Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Livingston 2–2 Hearts

Sunday 5 April 2026, 14:00 · Home of the Set Fare Arena · Round 32 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 8,952

Livingston May 5', L. Smith 58'

Hearts Shankland 24', Braga 51' · Leonard sent off 90+6'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonHearts
Goals22
xG2.001.87
Expected Points1.471.27

Livingston 41%Draw 25%Hearts 34%

Most likely score 2–2, 11%. Final score 2–2, 11%.

Hearts goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+1%2%2%1%3%5%2%4%6%2%3%6%6%4%1%1%2%2%1%9%8%10%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTLeonard (Hearts), red card 90+6'Pittman on for Arfield and Danso on for May, 65'Muirhead on for Nouble and McGowan on for Kerr, 78'Lawal on for Fati, 87'Kerjota on for Chesnokov, 77'Altena on for Kingsley, 84'Baningime on for Devlin and Spittal on for Kyziridis, 89'May 5'L. Smith 58'Shankland 24'Braga 51'Livingston 2.00Hearts 1.8701230153045607590HTLeonard (Hearts), red card 90+6'Pittman on for Arfield and Danso on for May, 65'Muirhead on for Nouble and McGowan on for Kerr, 78'Lawal on for Fati, 87'Kerjota on for Chesnokov, 77'Altena on for Kingsley, 84'Baningime on for Devlin and Spittal on for Kyziridis, 89'May 5'L. Smith 58'Shankland 24'Braga 51'2.001.87LivingstonHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonHearts

2.00 +1.04xG1.87 +0.25
2.33 +1.34xG on target2.00 +0.16
15 +5.6Shots17 +2.7
3 −0.2Shots on target5 −0.1
3 +1.7Big chances3 +0.5
23 +4Touches in the opposition box41 +14
35% −9Possession65% +12
288 −74Passes554 +137
73% 0Pass accuracy87% +11
27% −10Field tilt73% +13
21 −10Final-third entries61 +20
13 +4.8Box entries13 +0.5
24.1 +10Passes per defensive action11.0 −1
5 +0.6Corners5 −0.5
9 −8Tackles11 −6
8 −0.7Interceptions2 −6.8
39 +5Clearances25 −7
3 −0.1Saves1 −1.2
10 −4Fouls10 −1
4 +2.6Offsides0 −1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Nouble 58', 0.63 xGFati 42', 0.20 xGMuirhead 88', 0.18 xGSylla 8', 0.16 xGArfield 42', 0.10 xGSylla 8', 0.08 xGArfield 45+1', 0.05 xGMontaño 72', 0.04 xGArfield 5', 0.03 xGArfield 61', 0.03 xGL. Smith 21', 0.02 xGFinlayson 62', 0.02 xGKerr 62', 0.01 xGL. Smith 58', 0.36 xG, goalMay 5', 0.10 xG, goal18%0.36 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.36 xG, 1 goal54%1.08 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 1.08 xG, 0 goals12%0.24 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals16%0.32 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.32 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

Braga 16', 0.34 xGShankland 51', 0.20 xGShankland 57', 0.17 xGShankland 44', 0.16 xGKyziridis 44', 0.10 xGChesnokov 55', 0.10 xGShankland 28', 0.09 xGBraga 13', 0.08 xGShankland 13', 0.06 xGKingsley 20', 0.03 xGBraga 40', 0.03 xGShankland 44', 0.03 xGShankland 57', 0.03 xGShankland 21', 0.02 xGShankland 63', 0.02 xGBraga 51', 0.28 xG, goalShankland 24', 0.13 xG, goal35%0.65 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.65 xG, 1 goal53%1.00 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 1.00 xG, 1 goal9%0.17 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonHearts

0.69 7 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.11 12 shots, 1 goal
0.99 2 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.32 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.76 5 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
71 min (73%) · Livingston 0.75, Hearts 0.71 xG
Livingston ahead
19 min (20%) · Livingston 0.26, Hearts 0.65 xG
Hearts ahead
7 min (7%) · Livingston 0.99, Hearts 0.50 xG

Line-ups

2819272621524173377PriorFinlaysonWilsonMontañoKerrL. SmithSyllaMayFatiArfieldNoubleGoalYellow cardGoalYellow card78'65'87'65'78'Livingston 3-5-1-1Marvin Bartley253145399491489910SchwolowMcEnteeHalkettMcCartKingsleyChesnokovLeonardDevlinKyziridisShanklandBragaYellow cardSent offGoalGoal84'77'89'89'Hearts 4-4-2Derek McInnes

Livingston substitutes

  • 65' Danso for May
  • 65' Pittman for Arfield
  • 78' McGowan for Kerr
  • 78' Muirhead for Nouble
  • 87' Lawal for Fati

Hearts substitutes

  • 77' Kerjota for Chesnokov
  • 84' Altena for Kingsley
  • 89' Baningime for Devlin
  • 89' Spittal for Kyziridis

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
PriorGK900.000.0000.0113
FinlaysonCB900.020.2010.2534
WilsonCB900.000.0000.00010
MontañoCB900.040.4310.33815
KerrRWB780.010.0410.0737
L. Smith CM9010.390.0310.11104
SyllaCM900.230.0400.0138
MayCM6510.100.0220.0221
FatiLWB870.200.0000.0115
Arfield AM650.210.0110.0541
NoubleST7810.630.001−0.0100
DansoMF250.000.0510.0921
PittmanMF250.000.000−0.0301
McGowanDF120.000.0000.0000
MuirheadFW120.180.0200.0100
LawalDF30.000.0000.0000

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchwolowGK900.000.0000.0112
McEntee RB900.000.0710.151011
HalkettCB900.000.0100.0653
McCartCB900.000.0200.201310
KingsleyLB840.030.0100.0570
ChesnokovRM770.100.0210.0130
Leonard CM9010.000.4330.47124
DevlinCM890.000.0820.0766
KyziridisLM890.100.5630.2962
ShanklandST90110.920.3610.1723
BragaST9010.720.0510.0123
KerjotaFW130.000.0400.0651
AltenaDF60.000.0100.0000
BaningimeMF10.000.0000.0000
SpittalMF10.000.000−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Prior and Finlayson: 3 passesPrior and Arfield: 3 passesMontaño and Arfield: 3 passesWilson and Sylla: 3 passesFinlayson and L. Smith: 3 passesArfield and Nouble: 3 passesSylla and Nouble: 3 passesWilson and Arfield: 4 passesKerr and Sylla: 4 passesArfield and Sylla: 4 passesArfield and May: 4 passesL. Smith and Nouble: 4 passesFinlayson and Sylla: 5 passesArfield and L. Smith: 5 passesMay and L. Smith: 5 passesMontaño and Wilson: 6 passesKerr and L. Smith: 6 passesPrior and Wilson: 7 passesFinlayson and Arfield: 7 passesSylla and L. Smith: 7 passesMontaño and Fati: 8 passesWilson and Finlayson: 8 passesMontaño and May: 9 passesKerr and Arfield: 9 passesFinlayson and Kerr: 10 passesPrior: 12 completed passesMontaño: 19 completed passesWilson: 18 completed passesFinlayson: 21 completed passesKerr: 14 completed passesFati: 6 completed passesArfield: 20 completed passesSylla: 14 completed passesMay: 10 completed passesL. Smith: 15 completed passesNouble: 8 completed passes2826271923372417157PriorMontañoWilsonFinlaysonKerrFatiArfieldSyllaMayL. SmithNoubleStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hearts

Devlin and Kyziridis: 7 passesShankland and Braga: 7 passesSchwolow and McCart: 8 passesSchwolow and Halkett: 8 passesMcEntee and Leonard: 8 passesLeonard and Braga: 8 passesShankland and Kyziridis: 8 passesLeonard and Chesnokov: 9 passesHalkett and Devlin: 10 passesDevlin and Shankland: 10 passesLeonard and Shankland: 10 passesMcEntee and Devlin: 12 passesMcEntee and Chesnokov: 12 passesHalkett and Leonard: 12 passesLeonard and Kyziridis: 12 passesKingsley and Leonard: 15 passesKingsley and Devlin: 17 passesMcCart and Devlin: 20 passesMcCart and Leonard: 20 passesKingsley and Kyziridis: 20 passesMcEntee and Halkett: 22 passesDevlin and Leonard: 25 passesMcCart and Halkett: 26 passesMcCart and Kingsley: 34 passesSchwolow: 16 completed passesMcEntee: 30 completed passesMcCart: 64 completed passesHalkett: 48 completed passesKingsley: 49 completed passesDevlin: 61 completed passesLeonard: 65 completed passesChesnokov: 19 completed passesShankland: 21 completed passesKyziridis: 27 completed passesBraga: 18 completed passes253154314499998910SchwolowMcEnteeMcCartHalkettKingsleyDevlinLeonardChesnokovShanklandKyziridisBragaStarters until 77' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
FinlaysonKerr7
L. SmithFinlayson7
FinlaysonWilson6
MontañoFati6
WilsonPrior6

Hearts

FromToPasses
McCartKingsley22
HalkettMcCart19
HalkettMcEntee17
LeonardMcCart17
KingsleyKyziridis14

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

4−1.16−2.216−2.311+3.57+1.29+2.35−1.411+3.58+0.15+0.44−0.81−3.05−0.55−1.14+0.23−0.90−2.52−1.52−1.92−0.60−1.80−1.31−0.70−2.51−0.30−0.30−0.70−0.51+0.12−6.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Hearts

1−3.37+0.520+7.46−0.32−2.02−4.85−2.94−2.76−2.34−3.05−1.03−2.92−2.83−3.02−3.250.04−0.41−1.63−0.88+3.34+1.66+3.81−0.32+0.64+1.33+1.80−0.30−0.60−0.40−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.010.010.040.010.010.020.030.030.020.050.14−0.010.030.040.070.150.24LessMore

Hearts

0.010.010.020.010.010.020.040.010.040.090.090.100.040.010.020.060.090.040.020.030.150.190.240.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.33AttackLivingston0.89 → 0.92Hearts1.48 → 1.47Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.86 → 1.84Hearts1.07 → 1.09

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
11th1%1%0
Bottom99%99%0
Hearts
Title30%21%−9
Rangers
Title48%52%+4
Celtic
Title23%27%+4

From the forecast before the match (5 April 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonHearts
Expected goals0.861.80
Win17%59%
Expected Points0.752.01
Clean sheet17%42%

Livingston 17%Draw 24%Hearts 59%

Most likely score 0–1, 12%. Both sides score 49%.

Hearts goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+8%7%3%1%5%6%3%1%3%5%4%3%1%1%1%12%11%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 5 April 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawHearts win
Livingston
11th1%3%1%<1%
Bottom99%97%99%>99%
Hearts
Title30%15%21%37%
Rangers
Title48%57%52%43%
Celtic
Title23%29%27%20%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L0–221 MarKilmarnock (A)xG 0.79–1.71
  2. D0–014 MarHibernian (A)xG 0.14–2.18
  3. D1–128 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.70–1.02
  4. D2–222 FebRangers (H)xG 0.30–3.74
  5. D2–214 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.29–0.91
  6. L1–211 FebCeltic (A)xG 1.06–3.44

Hearts

  1. W1–021 MarDundee FC (H)xG 1.64–0.56
  2. L0–114 MarKilmarnock (A)xG 1.06–1.27
  3. W1–028 FebAberdeen (H)xG 2.33–0.39
  4. W1–021 FebFalkirk (H)xG 1.10–0.74
  5. L2–415 FebRangers (A)xG 0.40–2.51
  6. W1–010 FebHibernian (H)xG 0.66–0.38

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonHearts
Position12th2nd
Played3131
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠12–⁠1820–⁠6–⁠5
Points15 (0.48 per game)66 (2.13 per game)
Expected Points per game0.791.73
Goals31–⁠6153–⁠25
xG per game0.96–⁠2.001.62–⁠1.01
Home: points, xG per game0.60, 1.01–⁠1.852.50, 1.69–⁠0.90
Away: points, xG per game0.38, 0.91–⁠2.141.73, 1.54–⁠1.13
ManagerMarvin Bartley (6)Derek McInnes (31)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.33AttackLivingston0.89, 12thHearts1.48, 4thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.86, 12thHearts1.07, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprLivingston attack: 0.89Hearts attack: 1.481.480.89HeartsLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprLivingston defence: 1.86Hearts defence: 1.071.861.07

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−40%+42%+12%−18%
Counter-attacks−60%+29%+19%−29%
Set pieces−25%+38%+25%−30%
Penalties+34%+56%−11%−100%
Headers−37%+30%+20%−9%
Left side−45%+24%+18%−19%
Centre−38%+42%+25%−31%
Right side−32%+50%−5%−7%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdHearts concededLeft side−45%−7%Centre−38%−31%Right side−32%−19%Open play−40%−18%Counter-attacks−60%−29%Set pieces−25%−30%Headers−37%−9%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdLivingston concededLeft side+18%+50%Centre+25%+42%Right side−5%+24%Open play+12%+42%Counter-attacks+19%+29%Set pieces+25%+38%Headers+20%+30%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonHearts

0.96xG1.62
2.00xG against1.01
44%Possession53%
9.4Shots14.3
15.4Shots against9.9
3.2Shots on target5.1
1.3Big chances2.5
19.0Touches in the opposition box27.2
362Passes417
73%Pass accuracy76%
4.4Corners5.5
37%Field tilt59%
30.9Final-third entries40.9
8.2Box entries12.5
13.8Passes per defensive action11.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level430.902.07
Ahead90.863.11
Behind381.051.63

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level431.400.93
Ahead331.881.13
Behind141.680.98

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.394–12
16–300.150.276–8
31–450.250.405–9
46–600.120.314–7
61–750.160.234–6
76–900.190.398–19

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.134–3
16–300.250.1211–6
31–450.280.188–5
46–600.280.1510–4
61–750.180.177–2
76–900.420.2713–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWPrior 31Finlayson 13Brenet 9Lawal 5McGowan 18Finlayson 12Sylla 2Wilson 24Kabongolo 3Blaney 3Montaño 15Montgomery 8Fati 3Sylla 16Danso 4Wilson 1Pittman 26L. Smith 2Muirhead 1Tait 26Susoho 13Carey 1L. Smith 13Kabongolo 5McLennan 4Muirhead 11Bokila 8Yengi 7May 13McLennan 4Yengi 44-3-3 in 11 of 31 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (11), 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-5-2 (6), 3-1-4-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Hearts

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSchwolow 25Clark 4Gordon 2McEntee 13Steinwender 11Kent 3Halkett 25Kent 4Steinwender 3Findlay 27McCart 2Shankland 1Milne 16Kingsley 9McCart 3Milne 7Kyziridis 6Braga 4Baningime 12Leonard 8McEntee 7Devlin 21Spittal 5Kyziridis 20Braga 4Milne 3Braga 20Kaboré 10Findlay 1Shankland 20Magnússon 4McEntee 14-4-2 in 13 of 31 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (13), 4-2-3-1 (10), 3-5-2 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
3 January 2026Hearts1–0LivingstonxG 2.23–0.54
30 August 2025Livingston1–2HeartsxG 0.50–1.42
13 April 2024Hearts4–2LivingstonxG 3.81–0.97
2 January 2024Livingston1–2HeartsxG 1.66–1.94
1 November 2023Hearts1–0LivingstonxG 1.91–0.21
29 January 2023Livingston0–0HeartsxG 0.34–1.63

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 1, Hearts won 8, and 2 were drawn. Goals 6–17 and xG 0.84–2.00 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Muirhead151,312420.430.16
Yengi111,054200.300.08
McLennan8766300.260.08
Bokila9901500.300.02

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kaboré12992420.560.12
Braga282,3711230.470.11
Shankland211,8701120.410.12
Kyziridis272,328460.210.27

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.