.84+1.21−3.19+4.77+3.23−0.35+2.57+4.36+2.82−0.60−2.00−1.70−1.93+0.11+0.20−0.50−0.80−0.30−0.612−5.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Aberdeen

6+1.44−3.713−2.74−4.44−0.45−1.86−1.510+3.910+0.37−0.79+3.84+0.311+6.66+0.62−4.34+1.22−1.61−1.74+0.52−2.53+0.70−1.30−1.03+1.41−1.42+1.61+0.82+1.61+0.52+1.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.030.010.020.030.020.020.030.010.010.040.020.010.010.010.020.020.020.07−0.020.06−0.05−0.030.150.12LessMore

Aberdeen

0.020.010.020.010.010.020.020.050.010.060.020.020.020.03−0.03−0.09−0.040.010.09LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.33AttackSt. Mirren1.09 → 1.10Aberdeen1.10 → 1.09Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.45 → 1.42Aberdeen1.54 → 1.55

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
11th31%19%−12
Aberdeen
11th9%15%+6
Kilmarnock
11th52%58%+6
Dundee FC
11th6%8%+2

From the forecast before the match (4 April 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenAberdeen
Expected goals1.501.06
Win47%26%
Expected Points1.671.06
Clean sheet35%22%

St. Mirren 47%Draw 27%Aberdeen 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 51%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%8%4%2%7%2%9%5%2%4%5%2%2%2%11%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 4 April 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawAberdeen win
St. Mirren
11th31%19%36%48%
Aberdeen
11th9%15%7%2%
Kilmarnock
11th52%58%50%45%
Dundee FC
11th6%8%6%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. W2–121 MarFalkirk (A)xG 0.90–1.43
  2. L0–115 MarRangers (H)xG 0.19–2.08
  3. L1–23 MarDundee United (A)xG 1.11–1.69
  4. D1–128 FebLivingston (A)xG 1.02–0.70
  5. L0–521 FebMotherwell (H)xG 1.00–2.20
  6. L0–214 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.30–1.19

Aberdeen

  1. L1–421 MarRangers (A)xG 0.68–1.61
  2. D1–114 MarFalkirk (H)xG 1.54–0.76
  3. L1–24 MarCeltic (H)xG 1.42–1.90
  4. L0–128 FebHearts (A)xG 0.39–2.33
  5. D0–024 FebDundee United (A)xG 1.45–1.02
  6. L2–321 FebDundee FC (H)xG 0.46–3.99

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenAberdeen
Position10th9th
Played3131
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠9–⁠168–⁠6–⁠17
Points27 (0.87 per game)30 (0.97 per game)
Expected Points per game1.171.13
Goals25–⁠4731–⁠46
xG per game1.13–⁠1.401.21–⁠1.67
Home: points, xG per game1.13, 1.12–⁠1.111.13, 1.46–⁠1.58
Away: points, xG per game0.62, 1.14–⁠1.680.81, 0.98–⁠1.75
ManagerCraig McLeish (2)Stephen Robinson (2)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.33AttackSt. Mirren1.09, 10thAberdeen1.10, 9thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.45, 7thAberdeen1.54, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarSt. Mirren attack: 1.09Aberdeen attack: 1.101.101.09AberdeenSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarSt. Mirren defence: 1.45Aberdeen defence: 1.541.541.45

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−26%average−18%+2%
Counter-attacks−35%+53%+9%+51%
Set pieces+11%−13%−9%+50%
Penalties−56%−33%−33%−11%
Headers+6%+11%−27%+28%
Left side−23%+8%+17%+6%
Centre−16%+6%−22%+29%
Right side−13%−11%−20%+19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdAberdeen concededLeft side−23%+19%Centre−16%+29%Right side−13%+6%Open play−26%+2%Counter-attacks−35%+51%Set pieces+11%+50%Headers+6%+28%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+17%−11%Centre−22%+6%Right side−20%+8%Open play−18%averageCounter-attacks+9%+53%Set pieces−9%−13%Headers−27%+11%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenAberdeen

1.13xG1.21
1.40xG against1.67
45%Possession48%
11.9Shots11.5
13.1Shots against15.5
3.5Shots on target3.5
1.7Big chances1.9
24.0Touches in the opposition box20.8
347Passes394
73%Pass accuracy76%
5.5Corners4.8
45%Field tilt44%
36.3Final-third entries35.3
10.8Box entries10.8
15.1Passes per defensive action14.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level561.131.40
Ahead120.951.56
Behind211.221.31

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.151.63
Ahead131.021.50
Behind311.401.79

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.171–3
16–300.160.195–4
31–450.160.303–10
46–600.180.194–8
61–750.210.255–7
76–900.260.297–15

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.212–5
16–300.170.246–7
31–450.240.354–8
46–600.200.322–7
61–750.210.268–7
76–900.280.289–12

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTGeorge 31Fraser 26King 19Gogic 17Freckleton 30Donnelly 1Richard… 20RichardsonMcMena… 8McMenaminO'Hara 1Phillips 30Baccus 13Devaney 6Donnelly 5O'Hara 12Gogic 11Idowu 5John 24Tanser 6McMenamin 1Mandron 22Idowu 7Young 4Nlundulu 15Ayunga 11John 13-5-2 in 24 of 31 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (24), 5-3-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 28Bråtveit 3Devlin 14Jensen 10Lobban 6Milne 23Morrison 6Devlin 2Knoester 23Molloy 3McIntyre 3Gyamfi 7Frame 6Molloy 4Armstrong 10Aouchiche 7Nilsen 4Shinnie 14Polvara 7Geiger 5Devlin 6Milanovic 5Olusanya 4Aouchiche 7Armstrong 4Cameron 4Karlsson 13Keskinen 9Armstrong 4Nisbet 18Lazetic 8Yengi 34-2-3-1 in 9 of 31 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (9), 3-4-2-1 (8), 4-1-4-1 (5), 3-4-3 (4), 3-5-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
3 December 2025Aberdeen3–3St. MirrenxG 2.08–1.83
18 October 2025St. Mirren0–1AberdeenxG 0.48–2.05
3 May 2025St. Mirren1–0AberdeenxG 1.22–0.47
25 January 2025Aberdeen0–3St. MirrenxG 1.41–1.78
23 November 2024St. Mirren2–1AberdeenxG 1.56–1.38
11 August 2024Aberdeen3–1St. MirrenxG 1.60–1.30

20 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 9, Aberdeen won 6, and 5 were drawn. Goals 31–29 and xG 1.43–1.38 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McMenamin131,152110.210.26
Ayunga11999200.360.03
Mandron221,987440.250.13
Nlundulu161,514300.250.06

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet201,681710.370.09
Karlsson161,292500.340.12
Armstrong201,719140.160.20
Keskinen151,357330.140.19

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.