Matches › 2025/26

Hibernian 2–0 Aberdeen

Tuesday 30 December 2025, 19:45 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 20 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Dan McFarlane · Attendance 18,848

Hibernian Klidje 60', Hoilett 90+1'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	Aberdeen
Goals	2	0
xG	1.64	0.57
Expected Points	2.19	0.56

Hibernian 65%Draw 25%Aberdeen 10%

Most likely score 1–0, 18%. Final score 2–0, 16%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianAberdeen

1.64 −0.08xG0.57 −0.79

1.21 −0.35xG on target0.27 −0.90

20 +7Shots8 −5

5 −0.2Shots on target2 −2.2

2 −0.6Big chances1 −0.9

36 +12Touches in the opposition box20 −1

58% +10Possession42% −7

538 +143Passes384 −23

86% +7Pass accuracy80% +2

67% +21Field tilt33% −14

59 +24Final-third entries31 −6

19 +8Box entries7 −4

13.7 −4Passes per defensive action14.8 −1

4 −1.3Corners5 −0.1

11 −1Tackles10 −5

11 +3.1Interceptions11 +4.9

19 −9Clearances26 −7

2 −1.3Saves3 +0.2

8 −3Fouls14 0

3 +1.2Offsides4 +2.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

Aberdeen

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianAberdeen

0.82 15 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.44 5 shots, 0 goals

0.54 1 shot, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.29 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.13 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–0

Level: 62 min (61%) · Hibernian 1.09, Aberdeen 0.33 xG
Hibernian ahead: 39 min (39%) · Hibernian 0.55, Aberdeen 0.24 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

41' Youan for Boyle · 1 assist
72' Hoilett for Klidje · goal 90+1'
90+2' Newell for Campbell

Aberdeen substitutes

55' Shinnie for Kjartansson
66' Bilalovic for Karlsson
66' Keskinen for Armstrong
67' Nisbet for Lazetic
83' Milanovic for Gyamfi

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Sallinger	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	0
O'Hora	CB	90			0.05	0.09	2	0.15	9	13
Hanley	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.14	8	4
Iredale	CB	90			0.10	0.03	0	0.13	11	0
Megwa	RWB	90			0.03	0.01	0	−0.01	3	4
Mulligan	CM	90		1	0.25	0.35	2	0.15	9	2
Barlaser	CM	90			0.02	0.13	1	0.08	7	4
McGrath	LWB	90			0.03	0.46	8	0.14	6	6
Campbell	AM	90			0.03	0.33	2	0.09	2	4
Boyle	ST	41			0.05	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Klidje	ST	72	1		0.59	0.01	0	−0.04	0	1
Youan	FW	49		1	0.27	0.59	4	0.30	5	2
Hoilett	MF	18	1		0.24	0.02	0	0.01	2	0
Newell	MF	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	2

Aberdeen

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Mitov	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Devlin	CB	90	0.00	0.00	1	0.02	0	3
Milne	CB	90	0.08	0.00	0	0.03	0	11
Knoester	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.05	6	12
Jensen	RWB	90	0.15	0.06	0	0.07	2	7
Kjartansson	CM	55	0.00	0.01	0	0.00	0	4
Armstrong	CM	66	0.01	0.28	2	0.21	4	3
Aouchiche	CM	90	0.08	0.06	2	0.02	8	4
Gyamfi	LWB	83	0.00	0.01	0	0.01	2	0
Lazetic	ST	67	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Karlsson	ST	66	0.14	0.02	0	0.00	2	3
Shinnie	MF	35	0.00	0.01	0	0.02	0	2
Bilalovic	FW	24	0.07	0.00	0	0.07	1	0
Keskinen	FW	24	0.00	0.31	2	0.23	2	0
Nisbet	FW	23	0.03	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
Milanovic	MF	7	0.00	0.01	0	0.02	3	2

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Aberdeen

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
McGrath	Iredale	24
Iredale	McGrath	21
Barlaser	Iredale	19
Iredale	Hanley	17
Hanley	Barlaser	16

Aberdeen

From	To	Passes
Jensen	Aouchiche	10
Aouchiche	Knoester	9
Armstrong	Aouchiche	9
Aouchiche	Jensen	9
Devlin	Milne	9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 19 matches

Aberdeen

Against its average of 18 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

Aberdeen

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	96%	99%	+3
Aberdeen
Top six	53%	47%	−6
11th	1%	1%	0
Falkirk
Top six	25%	27%	+2
11th	3%	3%	0
Dundee United
Top six	16%	17%	+1

From the forecast before the match (30 December 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	Aberdeen
Expected goals	1.80	0.97
Win	56%	20%
Expected Points	1.93	0.83
Clean sheet	38%	17%

Hibernian 56%Draw 24%Aberdeen 20%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 52%.

From the forecast as it stood on 30 December 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	Aberdeen win
Hibernian
Top six	96%	99%	95%	92%
Aberdeen
Top six	53%	47%	55%	69%
11th	1%	1%	<1%	<1%
Falkirk
Top six	25%	27%	25%	19%
11th	3%	3%	3%	3%
Dundee United
Top six	16%	17%	16%	13%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

Aberdeen

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	Aberdeen
Position	5th	6th
Played	19	18
Won, drawn, lost	7–⁠7–⁠5	7–⁠4–⁠7
Points	28 (1.47 per game)	25 (1.39 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.75	1.35
Goals	31–⁠22	20–⁠21
xG per game	1.72–⁠1.18	1.36–⁠1.45
Home: points, xG per game	1.67, 2.17–⁠0.97	1.30, 1.51–⁠1.31
Away: points, xG per game	1.30, 1.31–⁠1.36	1.50, 1.17–⁠1.63
Manager	David Gray (59)	Jimmy Thelin (56)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		Aberdeen
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−2%	average	−3%	−6%
Counter-attacks	+102%	−2%	+19%	+36%
Set pieces	+18%	−47%	+3%	+28%
Penalties	+89%	−37%	−33%	−33%
Headers	+10%	−27%	−34%	+15%
Left side	+29%	+15%	+25%	+14%
Centre	+15%	−19%	−5%	+3%
Right side	+6%	−28%	−11%	+14%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdAberdeen concededLeft side+29%+14%Centre+15%+3%Right side+6%+14%Open play−2%−6%Counter-attacks+102%+36%Set pieces+18%+28%Headers+10%+15%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdHibernian concededLeft side+25%−28%Centre−5%−19%Right side−11%+15%Open play−3%averageCounter-attacks+19%−2%Set pieces+3%−47%Headers−34%−27%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianAberdeen

1.72xG1.36

1.18xG against1.45

48%Possession49%

12.9Shots13.2

11.3Shots against14.0

5.2Shots on target4.2

2.6Big chances1.9

23.7Touches in the opposition box21.1

395Passes407

79%Pass accuracy78%

5.3Corners5.1

46%Field tilt47%

35.2Final-third entries37.2

10.5Box entries10.8

17.6Passes per defensive action15.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	40	1.45	1.18
Ahead	32	1.89	1.24
Behind	19	1.99	1.05

Aberdeen

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	51	1.26	1.25
Ahead	16	0.90	1.41
Behind	22	1.93	1.96

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.23	0.09	3–2
16–30	0.25	0.23	7–5
31–45	0.28	0.26	7–6
46–60	0.42	0.13	7–2
61–75	0.22	0.10	1–3
76–90	0.30	0.37	6–4

Aberdeen

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.13	0.16	0–1
16–30	0.16	0.20	5–3
31–45	0.28	0.20	2–3
46–60	0.22	0.34	1–3
61–75	0.26	0.22	5–4
76–90	0.31	0.33	7–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (8), 3-1-4-2 (4), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-4-3 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

Aberdeen

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 4-2-3-1 (6), 3-4-3 (4), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
26 October 2025	Aberdeen	1–2	Hibernian	xG 1.24–3.20
26 April 2025	Aberdeen	1–0	Hibernian	xG 0.83–0.93
1 February 2025	Hibernian	2–0	Aberdeen	xG 1.60–0.48
21 December 2024	Aberdeen	1–3	Hibernian	xG 1.90–1.44
26 November 2024	Hibernian	3–3	Aberdeen	xG 2.21–1.61
12 May 2024	Hibernian	0–4	Aberdeen	xG 1.03–2.33

21 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 10, Aberdeen won 7, and 4 were drawn. Goals 32–25 and xG 1.46–1.31 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Klidje	5	575	2	1	0.73	0.05
Boyle	14	1,159	4	0	0.49	0.10
Bowie	17	1,427	8	3	0.34	0.14
McGrath	16	1,304	6	3	0.27	0.19

Aberdeen

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Karlsson	13	1,078	5	0	0.38	0.13
Nisbet	9	736	1	1	0.22	0.16
Armstrong	13	1,108	1	3	0.16	0.22
Lazetic	6	674	4	1	0.34	0.01

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.