Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
AberdeenFalkirk
1.54 +0.32xG0.76 −0.56
1.50 +0.45xG on target0.83 −0.44
9 −3Shots7 −5
3 −0.7Shots on target3 −1.0
3 +1.2Big chances2 0.0
16 −6Touches in the opposition box27 +7
42% −7Possession58% +7
347 −51Passes464 +62
61% −16Pass accuracy71% −6
33% −12Field tilt67% +19
36 0Final-third entries45 +9
9 −2Box entries12 +1
14.2 0Passes per defensive action15.4 +2
4 −0.9Corners10 +5.4
15 −1Tackles15 −4
12 +4.3Interceptions7 −2.0
43 +12Clearances30 −1
2 −1.5Saves2 −1.1
17 +3Fouls6 −6
1 −0.9Offsides4 +2.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
73'89'
0–01–0
0'HTFT
Level
75 min (82%) · Aberdeen 1.19, Falkirk 0.59 xG
Aberdeen ahead
16 min (18%) · Aberdeen 0.35, Falkirk 0.17 xG
Line-ups
Aberdeen substitutes
61'Palaversa for Shinnie
61'Cameron for Armstrong
61'Olusanya for Lazetic
81'Jensen for Frame
84'Nilsen for Geiger
Falkirk substitutes
69'Cartwright for Tait
69'Ross for Broggio · 1 assist
75'Williams for Yeats
81'Graham for Miller
Players
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Mitov
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
2
Milne
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.04
3
8
Morrison
CB
90
0.14
0.01
0
0.03
2
12
Molloy
CB
90
0.00
0.03
1
0.15
5
11
Lobban
RWB
90
0.02
0.06
0
0.12
8
9
Geiger
CM
84
0.03
0.30
2
0.13
5
1
Shinnie
CM
61
0.33
0.05
0
0.03
2
5
Frame
LWB
81
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
2
9
Lazetic
AM
61
0.11
0.01
0
0.17
5
3
Armstrong
AM
61
0.06
0.10
3
0.04
2
6
Nisbet
ST
90
1
0.51
0.02
0
0.07
2
5
Palaversa
MF
29
0.00
0.00
0
−0.02
0
0
Cameron
MF
29
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
3
0
Olusanya
FW
29
0.36
0.01
0
−0.03
0
0
Jensen
DF
9
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Nilsen
MF
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
2
Falkirk
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Bain
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
0
Lissah
RB
90
0.00
0.07
0
−0.01
5
7
Donaldson
CB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.05
5
15
Henderson
CB
90
0.18
0.04
1
−0.13
4
7
McCann
LB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.09
8
1
Spencer
DM
90
0.08
0.07
0
0.16
9
8
Tait
DM
69
0.02
0.06
0
0.13
6
5
Broggio
RW
69
0.05
0.22
1
0.01
5
2
Yeats
AM
75
0.21
0.01
0
−0.01
1
3
Miller
LW
81
0.04
0.10
0
0.04
4
3
Stewart
ST
90
1
0.17
0.04
1
−0.01
0
3
Cartwright
MF
21
0.00
0.01
0
−0.01
1
1
Ross
FW
21
1
0.00
0.22
1
0.19
1
0
Williams
FW
15
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Graham
FW
9
0.00
0.00
0
−0.02
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
Molloy
Frame
8
Morrison
Milne
7
Molloy
Shinnie
7
Frame
Molloy
6
Frame
Geiger
6
Falkirk
From
To
Passes
Henderson
McCann
13
Lissah
Donaldson
12
Donaldson
Bain
12
McCann
Henderson
10
Spencer
McCann
10
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Aberdeen
Against its average of 29 matches
Falkirk
Against its average of 29 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Aberdeen
11th
4%
3%
−1
Kilmarnock
11th
66%
67%
+1
From the forecast before the match (14 March 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Expected goals
1.16
1.35
Win
31%
41%
Expected Points
1.22
1.50
Clean sheet
26%
31%
Aberdeen 31%Draw 28%Falkirk 41%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 51%.
From the forecast as it stood on 14 March 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Aberdeen win
Draw
Falkirk win
Aberdeen
11th
4%
1%
3%
6%
Kilmarnock
11th
66%
68%
67%
65%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Position
9th
6th
Played
29
29
Won, drawn, lost
8–5–16
12–6–11
Points
29 (1.00 per game)
42 (1.45 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.12
1.45
Goals
29–41
37–37
xG per game
1.22–1.70
1.32–1.23
Home: points, xG per game
1.14, 1.45–1.64
1.53, 1.59–1.03
Away: points, xG per game
0.87, 1.00–1.76
1.36, 1.03–1.44
Manager
Stephen Robinson (0)
John McGlynn (29)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−19%
+2%
+2%
−17%
Counter-attacks
+7%
+51%
+6%
+10%
Set pieces
−8%
+54%
−11%
−26%
Penalties
−31%
−8%
−77%
+15%
Headers
−31%
+28%
−29%
average
Left side
+19%
+7%
−43%
−21%
Centre
−22%
+29%
+1%
−19%
Right side
−25%
+21%
+36%
−7%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
AberdeenFalkirk
1.22xG1.32
1.70xG against1.23
49%Possession51%
11.7Shots12.4
15.7Shots against12.1
3.7Shots on target4.0
1.8Big chances2.0
21.5Touches in the opposition box20.4
398Passes402
77%Pass accuracy77%
4.9Corners4.6
45%Field tilt48%
35.9Final-third entries36.2
11.1Box entries10.6
14.3Passes per defensive action13.0
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Aberdeen
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
46
1.16
1.67
Ahead
13
0.98
1.53
Behind
31
1.41
1.82
Falkirk
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
43
1.26
1.42
Ahead
23
1.67
0.75
Behind
24
1.10
1.34
xG by period
Aberdeen
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.11
0.21
2–5
16–30
0.17
0.25
6–7
31–45
0.26
0.36
4–7
46–60
0.20
0.32
1–6
61–75
0.20
0.27
7–6
76–90
0.28
0.29
9–10
Falkirk
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.19
0.14
4–1
16–30
0.29
0.23
7–7
31–45
0.23
0.30
4–13
46–60
0.22
0.16
10–5
61–75
0.20
0.18
7–5
76–90
0.19
0.20
5–6
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts