Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Aberdeen 1–2 Hibernian

Sunday 26 October 2025, 14:30 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 9 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 18,227

Aberdeen Lazetic 90+4'

Hibernian Klidje 34', Youan 87'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenHibernian
Goals12
xG1.243.20
Expected Points0.352.53

Aberdeen 7%Draw 13%Hibernian 80%

Most likely score 1–3, 11%. Final score 1–2, 8%.

Hibernian goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+2%6%8%6%3%1%3%4%2%2%6%7%5%3%1%2%3%2%1%8%11%9%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTMilanovic on for Aouchiche, Clarkson on for Jensen, and Dorrington on for Palaversa, 46'Lazetic on for Nisbet, 56'Keskinen on for Molloy, 62'Boyle on for Bowie, 59'Chaiwa on for C. Cadden, 60'Campbell on for McGrath, 69'Bushiri on for O'Hora, 70'Youan on for Klidje, 82'Lazetic 90+4'Klidje 34'Youan 87'Hibernian 3.20Aberdeen 1.24012340153045607590HTMilanovic on for Aouchiche, Clarkson on for Jensen, and Dorrington on for Palaversa, 46'Lazetic on for Nisbet, 56'Keskinen on for Molloy, 62'Boyle on for Bowie, 59'Chaiwa on for C. Cadden, 60'Campbell on for McGrath, 69'Bushiri on for O'Hora, 70'Youan on for Klidje, 82'Lazetic 90+4'Klidje 34'Youan 87'3.201.24AberdeenHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenHibernian

1.24 −0.17xG3.20 +1.33
0.78 −0.10xG on target1.43 −0.38
16 +3Shots19 +4
5 +1.5Shots on target7 +1.1
3 +1.1Big chances7 +4.0
21 −2Touches in the opposition box28 +3
54% +6Possession46% −3
495 +86Passes422 +12
83% +5Pass accuracy82% +2
52% +6Field tilt48% +1
37 +3Final-third entries48 +14
12 +1Box entries12 +1
11.3 −5Passes per defensive action13.1 −6
6 +1.6Corners3 −2.9
11 −4Tackles20 +10
5 −1.8Interceptions12 +4.9
24 −4Clearances33 +3
2 −0.5Saves4 +1.2
13 −2.0Fouls11 +2.1
4 +1.9Offsides3 +0.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Lazetic 80', 0.28 xGAouchiche 45+1', 0.13 xGAouchiche 10', 0.12 xGLazetic 65', 0.10 xGLazetic 87', 0.10 xGMolloy 3', 0.08 xGArmstrong 42', 0.06 xGMilanovic 53', 0.06 xGMilanovic 81', 0.05 xGMilanovic 50', 0.04 xGDorrington 51', 0.03 xGDevlin 87', 0.03 xGKarlsson 9', 0.02 xGKarlsson 21', 0.02 xGAouchiche 44', 0.02 xGClarkson 56', 0.02 xGLazetic 90+4', 0.08 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals66%0.82 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.82 xG, 1 goal2%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals30%0.37 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.37 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Klidje 51', 0.69 xGKlidje 51', 0.65 xGBowie 51', 0.36 xGCampbell 79', 0.24 xGBoyle 85', 0.08 xGC. Cadden 11', 0.07 xGC. Cadden 55', 0.07 xGC. Cadden 25', 0.06 xGN. Cadden 8', 0.05 xGMulligan 59', 0.05 xGBoyle 68', 0.05 xGMulligan 20', 0.04 xGHanley 72', 0.04 xGBowie 6', 0.03 xGBowie 39', 0.03 xGMcGrath 26', 0.02 xGN. Cadden 67', 0.01 xGYouan 87', 0.37 xG, goalKlidje 34', 0.31 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals87%2.79 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 2.79 xG, 2 goals9%0.29 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.29 xG, 0 goals3%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals1%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenHibernian

1.10 15 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.77 10 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks2.38 7 shots, 1 goal
0.14 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.05 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
34 min (35%) · Aberdeen 0.24, Hibernian 0.57 xG
Hibernian ahead
62 min (65%) · Aberdeen 1.01, Hibernian 2.62 xG

Line-ups

122252816182171517MitovDevlinMilneKnoesterJensenArmstrongPalaversaMolloyAouchicheNisbetKarlsson46'46'62'46'56'Aberdeen 3-4-3Jimmy Thelin154151220221917189SallingerO'HoraHanleyIredaleC. CaddenMulliganBarlaserN. CaddenMcGrathKlidjeBowieYellow cardYellow cardGoal70'60'69'82'59'Hibernian 3-4-1-2David Gray

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 46' Dorrington for Palaversa
  • 46' Clarkson for Jensen
  • 46' Milanovic for Aouchiche
  • 56' Lazetic for Nisbet · goal 90+4'
  • 62' Keskinen for Molloy

Hibernian substitutes

  • 59' Boyle for Bowie
  • 60' Chaiwa for C. Cadden
  • 69' Campbell for McGrath · 1 assist
  • 70' Bushiri for O'Hora
  • 82' Youan for Klidje · goal 87'

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0230
DevlinCB900.030.0200.0650
MilneCB900.000.0000.03113
KnoesterCB900.000.0100.1096
JensenRWB460.000.0310.0122
ArmstrongCM900.060.1720.2366
PalaversaCM460.000.0000.0102
MolloyLWB620.080.030−0.0125
AouchicheRW460.260.011−0.0513
NisbetST560.000.1020.0700
KarlssonLW900.030.2620.0860
DorringtonDF440.030.0000.0143
ClarksonMF440.020.0300.0862
MilanovicMF440.160.0100.0650
LazeticFW3410.560.0000.0910
KeskinenFW280.000.3120.3323

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SallingerGK900.000.0000.0220
O'HoraCB700.000.0100.02110
HanleyCB900.040.0000.12215
IredaleCB900.000.0100.0789
C. CaddenRWB600.190.0210.0433
Mulligan CM9010.080.3120.1468
Barlaser CM900.000.0440.09109
N. CaddenLWB900.060.1420.2375
McGrathAM690.020.0200.0023
KlidjeST8211.650.0210.1040
BowieST590.410.2310.0512
BoyleFW310.130.0920.1030
ChaiwaMF300.000.0000.0311
CampbellMF2110.240.0220.0321
BushiriDF200.000.0000.0014
YouanFW810.370.0000.0920

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Devlin and Palaversa: 4 passesDevlin and Karlsson: 4 passesJensen and Aouchiche: 4 passesArmstrong and Aouchiche: 4 passesMolloy and Armstrong: 5 passesMolloy and Aouchiche: 5 passesMolloy and Karlsson: 5 passesPalaversa and Aouchiche: 5 passesMitov and Milne: 6 passesKnoester and Molloy: 6 passesKnoester and Palaversa: 6 passesMilne and Palaversa: 6 passesMilne and Devlin: 7 passesKnoester and Milne: 8 passesPalaversa and Karlsson: 8 passesDevlin and Aouchiche: 9 passesPalaversa and Armstrong: 9 passesMitov and Knoester: 10 passesKnoester and Armstrong: 10 passesDevlin and Jensen: 10 passesJensen and Palaversa: 10 passesJensen and Karlsson: 10 passesArmstrong and Karlsson: 13 passesMitov: 11 completed passesKnoester: 29 completed passesMilne: 20 completed passesDevlin: 20 completed passesJensen: 22 completed passesMolloy: 12 completed passesPalaversa: 24 completed passesArmstrong: 24 completed passesAouchiche: 16 completed passesNisbet: 6 completed passesKarlsson: 23 completed passes152222821181671517MitovKnoesterMilneDevlinJensenMolloyPalaversaArmstrongAouchicheNisbetKarlssonStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Hibernian

Barlaser and N. Cadden: 4 passesMulligan and Klidje: 4 passesO'Hora and Mulligan: 5 passesBarlaser and Bowie: 5 passesMcGrath and Bowie: 5 passesSallinger and Iredale: 6 passesSallinger and O'Hora: 6 passesIredale and Klidje: 6 passesKlidje and Bowie: 6 passesO'Hora and C. Cadden: 7 passesN. Cadden and Klidje: 7 passesIredale and Barlaser: 8 passesMulligan and Bowie: 8 passesC. Cadden and Mulligan: 9 passesSallinger and Hanley: 10 passesO'Hora and Barlaser: 10 passesBarlaser and McGrath: 11 passesIredale and N. Cadden: 12 passesHanley and Barlaser: 12 passesBarlaser and Mulligan: 13 passesN. Cadden and McGrath: 14 passesIredale and McGrath: 15 passesO'Hora and Hanley: 19 passesIredale and Hanley: 24 passesSallinger: 17 completed passesIredale: 34 completed passesO'Hora: 31 completed passesHanley: 37 completed passesC. Cadden: 12 completed passesBarlaser: 42 completed passesMulligan: 25 completed passesN. Cadden: 24 completed passesMcGrath: 25 completed passesKlidje: 12 completed passesBowie: 13 completed passes115541222201917189SallingerIredaleO'HoraHanleyC. CaddenBarlaserMulliganN. CaddenMcGrathKlidjeBowieStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
KnoesterArmstrong12
KnoesterMitov12
MilneKnoester11
KnoesterKarlsson11
ArmstrongKnoester10

Hibernian

FromToPasses
HanleyIredale15
IredaleHanley13
O'HoraHanley13
N. CaddenIredale12
HanleyBarlaser11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

3−2.910+4.013+1.21−3.87−0.56−0.43−1.18−2.05−1.07+0.83−0.64−0.47+2.26+2.90−3.56+3.04+0.69+3.52−0.21−0.20−0.63+1.64+1.90−0.20−0.20−0.81+0.53+2.43−5.84−4.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Hibernian

4+0.27+1.019+5.64−3.51−4.27+2.48+2.019+13.410+4.03−2.611+6.25+0.611+8.23−0.540.05+0.99+5.81−1.22−0.16+2.81−0.54+3.10−0.84+3.25+2.91+0.60−0.61+0.62+1.20−0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.020.010.020.010.030.04−0.010.010.010.020.020.040.040.010.080.050.050.100.160.050.040.020.03−0.050.020.30LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.020.010.020.020.010.020.020.020.040.020.030.020.050.030.010.010.010.070.010.040.090.110.100.190.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackAberdeen1.26 → 1.25Hibernian1.52 → 1.57Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.35 → 1.40Hibernian1.18 → 1.16

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six32%24%−8
11th7%9%+2
Bottom2%4%+2
Hibernian
Title<1%1%+1
Top six89%94%+5

From the forecast before the match (26 October 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenHibernian
Expected goals1.281.36
Win35%38%
Expected Points1.311.42
Clean sheet26%28%

Aberdeen 35%Draw 27%Hibernian 38%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Hibernian goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%9%7%3%1%9%8%4%1%6%8%5%2%2%3%2%1%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 October 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawHibernian win
Aberdeen
Top six32%42%33%24%
11th7%5%8%9%
Bottom2%1%2%4%
Hibernian
Title<1%<1%<1%1%
Top six89%85%88%94%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. W1–018 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.05–0.48
  2. W4–05 OctDundee FC (H)xG 2.80–0.31
  3. L0–227 SepMotherwell (A)xG 1.00–2.03
  4. L0–223 SepDundee United (A)xG 1.33–1.33
  5. D0–013 SepLivingston (H)xG 1.22–0.56
  6. L0–131 AugFalkirk (H)xG 0.96–1.26

Hibernian

  1. W4–018 OctLivingston (H)xG 2.80–0.43
  2. L0–14 OctHearts (A)xG 0.39–0.80
  3. D0–027 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.70–2.80
  4. D2–223 SepFalkirk (A)xG 2.43–1.18
  5. D3–313 SepDundee United (H)xG 3.05–1.87
  6. D1–131 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.42–0.85

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenHibernian
Position11th5th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠52–⁠5–⁠1
Points7 (0.88 per game)11 (1.38 per game)
Expected Points per game1.601.90
Goals5–⁠914–⁠10
xG per game1.41–⁠1.021.87–⁠1.12
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.38–⁠0.821.50, 2.51–⁠1.02
Away: points, xG per game0.75, 1.44–⁠1.221.25, 1.23–⁠1.23
ManagerJimmy Thelin (46)David Gray (48)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackAberdeen1.26, 6thHibernian1.52, 4thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.35, 5thHibernian1.18, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctAberdeen attack: 1.26Hibernian attack: 1.521.521.26HibernianAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctAberdeen defence: 1.35Hibernian defence: 1.181.351.18

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−4%−21%−7%+1%
Counter-attacks+104%−80%+37%+59%
Set pieces−12%−12%+92%−53%
Penalties−37%−37%+89%−100%
Headers−20%−11%+20%−1%
Left side+18%−25%+62%+7%
Centre+5%−28%+27%−9%
Right side+1%−19%−6%−21%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdHibernian concededLeft side+18%−21%Centre+5%−9%Right side+1%+7%Open play−4%+1%Counter-attacks+104%+59%Set pieces−12%−53%Headers−20%−1%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdAberdeen concededLeft side+62%−19%Centre+27%−28%Right side−6%−25%Open play−7%−21%Counter-attacks+37%−80%Set pieces+92%−12%Headers+20%−11%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenHibernian

1.41xG1.87
1.02xG against1.12
48%Possession49%
13.4Shots14.6
11.9Shots against11.0
3.5Shots on target5.9
1.9Big chances3.0
23.1Touches in the opposition box25.0
409Passes410
78%Pass accuracy80%
4.4Corners5.9
46%Field tilt47%
33.6Final-third entries34.3
11.1Box entries10.8
16.3Passes per defensive action19.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level561.380.89
Ahead82.170.36
Behind251.251.54

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level561.231.24
Ahead262.230.87
Behind85.301.16

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.080–1
16–300.210.162–1
31–450.310.121–1
46–600.160.190–1
61–750.250.251–3
76–900.320.211–2

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.101–1
16–300.430.145–0
31–450.270.352–4
46–600.330.182–2
61–750.320.111–2
76–900.310.243–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 8Jensen 6Devlin 2Milne 6Dorrington 2Devlin 1Knoester 7Gyamfi 4Shinnie 2Devlin 1Nilsen 4Armstrong 3Clarkson 2Shinnie 4Palaversa 2Milanovic 4Devlin 1Aouchiche 1Aouchiche 5Polvara 2Jensen 1Karlsson 5Keskinen 3Nisbet 5Yengi 34-2-3-1 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-4-3 (1)

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTSallinger 4Smith 4O'Hora 7Hanley 5Bushiri 5Iredale 6Obita 1C. Cadden 5Mulligan 3Mulligan 4McGrath 2Chaiwa 2Barlaser 4Levitt 4N. Cadden 4Obita 4Boyle 4McGrath 1Campbell 1Bowie 7Klidje 2Boyle 2Hoilett 3McGrath 23-4-1-2 in 2 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-4-3 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 April 2025Aberdeen1–0HibernianxG 0.83–0.93
1 February 2025Hibernian2–0AberdeenxG 1.60–0.48
21 December 2024Aberdeen1–3HibernianxG 1.90–1.44
26 November 2024Hibernian3–3AberdeenxG 2.21–1.61
12 May 2024Hibernian0–4AberdeenxG 1.03–2.33
17 February 2024Aberdeen2–2HibernianxG 2.93–1.46

20 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 7, Hibernian won 9, and 4 were drawn. Goals 24–30 and xG 1.31–1.38 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Aouchiche6533100.230.07
Jensen7659000.080.07
Knoester7586000.030.05
Milne6584000.030.04

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McGrath5450310.450.32
Bowie7604310.410.18
Boyle6486100.360.09
Bushiri5450200.380.00

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.