Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Aberdeen 1–0 Hibernian

Saturday 26 April 2025, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 34 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 17,396

Aberdeen Nisbet 80'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenHibernian
Goals10
xG0.830.93
Expected Points1.231.41

Aberdeen 29%Draw 36%Hibernian 35%

Most likely score 0–0, 17%. Final score 1–0, 14%.

Hibernian goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+7%2%7%2%5%6%3%1%1%17%16%14%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTOkkels on for Morris and McGrath on for Gueye, 57'Polvara on for Palaversa and Dabbagh on for Keskinen, 74'Gayle on for Bowie, 61'N. Cadden on for Levitt, 70'Hoilett on for Iredale and Kukharevych on for C. Cadden, 84'Nisbet 80'Hibernian 0.93Aberdeen 0.8300.250.50.7510153045607590HTOkkels on for Morris and McGrath on for Gueye, 57'Polvara on for Palaversa and Dabbagh on for Keskinen, 74'Gayle on for Bowie, 61'N. Cadden on for Levitt, 70'Hoilett on for Iredale and Kukharevych on for C. Cadden, 84'Nisbet 80'0.930.83AberdeenHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenHibernian

0.83 −0.43xG0.93 −0.65
1.52 +0.25xG on target0.00 −1.58
15 +3Shots12 0
5 +1.2Shots on target0 −4.0
0 −1.8Big chances2 −0.5
21 −4Touches in the opposition box13 −10
56% +2Possession44% −2
493 +56Passes378 +45
84% +6Pass accuracy77% +5
74% +21Field tilt26% −23
39 0Final-third entries27 −7
14 +1Box entries2 −8
18.6 +6Passes per defensive action32.7 +17
10 +4.3Corners5 −0.7
9 −8Tackles11 −2
10 +3.5Interceptions3 −4.9
28 −4Clearances30 −3
0 −2.7Saves4 +1.3
6 −5Fouls7 −4
5 +3.5Offsides0 −1.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Dabbagh 90+1', 0.19 xGDabbagh 90+4', 0.10 xGOkkels 86', 0.09 xGKeskinen 18', 0.07 xGGueye 18', 0.05 xGMcGrath 61', 0.05 xGNisbet 35', 0.04 xGMorris 31', 0.03 xGNisbet 90+4', 0.03 xGShinnie 23', 0.02 xGKeskinen 25', 0.02 xGPolvara 90+2', 0.02 xGShinnie 7', 0.01 xGDabbagh 82', 0.01 xGNisbet 80', 0.10 xG, goal6%0.05 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals46%0.38 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.38 xG, 0 goals22%0.18 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals25%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.21 xG, 1 goal1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Campbell 11', 0.23 xGBushiri 65', 0.18 xGBowie 25', 0.12 xGBowie 25', 0.09 xGIredale 13', 0.08 xGCampbell 72', 0.06 xGTriantis 90+5', 0.05 xGBoyle 5', 0.04 xGKukharevych 90+5', 0.03 xGCampbell 49', 0.02 xGC. Cadden 51', 0.02 xGCampbell 48', 0.01 xG43%0.40 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.40 xG, 0 goals34%0.31 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.31 xG, 0 goals5%0.05 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals16%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenHibernian

0.69 10 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.42 8 shots, 0 goals
0.14 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.51 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
80 min (84%) · Aberdeen 0.39, Hibernian 0.86 xG
Aberdeen ahead
15 min (16%) · Aberdeen 0.44, Hibernian 0.08 xG

Line-ups

128265418102014819MitovJensenDorringtonKnoesterShinniePalaversaClarksonMorrisGueyeKeskinenNisbetYellow cardYellow cardGoal74'57'57'74'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Jimmy Thelin13533151232266212010SmithO'HoraBushiriIredaleC. CaddenCampbellTriantisLevittObitaBowieBoyleYellow card84'84'70'61'Hibernian 3-5-2David Gray

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 57' McGrath for Gueye
  • 57' Okkels for Morris
  • 74' Polvara for Palaversa · yellow card 90+2'
  • 74' Dabbagh for Keskinen

Hibernian substitutes

  • 61' Gayle for Bowie
  • 70' N. Cadden for Levitt
  • 84' Hoilett for Iredale
  • 84' Kukharevych for C. Cadden · yellow card 87'

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0101
JensenRB900.000.0200.0165
DorringtonCB900.000.0100.03213
KnoesterCB900.000.0100.13610
ShinnieLB900.030.1320.1577
Palaversa DM740.000.0200.0133
ClarksonDM900.000.0420.0542
MorrisRW570.030.0310.0442
GueyeAM570.050.0810.0321
Keskinen LW740.090.0000.1292
NisbetST9010.160.0110.0002
McGrathFW330.050.0100.0001
OkkelsFW330.090.0220.0610
Polvara MF160.020.1320.1132
DabbaghFW160.300.0000.0921

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SmithGK900.000.0000.0692
O'HoraCB900.000.0000.03413
BushiriCB900.180.0000.0239
Iredale CB840.080.0100.10112
C. CaddenRWB840.020.0410.1174
CampbellCM900.330.0610.0832
TriantisCM900.050.010−0.0123
LevittCM700.000.0110.0116
ObitaLWB900.000.4020.0492
BowieST610.210.010−0.0102
BoyleST900.040.011−0.0121
GayleFW290.000.0000.0000
N. CaddenDF200.000.0000.0131
HoilettMF60.000.0000.0002
Kukharevych FW60.030.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Palaversa and Morris: 4 passesMorris and Gueye: 4 passesJensen and Gueye: 5 passesGueye and Keskinen: 5 passesMitov and Shinnie: 6 passesJensen and Clarkson: 6 passesShinnie and Palaversa: 6 passesClarkson and Gueye: 6 passesShinnie and Keskinen: 8 passesDorrington and Clarkson: 9 passesKnoester and Palaversa: 10 passesJensen and Morris: 12 passesMitov and Knoester: 13 passesShinnie and Gueye: 13 passesMitov and Dorrington: 14 passesDorrington and Palaversa: 14 passesPalaversa and Clarkson: 14 passesJensen and Dorrington: 17 passesKnoester and Clarkson: 17 passesKnoester and Dorrington: 18 passesKnoester and Shinnie: 18 passesShinnie and Clarkson: 19 passesJensen and Palaversa: 22 passesMitov: 24 completed passesJensen: 32 completed passesKnoester: 45 completed passesDorrington: 38 completed passesShinnie: 43 completed passesPalaversa: 40 completed passesClarkson: 36 completed passesMorris: 14 completed passesGueye: 20 completed passesKeskinen: 4 completed passesNisbet: 3 completed passes128526418102014819MitovJensenKnoesterDorringtonShinniePalaversaClarksonMorrisGueyeKeskinenNisbetStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Hibernian

Smith and Obita: 4 passesSmith and Campbell: 4 passesIredale and Campbell: 4 passesBushiri and Levitt: 4 passesO'Hora and Triantis: 4 passesO'Hora and Levitt: 4 passesC. Cadden and Levitt: 4 passesObita and Bowie: 4 passesBushiri and Triantis: 5 passesTriantis and Campbell: 5 passesIredale and Triantis: 6 passesIredale and Levitt: 6 passesO'Hora and C. Cadden: 6 passesObita and Boyle: 6 passesTriantis and Obita: 7 passesC. Cadden and Triantis: 8 passesTriantis and Levitt: 9 passesSmith and Bushiri: 10 passesSmith and Iredale: 12 passesBushiri and O'Hora: 13 passesObita and Campbell: 13 passesIredale and Obita: 14 passesIredale and Bushiri: 18 passesSmith: 25 completed passesIredale: 33 completed passesBushiri: 30 completed passesO'Hora: 16 completed passesC. Cadden: 12 completed passesTriantis: 27 completed passesLevitt: 20 completed passesObita: 24 completed passesCampbell: 15 completed passesBoyle: 8 completed passesBowie: 5 completed passes13153351226621321020SmithIredaleBushiriO'HoraC. CaddenTriantisLevittObitaCampbellBoyleBowieStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
KnoesterClarkson17
JensenDorrington17
DorringtonKnoester16
JensenPalaversa15
KnoesterShinnie14

Hibernian

FromToPasses
IredaleObita14
BushiriIredale14
IredaleBushiri13
SmithIredale11
BushiriSmith11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

1−3.94−1.920+3.54−3.61−4.77+0.47+1.23−2.36−1.67−0.37+1.66+2.31−2.57+1.46+0.210+6.31−2.20−2.93−0.33−1.53+1.10−1.60−1.61−0.63−0.53+2.10−0.30−0.40−0.40−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Hibernian

2−2.79+2.413−2.75−2.68+3.06−0.812+6.44−2.43−3.75−1.62−2.94−0.31−2.17+1.83−1.91−2.74+0.30−2.31−2.51−3.61−0.92+0.60−1.10−1.40−2.20−0.70−0.52+1.30−0.40−0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.020.010.030.020.020.040.010.030.010.040.020.050.050.010.050.040.020.080.080.090.09LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.040.010.020.010.040.040.010.010.030.020.030.01−0.020.010.030.010.020.03−0.020.07LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackAberdeen1.26 → 1.26Hibernian1.51 → 1.49Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.39 → 1.38Hibernian1.14 → 1.15

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenHibernian
Expected goals1.261.39
Win34%39%
Expected Points1.281.45
Clean sheet25%28%

Aberdeen 34%Draw 27%Hibernian 39%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Hibernian goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%9%7%3%1%8%9%4%1%6%8%5%2%2%3%2%1%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 April 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. D2–213 AprRangers (H)xG 2.44–1.18
  2. W1–05 AprRoss County (A)xG 1.47–1.19
  3. W4–129 MarMotherwell (H)xG 1.58–1.21
  4. D0–015 MarSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.58–0.64
  5. D2–22 MarDundee United (H)xG 1.98–0.53
  6. L1–525 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.85–2.72

Hibernian

  1. W4–013 AprDundee FC (H)xG 2.00–0.14
  2. W2–05 AprRangers (A)xG 0.52–1.36
  3. W3–029 MarSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.12–0.02
  4. D1–115 MarKilmarnock (A)xG 2.01–0.64
  5. W2–12 MarHearts (H)xG 0.61–0.69
  6. W3–126 FebDundee United (A)xG 1.53–0.71

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenHibernian
Position4th3rd
Played3333
Won, drawn, lost14–⁠8–⁠1114–⁠11–⁠8
Points50 (1.52 per game)53 (1.61 per game)
Expected Points per game1.211.58
Goals45–⁠4954–⁠41
xG per game1.26–⁠1.571.58–⁠1.25
Home: points, xG per game1.82, 1.55–⁠1.261.88, 1.75–⁠1.05
Away: points, xG per game1.19, 0.95–⁠1.901.31, 1.40–⁠1.46
ManagerJimmy Thelin (33)David Gray (35)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackAberdeen1.26, 5thHibernian1.51, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.39, 7thHibernian1.14, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprAberdeen attack: 1.26Hibernian attack: 1.511.511.26HibernianAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprAberdeen defence: 1.39Hibernian defence: 1.141.391.14

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+3%+13%−8%−22%
Counter-attacks−12%−9%+27%+31%
Set pieces−18%+26%+34%−9%
Penalties−79%−17%+66%+4%
Headers−13%+17%+11%−16%
Left side+6%+12%+14%−30%
Centre−9%+14%+9%−6%
Right side−5%+17%−3%−11%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdHibernian concededLeft side+6%−11%Centre−9%−6%Right side−5%−30%Open play+3%−22%Counter-attacks−12%+31%Set pieces−18%−9%Headers−13%−16%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdAberdeen concededLeft side+14%+17%Centre+9%+14%Right side−3%+12%Open play−8%+13%Counter-attacks+27%−9%Set pieces+34%+26%Headers+11%+17%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenHibernian

1.26xG1.58
1.57xG against1.25
54%Possession46%
12.0Shots12.5
13.4Shots against11.0
3.8Shots on target4.0
1.8Big chances2.5
25.5Touches in the opposition box22.8
436Passes333
78%Pass accuracy72%
5.7Corners5.7
54%Field tilt49%
38.9Final-third entries34.2
13.4Box entries10.2
13.1Passes per defensive action15.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.151.42
Ahead221.271.78
Behind221.481.69

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.531.18
Ahead321.511.09
Behind201.781.63

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.184–3
16–300.200.214–11
31–450.200.299–10
46–600.200.179–6
61–750.190.276–5
76–900.310.4513–14

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.215–8
16–300.320.2212–5
31–450.240.1410–6
46–600.180.164–4
61–750.350.179–2
76–900.340.3514–16

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 19Doohan 14Devlin 24Jensen 8Milne 1Rubezic 20Tobers 8Dorrington 5Molloy 19Knoester 8Nilsen 2MacKenzie 23McGarry 5Shinnie 3Shinnie 23Palaversa 14Keskinen 2Nilsen 23Clarkson 4Keskinen 18Morris 8Okkels 2Clarkson 13Gueye 9McGrath 4McGrath 13Keskinen 8Okkels 7Nisbet 17Sokler 11Gueye 24-2-3-1 in every start

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTSmith 20Bursik 13Iredale 20Miller 7Boyle 5Bushiri 21Ekpiteta 12O'Hora 26C. Cadden 18Miller 14Obita 1Triantis 24Kwon 5Moriah-Welsh 3Newell 15Obita 10Levitt 7N. Cadden 14Kwon 7Triantis 5Campbell 13Hoilett 7Boyle 5Kukharevych 16Campbell 2Vente 1Boyle 14Hoilett 9Gayle 73-4-1-2 in 16 of 33 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (16), 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-3-3 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
1 February 2025Hibernian2–0AberdeenxG 1.60–0.48
21 December 2024Aberdeen1–3HibernianxG 1.90–1.44
26 November 2024Hibernian3–3AberdeenxG 2.21–1.61
12 May 2024Hibernian0–4AberdeenxG 1.03–2.33
17 February 2024Aberdeen2–2HibernianxG 2.93–1.46
3 December 2023Hibernian2–0AberdeenxG 1.73–3.86

19 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 6, Hibernian won 9, and 4 were drawn. Goals 23–30 and xG 1.34–1.40 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Gueye12961610.430.06
McGrath191,567460.240.22
Duk8936020.250.20
Nisbet181,588950.340.07

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kukharevych171,270400.540.02
Hoilett161,312420.290.26
N. Cadden191,563550.250.27
Boyle242,1651150.380.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.