Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Celtic 1–2 Hibernian

Sunday 22 February 2026, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 28 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 58,687

Celtic Nygren 45' · Trusty sent off 74'

Hibernian Passlack 24', Andrews 88'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticHibernian
Goals12
xG1.940.80
Expected Points2.170.60

Celtic 65%Draw 23%Hibernian 12%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Final score 1–2, 4%.

Hibernian goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+5%5%2%4%5%7%8%3%3%3%1%1%1%11%13%12%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTTrusty (Celtic), red card 74'Maeda on for Oxlade-Chamberlain and Hatate on for Cvancara, 60'Forrest on for Tounekti, 69'Saracchi on for Tierney, 70'Arthur on for Yang, 74'Scarlett on for Elding and Suto on for Boyle, 60'Andrews on for Barlaser and Campbell on for Cadden, 78'Nygren 45'Passlack 24'Andrews 88'Celtic 1.94Hibernian 0.8001230153045607590HTTrusty (Celtic), red card 74'Maeda on for Oxlade-Chamberlain and Hatate on for Cvancara, 60'Forrest on for Tounekti, 69'Saracchi on for Tierney, 70'Arthur on for Yang, 74'Scarlett on for Elding and Suto on for Boyle, 60'Andrews on for Barlaser and Campbell on for Cadden, 78'Nygren 45'Passlack 24'Andrews 88'1.940.80CelticHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticHibernian

1.94 −0.28xG0.80 −0.87
0.94 −1.24xG on target1.33 −0.21
21 +4Shots8 −5
3 −2.8Shots on target4 −1.1
2 −1.7Big chances2 −0.4
62 +26Touches in the opposition box13 −12
61% −7Possession39% −10
637 +7Passes409 +7
89% +2Pass accuracy81% +2
88% +12Field tilt12% −37
78 +11Final-third entries19 −17
37 +16Box entries7 −4
14.9 +5Passes per defensive action23.7 +7
11 +4.2Corners1 −4.3
10 −4Tackles10 −2
7 0.0Interceptions11 +2.6
17 −9Clearances35 +6
2 −0.3Saves2 −0.8
8 −4Fouls7 −4
1 −0.6Offsides3 +1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Yang 32', 0.23 xGCvancara 42', 0.19 xGCvancara 37', 0.17 xGYang 65', 0.10 xGCvancara 18', 0.08 xGCvancara 39', 0.07 xGTrusty 49', 0.07 xGMcGregor 90+2', 0.07 xGForrest 71', 0.06 xGNygren 17', 0.05 xGOxlade-Chamberlain 31', 0.05 xGYang 43', 0.05 xGNygren 48', 0.05 xGMcGregor 55', 0.05 xGTierney 21', 0.04 xGNygren 54', 0.04 xGNygren 56', 0.04 xGForrest 83', 0.04 xGNygren 40', 0.02 xGAraujo 90+1', 0.02 xGNygren 45', 0.43 xG, goal30%0.58 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.58 xG, 1 goal48%0.93 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 0.93 xG, 0 goals9%0.17 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals11%0.22 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals2%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Boyle 27', 0.12 xGCadden 10', 0.07 xGElding 24', 0.07 xGBoyle 24', 0.04 xGSuto 81', 0.04 xGChaiwa 67', 0.02 xGPasslack 24', 0.38 xG, goalAndrews 87', 0.07 xG, goal48%0.38 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.38 xG, 1 goal12%0.10 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals24%0.19 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals16%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticHibernian

1.71 17 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.80 8 shots, 2 goals
0.24 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
67 min (73%) · Celtic 0.62, Hibernian 0.68 xG
Hibernian ahead
25 min (27%) · Celtic 1.32, Hibernian 0.12 xG

Line-ups

122656342211382311SchmeichelAraujoTrustyScalesTierneyMcGregorOxlade-ChamberlainYangNygrenTounektiCvancaraSent offYellow cardYellow cardGoal70'60'74'69'60'Celtic 4-2-3-1Martin O'Neill15331525142219174710SallingerO'HoraBushiriIredalePasslackChaiwaBarlaserCaddenMcGrathEldingBoyleGoalYellow card78'78'60'60'Hibernian 3-4-1-2David Gray

Celtic substitutes

  • 60' Hatate for Cvancara
  • 60' Maeda for Oxlade-Chamberlain
  • 69' Forrest for Tounekti
  • 70' Saracchi for Tierney
  • 74' Arthur for Yang

Hibernian substitutes

  • 60' Suto for Boyle · 1 assist
  • 60' Scarlett for Elding
  • 78' Campbell for Cadden
  • 78' Andrews for Barlaser · goal 88'
  • 89' Molotnikov

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchmeichelGK900.000.0000.0101
AraujoRB900.020.3810.4093
Trusty CB740.070.0100.0417
Scales CB900.000.0300.18148
TierneyLB7010.040.9940.68132
McGregor DM900.120.1000.0923
Oxlade-ChamberlainDM600.050.103−0.0313
YangRW740.380.4230.1683
NygrenAM9010.640.3510.0740
TounektiLW690.000.1810.30152
CvancaraST600.520.211−0.1000
HatateMF300.000.0900.2531
MaedaFW300.000.000−0.0102
ForrestFW210.100.061−0.1130
SaracchiDF200.000.0520.1240
ArthurDF160.000.0000.0212

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SallingerGK900.000.0000.0211
O'HoraCB900.000.0000.04313
BushiriCB900.000.000−0.01011
IredaleCB900.000.1010.2058
PasslackRWB9010.380.1020.0938
ChaiwaCM900.020.0210.0676
BarlaserCM780.000.0000.0004
Cadden LWB7810.070.3010.2040
McGrathAM900.000.010−0.0124
EldingST600.070.030−0.0224
BoyleST600.160.0100.1712
SutoFW3010.040.041−0.0611
ScarlettFW300.000.000−0.0101
CampbellMF120.000.000−0.0200
AndrewsMF1210.070.0000.0000
MolotnikovMF10.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Tounekti and Cvancara: 6 passesScales and Tounekti: 7 passesOxlade-Chamberlain and Tounekti: 7 passesTierney and Cvancara: 8 passesOxlade-Chamberlain and Yang: 8 passesOxlade-Chamberlain and Nygren: 8 passesYang and Nygren: 8 passesNygren and Tounekti: 8 passesMcGregor and Tounekti: 9 passesSchmeichel and Scales: 11 passesScales and Trusty: 11 passesTierney and Oxlade-Chamberlain: 11 passesOxlade-Chamberlain and McGregor: 11 passesScales and McGregor: 12 passesMcGregor and Yang: 12 passesSchmeichel and Trusty: 13 passesScales and Oxlade-Chamberlain: 14 passesAraujo and Oxlade-Chamberlain: 15 passesAraujo and McGregor: 17 passesMcGregor and Nygren: 17 passesTierney and McGregor: 18 passesAraujo and Trusty: 21 passesAraujo and Nygren: 22 passesTierney and Tounekti: 26 passesScales and Tierney: 28 passesAraujo and Yang: 35 passesSchmeichel: 20 completed passesAraujo: 66 completed passesScales: 50 completed passesTrusty: 29 completed passesTierney: 53 completed passesOxlade-Chamberlain: 37 completed passesMcGregor: 58 completed passesYang: 36 completed passesNygren: 33 completed passesTounekti: 28 completed passesCvancara: 15 completed passes122566321421382311SchmeichelAraujoScalesTrustyTierneyOxlade-ChamberlainMcGregorYangNygrenTounektiCvancaraStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Hibernian

Sallinger and Chaiwa: 4 passesIredale and Barlaser: 4 passesBushiri and Barlaser: 4 passesBushiri and Chaiwa: 4 passesO'Hora and Barlaser: 4 passesO'Hora and Chaiwa: 4 passesBarlaser and Chaiwa: 4 passesBarlaser and Cadden: 4 passesChaiwa and Boyle: 4 passesO'Hora and McGrath: 5 passesPasslack and Elding: 5 passesChaiwa and Elding: 6 passesSallinger and Passlack: 7 passesPasslack and Chaiwa: 8 passesBushiri and O'Hora: 10 passesSallinger and Bushiri: 13 passesSallinger and O'Hora: 13 passesIredale and Cadden: 20 passesIredale and Bushiri: 21 passesO'Hora and Passlack: 24 passesSallinger: 25 completed passesIredale: 27 completed passesBushiri: 29 completed passesO'Hora: 32 completed passesPasslack: 24 completed passesBarlaser: 18 completed passesChaiwa: 22 completed passesCadden: 16 completed passesMcGrath: 12 completed passesBoyle: 4 completed passesElding: 10 completed passes11533525221419171047SallingerIredaleBushiriO'HoraPasslackBarlaserChaiwaCaddenMcGrathBoyleEldingStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
AraujoYang28
TierneyTounekti21
ScalesTierney18
TrustyAraujo16
McGregorTierney16

Hibernian

FromToPasses
O'HoraPasslack21
BushiriIredale20
PasslackO'Hora17
IredaleCadden15
IredaleBushiri13

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

4+1.22−2.57+1.95+1.03−2.31−4.34−1.24−4.13−4.42−2.46+2.06+2.95−0.74−1.511+6.54+0.42−1.16+2.84−0.35+2.83+0.81−0.83−0.11−2.00−0.80−0.41+0.40−0.310.05−6.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Hibernian

8+4.66−0.230+15.66−1.55+0.93−2.612+4.66−1.410+3.84−1.73−2.32−2.81−2.00−4.35+0.71−2.73−0.43+0.62−0.43−1.01−1.43+1.10−1.50−1.00−2.10−0.60−0.70−0.60−0.52+1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.020.010.030.010.020.040.030.070.030.060.060.050.16−0.010.070.090.15−0.260.120.230.290.220.290.28LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.020.020.030.010.01−0.01−0.010.020.020.010.050.010.140.080.020.03−0.05−0.020.25LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackCeltic2.06 → 2.05Hibernian1.49 → 1.48Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.90 → 0.91Hibernian1.14 → 1.15

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title48%31%−17
Rangers
Title31%43%+12
Hearts
Title20%25%+5

From the forecast before the match (22 February 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticHibernian
Expected goals2.070.90
Win64%15%
Expected Points2.130.66
Clean sheet41%13%

Celtic 64%Draw 21%Hibernian 15%

Most likely score 2–0, 11%. Both sides score 52%.

Hibernian goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+6%4%2%4%1%4%1%8%7%3%4%4%2%2%1%10%10%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 22 February 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawHibernian win
Celtic
Title48%55%39%31%
Rangers
Title31%27%36%43%
Hearts
Title20%18%24%25%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W3–215 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 2.98–0.86
  2. W2–111 FebLivingston (H)xG 3.44–1.06
  3. W2–01 FebFalkirk (H)xG 0.66–1.07
  4. D2–225 JanHearts (A)xG 1.35–1.66
  5. W1–014 JanFalkirk (A)xG 0.62–1.72
  6. W4–010 JanDundee United (H)xG 3.18–0.34

Hibernian

  1. W2–014 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.19–0.30
  2. L0–110 FebHearts (A)xG 0.38–0.66
  3. W3–24 FebDundee United (H)xG 2.57–1.73
  4. D0–01 FebRangers (H)xG 1.88–0.58
  5. L1–424 JanFalkirk (A)xG 0.73–3.64
  6. D1–110 JanMotherwell (H)xG 1.31–1.03

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticHibernian
Position3rd5th
Played2627
Won, drawn, lost17–⁠3–⁠611–⁠9–⁠7
Points54 (2.08 per game)42 (1.56 per game)
Expected Points per game2.021.75
Goals48–⁠2643–⁠31
xG per game2.22–⁠0.981.67–⁠1.16
Home: points, xG per game2.38, 2.71–⁠0.691.86, 2.01–⁠0.93
Away: points, xG per game1.77, 1.73–⁠1.281.23, 1.31–⁠1.41
ManagerMartin O'Neill (6)David Gray (67)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackCeltic2.06, 1stHibernian1.49, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.90, 1stHibernian1.14, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebCeltic attack: 2.06Hibernian attack: 1.492.061.49HibernianCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebCeltic defence: 0.90Hibernian defence: 1.141.140.90

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+105%−40%−8%−5%
Counter-attacks−11%−43%+99%−19%
Set pieces−7%−15%+26%−36%
Penalties+4%+4%+75%−50%
Headers+62%−34%+19%−30%
Left side+75%−43%+16%+8%
Centre+80%−26%+15%−22%
Right side+11%−43%+3%−25%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdHibernian concededLeft side+75%−25%Centre+80%−22%Right side+11%+8%Open play+105%−5%Counter-attacks−11%−19%Set pieces−7%−36%Headers+62%−30%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdCeltic concededLeft side+16%−43%Centre+15%−26%Right side+3%−43%Open play−8%−40%Counter-attacks+99%−43%Set pieces+26%−15%Headers+19%−34%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticHibernian

2.22xG1.67
0.98xG against1.16
68%Possession49%
17.1Shots13.3
8.9Shots against11.4
5.8Shots on target5.1
3.7Big chances2.4
36.5Touches in the opposition box24.9
630Passes402
87%Pass accuracy79%
6.8Corners5.3
77%Field tilt48%
67.0Final-third entries36.4
21.1Box entries11.4
10.1Passes per defensive action16.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level432.290.84
Ahead341.921.16
Behind142.760.99

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.451.12
Ahead291.811.13
Behind171.981.32

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.410.148–4
16–300.360.117–3
31–450.380.207–3
46–600.280.275–10
61–750.340.119–4
76–900.450.1512–2

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.094–2
16–300.220.237–6
31–450.270.259–7
46–600.370.139–4
61–750.270.114–4
76–900.320.3510–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 25Sinisalo 1Ralston 7Yang 6Araujo 6Trusty 15Carter-Vickers 7Murray 3Scales 22Tierney 4Tierney 13Saracchi 8McCowan 3Engels 17McCowan 5Ralston 1McGregor 25Nygren 14Hatate 13Bernardo 3Yang 7Nygren 4Maeda 3Kenny 8Maeda 7Cvancara 3Maeda 12Tounekti 8Yang 34-3-3 in 19 of 26 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (19), 3-4-2-1 (4), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTSallinger 23Smith 4Bushiri 17O'Hora 16Garananga 2Hanley 19Iredale 24Obita 2Cadden 13Megwa 7Mulligan 4Mulligan 16Andrews 1Newell 1Barlaser 18Chaiwa 8McGrath 6Cadden 14Obita 9McGrath 4McGrath 9Boyle 6Barlaser 4Boyle 13Klidje 7Scarlett 3Bowie 19Youan 5Hoilett 33-4-1-2 in 14 of 27 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (14), 3-4-3 (4), 3-1-4-2 (4), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 November 2025Hibernian1–2CelticxG 1.65–1.33
27 September 2025Celtic0–0HibernianxG 2.80–0.70
10 May 2025Celtic3–1HibernianxG 2.26–0.82
22 February 2025Hibernian2–1CelticxG 0.67–1.78
7 December 2024Celtic3–0HibernianxG 3.83–2.34
11 August 2024Hibernian0–2CelticxG 0.10–2.60

20 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 12, Hibernian won 2, and 6 were drawn. Goals 43–16 and xG 2.38–0.99 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kenny8688420.890.07
Nygren181,6461330.510.25
Maeda221,892750.520.17
Forrest2557100.260.36

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Youan6661410.630.18
Klidje7735310.660.04
Boyle191,528500.440.09
Campbell2475130.300.23

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.