Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
AberdeenCeltic
1.42 +0.21xG1.90 −0.37
0.63Non-penalty xG1.90
1.10 +0.05xG on target1.91 −0.27
8 −4Shots18 +1
2 −1.7Shots on target4 −1.8
2 +0.2Big chances3 −0.8
23 +2Touches in the opposition box41 +4
38% −11Possession62% −5
375 −24Passes641 +18
73% −4Pass accuracy84% −2
25% −20Field tilt75% −2
24 −12Final-third entries48 −18
11 0Box entries26 +5
19.6 +6Passes per defensive action9.2 −1
6 +1.2Corners6 −1.0
10 −6Tackles19 +6
15 +7.5Interceptions8 +1.0
33 +2Clearances34 +8
2 −1.5Saves1 −1.2
13 −1Fouls12 0
1 −1.0Offsides0 −1.5
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Aberdeen
Celtic
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
5'19'67'
0–11–11–2
0'HTFT
Level
53 min (57%) · Aberdeen 0.47, Celtic 1.54 xG
Celtic ahead
40 min (43%) · Aberdeen 0.95, Celtic 0.36 xG
Line-ups
Aberdeen substitutes
62'Morrison for Nilsen
62'Bilalovic for Olusanya
69'Shinnie for Geiger
79'Lobban for Milne
80'Keskinen for Jensen
Celtic substitutes
61'Nygren for Cvancara · goal 67'
61'Maeda for McCowan
65'Saracchi for Tierney
65'Forrest for Yang · yellow card 76', 1 assist
87'Donovan for Araujo
Players
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Mitov
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Jensen
RWB
80
0.00
0.03
0
0.01
2
3
Milne
CB
79
0.22
0.01
0
0.10
5
13
Nilsen
CB
62
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
3
12
Molloy
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
7
10
Frame
LWB
90
0.00
0.32
3
0.41
7
5
Cameron
CM
90
0.00
0.48
1
0.14
8
3
Geiger
CM
69
0.00
0.01
0
−0.03
1
4
Armstrong
CM
90
0.00
0.07
1
0.01
5
4
Nisbet
ST
90
1
1.14
0.00
0
0.00
1
2
Olusanya
ST
62
0.03
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Morrison
DF
28
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
3
Bilalovic
FW
28
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Shinnie
MF
21
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
1
Lobban
MF
11
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
4
Keskinen
FW
10
0.03
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Celtic
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Sinisalo
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
7
1
Araujo
RB
87
0.04
0.08
0
0.08
9
6
Arthur
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
2
19
Scales
CB
90
1
0.09
0.65
1
0.21
5
9
Tierney
LB
65
1
0.73
0.22
1
0.18
5
6
McGregor
DM
90
0.16
0.12
1
0.07
5
5
Hatate
DM
90
0.05
0.14
2
0.23
4
6
Yang
RW
65
0.00
0.03
0
−0.01
4
2
McCowan
AM
61
0.04
0.18
3
0.08
7
2
Tounekti
LW
90
0.06
0.23
3
0.23
10
5
Cvancara
ST
61
0.06
0.01
0
−0.01
2
0
Nygren
MF
29
1
0.48
0.06
0
0.04
3
0
Maeda
FW
29
0.19
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Saracchi
DF
25
0.00
0.06
1
0.06
3
3
Forrest
FW
25
1
0.00
0.60
1
0.22
2
1
Donovan
DF
3
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Aberdeen
Celtic
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
Milne
Jensen
13
Armstrong
Milne
9
Milne
Cameron
9
Molloy
Frame
7
Jensen
Armstrong
7
Celtic
From
To
Passes
Arthur
Sinisalo
23
Arthur
Araujo
20
Araujo
Yang
19
Scales
Sinisalo
16
Araujo
Arthur
15
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Aberdeen
Against its average of 28 matches
Celtic
Against its average of 28 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Aberdeen
Celtic
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Aberdeen
11th
3%
4%
+1
Celtic
Title
35%
42%
+7
Hearts
Title
43%
39%
−4
Rangers
Title
20%
18%
−2
From the forecast before the match (4 March 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Aberdeen
Celtic
Expected goals
0.88
2.18
Win
13%
67%
Expected Points
0.60
2.20
Clean sheet
11%
42%
Aberdeen 13%Draw 20%Celtic 67%
Most likely score 0–2, 11%. Both sides score 52%.
From the forecast as it stood on 4 March 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Aberdeen win
Draw
Celtic win
Aberdeen
11th
3%
1%
2%
4%
Celtic
Title
35%
18%
26%
42%
Hearts
Title
43%
53%
48%
39%
Rangers
Title
20%
27%
24%
18%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Aberdeen
Celtic
Position
8th
3rd
Played
28
28
Won, drawn, lost
8–5–15
17–4–7
Points
29 (1.04 per game)
55 (1.96 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.12
2.05
Goals
28–39
51–30
xG per game
1.21–1.70
2.27–0.99
Home: points, xG per game
1.23, 1.46–1.62
2.21, 2.66–0.70
Away: points, xG per game
0.87, 1.00–1.76
1.71, 1.88–1.29
Manager
Peter Leven (7)
Martin O'Neill (8)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Aberdeen
Celtic
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−17%
+1%
+105%
−35%
Counter-attacks
+10%
+55%
−19%
−47%
Set pieces
−7%
+52%
+5%
−21%
Penalties
−52%
−4%
+20%
−4%
Headers
−34%
+31%
+69%
−33%
Left side
+22%
+9%
+65%
−43%
Centre
−21%
+28%
+85%
−28%
Right side
−23%
+19%
+14%
−33%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
AberdeenCeltic
1.21xG2.27
1.70xG against0.99
49%Possession67%
11.9Shots17.2
15.6Shots against9.0
3.7Shots on target5.8
1.8Big chances3.8
21.4Touches in the opposition box37.1
399Passes623
77%Pass accuracy87%
4.8Corners7.0
46%Field tilt76%
36.4Final-third entries66.1
11.1Box entries21.4
14.0Passes per defensive action10.3
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Aberdeen
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
46
1.18
1.63
Ahead
14
0.98
1.53
Behind
31
1.38
1.86
Celtic
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
42
2.20
0.86
Ahead
31
1.92
1.16
Behind
17
3.12
1.03
xG by period
Aberdeen
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.11
0.20
2–4
16–30
0.14
0.25
5–7
31–45
0.27
0.37
4–7
46–60
0.20
0.32
1–6
61–75
0.21
0.26
7–5
76–90
0.29
0.29
9–10
Celtic
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.38
0.14
8–5
16–30
0.34
0.15
7–5
31–45
0.40
0.19
8–3
46–60
0.29
0.27
6–10
61–75
0.34
0.10
9–4
76–90
0.53
0.14
13–3
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts