Matches › 2024/25

Hibernian 2–0 Aberdeen

Saturday 1 February 2025, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 25 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 16,533

Hibernian Triantis 24', N. Cadden 48'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	Aberdeen
Goals	2	0
xG	1.60	0.48
Expected Points	2.29	0.48

Hibernian 68%Draw 24%Aberdeen 8%

Most likely score 1–0, 21%. Final score 2–0, 19%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianAberdeen

1.60 −0.10xG0.48 −0.74

2.09 +0.49xG on target0.28 −1.00

8 −5Shots7 −5

4 −0.2Shots on target3 −0.8

3 +0.5Big chances0 −1.8

12 −11Touches in the opposition box27 +2

38% −10Possession62% +8

346 +2Passes564 +127

77% +4Pass accuracy83% +5

32% −20Field tilt68% +17

24 −12Final-third entries54 +17

4 −6Box entries14 +1

25.8 +11Passes per defensive action22.5 +9

2 −4.1Corners8 +2.7

12 −2Tackles10 −8

10 +2.4Interceptions3 −4.0

47 +17Clearances17 −14

3 +0.2Saves2 −0.8

8 −3Fouls3 −9

4 +2.3Offsides0 −1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

Aberdeen

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianAberdeen

1.17 6 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.26 4 shots, 0 goals

0.43 2 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.23 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–0

Level: 24 min (25%) · Hibernian 0.46, Aberdeen 0.04 xG
Hibernian ahead: 71 min (75%) · Hibernian 1.15, Aberdeen 0.44 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

62' Bowie for Gayle
73' Miller for C. Cadden
73' Kwon for Levitt
86' Obita for N. Cadden
86' Hoilett for Boyle

Aberdeen substitutes

60' MacKenzie for Devlin
60' Nisbet for Keskinen
60' Ambrose for Okkels
72' Duk for Gueye
84' Morris for Palaversa

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Smith	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	5	2
O'Hora	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.08	7	14
Bushiri	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	3	9
Iredale	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	8
C. Cadden	RWB	73			0.00	0.06	1	0.11	6	7
Triantis	CM	90	1		0.43	0.01	0	−0.01	2	14
Levitt	CM	73			0.00	0.01	0	0.00	1	2
N. Cadden	LWB	86	1		0.35	0.19	1	0.02	3	4
Campbell	AM	90		1	0.00	0.51	1	−0.04	2	3
Boyle	ST	86			0.67	0.08	0	0.09	4	0
Gayle	ST	62		1	0.04	0.00	1	0.00	0	1
Bowie	FW	28			0.11	0.01	1	0.01	1	0
Miller	DF	17			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Kwon	MF	17			0.00	0.02	1	0.02	1	3
Obita	DF	4			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	3
Hoilett	MF	4			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Aberdeen

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Doohan	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	1
Devlin	RB	60	0.00	0.01	0	0.07	6	4
Tobers	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.07	3	8
Dorrington	CB	90	0.13	0.00	1	0.06	2	7
Jensen	LB	90	0.00	0.15	0	0.27	11	1
Palaversa	DM	84	0.00	0.04	0	0.11	9	0
Shinnie	DM	90	0.02	0.05	0	0.06	5	4
Keskinen	RW	60	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Clarkson	AM	90	0.04	0.09	1	0.06	10	2
Okkels	LW	60	0.00	0.23	0	0.20	5	0
Gueye	ST	72	0.00	0.02	1	−0.03	1	0
MacKenzie	DF	30	0.01	0.03	1	0.09	8	3
Nisbet	FW	30	0.18	0.01	0	0.00	0	0
Ambrose	FW	30	0.09	0.00	0	−0.07	0	0
Duk	FW	18	0.00	0.01	0	0.00	3	1
Morris	FW	6	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Aberdeen

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
O'Hora	Bushiri	19
Bushiri	O'Hora	17
Bushiri	Iredale	15
O'Hora	C. Cadden	11
Iredale	Bushiri	10

Aberdeen

From	To	Passes
Tobers	Dorrington	15
Tobers	Palaversa	14
Dorrington	Tobers	13
Palaversa	Shinnie	12
Jensen	Shinnie	11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 24 matches

Aberdeen

Against its average of 24 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

Aberdeen

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	72%	81%	+9
11th	1%	<1%	−1
Aberdeen
Top six	82%	76%	−6
11th	1%	1%	0

From the forecast before the match (1 February 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	Aberdeen
Expected goals	1.88	0.98
Win	58%	19%
Expected Points	1.97	0.80
Clean sheet	38%	15%

Hibernian 58%Draw 23%Aberdeen 19%

Most likely score 1–1, 11%. Both sides score 53%.

From the forecast as it stood on 1 February 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	Aberdeen win
Hibernian
Top six	72%	81%	64%	52%
11th	1%	<1%	1%	2%
Aberdeen
Top six	82%	76%	86%	96%
11th	1%	1%	1%	<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

Aberdeen

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	Aberdeen
Position	6th	4th
Played	24	24
Won, drawn, lost	7–⁠9–⁠8	10–⁠5–⁠9
Points	30 (1.25 per game)	35 (1.46 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.52	1.11
Goals	35–⁠37	32–⁠36
xG per game	1.70–⁠1.44	1.22–⁠1.69
Home: points, xG per game	1.42, 1.89–⁠1.23	1.77, 1.49–⁠1.40
Away: points, xG per game	1.08, 1.50–⁠1.66	1.09, 0.91–⁠2.05
Manager	David Gray (26)	Jimmy Thelin (24)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		Aberdeen
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+3%	−13%	+4%	+19%
Counter-attacks	−8%	+51%	−26%	−22%
Set pieces	+43%	+7%	−27%	+38%
Penalties	+64%	+17%	−77%	−7%
Headers	+13%	−2%	−10%	+23%
Left side	−7%	−22%	+13%	+3%
Centre	+28%	+11%	−13%	+27%
Right side	average	−5%	−15%	+25%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdAberdeen concededLeft side−7%+25%Centre+28%+27%Right sideaverage+3%Open play+3%+19%Counter-attacks−8%−22%Set pieces+43%+38%Headers+13%+23%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdHibernian concededLeft side+13%−5%Centre−13%+11%Right side−15%−22%Open play+4%−13%Counter-attacks−26%+51%Set pieces−27%+7%Headers−10%−2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianAberdeen

1.70xG1.22

1.44xG against1.69

48%Possession54%

13.0Shots12.0

11.7Shots against14.0

4.2Shots on target3.8

2.5Big chances1.8

23.4Touches in the opposition box25.2

344Passes437

73%Pass accuracy78%

6.1Corners5.3

52%Field tilt51%

36.1Final-third entries37.0

10.1Box entries13.1

15.0Passes per defensive action13.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	39	1.69	1.40
Ahead	25	1.63	1.29
Behind	26	1.77	1.66

Aberdeen

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	48	1.08	1.66
Ahead	20	1.27	1.74
Behind	22	1.50	1.73

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.15	0.27	2–6
16–30	0.31	0.26	6–5
31–45	0.30	0.15	9–6
46–60	0.21	0.19	3–4
61–75	0.38	0.18	6–1
76–90	0.34	0.41	9–15

Aberdeen

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.18	0.22	3–2
16–30	0.13	0.21	3–7
31–45	0.18	0.34	5–8
46–60	0.25	0.16	8–3
61–75	0.20	0.30	5–4
76–90	0.28	0.48	8–12

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (9), 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-3-3 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

Aberdeen

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
21 December 2024	Aberdeen	1–3	Hibernian	xG 1.90–1.44
26 November 2024	Hibernian	3–3	Aberdeen	xG 2.21–1.61
12 May 2024	Hibernian	0–4	Aberdeen	xG 1.03–2.33
17 February 2024	Aberdeen	2–2	Hibernian	xG 2.93–1.46
3 December 2023	Hibernian	2–0	Aberdeen	xG 1.73–3.86
3 September 2023	Aberdeen	0–2	Hibernian	xG 0.98–1.23

18 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 8, Aberdeen won 6, and 4 were drawn. Goals 28–23 and xG 1.39–1.39 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Kukharevych	13	983	3	0	0.57	0.02
N. Cadden	14	1,136	4	3	0.28	0.30
Hoilett	12	982	2	1	0.31	0.27
Boyle	15	1,439	7	3	0.40	0.12

Aberdeen

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
McGrath	19	1,567	4	6	0.24	0.22
Duk	8	918	0	2	0.25	0.20
Morris	5	736	1	5	0.14	0.24
Sokler	12	895	2	1	0.31	0.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.